TOTE BOARD ANALYSIS USING NORMALIZED PROPORTIONAL ODDS BETTING -PHASE 2

[formula_2002]

TOTE BOARD ANALYSIS USING NORMALIZED PROPORTIONAL BETTING FACTORS.

PREVIOUSLY I USED THE ODDS DEVELOPED AT 3 TO 2 MINUETS TO POST TIME.


NOW I AM NORMALIZING FACTORS GENERATED BY THE ANALYSIS.

IT SIMPLY MEANS I USE SEVERAL HORSES THAT MEET A CERTAIN CRITERA, ESTABLISH A SINGLE NUMERICAL FACTOR AND WORK OUT A BET SIZE. THE RETURNS VARRY, BUT THE COST ALWAYS AMOUNT TO 1 UNT.

I HAVE BEEN SUCCESSFUL OVER ABOUT 100 PLAYS JUST USING MY TOP THREE PICKS.
THIS IS DONE USING A WPS AND EXACTA TOTE BOARD ANALYSIS 2 TO 3 MINUETS TO POST TIME.

THERE ARE TIMES WHEN USING 3 PICKS, THE RETURN IS LESS THAN THE 1 UNIT BET.
I AM TRYING TO FIND THE KEY TO ELIMINATING THOSE SELECTIONS.

[formula_2002]

"Turf Paradise
Race
3

Post
3:45

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,966 "
1 4 7
NORMALIZED % OF POOL
a % pool b %pool c %pool totals
170.66% 443.55% 203.52% 817.72%
TOTAL BET
0.209 0.542 0.249 $1.00 BET SIZE





clearer


"Turf Paradise
Race
3

Post
3:45

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,966 "
pgno bet size
1 0.21
4 0.54
7 0.25

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
8

Post
4:12

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$44,003 "
pgno bet size
5 0.51
9 0.00
7 0.49

[formula_2002]

winner

[formula_2002]

"Turf Paradise
Race
5

Post
4:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$8,447 "
pgno bet size
9 0.21
10 0.56
3 0.23

[formula_2002]

winner returns 0.38

[formula_2002]

"Sunland
Race
6

Post
4:59

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,060 "
pgno bet size
4 0.15
6 0.52
7 0.33

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
2

Post
7:07

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$7,181 "
pgno bet size
5 0.23
7 0.53
3 0.24

[formula_2002]

"Turfway
Race
3

Post
7:17

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$16,118 "
pgno bet size
11 0.19
6 0.55
8 0.26

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
3

Post
7:35

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$7,099 "
pgno bet size
9 0.23
4 0.57
3 0.20

[formula_2002]

"Fair Grounds
Race
3

Post
3:19

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$13,607 "
3 5 0
NORMALIZED % OF POOL
a % pool b %pool c %pool totals
191.49% 501.05% 0.00% 692.54%
TOTAL BET
0.723 0.277 0.000 $1.00 BET SIZE








clearer reading

"Fair Grounds
Race
3

Post
3:19

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$13,607 "
pgno bet size
3 0.72
5 0.28

[formula_2002]

"Hawthorne
Race
4

Post
3:25

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,718 "
pgno bet size
5 0.49
6 0.51

[formula_2002]

"Hawthorne
Race
4

Post
3:25

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,718 "
pgno bet size
5 0.49
6 0.51



winner returns 0.93 on the dollar

[formula_2002]

"Fair Grounds
Race
4

Post
3:46

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$15,139 "
pgno bet size
6 0.64
2 0.36

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
2

Post
7:11

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$7,265 "
pgno bet size
10 1.00
2 0.00

[formula_2002]

"Turfway
Race
3

Post
7:16

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,751 "
pgno bet size
7 0.80
1 0.20

[formula_2002]

"Turfway
Race
3

Post
7:16

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,751 "
pgno bet size
7 0.80
1 0.20


winner $1 bet returns $1.28

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
4

Post
7:30

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,978 "
pgno bet size
6 0.74
8 0.26

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
4

Post
7:30

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,978 "
pgno bet size
6 0.74
8 0.26
winner $1 bet returns $1.70

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
8

Post
10:02

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,043 "
pgno bet size
3 0.23
2 0.77

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
8

Post
10:02

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,043 "
pgno bet size
3 0.23
2 0.77


winner $1 bet returns $2.54

[formula_2002]

"Turfway
Race
9

Post
10:14

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,988 "
pgno bet size
9 0.23
1 0.77

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
9

Post
11:01

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,169 "
pgno bet size
5 0.77
1 0.23

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
9

Post
11:01

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,169 "
pgno bet size
5 0.77
1 0.23



winner $1 bet returns 1.16

[formula_2002]

HERE IS A CHANGE IN THE BETTING
THERE ARE TWO POSSIBLE PLAYS, A FLAT BET ON ONE HORSE AND OR A DUTCH BET ON 2 HORSES

147 RACES WERE REVIEWED.
42 PLAYS WERE PASSED, THEY RETURNED A $1 LOSS OF 34%
105 PLAYS WERE CHOSEN FOR A FLAT BET. THEY WON 57% OF THE TIME, RETURNING A LOSS OF 2%

56 PLAYS WERE CHOSEN FOR A DUTCH BET THEY WON 30% OF THE TIME RETURNING A 37% PROFIT

[formula_2002]

"Laurel
Race
4

Post
1:40

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$49,049 "
pgno bet size
7 0.00
8 0.00
7 1.00

[formula_2002]

"Laurel
Race
7

Post
3:03

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$36,488 "
pgno bet size
11 0.00
13 0.00
11 1.00

[formula_2002]

"Laurel
Race
8

Post
3:31

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$49,275 "
pgno bet size
1 0.00
9 0.00
1 1.00

[formula_2002]

"Laurel
Race
9

Post
4:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$58,853 "
pgno bet size
2 0.00
8 0.00
2 1.00

[formula_2002]

"SAF Greyville
Race
1

Post
5:50

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,250 "
pgno bet size
6 0.00
10 0.00
6 1.00

[formula_2002]

"SAF Greyville
Race
2

Post
6:25

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,560 "
pgno bet size
10 0.00
3 0.00
10 1.00

[formula_2002]

"SAF Greyville
Race
3

Post
7:05

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,931 "
pgno bet size
1 0.00
3 0.00
1 1.00

[formula_2002]

"UK Wincanton
Race
4

Post
9:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,150 "
pgno bet size
11 0.11
3 0.89
11 1.00

[formula_2002]

"SAF Greyville
Race
7

Post
9:20

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$8,181 "
pgno bet size
4 0.00
7 0.00
4 1.00

[formula_2002]

"UK Huntingdon
Race
5

Post
9:30

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,005 "
pgno bet size
2 0.00
7 0.00
2 1.00

[formula_2002]

"UK Wincanton
Race
5

Post
9:50

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$956 "
pgno bet size
3 0.00
2 0.00
3 1.00

[formula_2002]

"SAF Greyville
Race
8

Post
9:55

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,810 "
pgno bet size
7 0.00
13 0.00
7 1.00

[formula_2002]

winners

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
4

Post
1:30

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$59,322 "
pgno bet size
5 0.00
8 0.00
5 1.00

[formula_2002]

winners
correct file

[formula_2002]

"Fair Grounds
Race
11

Post
7:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$20,053 "
pgno bet size
2 0.00
9 0.00
2 1.00

[formula_2002]

"Santa Anita
Race
8

Post
7:12

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$200,649 "
pgno bet size
7 0.00
4 0.00
7 1.00

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
1

Post
12:05

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,569 "
pgno bet size
10 0.00
7 0.00
10 1.00
betting interest 9

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
5

Post
1:50

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$17,789 "
pgno bet size
2 0.00
1 0.00
2 1.00
betting interest 9

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
6

Post
2:19

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$18,836 "
pgno bet size
4 0.00
6 0.00
4 1.00
betting interest 8

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
10

Post
4:10

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$23,561 "
9 3 0
NORMALIZED % OF POOL
a % pool b %pool c %pool totals
26.67% 22.43% 0.00% 49.10%
TOTAL BET
0.543 0.457 0.000 $1.00 BET SIZE
$0.14 $0.10

[formula_2002]

"Turf Paradise
Race
5

Post
4:40

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,030 "
pgno bet size
3 0.46
1 0.54
3 1.00
betting interest 8

[formula_2002]

yesterday's winners

[formula_2002]

"Turfway
Race
4

Post
7:48

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,271 "
pgno bet size
1 0.43
4 0.57
1 1.00
betting interest 9

[formula_2002]

"Turfway
Race
5

Post
8:16

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$20,286 "
pgno bet size
6 0.40
5 0.60
6 1.00
betting interest 12

[formula_2002]

"Turfway
Race
6

Post
8:45

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$12,828 "
pgno bet size
1 0.35
8 0.65
1 1.00
betting interest 8

[formula_2002]

"Los Alamitos QH
Race
2

Post
10:28

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,321 "
pgno bet size
4 4

betting interest 6

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
9

Post
10:33

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,848 "
pgno bet size
4 4

betting interest 7

[formula_2002]

"Los Alamitos QH
Race
4

Post
11:24

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,294 "
pgno bet size
1 $2.75

betting interest 6

[formula_2002]

"Los Alamitos QH
Race
5

Post
11:52

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$7,119 "
pgno bet size
5 $20.83

betting interest 8

[formula_2002]

"Los Alamitos QH
Race
6

Post
12:20

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,176 "
pgno bet size
6 $14.86

betting interest 6

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
5

Post
2:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$33,685 "
pgno bet size
7 $16.05

betting interest 8

[formula_2002]

"Laurel
Race
5

Post
2:26

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$13,897 "
pgno bet size
7 $11.65

betting interest 6

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
6

Post
2:50

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$64,637 "
pgno bet size
6 0.41
1 0.39
9 0.20
betting interest 9

[formula_2002]

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
4

Post
5:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$14,720 "
pgno bet size
6 0.41
3 0.32
4 0.27
betting interest 9

[formula_2002]

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
6

Post
6:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$27,636 "
6 7 10
NORMALIZED % OF POOL
a % pool b %pool c %pool totals
26.36% 6.20% 12.16% 44.71%
TOTAL BET
0.589 0.139 0.272 $1.00 BET SIZE
$0.17 $0.03 $0.06

0.20 ratio

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
6

Post
6:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$27,636 "
pgno bet size
6 0.59
7 0.14
10 0.27
betting interest 12

[formula_2002]

"Santa Anita
Race
7

Post
6:24

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$74,720 "
pgno bet size
10 0.45
9 0.34
8 0.21
betting interest 10

[formula_2002]

previous note was the wrong race


"Delta
Race
10

Post
10:52

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,250 "
pgno bet size
6 0.35
7 0.26
2 0.39
betting interest 10