Top Horse Analytics: 12/29/2016 AQU,GP,SA Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: AQU, GP, SA, TAM
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SAR

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.24b)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/29/16, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3), Pick 5 Races (1-5) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Awesome News [1-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Chatterpaul Naipaul JSEWL
094.5738 :5: Unrepented [3-1] Luzzi M J / Englehart Chris J. TFC
091.8178 :6: My Won Love [6-1] Arroyo A S / Chatterpaul Naipaul
091.7151 :1: Brooklyn Gal [5-1] Esquivel E / Farro Patricia
090.6012 4 Sonora [10-1] Gallardo A A / Quartarolo Anthony T.
090.2258 3 Love You Babe [20-1] Ayala A J / Ferraro James W.

12/29/16, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $27,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Even Bette [2-1] Franco M / Cannizzo David A. SC
096.8582 :6: Foxy Posse [3-1] Carmouche K / Levine Bruce N. TF
096.8187 :3: Show Giant [7/2] Gryder A T / Contessa Gary C. EWL
095.8227 :5: Lil Renegade [5-1] Velasquez C H / Friedman Mitchell E. J
094.1309 7 Phocea [8-1] Cancel E / Divitto. Sr. Michael
092.6976 4 Rahy's Bandit [15-1] Davis J A / Iselin James H.
090.9487 1 Pari Nath [30-1] Simpson T / Alvarez Harold G.

12/29/16, AQU, Race 3, 1.20 ET
1M [Inner Dirt] 1.35.04 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Natalie Victoria [8/5] Arroyo A S / Jacobson David EL
096.6467 :1: Guayana [2-1] Gallardo A A / Contessa Gary C. C
095.2002 :4: My Wild Gata [5-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Englehart Jeffrey S. JT
094.4065 :5: Enigma [8-1] Velasquez C H / Nevin Michelle F
094.2772 6 Is She Hot [15-1] Fragoso P / Ibrahim Emron
092.7403 2 My Jimmy Chew Girl [10-1] Davis D / Matties Gregg M.
092.1559 3 Panfila [12-1] Montanez R / Pringle Edmund W

12/29/16, AQU, Race 4, 1.50 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $31,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Knockerra [10-1] Worrie A S / Gullo Gary P. SL
099.4396 :5: City Trapper [4-1] Ayala A J / Baker Charlton T
098.1759 :9: Skye Serenade [30-1] Hernandez H / O'Brien Leo JW
098.1708 :8: Refined Lady [10-1] Montanez R / Quick Patrick J. C
098.0289 7 More Stones [5-1] Gryder A T / Levine Bruce N.
097.5802 2 Feather in My Cap [5-1] Arroyo A S / Morley Thomas FE
096.5730 6 Princess Amelia [20-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Persaud Randi
094.2101 4 Beyond Discreet [8-1] Cancel E / Ryerson James T.
*Scratch* 3 Andale Julia [2-1] Davis D / Schosberg Richard E.

12/29/16, AQU, Race 5, 2.20 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Grey Glory [2-1] Franco M / Handal Raymond JFEC
096.7309 :1a: Non Stop [3-1] Simpson T / Barrera. III Oscar S. W
095.6474 :1: Finding Candy [3-1] Maragh R / Barrera. III Oscar S.
094.8897 :3: Forest Boy [8-1] Esquivel E / Sciacca Gary S
093.5710 6 Tug of War [20-1] Hernandez H / Giglio. Jr. Dominic
093.4856 7 Ima Wildcat [4-1] Arroyo A S / Englehart Chris J. TL
090.2166 2 Street Lord [12-1] Worrie A S / Persaud Randi
*Scratch* 4 Fullfaithandcredit [7/2] Gallardo A A / Contessa Gary C.

12/29/16, AQU, Race 6, 2.50 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $67,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Malibu Princess(b-) [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. J
099.1098 :1: Play Unified(b+) [3-1] Velasquez C H / Weaver George ELC
097.9336 :2: Princessofthieves [4-1] Cancel E / Nevin Michelle TSF
094.7293 :4: Mastic [8-1] Franco M / Friedman Mitchell E.
094.0861 7 Mahabodhi Tree [15-1] Diaz. Jr. H R / Barrera. III Oscar S.
094.0364 6 First Charmer [20-1] Davis D / Metivier Richard W
093.0300 3 She's Incredible [5-1] Luzzi M J / Brown Bruce R.
091.2502 5 Loyal Heart [30-1] Brown D / Pringle Edmund

12/29/16, AQU, Race 7, 3.20 ET
1M [Inner Dirt] 1.35.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Karma Delight [5/2] Franco M / Brown Chad C. TFEC
099.4717 :2: Our Cousin Dick [7/2] Davis D / Hushion Michael E. S
099.0416 :1: Cumberland River(b+) [9/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / McLaughlin Kiaran P. J
098.4864 :4: Admiral Blue [6-1] Maragh R / Blusiewicz Leon J. WL
097.7824 7 Strong Side [10-1] Carmouche K / Hushion Michael E.
097.4123 6 Bunyaan [12-1] Velasquez C H / McLaughlin Kiaran P.
096.1160 5 Spring On Curlin(b+) [20-1] Arroyo A S / Baker Charlton

12/29/16, AQU, Race 8, 3.50 ET
1M 70Y [Inner Dirt] 1.39.00 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Mollica [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rice Linda J
099.0320 :2: Bourbon Empire [7/2] Maragh R / Hennig Mark A.
097.7815 :6: Tellmeafookystory [4-1] Carmouche K / Pletcher Todd A.
097.7242 :5: Haul Anchor [8-1] Velasquez C H / McLaughlin Kiaran P. S
097.5278 9 Macho Miah [15-1] McCarthy T / Englehart Jeremiah C. E
096.4370 1 Voodoo Song [6-1] Davis D / Hushion Michael E. C
096.0306 4 Carradine [8-1] Arroyo A S / Rice Linda L
095.9650 8 Mo Maverick [12-1] Franco M / Weaver George FW
093.7793 7 D'yer Mak'er [20-1] Gallardo A A / Zito Nicholas P.

12/29/16, AQU, Race 9, 4.20 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $31,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Rosa Dorata [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. TSFEWC
099.0275 :5: Air Force Nurse [2-1] Maragh R / Weaver George L
096.2339 :6: Courageous Linz [6-1] Davis J A / Schettino Dominick A.
095.9551 :4: Lynnie B [5-1] Gallardo A A / Sharp Joe J
094.4906 2 Prima Estrella [20-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Brown Bruce R.
094.3224 1 Heavenly Strut(b+) [15-1] Hernandez H / Hertler John O.
094.1025 3 J. R.'s Good Girl [10-1] Arroyo A S / Barbara Robert
093.7490 8 Anna Liffey [30-1] Arrieta F / O'Brien Colum
*Scratch* 9 Ruby One [8-1] Luzzi M J / Serpe Philip M.

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.24b)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/29/16, GP, Race 1, 12.35 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Thanks God [3-1] Rispoli M / Towne Steve E
099.1731 :5: Over Limit [5/2] Vasquez M A / Tharrenos William C
099.1627 :2: Mechanics Finest [6-1] Leyva J C / Passley Mark W
098.8868 :6: Overdone [10-1] Castro E / Fawkes David F
098.5293 4 Boot N Loot [4-1] Gaffalione T / Maker Michael J. JTL
094.2549 3 Ceeky [8-1] Panici L / Dorochenko Gennadi S
*Scratch* 8 Caddy Cat [8-1] Luzzi L J / Orseno Joseph F.
*Scratch* 7 Forest Waltz [20-1] Bermudez J / Dorochenko Gennadi

12/29/16, GP, Race 2, 1.04 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :9: Sassy Sierra [2-1] Olivero C / Lopez Bernardo G. L
099.4094 :1: Case Dismissed [4-1] Reyes L / Azpurua. Jr. Eduardo TFEC
089.5991 :6: Adios Chic [6-1] Gomez J C / Williams Andy P. S
086.0111 :5: Pretty Wild Posie [12-1] Luzzi L J / Estevez Manuel A.
084.6183 3 Guantanamera [5-1] Zayas E J / Antonucci Jena M.
084.2192 2 Icrywheni'mdrunk [10-1] Mena R / Bates Larry W
080.7530 7 Harambe [8-1] Lugo C D / Sancal Murat J
079.0029 4 Of Horse I'll Win [20-1] Mejias L / Fisher David
078.0666 8 Selfie Day [20-1] Rios J M / Ochoa Gerard

12/29/16, GP, Race 3, 1.33 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $36,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: He's the One [2-1] Zayas E J / Potter Douglas G. FL
097.6962 :8: Asked and Answered [3-1] Velazquez J R / Thomas Jonathan JW
095.3882 :4: Teddy's Honor(b+) [4-1] Panici L / Wasiluk. Jr. Peter S
094.0456 :5: Little Matt [6-1] Lezcano J / Vaccarezza Carlo E
089.6971 6 Osvaldo [12-1] Gaffalione T / Sano Antonio
086.5600 1 Danny's Way [15-1] Bravo J / Fawkes David TC
083.4919 7 Di Maestro [12-1] Juarez N / Catanese. III Joseph C
082.5393 2 Sunfest [8-1] Rispoli M / Simon Charles

12/29/16, GP, Race 4, 2.02 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Alsterone [1-1] Lanerie C J / Kenneally Eddie FEWC
084.4521 :5: Simmardstella [5-1] Vasquez M A / Sano Antonio L
083.8835 :6: Wild Dalton [9/2] Monterrey. Jr. P / Abreu Fernando
083.6603 :1: Gone Rose [6-1] Gaffalione T / Delgado Gustavo S
081.6712 4 Backseat Driver [10-1] Panici L / Abreu Fernando
081.6357 3 Ola Yola(b+) [10-1] Luzzi L J / Loza. Jr. Efren T
080.3463 7 Majestic Voice(b+) [15-1] Lugo C D / Sancal Murat J

12/29/16, GP, Race 5, 2.32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 5-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Debbie's Tude [3-1] Rosario J / Handal Raymond TE
098.8654 :3: Reagan's Odyssey(b-) [7/2] Juarez N / Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. JL
098.0576 :9: Nurse John [8-1] Rios J M / Budhoo Steve S
097.4525 :6: Fearless Princess [10-1] Vasquez M A / Maragh Aubrey A. F
097.0610 1 Arthemisa [20-1] Alvarado. Jr. R / Sano Antonio W
095.9783 8 Who's That Chick [8-1] Bermudez J / Abreu Fernando
095.7299 2 Tzi Our Destiny(b+) [30-1] Reyes L / Mills Howard
*Scratch* 5 Angora [30-1] Guillen J / Araya Rene A.
*Scratch* 4 Sunrise Kitty [2-1] Gaffalione T / Sano Antonio

12/29/16, GP, Race 6, 3.02 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 6-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: America's Kitten [4-1] Leparoux J R / Maker Michael J. TFC
099.9907 :8: Market Strength [3-1] Lezcano J / De la cerda Armando SEL
098.2362 :4: Extreme Justice [7/2] Alvarado. Jr. R / Manning Dennis J. W
098.0130 :3: Bushmill Giant [10-1] Saez L / Bush Thomas M.
096.3550 1 Recalibrating [6-1] Juarez N / Guillot Eric J. J
096.2215 6 Salt Mine [9/2] Bravo J / Hills Timothy A.
095.4541 7 Dawn Patrol [30-1] Panici L / Gaffney Ronald
*Scratch* 2 Summer Scamp [8-1] Olivero C / Castillo Pedro

12/29/16, GP, Race 7, 3.32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Wilshire Star [9/5] Gaffalione T / Nicks Ralph E. SE
094.1045 :12: Giant's Voice [7/2] Saez L / Pletcher Todd A. TF
091.7463 :9: Cousin Tino [9/2] Lezcano J / Pilotti Larry
090.5509 :4: Arpinella(b+) [10-1] Jaramillo E / Garoffalo Jose JWL
088.8999 3 Il Nonno [15-1] Rios J M / Sano Antonio C
085.7733 1 Individuality [20-1] Panici L / Fawkes David
085.6632 10 Alls Well [12-1] Juarez N / Plesa. Jr. Edward
085.2707 7 Zaptuit [12-1] Rispoli M / Nunn David
084.3495 8 Platinum of Course [20-1] Leyva J C / Benson Harry
083.0127 11 King Dude of Ocala [30-1] Luzzi L J / Assimakopoulos John
079.8465 2 Padre [15-1] Zayas E J / Matz Michael R.
*Scratch* 6 Tito Control [30-1] Mitchell R / Homeister. Sr. Rosemar
*Scratch* 13 Papa Pablo [3-1] Lezcano J / Saville Niall

12/29/16, GP, Race 8, 4.02 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $45,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Elysea's World (IRE) [8/5] Rosario J / Brown Chad C. SEC
098.1368 :2: Stay the Night [9/2] Leparoux J R / McGaughey III Claude R
098.0494 :3: Verbouwen [4-1] Gaffalione T / Brown Chad C. F
097.6516 :5: Dyna's Recoleta [10-1] Prado E S / Attfield Roger L.
096.7814 6 Kasuga [6-1] Luzzi L J / Vella Daniel J. WL
096.6804 4 Trigger Finger [6-1] Velazquez J R / Carroll Josie J
095.5600 1 Arraign [15-1] Saez L / Matz Michael R.

12/29/16, GP, Race 9, 4.32 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.02 CLAIMING. Purse $16,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Twizzle [2-1] Luzzi L J / Navarro Jorge TW
097.0891 :9: Aggressive Driver [9/2] Reyes L / Azpurua. Jr. Eduardo FEL
093.8691 :3: Seven of Jack [12-1] Jaramillo E / Barboza. Jr. Victor J
093.5192 :10: Soyouthinkuraromeo [12-1] Meneses M / Nagle Reid
093.1756 11 Starship Apollo [7/2] Saez L / Rodriguez Angel M. SC
092.2988 6 Nova Light [15-1] Zayas E J / Brownlee David R.
092.0278 8 Joey Six Pack [10-1] Gaffalione T / Garoffalo Jose
090.9551 2 K C Wiegmann [15-1] Olivero C / Stutts Richard T.
090.4855 7 Sammy's Trip [20-1] Rispoli M / Zoppi Joseph
089.7850 4 Cunaviche [20-1] Panici L / Mills Howard
*Scratch* 1 Wickstead [15-1] Vasquez M A / Tharrenos William

12/29/16, GP, Race 10, 5.02 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
$1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :12: Parkerelizabeth [7/2] Saez L / Maker Michael J.
099.4733 :3: Bettabe Fast [4-1] Nunez E O / O'Connell Kathleen SFEL
097.3482 :5: Later [9/2] Luzzi L J / O'Connell Kathleen
093.7996 :2: Mojo's Queen [10-1] Gaffalione T / Nicks Ralph E. W
090.7665 9 Bravucona [15-1] Zayas E J / Sano Antonio
090.6548 11 Love Totem [30-1] Vasquez M A / Gaffney Ronald
087.9957 1 Elloree Gal [8-1] Rosario J / De la cerda Armando
087.6004 7 Don't Beleve Watch [20-1] Panici L / Abreu Fernando
087.4252 6 Role of a Lifetime(b+) [15-1] Castillo L A / Pompay Teresa M. C
085.9441 4 Market Money [15-1] Ruiz J / Crichton Rohan
084.6812 8 Stolen Sunday [6-1] Juarez N / Cibelli Jane JT
081.6735 10 Conquest Corn Dog [20-1] Mejias L / Fisher David

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.24b)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/29/16, SA, Race 1, 12.30 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 CLAIMING. Purse $43,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double/ $1 Rolling Pick Three (Races 1-2-3) - $0.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5) / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Midnight Swinger [2-1] Van Dyke D / Glatt Mark SC
097.8787 :4: Nine Point Nine [3-1] Pedroza M A / Cerin Vladimir FL
095.0352 :5: Backdoor Cover [8-1] Blanc B / Eurton Peter E
094.9888 :1: Ok Doll [4-1] Bejarano R / Baltas Richard JW
092.0820 2 Generous Pour [8-1] Gonzalez S / Carava Jack T
*Scratch* 6 Plastered [5/2] Prat F / Hollendorfer Jerry

12/29/16, SA, Race 2, 12.59 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $30,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta/$2 Rolling Double - $1 Rolling Pick Three (Races 2-3-4) - $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: St. Reno [6-1] Baze T / Sadler John W. FEC
099.3228 :8: Twirling Tiger [3-1] Prat F / Yakteen Tim J
098.2509 :2: Foolish to Deceive [6-1] Garcia M / Mudaris Mike
098.0653 :5: Red Wine and Dine [8-1] Delgadillo A / DeLeon Rafael L
097.8320 4 Magic Taste [9/2] Pereira T J / Polanco Marcelo S
097.5137 7 River Hoss [9/2] Elliott S / Sherlock Gary
097.1866 3 Adrosa Sky [7/2] Sutherland C / Machowsky Michael T
096.2517 1 Above Board [15-1] Talamo J / Gonzalez Sal W

12/29/16, SA, Race 3, 1.29 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $1 Rolling Pick Three (Races 3-4-5) - $2 Pick Six Starts (Races 3-8) / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :12: Kenzou's Rhythm [3-1] Baze T / D'Amato Philip T
099.3819 :6: Shades Play [6-1] Solis A B / Hess. Jr. Robert B. SFE
098.6535 :10: Burn Me Twice(b+) [9/2] Pedroza M A / Spawr William L
097.9772 :2: Big Shorty [4-1] Theriot J / O'Neill Doug F.
097.4261 11 Pan Sisters [20-1] Elliott S / Truman Eddie
096.9184 8 Proud Singer [12-1] Talamo J / Gonzalez Sal W
096.3604 5 Quiet Dude [12-1] Nakatani C S / Papaprodromou George
095.6768 4 Thirty Pepperonis [6-1] Arroyo. Jr. N / Lewis Craig Anthony JC
095.3227 1 Calibraska [20-1] Pena B / Knapp Steve
094.9497 9 My Louie [50-1] Sutherland C / Mendoza Jesus
091.9671 3 Rainbow Squall [10-1] Ochoa J / Papaprodromou George
*Scratch* 7 First Class Boy [20-1] Ulloa Perez G G / Gomez Ruben

12/29/16, SA, Race 4, 1.59 PT
1M [Dirt] 1.33.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $1 Rolling Pick Three (Races 4-5-6) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Ucanthankmelater [7/2] Desormeaux K J / Desormeaux J. Keith J
099.2881 :3: Downside Up [7/2] Elliott S / Harrington Patricia SFELC
098.7563 :7: Budokan(b+) [3-1] Pedroza M A / Hollendorfer Jerry T
095.2582 :1: Malusita Tower [30-1] Delgadillo A / Gonzalez Sal
095.0099 5 Saratoga San [12-1] Gonzalez S / Desormeaux J. Keith
094.7602 4 Hogan [12-1] Pereira T J / Dunham Daniel W
094.7199 8 Old Honest Coop [12-1] Theriot J / Kruljac Ian
094.4020 9 Small Town Hero [8-1] Solis A B / Hess. Jr. Robert B.
092.1850 6 Thisismystory [20-1] Pena B / Agarie Ricky
*Scratch* 12 Grass Runner [30-1] Delgadillo A / DeLeon Rafael
*Scratch* 11 Dynamic Ruler [4-1] Van Dyke D / Belvoir Vann
*Scratch* 10 Long Game [4-1] Prat F / Papaprodromou George

12/29/16, SA, Race 5, 2.30 PT
6 1/2F [Turf About] 1.10.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $56,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $1 Rolling Pick Three (Races 5-6-7) - $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8) / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Mai Tai [4-1] Desormeaux K J / Hess. Jr. Robert B. JFC
098.9673 :1: Shehastheritestuff [7/2] Van Dyke D / Gallagher Patrick
096.2282 :7: All That Heat [6-1] Contreras L / Glatt Mark
095.5814 :3: Pied N True [15-1] Smith M E / Chew Matthew E
095.2643 4 Sea Smoke [6-1] Garcia M / Baltas Richard
094.7606 10 La Premiere Etoile [8-1] Gutierrez M / O'Neill Doug F. L
093.9994 2 Summer Lady [6-1] Prat F / Miyadi Steven
092.7350 9 Top Notch [12-1] Elliott S / Bonde Jeff
092.6459 5 Algorhythmic(b+) [12-1] Baze T / Kasparoff James M. W
092.1172 6 Foxy Fresh [12-1] Theriot J / Cassidy James M. S
090.3540 11 Saint Mamie [15-1] Blanc B / Miranda Efrain T
*Scratch* 13 Parasail [8-1] Talamo J / Headley Gus
*Scratch* 12 Veronica Bay [20-1] Pereira T J / Polanco Marcelo

12/29/16, SA, Race 6, 3.00 PT
1M [Dirt] 1.33.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $54,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $1 Rolling Pick Three (Races 6-7-8) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Q. T.'s Tribute [8-1] Desormeaux K J / Morey William E. J
099.6840 :2: Jet Ski [6-1] Elliott S / Bonde Jeff T
099.4304 :10: I'd Be Sad an Blue [6-1] Gutierrez M / Freeman Edward R. SFELC
099.4107 :8: Six Point Rack [10-1] Prat F / Puype Mike
099.3571 9 Royal Seeker [4-1] Arroyo. Jr. N / Metz Jeffrey
097.9854 6 Dr. Troutman [5/2] Nakatani C S / Papaprodromou George W
097.6424 7 Papa Ted [12-1] Pedroza M A / Kitchingman Adam
097.5595 1 Cupid's Beau [8-1] Baze T / Miyadi Steven
097.3334 5 Onefortheteam [12-1] Talamo J / Gaines Carla
097.1998 4 Highlight Show [12-1] Gonzalez S / Cassidy James M.
*Scratch* 11 Fandarel Dancer [] S /

12/29/16, SA, Race 7, 3.30 PT
1M [Dirt] 1.33.02 CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double/ $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Perfect Set [10-1] Lindsay C / Saavedra Anthony K. SEC
099.8447 :2: Iancol [12-1] Bednar V / Azcarate Daniel F
099.5806 :4: Carlos Dangerous [4-1] Elliott S / Bonde Jeff T
099.5332 :1: Roman Tizzy [7/2] Bejarano R / Cerin Vladimir J
098.8041 6 Winning Causeway [6-1] Baze T / Sherlock Gary
098.5317 9 Willing to Travel(b-) [4-1] Theriot J / Kruljac Ian
098.2491 8 Rough Passage [6-1] Pedroza M A / Mulhall Kristin WL
097.5050 3 Broadway Nika [5-1] Talamo J / Spawr William
096.3587 5 Scatastic [15-1] Pena B / Treece Charles S.

12/29/16, SA, Race 8, 4.00 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 STAKES. Purse $75,000.
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $1 Super High 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Journey Home [7/2] Van Dyke D / Motion H. Graham FEC
094.7026 :7: Yuvetsi [6-1] Contreras L / Sadler John W. S
092.8912 :4: Princess Roi [10-1] Nakatani C S / Baltas Richard L
092.2025 :11: Joe'sgoldenholiday [10-1] Smith M E / O'Neill Doug F.
092.1689 3 Cynthiana [5-1] Desormeaux K J / Baltas Richard
090.8828 2 Partyinthepaddock [10-1] Prat F / Gaines Carla
090.6985 6 La Force (GER) [6-1] Bejarano R / Gallagher Patrick J
090.4798 1 Simmy's Temple (GB) [20-1] Arroyo. Jr. N / O'Neill Doug F.
090.4476 8 Mo'vette [8-1] Blanc B / Baltas Richard
089.1176 10 Miss Sugars (GB)(b+) [6-1] Baze T / Mullins Jeff TW
088.5324 9 Tap It All [15-1] Gutierrez M / O'Neill Doug F.

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

RESULTS FOLLOW

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.24b)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at AQU is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/29/16, AQU, Race 1, 12:20 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :2: Awesome News [1-1 * ] JSEWL led, 5th
094.5738 :5: Unrepented [3-1] TFC 1st - 6.50 3.00 2.60
091.8178 :6: My Won Love [6-1] 2nd - 7.40 3.80
091.7151 :1: Brooklyn Gal [5-1]
090.6012 4 Sonora [10-1] 4th
090.2258 3 Love You Babe [20-1] 3rd - 5.30

12/29/16, AQU, Race 2, 12:50 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $27,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :2: Even Bette [2-1 * ] SC 1st - 4.40 2.60 2.30
096.8582 :6: Foxy Posse [3-1] TF 2nd - 3.70 3.30 $2 Ex 17.40
096.8187 :3: Show Giant [7/2] EWL
095.8227 :5: Lil Renegade [5-1] J 3rd - 3.80
094.1309 7 Phocea [8-1] 4th
092.6976 4 Rahy's Bandit [15-1]
090.9487 1 Pari Nath [30-1]

12/29/16, AQU, Race 3, 1:20 ET
1M [Inner Dirt] 1.35.04 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :7: Natalie Victoria [8/5 * ] EL 1st - 3.70 3.20 2.60
096.6467 :1: Guayana [2-1] C
095.2002 :4: My Wild Gata [5-1] JT 3rd - 3.20
094.4065 :5: Enigma [8-1] F 4th
094.2772 6 Is She Hot [15-1] 2nd - 7.30 3.90
092.7403 2 My Jimmy Chew Girl [10-1]
092.1559 3 Panfila [12-1] W
$2 DD 11.60

12/29/16, AQU, Race 4, 1:50 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $31,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :1: Knockerra [10-1] SL 7th to 6th
099.4396 :5: City Trapper [4-1] T lost whip 1/8
098.1759 :9: Skye Serenade [30-1] JW
098.1708 :8: Refined Lady [10-1] C 2nd - 10.00 4.90
098.0289 7 More Stones [5-1 * ] 1st - 6.60 4.00 3.10
097.5802 2 Feather in My Cap [5-1] FE 3rd - 3.40
096.5730 6 Princess Amelia [20-1]
094.2101 4 Beyond Discreet [8-1] 4th
*Scratch* 3 Andale Julia [2-1]

12/29/16, AQU, Race 5, 2:20 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :5: Grey Glory [2-1 * ] JFEC 4th
096.7309 :1a: Non Stop [3-1] W 3rd - 2.50
095.6474 :1: Finding Candy [3-1] 5th - 2.50
094.8897 :3: Forest Boy [8-1] S
093.5710 6 Tug of War [20-1] 2nd - 9.70 4.40
093.4856 7 Ima Wildcat [4-1] TL 1st - 7.40 4.60 3.40
090.2166 2 Street Lord [12-1]
*Scratch* 4 Fullfaithandcredit [7/2]

12/29/16, AQU, Race 6, 2:50 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $67,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :8: Malibu Princess(b-) [2-1] J 2nd - 3.90 3.20
099.1098 :1: Play Unified(b+) [3-1] ELC 1st - 10.20 5.30 3.70
097.9336 :2: Princessofthieves [4-1 * ] TSF 3rd - 3.00
094.7293 :4: Mastic [8-1] 4th
094.0861 7 Mahabodhi Tree [15-1]
094.0364 6 First Charmer [20-1] W
093.0300 3 She's Incredible [5-1]
091.2502 5 Loyal Heart [30-1]

12/29/16, AQU, Race 7, 3:20 ET
1M [Inner Dirt] 1.35.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :3: Karma Delight [5/2] TFEC 5th to 7th, gave up
099.4717 :2: Our Cousin Dick [7/2] S
099.0416 :1: Cumberland River(b+) [9/5 * ] J
098.4864 :4: Admiral Blue [6-1] WL 1st - 10.00 5.40 4.10
097.7824 7 Strong Side [10-1] 2nd - 7.80 6.30
097.4123 6 Bunyaan [12-1] 4th
096.1160 5 Spring On Curlin(b+) [20-1] 3rd - 10.00

12/29/16, AQU, Race 8, 3:50 ET
1M 70Y [Inner Dirt] 1.39.00 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :3: Mollica [5/2 * ] J 7th
099.0320 :2: Bourbon Empire [7/2] *SCR*
097.7815 :6: Tellmeafookystory [4-1]
097.7242 :5: Haul Anchor [8-1] S 1st - 29.20 12.40 7.40
097.5278 9 Macho Miah [15-1] E
096.4370 1 Voodoo Song [6-1] C
096.0306 4 Carradine [8-1] L 3rd - 5.00
095.9650 8 Mo Maverick [12-1] FW 2nd - 5.60 5.00
093.7793 7 D'yer Mak'er [20-1] 4th

12/29/16, AQU, Race 9, 4:20 ET
6F [Inner Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $31,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Muddy
100.0000 :7: Rosa Dorata [3-1] TSFEWC 1st - 5.10 2.70 2.20
099.0275 :5: Air Force Nurse [2-1 * ] L 2nd - 2.60 2.10 $2 Ex 9.50
096.2339 :6: Courageous Linz [6-1]
095.9551 :4: Lynnie B [5-1] J 3rd - 3.00
094.4906 2 Prima Estrella [20-1]
094.3224 1 Heavenly Strut(b+) [15-1]
094.1025 3 J. R.'s Good Girl [10-1]
093.7490 8 Anna Liffey [30-1] 4th
*Scratch* 9 Ruby One [8-1]

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.24b)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at GP is 17%, Breakage is $0.20

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/29/16, GP, Race 1, 12:35 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :1: Thanks God [3-1 * ] E 4th
099.1731 :5: Over Limit [5/2] C 3rd - 3.20
099.1627 :2: Mechanics Finest [6-1] W
098.8868 :6: Overdone [10-1] F
098.5293 4 Boot N Loot [4-1] JTL 1st - 20.00 10.00 5.20
094.2549 3 Ceeky [8-1] S 2nd - 10.20 5.40
*Scratch* 8 Caddy Cat [8-1]
*Scratch* 7 Forest Waltz [20-1]

12/29/16, GP, Race 2, 1:04 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :9: Sassy Sierra [2-1 * ] L 3rd - 2.40
099.4094 :1: Case Dismissed [4-1] TFEC 2nd - 4.60 2.60
089.5991 :6: Adios Chic [6-1] S 4th
086.0111 :5: Pretty Wild Posie [12-1]
084.6183 3 Guantanamera [5-1]
084.2192 2 Icrywheni'mdrunk [10-1] W
080.7530 7 Harambe [8-1] J 1st - 21.20 8.20 4.00
079.0029 4 Of Horse I'll Win [20-1]
078.0666 8 Selfie Day [20-1]

12/29/16, GP, Race 3, 1:33 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $36,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :3: He's the One [2-1 * ] FL 2nd - 3.20 2.40
097.6962 :8: Asked and Answered [3-1] JW
095.3882 :4: Teddy's Honor(b+) [4-1] S 4th
094.0456 :5: Little Matt [6-1] E 1st - 6.60 3.80 2.60
089.6971 6 Osvaldo [12-1]
086.5600 1 Danny's Way [15-1] TC *SCR*
083.4919 7 Di Maestro [12-1] 3rd - 7.60
082.5393 2 Sunfest [8-1]

12/29/16, GP, Race 4, 2:02 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :2: Alsterone [1-1 * ] FEWC 1st - 2.80 2.40 2.10
084.4521 :5: Simmardstella [5-1] L
083.8835 :6: Wild Dalton [9/2] 3rd - 3.60
083.6603 :1: Gone Rose [6-1] S
081.6712 4 Backseat Driver [10-1] 4th
081.6357 3 Ola Yola(b+) [10-1] T 2nd - 3.80 3.20
080.3463 7 Majestic Voice(b+) [15-1] J

12/29/16, GP, Race 5, 2:32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :7: Debbie's Tude [3-1 * ] TE 2nd - 3.00 2.40
098.8654 :3: Reagan's Odyssey(b-) [7/2] JL 1st - 5.80 3.00 2.40
098.0576 :9: Nurse John [8-1] S
097.4525 :6: Fearless Princess [10-1] F 3rd - 2.80
097.0610 1 Arthemisa [20-1] W 4th
095.9783 8 Who's That Chick [8-1]
095.7299 2 Tzi Our Destiny(b+) [30-1]
*Scratch* 5 Angora [30-1]
*Scratch* 4 Sunrise Kitty [2-1]

12/29/16, GP, Race 6, 3:02 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01 CLAIMING. Purse $24,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :5: America's Kitten [4-1] TFC rated off a slow pace, 6th, Julien
099.9907 :8: Market Strength [3-1 * ] SEL 4th
098.2362 :4: Extreme Justice [7/2] W 3rd - 2.60
098.0130 :3: Bushmill Giant [10-1] 1st - 21.60 9.80 5.00
096.3550 1 Recalibrating [6-1] J
096.2215 6 Salt Mine [9/2] 2nd - 7.20 3.40
095.4541 7 Dawn Patrol [30-1]
*Scratch* 2 Summer Scamp [8-1]

12/29/16, GP, Race 7, 3:32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :5: Wilshire Star [9/5 * ] SE 2nd - 3.00 2.40 waited for room inside
094.1045 :12: Giant's Voice [7/2] TF 1st - 6.60 3.00 2.80
091.7463 :9: Cousin Tino [9/2]
090.5509 :4: Arpinella(b+) [10-1] JWL 3rd - 4.80
088.8999 3 Il Nonno [15-1] C
085.7733 1 Individuality [20-1]
085.6632 10 Alls Well [12-1] 4th
085.2707 7 Zaptuit [12-1]
084.3495 8 Platinum of Course [20-1]
083.0127 11 King Dude of Ocala [30-1]
079.8465 2 Padre [15-1]
*Scratch* 6 Tito Control [30-1]
*Scratch* 13 Papa Pablo [3-1]

12/29/16, GP, Race 8, 4:02 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $45,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :7: Elysea's World (IRE) [8/5 * ] SEC 1st - 3.60 2.80 2.20
098.1368 :2: Stay the Night [9/2]
098.0494 :3: Verbouwen [4-1] F
097.6516 :5: Dyna's Recoleta [10-1] 3rd - 5.20
096.7814 6 Kasuga [6-1] WL
096.6804 4 Trigger Finger [6-1] J 2nd - 5.40 3.60
095.5600 1 Arraign [15-1] 4th

12/29/16, GP, Race 9, 4:32 ET
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.02 CLAIMING. Purse $16,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :5: Twizzle [2-1 * ] TW 7th to 9th
097.0891 :9: Aggressive Driver [9/2] FEL
093.8691 :3: Seven of Jack [12-1] J 2nd - 5.20 4.00
093.5192 :10: Soyouthinkuraromeo [12-1]
093.1756 11 Starship Apollo [7/2] SC 1st - 7.00 4.20 2.80
092.2988 6 Nova Light [15-1] 4th
092.0278 8 Joey Six Pack [10-1]
090.9551 2 K C Wiegmann [15-1]
090.4855 7 Sammy's Trip [20-1]
089.7850 4 Cunaviche [20-1] 3rd - 9.00
*Scratch* 1 Wickstead [15-1]

12/29/16, GP, Race 10, 5:02 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :12: Parkerelizabeth [7/2 * ] 2nd to 6th
099.4733 :3: Bettabe Fast [4-1] SFEL 2nd - 6.80 4.60
097.3482 :5: Later [9/2]
093.7996 :2: Mojo's Queen [10-1] W 1st - 16.80 8.20 5.80
090.7665 9 Bravucona [15-1]
090.6548 11 Love Totem [30-1]
087.9957 1 Elloree Gal [8-1] 3rd - 5.00
087.6004 7 Don't Beleve Watch [20-1]
087.4252 6 Role of a Lifetime(b+) [15-1] C
085.9441 4 Market Money [15-1] 4th
084.6812 8 Stolen Sunday [6-1] JT
081.6735 10 Conquest Corn Dog [20-1]

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.24b)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at SA is 15.43%, Breakage is $0.20

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/29/16, SA, Race 1, 12:30 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 CLAIMING. Purse $43,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :3: Midnight Swinger [2-1 * ] SC 4th
097.8787 :4: Nine Point Nine [3-1] FL 2nd - 3.00 2.60
095.0352 :5: Backdoor Cover [8-1] E
094.9888 :1: Ok Doll [4-1] JW 1st - 5.40 3.20 2.40
092.0820 2 Generous Pour [8-1] T 3rd - 3.40
*Scratch* 6 Plastered [5/2]

12/29/16, SA, Race 2, 12:59 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $30,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :6: St. Reno [6-1] FEC DQ'd from 3rd to 5th
099.3228 :8: Twirling Tiger [3-1] J 1st - 7.60 4.00 2.80
098.2509 :2: Foolish to Deceive [6-1] 3rd - 3.40 DH
098.0653 :5: Red Wine and Dine [8-1] L
097.8320 4 Magic Taste [9/2] S 2nd - 6.00 3.40
097.5137 7 River Hoss [9/2] 3rd - 2.80 DH
097.1866 3 Adrosa Sky [7/2 * ] T
096.2517 1 Above Board [15-1] W

12/29/16, SA, Race 3, 1:29 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :12: Kenzou's Rhythm [3-1 * ] T 3rd - 3.20
099.3819 :6: Shades Play [6-1] SFE 4th
098.6535 :10: Burn Me Twice(b+) [9/2] L 1st - 8.60 6.00 4.20
097.9772 :2: Big Shorty [4-1]
097.4261 11 Pan Sisters [20-1]
096.9184 8 Proud Singer [12-1] W
096.3604 5 Quiet Dude [12-1] 2nd - 10.80 6.80
095.6768 4 Thirty Pepperonis [6-1] JC
095.3227 1 Calibraska [20-1]
094.9497 9 My Louie [50-1]
091.9671 3 Rainbow Squall [10-1]
*Scratch* 7 First Class Boy [20-1]

12/29/16, SA, Race 4, 1:59 PT
1M [Dirt] 1.33.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :2: Ucanthankmelater [7/2 * ] J 2nd - 3.00 2.40
099.2881 :3: Downside Up [7/2] SFELC 4th
098.7563 :7: Budokan(b+) [3-1] T 3rd - 2.80
095.2582 :1: Malusita Tower [30-1] lost whip 3/16
095.0099 5 Saratoga San [12-1]
094.7602 4 Hogan [12-1] W
094.7199 8 Old Honest Coop [12-1]
094.4020 9 Small Town Hero [8-1] 1st - 22.00 7.00 4.00
092.1850 6 Thisismystory [20-1]
*Scratch* 12 Grass Runner [30-1]
*Scratch* 11 Dynamic Ruler [4-1]
*Scratch* 10 Long Game [4-1]

12/29/16, SA, Race 5, 2:30 PT
6 1/2F [Turf About] 1.10.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $56,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :8: Mai Tai [4-1 * ] JFC 2nd - 4.40 3.00
098.9673 :1: Shehastheritestuff [7/2] 1st - 10.60 5.20 3.40
096.2282 :7: All That Heat [6-1] 3rd - 7.40
095.5814 :3: Pied N True [15-1] E
095.2643 4 Sea Smoke [6-1]
094.7606 10 La Premiere Etoile [8-1] L
093.9994 2 Summer Lady [6-1] 4th
092.7350 9 Top Notch [12-1]
092.6459 5 Algorhythmic(b+) [12-1] W
092.1172 6 Foxy Fresh [12-1] S
090.3540 11 Saint Mamie [15-1] T
*Scratch* 13 Parasail [8-1]
*Scratch* 12 Veronica Bay [20-1]

12/29/16, SA, Race 6, 3:00 PT
1M [Dirt] 1.33.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $54,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :3: Q. T.'s Tribute [8-1] J 3rd - 4.40
099.6840 :2: Jet Ski [6-1] T
099.4304 :10: I'd Be Sad an Blue [6-1] SFELC
099.4107 :8: Six Point Rack [10-1] 1st - 21.80 12.00 7.80
099.3571 9 Royal Seeker [4-1]
097.9854 6 Dr. Troutman [5/2 * ] W 4th
097.6424 7 Papa Ted [12-1]
097.5595 1 Cupid's Beau [8-1] 2nd - 12.00 7.80
097.3334 5 Onefortheteam [12-1]
097.1998 4 Highlight Show [12-1]
*Scratch* 11 Fandarel Dancer []

12/29/16, SA, Race 7, 3:30 PT
1M [Dirt] 1.33.02 CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :7: Perfect Set [10-1] SEC wide, 7th to 7th
099.8447 :2: Iancol [12-1] F
099.5806 :4: Carlos Dangerous [4-1] T 3rd - 3.80
099.5332 :1: Roman Tizzy [7/2 * ] J
098.8041 6 Winning Causeway [6-1] 4th
098.5317 9 Willing to Travel(b-) [4-1] 1st - 10.00 5.80 4.00
098.2491 8 Rough Passage [6-1] WL 2nd - 7.60 5.00
097.5050 3 Broadway Nika [5-1]
096.3587 5 Scatastic [15-1]

12/29/16, SA, Race 8, 4:00 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 STAKES. Purse $75,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :5: Journey Home [7/2 * ] FEC 4th
094.7026 :7: Yuvetsi [6-1] S *SCR*
092.8912 :4: Princess Roi [10-1] L 2nd - 15.00 12.00
092.2025 :11: Joe'sgoldenholiday [10-1]
092.1689 3 Cynthiana [5-1]
090.8828 2 Partyinthepaddock [10-1]
090.6985 6 La Force (GER) [6-1] J
090.4798 1 Simmy's Temple (GB) [20-1]
090.4476 8 Mo'vette [8-1]
089.1176 10 Miss Sugars (GB)(b+) [6-1] TW 1st - 14.60 7.00 5.00
088.5324 9 Tap It All [15-1] 3rd - 12.00

[Augenj]

END OF RESULTS

[VigorsTheGrey]

Augenj,
Could you explain the distinction between the best finish category versus the best closer, best speed, best lead pack....is best speed the top Beyer? Is best finish the fastest ending 1/4?

[Augenj]

Augenj,
Could you explain the distinction between the best finish category versus the best closer, best speed, best lead pack....is best speed the top Beyer? Is best finish the fastest ending 1/4?
I'll try but it's 1:30 AM here as I write this. :)

All of the "Best" flags represent the eight base factors of THA that when combined, biased, and optimized, produce individual raw horse ratings. The raw ratings are then adjusted to 100.0000 (top horse) proportionately on down for each race. The base factors are calculated by the THA system using CSV data from Equibase by way of another provider. No Beyers are used.

Here's how each is calculated with the best horse in the race getting the flag.

Best (J)ockey - Win percent using combined current and previous years starts and wins. Years are weighted or biased based on analysis runs.

Best (T)rainer - Same as Best Jockey.

Best (S)peed - Average speed ratings from provider with outliers removed and a few adjustments. The number of past races used is determined by analysis runs.

Best (F)inish - Average finish position with outliers removed and a few adjustments. The number of past races used is determined by analysis runs.

Best (E)arnings - Average earnings for the last two years using square root to lessen the impact of huge purses. Years are weighted or biased based on analysis runs.

Best (W)orkouts - Sum up ranks and total workouts for x number of past workouts. Divide total ranks by total workouts and invert the result. The number of workouts used is determined by analysis runs.

Best (L)ead Pack - Uses the sum of finish positions divided by sum of number of starters in past x races and inverted. The number of past races is determined by analysis runs.

Best (C)loser - Uses the sum of the 2nd call divided by the sum of finish positions for x number of past races and inverted. The number of past races is determined by analysis runs.

All of these can be picked apart and argued for or against. I chose these based on my own personal experiences, systems analysis, and computer programming ability, such as it is. There are more things regarding each factor that I haven't described but this post would get a bit wordy if I did that.

All of this and I still can't show a profit betting all races. ;)

[VigorsTheGrey]

Thank you for this explanation...your post defines these categories much clearer for me....Happy New Year and thank you once again for all your work here....wishing your and yours a profitable and enjoyable new year...

Also, would it be OK with you if I added the link to your Vegas Sport website to the Cool Racing Links thread here at PaceAdvantage?

[Augenj]

Thank you for this explanation...your post defines these categories much clearer for me....Happy New Year and thank you once again for all your work here....wishing your and yours a profitable and enjoyable new year...

Also, would it be OK with you if I added the link to your Vegas Sport website to the Cool Racing Links thread here at PaceAdvantage?
You're welcome and thanks for the link. May the racing gods shine on your parade too. :)

By the way, this system is not static. I'm currently testing something that looks better and may roll it in next week. ;)

[Augenj]

Darn. I knew I was going too fast on this. The Best (L)ead Pack is something like:

Average the number of starters for the past x races based on analysis results. Average the sums of the 1st call, 2nd call, and finish. Divide this by the average number of starters and invert. Do some biasing depending on purse.