Top Horse Analytics: 12/22/2016 GP Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: AQU, GP, TAM
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SA, SAR

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.18a)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/22/16, GP, Race 1, 12.35 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Been Waiting [5/2] Lopez P / Procino Gerald JFEL
098.0561 :8: Dylan [6-1] Trujillo E / Gonzalez Nicholas
097.0320 :5: Won Eye Jet [6-1] Meneses M / Collazo Henry T
095.4612 :2: Bobby Blue Eyes [8-1] Juarez N / Spatz Ronald B.
095.4105 1 Bank On Jon [12-1] Vasquez M A / Maragh Allen C
093.9596 6 Vivid Image [5-1] Leyva J C / Procino Gerald SW
093.4007 4 Ceeky [15-1] Rispoli M / Dorochenko Gennadi
*Scratch* 7 Charlie the Greek [7/2] Gazader R / Yanakov Mikhail

12/22/16, GP, Race 2, 1.04 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $26,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Fast Fact [5/2] Monterrey. Jr. P / Yates Michael FEW
095.3513 :4: Gray Dude(b+) [3-1] Gallardo A A / Rivelli Larry JT
095.1164 :8: Well Off [4-1] Gaffalione T / Trombetta Michael J. L
091.3819 :3: Crime Dog [5-1] Rispoli M / Simon Charles
090.5270 6 Mucho Me Gusto [6-1] Lanerie C J / Arnold. II George R.
089.8344 5 Japonski [15-1] Gazader R / Yanakov Mikhail SC
089.7864 7 Summer Causeway [15-1] Juarez N / Mejia Jaime
086.8877 1 I'm Majestic [20-1] Lezcano J / Ritvo Katherine

12/22/16, GP, Race 3, 1.33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Legacy Azteca [2-1] Zayas E J / Pita Daniel FEC
095.8595 :7: We Can Dance [5/2] Lopez P / Gonzalez Nicholas JTS
089.3002 :6: Love Conquers(b-) [10-1] Panici L / Spatz Ronald B. WL
088.4557 :8: Blue Xanadu [8-1] Juarez N / Guillot Eric J.
086.5816 1 Osvaldo [15-1] Gaffalione T / Sano Antonio
086.0180 5 Santiaguero [20-1] Luzzi L J / Estevez Manuel A.
082.3638 4 Francesco Flier [9/2] Vasquez M A / Pilotti Larry
082.1980 2 Alarcon [6-1] Ruiz J / Sano Antonio

12/22/16, GP, Race 4, 2.02 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 CLAIMING. Purse $15,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Arty'sbourbongirl [1-1] Vasquez M A / Navarro Jorge TSW
095.8359 :4: Dancing Cool [5-1] Maragh R / Maragh Aubrey A. FC
094.4271 :6: Elusive Harmony [15-1] Cruz J / Creque Rasharn EL
094.2053 :3: Little Caton [6-1] Rispoli M / Zavash Kerry
091.7238 5 Kickn In [6-1] Panici L / Quiroz Angel J
091.3315 1 Valid Wildfire [20-1] Reyes L / Cuito Marcelo
091.0797 7 B L's Wagon [9/2] Gazader R / Gazader Daniel

12/22/16, GP, Race 5, 2.32 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 5-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Tranquilo [8/5] Saez L / Sano Antonio W
094.9570 :6: Ohio(b+) [3-1] Castro E / Werner Ronny W. E
093.4087 :3: Icono [9/2] Monterrey. Jr. P / Amaya Gustavo C
088.8953 :9: Wise Warrior(b+) [10-1] Olivero C / Cioffi Antonio SFL
088.2090 5 Tom Liz [15-1] Vasquez M A / Rakoff David
085.7431 8 Gasprom [15-1] Rispoli M / Dorochenko Gennadi
085.3633 2 The Great Loudini [12-1] Leyva J C / Fawkes David T
083.2602 7 John Jacob [30-1] Juarez N / Kelly Timothy James J
080.4158 4 Chichimae [12-1] Reyes L / Garoffalo Jose

12/22/16, GP, Race 6, 3.02 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 6-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: First Girl [6-1] Jaramillo E / Attard Sid C. L
099.7764 :2: Ortiga (IRE) [9/2] Lezcano J / Barbara Robert S
099.7316 :5: My Good Venezuela [4-1] Gaffalione T / Jacobson David E
099.7054 :3: Sweet Ella [3-1] Saez L / Pletcher Todd A. TF
099.5255 1 Veblen Good [5-1] Bravo J / Kenneally Eddie C
099.1770 8 Indygita [8-1] Lopez P / Serpe Philip M. J
098.3787 6 Whistling Straits [10-1] Juarez N / Servis John C. W
097.5954 7 Matty's Wondergirl [10-1] Panici L / Nihei Michelle

12/22/16, GP, Race 7, 3.32 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $30,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Tiuna [4-1] Olivero C / D'Angelo Francisco SF
099.6351 :9: Irish Fix [3-1] Juarez N / Motion H. Graham T
099.6110 :4: Afleet Doll(b+) [8-1] Prado E S / Belhumeur Julie C
099.1588 :5: Sierra Love [5-1] Leyva J C / Combest Phil W
098.9907 8 Katherine's Drama [6-1] Aguilar M / Jackson Gary G.
096.6597 3 Delightful Lana [20-1] Vasquez M A / Preciado Guadalupe E
092.3054 1 Show Me Mo [10-1] Panici L / Plesa. Jr. Edward
089.4665 6 Dar Motivos (IRE) [15-1] Ruiz J / Quiroz Angel L
088.3710 2 Jamestowns Glory [30-1] Castillo L A / Gaffney Ronald
086.0655 10 Cool [8-1] Lopez P / Orseno Joseph F. J

12/22/16, GP, Race 8, 4.02 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 CLAIMING. Purse $26,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Virgo Rising (GB) [6-1] Lezcano J / McGaughey III Claude R S
099.0206 :5: Marmalade [3-1] Panici L / McNeely Frances FL
098.7360 :7: Kirby's Penny [8-1] Gaffalione T / Ward Wesley A. TE
097.9701 :2: Sweet Summer Sweat(b+) [9/2] Castro E / Gleaves Philip A.
097.7264 3 Lilly's Dream [7/2] Saez L / Maker Michael J. C
097.5007 6 Cinder [6-1] Jaramillo E / Arnold. II George R. JW
096.5172 8 Wolf Gourmet [8-1] Lanerie C J / Romans Dale L.
096.1855 4 Key d'Oro [20-1] Reyes L / D'Angelo Francisco

12/22/16, GP, Race 9, 4.32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Tropicat [6-1] Panici L / Nicks Ralph E. SFE
099.7785 :4: Galleon Mast [3-1] Gaffalione T / Fawkes David
099.3112 :7: Blue Harbor [7/2] Saez L / Fawkes David
098.4960 :3: Megeve(b-) [6-1] Castro E / Gleaves Philip A. C
097.5819 9 Offlee Brawn [10-1] Lopez P / Breen Kelly J. J
097.3991 2 Leonardo Da Vinci [15-1] Luzzi L J / Tomlinson Michael A.
097.1160 5 What Power [12-1] Juarez N / Sheppard Jonathan E. W
096.6033 1 Marchant [4-1] Bravo J / Albertrani Thomas
096.1814 8 Shiny Badge [20-1] Maragh R / Bradley William B. L

12/22/16, GP, Race 10, 5.02 ET
7 1/2F [Turf] 1.26.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $20,000.
$1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Czarmo [5/2] Ruiz J / Tessore Bruno
096.0451 :7: Into the Future [7/2] Jaramillo E / Gonzalez Nicholas JE
094.6067 :9: Domenic(b+) [12-1] Luzzi L J / Gambolati Cam M. W
092.6854 :1: Traffic Express [12-1] Vasquez M A / Sanchez Enrique A. FC
091.8263 3 Mojo Rising [9/2] Panici L / Fawkes David T
090.6891 6 Twistcat Candy [6-1] Meneses M / Kassen David C.
088.4810 5 Royal Majestic [20-1] Reyes L / Amaya Gustavo
087.9366 4 Crafty Kitten [8-1] Saez L / Maker Michael J. SL
087.5276 8 Twas Nero [30-1] Sukie D / Seyler Douglas J.
*Scratch* 11 Singleton [8/5] Saez L / Maker Michael J.
*Scratch* 10 Volt(b+) [15-1] Monterrey. Jr. P / Negrete Javier

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

RESULTS FOLLOW

[ReplayRandall]

12/22/16, GP, Race 3, 1.33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
:6: Love Conquers(b-) [10-1] Panici L / Spatz Ronald WL 1st - 32.80 10.00 6.00

Off to a good start..;)

[Augenj]

12/22/16, GP, Race 3, 1.33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
:6: Love Conquers(b-) [10-1] Panici L / Spatz Ronald WL 1st - 32.80 10.00 6.00

Off to a good start..;)
Maybe I ought to start looking at W horses with blinkers changes. Of course, that will lead to endless other combinations. ;)

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.12.18a)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at GP is 17%, Breakage is $0.20

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

12/22/16, GP, Race 1, 12:35 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :3: Been Waiting [5/2 * ] JFEL eased, walked off
098.0561 :8: Dylan [6-1]
097.0320 :5: Won Eye Jet [6-1] T 3rd - 4.40 DQ'd from 1st
095.4612 :2: Bobby Blue Eyes [8-1] 1st - 11.40 6.80 4.40
095.4105 1 Bank On Jon [12-1] C 4th
093.9596 6 Vivid Image [5-1] SW 2nd - 11.00 6.60
093.4007 4 Ceeky [15-1]
*Scratch* 7 Charlie the Greek [7/2]

12/22/16, GP, Race 2, 1:04 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $26,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :2: Fast Fact [5/2] FEW 3rd - 3.40
095.3513 :4: Gray Dude(b+) [3-1 * ] JT 1st - 5.80 4.00 2.40
095.1164 :8: Well Off [4-1] L
091.3819 :3: Crime Dog [5-1] 4th
090.5270 6 Mucho Me Gusto [6-1]
089.8344 5 Japonski [15-1] SC 2nd - 5.00 2.80
089.7864 7 Summer Causeway [15-1]
086.8877 1 I'm Majestic [20-1]

12/22/16, GP, Race 3, 1:33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :3: Legacy Azteca [2-1] FEC 2nd - 4.00 3.00
095.8595 :7: We Can Dance [5/2 * ] JTS 4th
089.3002 :6: Love Conquers(b-) [10-1] WL 1st - 32.80 10.00 6.00
088.4557 :8: Blue Xanadu [8-1]
086.5816 1 Osvaldo [15-1] 3rd - 7.60
086.0180 5 Santiaguero [20-1]
082.3638 4 Francesco Flier [9/2]
082.1980 2 Alarcon [6-1]

12/22/16, GP, Race 4, 2:02 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 CLAIMING. Purse $15,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :2: Arty'sbourbongirl [1-1 * ] TSW 4th out of the money at 0.05 odds
095.8359 :4: Dancing Cool [5-1] FC *SCR*
094.4271 :6: Elusive Harmony [15-1] EL
094.2053 :3: Little Caton [6-1] *SCR*
091.7238 5 Kickn In [6-1] J 1st - 17.00 7.40 9.20
091.3315 1 Valid Wildfire [20-1] 2nd - 24.80 22.40
091.0797 7 B L's Wagon [9/2] 3rd - 10.40

12/22/16, GP, Race 5, 2:32 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $18,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :1: Tranquilo [8/5 * ] W 1st - 3.80 2.80 2.20
094.9570 :6: Ohio(b+) [3-1] E 3rd - 2.20
093.4087 :3: Icono [9/2] C 2nd - 5.60 3.60
088.8953 :9: Wise Warrior(b+) [10-1] SFL
088.2090 5 Tom Liz [15-1]
085.7431 8 Gasprom [15-1]
085.3633 2 The Great Loudini [12-1] T
083.2602 7 John Jacob [30-1] J eased, walked off
080.4158 4 Chichimae [12-1] 4th

12/22/16, GP, Race 6, 3:02 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :4: First Girl [6-1] L 2nd - 6.60 4.00
099.7764 :2: Ortiga (IRE) [9/2] S
099.7316 :5: My Good Venezuela [4-1] E 3rd - 3.00
099.7054 :3: Sweet Ella [3-1 * ] TF 1st - 6.80 3.80 3.00
099.5255 1 Veblen Good [5-1] C
099.1770 8 Indygita [8-1] J
098.3787 6 Whistling Straits [10-1] W
097.5954 7 Matty's Wondergirl [10-1] 4th

12/22/16, GP, Race 7, 3:32 ET
5F [Turf] 00.53.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $30,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :7: Tiuna [4-1] SF 1st - 9.40 6.00 4.00
099.6351 :9: Irish Fix [3-1 * ] T 3rd - 2.80
099.6110 :4: Afleet Doll(b+) [8-1] C 4th
099.1588 :5: Sierra Love [5-1] W clipped heels, lost rider
098.9907 8 Katherine's Drama [6-1]
096.6597 3 Delightful Lana [20-1] E 2nd - 21.20 10.40
092.3054 1 Show Me Mo [10-1]
089.4665 6 Dar Motivos (IRE) [15-1] L heels clipped
088.3710 2 Jamestowns Glory [30-1]
086.0655 10 Cool [8-1] J

12/22/16, GP, Race 8, 4:02 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 CLAIMING. Purse $26,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :1: Virgo Rising (GB) [6-1] S set pace, dueled to 1/8, 5th
099.0206 :5: Marmalade [3-1] FL 4th
098.7360 :7: Kirby's Penny [8-1] TE
097.9701 :2: Sweet Summer Sweat(b+) [9/2] 3rd - 4.00
097.7264 3 Lilly's Dream [7/2 * ] C 1st - 4.00 3.40 2.60
097.5007 6 Cinder [6-1] JW 2nd - 7.80 5.20
096.5172 8 Wolf Gourmet [8-1]
096.1855 4 Key d'Oro [20-1]

12/22/16, GP, Race 9, 4:32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :6: Tropicat [6-1] SFE 4th
099.7785 :4: Galleon Mast [3-1 * ] 3rd - 2.60
099.3112 :7: Blue Harbor [7/2] 2nd - 5.20 3.00
098.4960 :3: Megeve(b-) [6-1] C
097.5819 9 Offlee Brawn [10-1] J
097.3991 2 Leonardo Da Vinci [15-1]
097.1160 5 What Power [12-1] W 1st - 23.40 8.20 4.60 imagine that
096.6033 1 Marchant [4-1]
096.1814 8 Shiny Badge [20-1] L

12/22/16, GP, Race 10, 5:02 ET
7 1/2F [Turf] 1.26.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $20,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :2: Czarmo [5/2 * ] 1st - 7.60 4.80 3.00
096.0451 :7: Into the Future [7/2] JE
094.6067 :9: Domenic(b+) [12-1] W
092.6854 :1: Traffic Express [12-1] FC 4th
091.8263 3 Mojo Rising [9/2] T 3rd - 3.00
090.6891 6 Twistcat Candy [6-1]
088.4810 5 Royal Majestic [20-1]
087.9366 4 Crafty Kitten [8-1] SL 2nd - 4.40 3.40
087.5276 8 Twas Nero [30-1]
*Scratch* 11 Singleton [8/5]
*Scratch* 10 Volt(b+) [15-1]

[Augenj]

END OF RESULTS

[ReplayRandall]

12/22/16, GP, Race 3, 1.33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $1 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
--------------------------------------------------------
:6: Love Conquers(b-) [10-1] Panici L / Spatz Ronald WL 1st - 32.80 10.00 6.00

Off to a good start..;)

12/22/16, GP, Race 9, 4:32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
:5: What Power [12-1] W 1st - 23.40 8.20 4.60 imagine that

And a good finish...:ThmbUp:

BTW, do you think people are wise enough to follow your FREE analysis for easy money?...:lol:

[Augenj]

12/22/16, GP, Race 9, 4:32 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $32,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
:5: What Power [12-1] W 1st - 23.40 8.20 4.60 imagine that

And a good finish...:ThmbUp:

BTW, do you think people are wise enough to follow your FREE analysis for easy money?...:lol:
Some do. Some don't. Those stats do look a bit messy and complicated. ;)

[ReplayRandall]

Some do. Some don't. Those stats do look a bit messy and complicated. ;)

Have your maid or butler tidy things up......BTW, Merry Christmas, John...:cool:

[Augenj]

Have your maid or butler tidy things up......BTW, Merry Christmas, John...:cool:
Have a Merry Christmas, Randall.