The Finger for Monday

[mistergee]

any strong agreements or disagreements appreciated
Here are the ones under consideration

R1) :2: :3: :4: :8:
:2: like his last race, hasn't been in $ in a while , low % trainer
:3: switches from seemingly more accomplished traner, jocks on fire
:4: afraid of figs coming off good tracks
:8: hates to win, 2 for last 28 last 2 years, low % trainer

R2) :1: englehart trains, last was in slop but seems much faster than these, negative for me is 12 out of 16 2nd and 3rd

R3) embarrassing but I think this is either wide open maybe except for :3: (no chance) , or may have to go with strongest finisher :5:

R4) so many capable of winning in here as well, maybe here is where you spread :1: :2: :3: :4: :9: :11:

R5) Narrowed down to the :1: who went nuts in slop, and the :10: strong finisher, nice connections

R6) :4: :6: :9: all seem capable on their best

R7) :2: listed at 7to5 makes sense, :1a: comes over from Presque but shows wins on the real stuff at DEL & PIM, :4: maybe the lone speed to steal at a better price?

R8) :2: won a stake at the Finger 2 back by over 6 lengths, not as much luck in last at Belmont, :7: ran out of her mind in last after first 2 performances were nothing much to look at

R9) form what I see very evenly matched :1: :2: :4: :5: :7:


ok, so what did I miss, or will I hit my rolling pic 3, 4 and 5, good luck

[ebcorde]

That's why that track is unplayable. I rated it 1-6-3-5. That 1 was not worth 1-9. SMH. Their should be a metric for a track's wps% for 1-9 shots I'll bet FL leads in ripped up tickets

[ebcorde]

is the 2 in Race 8

followed by the 1 in Race 4
only reason for playing Today is the P5 carryover.

[ebcorde]

any strong agreements or disagreements appreciated
Here are the ones under consideration

R1) :2: :3: :4: :8:
:2: like his last race, hasn't been in $ in a while , low % trainer
:3: switches from seemingly more accomplished traner, jocks on fire
:4: afraid of figs coming off good tracks
:8: hates to win, 2 for last 28 last 2 years, low % trainer

R2) :1: englehart trains, last was in slop but seems much faster than these, negative for me is 12 out of 16 2nd and 3rd

R3) embarrassing but I think this is either wide open maybe except for :3: (no chance) , or may have to go with strongest finisher :5:

R4) so many capable of winning in here as well, maybe here is where you spread :1: :2: :3: :4: :9: :11:

R5) Narrowed down to the :1: who went nuts in slop, and the :10: strong finisher, nice connections

R6) :4: :6: :9: all seem capable on their best

R7) :2: listed at 7to5 makes sense, :1a: comes over from Presque but shows wins on the real stuff at DEL & PIM, :4: maybe the lone speed to steal at a better price?

R8) :2: won a stake at the Finger 2 back by over 6 lengths, not as much luck in last at Belmont, :7: ran out of her mind in last after first 2 performances were nothing much to look at

R9) form what I see very evenly matched :1: :2: :4: :5: :7:


ok, so what did I miss, or will I hit my rolling pic 3, 4 and 5, good luck


oh yeah your picks are logical. I used the 2,3 and 5 in Race 1.

best I can add are to your mix that you don't have

r3 yes tracks too unpredictable
r4 I;m going to narrow it down `1,3,4 LS:7
r5 10-1-3-1a-11
r6 6-4-9-1a
r7 same
r8 2
r9 4-7-2-8

I won't be betting all these Horses, very possible to hit it and lose money lol

[mistergee]

That's why that track is unplayable. I rated it 1-6-3-5. That 1 was not worth 1-9. SMH. Their should be a metric for a track's wps% for 1-9 shots I'll bet FL leads in ripped up tickets
it does seem that way

[mistergee]

in race 5 the :11: is now 6 to 5. If it wins they are changing the name of the track to Englehart Lakes

[lamboguy]

in race 5 the :11: is now 6 to 5. If it wins they are changing the name of the track to Englehart Lakesi hate that horse today

[lamboguy]

i hate that horse todayjust put that one in the winners circle

[mistergee]

drifted up to 7 to 1 and wins. Englehart Lakes it is!!

[ebcorde]

took the 7. had the 11,1,9 in the P3. so why not.

so I topped the P5 with the 7,10

oh well the 7 looked promising.

oh I see it paid 600 for $2 in the triple. never thought of it.

[mistergee]

took the 7. had the 11,1,9 in the P3. so why not.

so I topped the P5 with the 7,10

oh well the 7 looked promising.

oh I see it paid 600 for $2 in the triple. never thought of it.
great longshot pick on :7: , I never would of had that one

[ebcorde]

great longshot pick on :7: , I never would of had that one


well I it computer rated 10-1-3-1a-11-7-9 that ls why

[ebcorde]

1,2,4,6
1,2,4
2,
4,7

[mistergee]

late pic 3

1-2-4/2-7/1-2-4-5-7

[ebcorde]

1-9, 1-5 1-4.. SURE SIGN HE'LL LOSE THERE. i'm telling you they need to have a stat for tracks win% when below 3-5. this track would have the lowest win%


see ya Finger Lakes maybe one time again Next year

[ebcorde]

not too many ways to make money at FL. Lowest payout for $1 is about 12k.

2 looked like he was home, them he started looking dizzy. or was it the Jockey driving him all over the track for daddy. Because if you know that 2,7 is not winning. Then????

but it was for 50k so maybe not

[KidCruz]

1-9, 1-5 1-4.. SURE SIGN HE'LL LOSE THERE. i'm telling you they need to have a stat for tracks win% when below 3-5. this track would have the lowest win%


see ya Finger Lakes maybe one time again Next year

FL has one of the highest favorite winning percentage in the country. I think there's a whole thread devoted to it here. I would not be so quick to judge chalk flopping there. Usually it holds.

Brutal sequence to have there. I would imagine the winning tickets were pricy.

[ebcorde]

FL has one of the highest favorite winning percentage in the country. I think there's a whole thread devoted to it here. I would not be so quick to judge chalk flopping there. Usually it holds.

Brutal sequence to have there. I would imagine the winning tickets were pricy.

favorite winning % is not win% below 2-5/3-5. I'm talking about they bet down so low, you don't play the race. seems like when I watch a 1-9 ges his doors are blown off all the time there.

I can see your statement to be true 6-7 Horse fields somebody is always 6-5. and 3-4 trainers run that Track but when your 1-9,1-5 come on man you can lose half the time.

Hate to say it but when you do P4,P5,20 cent P6 sometimes you single and Then race time the single is 1-9,1-5. You kinda look ahead to the next race. not at FL.

[mistergee]

the results of todays 8th race are such nonsense that I will write off this track for quite awhile and I can tell you it has been that way for about a month or so. I was doing very well but recently, yes the faves win a high % but then seemingly every 2 or 3 races it seems one will come out of very far left field that no theory will point to.