Top Horse Analytics: 10/12/2016 KEE,GPW Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: BEL, GPW, KEE, SA
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, CD, DMR, GP, OP, SAR, TAM

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.09.22c)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/12/16, KEE, Race 1, 1.05 ET
1M [Turf] 1.37.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
Daily Double-Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Tapanel [9/2] Geroux F / Asmussen Steven M. E
097.9563 :8: R Naja [7/2] Murrill M / Stidham Michael FC
094.3770 :1: Perfect Passion [4-1] Lezcano J / Maker Michael J.
093.5828 :13: Cha Cha Magic(b-) [4-1] Gilligan J / Sims Philip A. T
091.3302 11 Storm the Hill [6-1] Graham J / Bradley William B. S
090.2364 10 Billboard [10-1] Ortiz J L / Colebrook Ben J
090.1410 9 Cuddle Kitten [10-1] Rosario J / Sharp Joe
085.4438 2 Juenesse Doree [10-1] Leparoux J R / Casse Mark E.
083.7803 5 Regent Diamond [12-1] Albarado R / Matthews Doug
083.3162 4 Moolamiss [20-1] Torres F C / Granitz Anthony J. W
083.2494 6 Blue Collar [30-1] Santana. Jr. R / Harrigan William B.
083.0818 12 Gull Island [12-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Wilkes Ian R.
*Scratch* 3 Lilac Wine [12-1] Doyle S / Gorder Kellyn
*Scratch* 16 Naifah (IRE) [5/2] Ortiz J L / Motion H. Graham
*Scratch* 15 My Sweet Stella [3-1] Albarado R / Lukas D. Wayne
*Scratch* 14 Agent Provocateur [6-1] Lanerie C J / Sanchez Jose Lozano

10/12/16, KEE, Race 2, 1.39 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.15.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,000.
Daily Double -Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Pick 4 ($.50 min) - - Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Brotherly [7/2] Murrill M / Stidham Michael E
097.8230 :4: Persuasion [3-1] Leparoux J R / Maker Michael J. JW
094.1194 :8: My Man Greyson [5-1] Lanerie C J / Richard Chris
092.8384 :1a: Choir Director [12-1] Santana. Jr. R / Zito Nicholas P.
092.8264 12 Eerily [6-1] Hill C / Gorder Kellyn
091.8524 3 Recapitulation [8-1] Albarado R / Calhoun W. Bret T
091.3210 11 Bam Bam Cam [10-1] Gilligan J / McEntee Paul SFL
090.0033 1 Heliodoro [12-1] Geroux F / Zito Nicholas P.
088.4121 10 Rakeitin [30-1] Graham J / Lay Larry C
086.8261 7 Kilroy [50-1] Hisby R / Litfin Nevada
082.6311 6 Majestic Stance [30-1] St. Julien M / Byrne Patrick B.
*Scratch* 9 Swift One [9/2] Garcia J A / Ward Wesley A.
*Scratch* 5 Woodford Channel [50-1] Flores D R / Lobsiger Tanya
*Scratch* 15 Willie [50-1] Osorio D A / Rodriguez Regulo G.
*Scratch* 14 Kings Wish [15-1] St. Julien M / Crouch Karen
*Scratch* 13 Mathematical [30-1] Burke J / Ennis John

10/12/16, KEE, Race 3, 2.12 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.42.02 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
Daily Double-Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Pick 6 ($1 - min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Holiday Man [3-1] Ortiz J L / Asmussen Steven M. J
099.1987 :3: U S S Altair(b-) [5-1] Lanerie C J / Richard Chris E
099.0093 :6: Northeast Bound [8-1] Albarado R / Romans Dale L. S
098.7727 :9: Hold My Purse [20-1] Torres F C / Kinmon Ronald Keith
098.1032 8 Mr. Tickle [6-1] Graham J / Margolis Steve
096.9730 1 Candir [9/2] Hernandez C J / Stall. Jr. Albert M. TFWC
096.8881 5 Uncle Mo Money [8-1] St. Julien M / Glyshaw Tim
093.6882 4 Back Togetheragain [8-1] Kennedy T / Howard Wallace N. L
*Scratch* 7 Sea of Erin [5-1] Leparoux J R / Kenneally Eddie

10/12/16, KEE, Race 4, 2.45 ET
1M [Turf] 1.37.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
Daily Double-Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Pick 5 ($.50 - min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Chastise [5/2] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A. T
098.0923 :12: Expect a Kitten [5-1] Ortiz J L / Motion H. Graham JFEC
092.6043 :5: Twisted Minds [15-1] Jimenez A / Granitz Anthony J. S
090.7972 :4: Coax [8-1] Geroux F / Casse Mark E.
090.4785 9 Gentle Kitten [5-1] Leparoux J R / Maker Michael J.
088.2406 1 Peloncillo [10-1] St. Julien M / Bradley William B. L
088.1343 2 Princess La Quinta [6-1] Graham J / Gulick James M.
086.6647 3 Desert Poem [20-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Wilkes Ian R.
085.5669 8 She's Alotta Woman [30-1] Torres F C / Kinmon Ronald Keith
084.9187 11 Saintly Ballad [12-1] Doyle S / Rankin Troy W
083.0793 10 Gold Serenade [12-1] Franco M / LoPresti Charles
082.5713 7 Unlimited Resource [12-1] Albarado R / Gorder Kellyn
*Scratch* 16 Oh So Terrible [3-1] Valdivia. Jr. J / Ward Wesley A.
*Scratch* 15 Main Star [20-1] St. Julien M / Cowan Jon M.
*Scratch* 14 Wily [8-1] Leparoux J R / Colebrook Ben
*Scratch* 13 Gypsy Grey [10-1] Lanerie C J / Kenneally Eddie

10/12/16, KEE, Race 5, 3.18 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.15.00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $62,000.
Daily Double-Exacta-Trifecta (.$50 min)-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Pick 4 ($.50 - min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Fact Finding [8/5] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A. JFELC
096.8145 :5: Indian Lover [3-1] Saez G / Jones J. Larry TW
095.6003 :8: Awesome Choice [12-1] Geroux F / McNair Scotty
094.2418 :7: Chargin Storm [20-1] Doyle S / Demeritte Larry W. S
094.1767 4 Iron Mane [6-1] Flores D R / Ward Wesley A.
094.1311 3 Carson Kan [8-1] Hill C / Mason Ingrid
093.1734 2 Nice Not Nice [5-1] Graham J / Bradley William B.
093.1457 1 Oso Ready [8-1] Osorio D A / Brookfield Glenn L.

10/12/16, KEE, Race 6, 3.51 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.42.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $64,000.
Daily Double-Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Pick 3 ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: Thrilled [7/2] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A. TE
098.7596 :1: Dream Dance [3-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Howard Neil J.
098.3498 :8: Dear Elaine [6-1] Ortiz J L / LoPresti Charles JL
098.0981 :7: Moon Medal [8-1] Leparoux J R / Stidham Michael SW
097.7082 9 Miss Mo Kelly [6-1] Albarado R / Holthus Paul E. C
097.1691 6 Alotta Skirt [5-1] Lanerie C J / Kenneally Eddie
096.0412 10 Romantic Vision [10-1] Hill C / Arnold. II George R.
095.6658 2 Crown D' Oro [10-1] Graham J / Bradley William B.
095.3550 3 Found a Diamond [20-1] Radosevich J / Reed Eric R.
094.3484 5 Academic Break [20-1] Santana. Jr. R / Pitts Helen

10/12/16, KEE, Race 7, 4.24 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.44.01 STAKES. Purse $150,000.
Daily Double-Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: Lull [3-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Clement Christophe EL
096.4011 :2: La Coronel [7/2] Geroux F / Casse Mark E. W
095.0507 :5: Sweeping Paddy [5-1] Albarado R / Romans Dale L.
094.5027 :7: Lipstick City [10-1] Lezcano J / Brown Chad C. FC
094.3765 12 Zero Zee [15-1] Velazquez J R / Weaver George
093.9527 14 (F)Liberale (FR) [10-1] Ortiz J L / Brown Chad C. J
093.5031 3 Wicked Lick [12-1] Leparoux J R / Walsh Brendan P.
093.2779 8 Tapa Tapa Tapa [8-1] Bravo J / Hamm Timothy E.
092.7507 6 Majestic Gale [12-1] Rosario J / Sharp Joe
092.4750 9 Majestic Bonnie [10-1] Franco M / Weaver George
089.0916 10 Rum Go [30-1] Graham J / Proctor Thomas F.
086.0408 11 Divine Humor [50-1] Borel C H / Harris. Jr. Larry W. S
*Scratch* 13 Queen Del Valle [50-1] Zayas E J / Nagle Reid
*Scratch* 1 Senora Acero [30-1] Mena M / Calhoun W. Bret

10/12/16, KEE, Race 8, 4.57 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.21.02 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-KeenelandSelect.com Super - High Five ($.50 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: District Attorney [6-1] Kennedy T / Wismer Troy S. S
099.8868 :7: Mango's Muse [4-1] Geroux F / Mason Ingrid J
099.1755 :8: Tizsational [3-1] Osorio D A / Montano. Sr. Angel O. EW
098.5517 :2: Luce Mia [8-1] Torres F C / Luce Nichole
098.1860 11 Olympic Smoke [12-1] Graham J / Caramori Eduardo T
097.9679 5 Ginger Stone [5-1] Hill C / Hancock John A. FC
097.5836 3 Thunder Wit [15-1] Borel C H / Hancock John A.
096.6855 6 Secondhand Justice [15-1] Hisby R / Short Tommy C.
096.6269 1 She's a Corker [20-1] St. Julien M / Litfin Nevada
094.0876 4 Starship Aquarius [20-1] Mojica. Jr. R / Guerrero Sal
*Scratch* 9 Lu Sea [5-1] Murrill M / Gulick James M.

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.09.22c)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/12/16, GPW, Race 1, 1.15 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Katira [8-1] Valdivia. Jr. J / Werner Ronny W. T
099.6483 :7: Yankee Perfection [8-1] Zayas E J / Gold Stanley I.
099.4176 :6: Chania [6-1] Jaramillo E / Catanese. III Joseph C JC
099.3001 :2: Lago Lindo [5-1] Juarez N / Nicks Ralph E. SEL
098.6829 1 Lost Innocence [6-1] Gaffalione T / Nicks Ralph E.
096.0925 8 Sweet Abdication [9/2] Alvarado. Jr. R / Collazo Henry F
095.6571 3 Colorincolonel [15-1] Castro E / Mejia Jaime W
095.1259 9 Vasilika [12-1] Reyes L / Yanakov Mikhail
*Scratch* 4 Little Heart [4-1] Juarez N / Vaccarezza Carlo
*Scratch* 10 Flying Girl [15-1] Jaramillo E / Barboza. Jr. Victor

10/12/16, GPW, Race 2, 1.46 ET
1M 70Y [Dirt] 1.41.04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Papa Pig [9/5] Rios J M / Sano Antonio SFC
098.3379 :5: Madroos [4-1] Castro E / Brownlee David R.
097.2369 :6: Giannino [9/2] Gazader R / Lopez-Cordero Alexis W
097.0534 :1: Jugueton [6-1] Mena R / Sobarzo Pedro J. L
096.2136 4 Osorno [8-1] Ruiz J / Quiroz Angel E
095.3823 7 Slicka [5-1] Vasquez M A / Ziadie Ralph T
095.3235 2 Hatattack [12-1] Gaffalione T / Antonucci Jena M. J

10/12/16, GPW, Race 3, 2.17 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.00 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 3-8) / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Caribean Beat(b-) [5-1] Vasquez M A / Nihei Michelle SE
098.2706 :2: Aly Cruise [7/2] Alvarez J L / Catanese. III Joseph C
098.0983 :3: Cowboy's Princess [9/2] Navarro C J / Tessore Bruno T
097.7538 :9: Rara [4-1] Castro E / Levy Tamara L. FC
095.8577 6 Vera's Finally [6-1] Jaramillo E / Klesaris Steve J
095.6617 1 Crystal's Cantata [10-1] Zayas E J / O'Connell Kathleen L
090.6915 4 Sensationalsatrday [15-1] Ruiz J / Duco Luis W
090.3252 7 Imperial Cut [20-1] Ramirez M R / Getto Larry
*Scratch* 8 Virgen Morena [6-1] Gaffalione T / Rodriguez Angel M.

10/12/16, GPW, Race 4, 2.49 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.09.00 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $.50 Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Scandalskeepcoming [6-1] Jaramillo E / Braddy J. David JTS
099.5189 :6: My Wish List [7/2] Zayas E J / Rodriguez Juan Andres EL
099.1674 :2: Liberty Road [4-1] Gaffalione T / Wolfson Martin D.
097.7831 :1: Evelyn's Dream [9/2] Ramirez M R / Nihei Michelle
097.6091 4 Luz Mimi [8-1] Ruiz J / Ochoa Gerard FWC
*Scratch* 5 First Distinction [9/5] Zayas E J / Ziadie Ralph

10/12/16, GPW, Race 5, 3.21 ET
7 1/2F [Turf] 1.26.03 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8) / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Mr. Online [7/2] Gaffalione T / Braddy J. David SE
098.3786 :6: Quiet Force [4-1] Jaramillo E / Abreu Fernando J
097.9407 :7: Day of Fury [6-1] Unknown Rider / Fawkes David L
096.2428 :2: Blue Harbor [5-1] Luzzi L J / Fawkes David F
095.5558 8 Little Baltar [9/2] Juarez N / Vaccarezza Carlo W
094.3993 4 Rizwan [8-1] Zayas E J / Gleaves Philip A.
093.8429 5 Diaz (IRE) [8-1] Castro E / Levy Tamara L.
090.3566 3 Donation [20-1] Gazader R / Brinsley Monte C
088.7431 9 Bingo Bango Bongo [15-1] Alvarez J L / Catanese. III Joseph C
*Scratch* 10 Tenango [2-1] Zayas E J / Sano Antonio

10/12/16, GPW, Race 6, 3.54 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.09.00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $35,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Mr. Baker [3-1] Zayas E J / Ziadie Ralph SELC
099.3080 :6: J S Bach [7/2] Gaffalione T / Pletcher Todd A. J
098.4129 :5: Springmeier [9/2] Luzzi L J / Vinson John G T
098.1312 :7: More Applause [10-1] Castro E / Estevez Manuel A. F
097.7233 8 Singanothersong [12-1] Reyes L / Pellegrini Ronald W
*Scratch* 9 Grand Bili [5-1] Jaramillo E / Delgado Gustavo
*Scratch* 4 Fearless Dragon [20-1] Juarez N / Guillot Eric J.
*Scratch* 3 Wildcat Wish [6-1] Alvarado. Jr. R / Gold Stanley I.
*Scratch* 2 Tiger Blood [12-1] Castillo L A / Barbaran Horacio

10/12/16, GPW, Race 7, 4.26 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.00 CLAIMING. Purse $14,000.
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: Silver Lucky Q [7/2] Rios J M / Gonzalez Oscar M. SFL
097.4387 :2: Valoordo [4-1] Gaffalione T / Catanese. III Joseph C
097.3412 :9: Hadron [9/2] Luzzi L J / Abreu Fernando C
096.0776 :12: Soul Man [8-1] Ruiz J / Gracida Ruben E
094.4565 3 Run Saichi [8-1] Castillo L A / Pompay Teresa M.
092.8032 11 Equilibrium [10-1] Jaramillo E / Delgado Gustavo J
092.2647 6 Blame It On Tekela [12-1] Hernandez C J / Ward Wesley A. T
091.9987 4 Starship Rocky [10-1] Alvarez J L / Catanese. III Joseph C
089.5675 8 Burning Wild [20-1] Vasquez M A / Rose Barry R. W
089.2360 7 Battlefront(b-) [15-1] Castro E / Hickey William J.
088.2421 5 Royal Rogue [20-1] Reyes L / Arias Juan D.
086.1274 1 Dramatist [30-1] Ramgeet A R / Love Michael
*Scratch* 13 Gran Tepuy [20-1] Zayas E J / Barboza. Jr. Victor

10/12/16, GPW, Race 8, 4.58 ET
5F [Turf] 00.54.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,000.
$1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Princess Dom [5/2] Alvarado. Jr. R / Sano Antonio EL
099.8715 :7: Hot Anastasia [8-1] Juarez N / Maker Michael J. J
099.4707 :4: Table of Elements(b+) [4-1] Luzzi L J / Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.
098.8184 :9: Mykindacat [7/2] Hernandez C J / Ward Wesley A. TSFW
097.6552 12 Ima Tornado [8-1] Gaffalione T / Thomas Monte R.
095.6338 10 Mymartina [15-1] Rispoli M / Mejia Jaime
091.1695 3 Tropical Rhythm [30-1] Zapico S / Crichton Rohan
091.1670 6 Toro Femme [15-1] Mena R / Morrison Michael S.
091.1244 2 True Temptation [30-1] Ramgeet A R / Simpson Willoughby
089.4496 5 Anothermouthtofeed [15-1] Unknown Rider / Kissoon Raphael B. C
089.0977 1 Jill's Catch [30-1] Sukie D / Rose Barry R.
088.9014 11 Carribean Heat [20-1] Nunez E O / Jehaludi Mohamed
*Scratch* 14 Shesahellcat [30-1] Gomez J C / Combest Phil
*Scratch* 13 Blackmail [30-1] Castillo L A / Clouston. III Burley

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

RESULTS FOLLOW

[Rise Over Run]

10/12/16, KEE, Race 7, 4.24 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.44.01 STAKES. Purse $150,000.
Daily Double-Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: Lull [3-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Clement Christophe EL
096.4011 :2: La Coronel [7/2] Geroux F / Casse Mark E. W
095.0507 :5: Sweeping Paddy [5-1] Albarado R / Romans Dale L.
094.5027 :7: Lipstick City [10-1] Lezcano J / Brown Chad C. FC
094.3765 12 Zero Zee [15-1] Velazquez J R / Weaver George
093.9527 14 (F)Liberale (FR) [10-1] Ortiz J L / Brown Chad C. J
093.5031 3 Wicked Lick [12-1] Leparoux J R / Walsh Brendan P.
093.2779 8 Tapa Tapa Tapa [8-1] Bravo J / Hamm Timothy E.
092.7507 6 Majestic Gale [12-1] Rosario J / Sharp Joe
092.4750 9 Majestic Bonnie [10-1] Franco M / Weaver George
089.0916 10 Rum Go [30-1] Graham J / Proctor Thomas F.
086.0408 11 Divine Humor [50-1] Borel C H / Harris. Jr. Larry W. S
*Scratch* 13 Queen Del Valle [50-1] Zayas E J / Nagle Reid
*Scratch* 1 Senora Acero [30-1] Mena M / Calhoun W. Bret

Nice to see a graded stakes race during the week. Interesting that La Coronel was bet off the board in two dirt sprints and then you got 6-1 when she finally ran on her preferred surface and stretched out. I hope Lull goes off the favorite, because I'm just not sure how strong the field was in the last stake race at KD. The two horses that finished closest to her look like dirt horses and there wasn't much behind them And there has to be a reason that Clement has kept this one to sprints so far. La Coronel exploded around the turn and beat two next out winners, including New Money Honey, who won the G3 Miss Grill earlier in October.

Hoping to get $7 on La Coronel

[Augenj]

Nice to see a graded stakes race during the week. Interesting that La Coronel was bet off the board in two dirt sprints and then you got 6-1 when she finally ran on her preferred surface and stretched out. I hope Lull goes off the favorite, because I'm just not sure how strong the field was in the last stake race at KD. The two horses that finished closest to her look like dirt horses and there wasn't much behind them And there has to be a reason that Clement has kept this one to sprints so far. La Coronel exploded around the turn and beat two next out winners, including New Money Honey, who won the G3 Miss Grill earlier in October.

Hoping to get $7 on La Coronel
Nice call and an example of a good handicapper beating the computer. :ThmbUp:

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.09.22c)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at KEE is 16%, Breakage is $0.20

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/12/16, KEE, Race 1, 1:05 ET
1M [Turf] 1.37.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :7: Tapanel [9/2 * ] E 7th to 7th
097.9563 :8: R Naja [7/2] FC
094.3770 :1: Perfect Passion [4-1]
093.5828 :13: Cha Cha Magic(b-) [4-1] T
091.3302 11 Storm the Hill [6-1] S 3rd - 9.20
090.2364 10 Billboard [10-1] J
090.1410 9 Cuddle Kitten [10-1] 4th
085.4438 2 Juenesse Doree [10-1] 2nd - 14.20 9.60
083.7803 5 Regent Diamond [12-1]
083.3162 4 Moolamiss [20-1] W
083.2494 6 Blue Collar [30-1] 1st - 95.40 46.00 20.40
083.0818 12 Gull Island [12-1]
*Scratch* 3 Lilac Wine [12-1]
*Scratch* 16 Naifah (IRE) [5/2]
*Scratch* 15 My Sweet Stella [3-1]
*Scratch* 14 Agent Provocateur [6-1]

10/12/16, KEE, Race 2, 1:39 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.15.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :2: Brotherly [7/2] E clipped heels, lost jockey
097.8230 :4: Persuasion [3-1] JW
094.1194 :8: My Man Greyson [5-1] 3rd - 2.60 DH
092.8384 :1a: Choir Director [12-1 * ] 3rd - 3.20 2.80 DH
092.8264 12 Eerily [6-1] 1st - 26.20 7.80 4.80
091.8524 3 Recapitulation [8-1] T
091.3210 11 Bam Bam Cam [10-1] SFL
090.0033 1 Heliodoro [12-1 * ] 2nd - 3.20 2.80
088.4121 10 Rakeitin [30-1] C
086.8261 7 Kilroy [50-1]
082.6311 6 Majestic Stance [30-1]
*Scratch* 9 Swift One [9/2]
*Scratch* 5 Woodford Channel [50-1]
*Scratch* 15 Willie [50-1]
*Scratch* 14 Kings Wish [15-1]
*Scratch* 13 Mathematical [30-1]

10/12/16, KEE, Race 3, 2:12 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.42.02 CLAIMING. Purse $23,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :2: Holiday Man [3-1 * ] J 3rd - 2.40 bottled up
099.1987 :3: U S S Altair(b-) [5-1] E 2nd - 8.00 3.60
099.0093 :6: Northeast Bound [8-1] S
098.7727 :9: Hold My Purse [20-1]
098.1032 8 Mr. Tickle [6-1] 1st - 10.60 5.60 3.00
096.9730 1 Candir [9/2] TFWC
096.8881 5 Uncle Mo Money [8-1] 4th
093.6882 4 Back Togetheragain [8-1] L stopped
*Scratch* 7 Sea of Erin [5-1]

10/12/16, KEE, Race 4, 2:45 ET
1M [Turf] 1.37.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :6: Chastise [5/2 * ] T 1st - 4.80 3.00 2.40
098.0923 :12: Expect a Kitten [5-1] JFEC
092.6043 :5: Twisted Minds [15-1] S
090.7972 :4: Coax [8-1]
090.4785 9 Gentle Kitten [5-1] 2nd - 6.00 4.40
088.2406 1 Peloncillo [10-1] L
088.1343 2 Princess La Quinta [6-1] 3rd - 6.40
086.6647 3 Desert Poem [20-1] 4th
085.5669 8 She's Alotta Woman [30-1]
084.9187 11 Saintly Ballad [12-1] W
083.0793 10 Gold Serenade [12-1]
082.5713 7 Unlimited Resource [12-1]
*Scratch* 16 Oh So Terrible [3-1]
*Scratch* 15 Main Star [20-1]
*Scratch* 14 Wily [8-1]
*Scratch* 13 Gypsy Grey [10-1]

10/12/16, KEE, Race 5, 3:18 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.15.00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $62,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :6: Fact Finding [8/5 * ] JFELC 1st - 4.00 2.80 2.40
096.8145 :5: Indian Lover [3-1] TW
095.6003 :8: Awesome Choice [12-1]
094.2418 :7: Chargin Storm [20-1] S 2nd - 22.20 9.20
094.1767 4 Iron Mane [6-1] 3rd - 5.20
094.1311 3 Carson Kan [8-1]
093.1734 2 Nice Not Nice [5-1]
093.1457 1 Oso Ready [8-1] 4th
$2 DD 9.20

10/12/16, KEE, Race 6, 3:51 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.42.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $64,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :4: Thrilled [7/2] TE 2nd - 5.40 3.80
098.7596 :1: Dream Dance [3-1 * ]
098.3498 :8: Dear Elaine [6-1] JL 3rd - 4.00
098.0981 :7: Moon Medal [8-1] SW
097.7082 9 Miss Mo Kelly [6-1] C 4th
097.1691 6 Alotta Skirt [5-1]
096.0412 10 Romantic Vision [10-1] 1st - 38.20 15.80 9.20
095.6658 2 Crown D' Oro [10-1]
095.3550 3 Found a Diamond [20-1]
094.3484 5 Academic Break [20-1]

10/12/16, KEE, Race 7, 4:24 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.44.01 STAKES. Purse $150,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :4: Lull [3-1] EL 2nd - 5.40 4.80
096.4011 :2: La Coronel [7/2 * ] W 1st - 5.80 4.20 3.00
095.0507 :5: Sweeping Paddy [5-1] 4th
094.5027 :7: Lipstick City [10-1] FC
094.3765 12 Zero Zee [15-1]
093.9527 14 (F)Liberale (FR) [10-1] J
093.5031 3 Wicked Lick [12-1]
093.2779 8 Tapa Tapa Tapa [8-1]
092.7507 6 Majestic Gale [12-1]
092.4750 9 Majestic Bonnie [10-1]
089.0916 10 Rum Go [30-1] 3rd - 17.40
086.0408 11 Divine Humor [50-1] S set pace, stopped
*Scratch* 13 Queen Del Valle [50-1]
*Scratch* 1 Senora Acero [30-1]

10/12/16, KEE, Race 8, 4:57 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.21.02 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :10: District Attorney [6-1] S 4th 7 path on turn... what?
099.8868 :7: Mango's Muse [4-1 * ] J 2nd - 3.60 2.80
099.1755 :8: Tizsational [3-1] EW 1st - 7.60 4.40 3.00
098.5517 :2: Luce Mia [8-1] 3rd - 3.20
098.1860 11 Olympic Smoke [12-1] T
097.9679 5 Ginger Stone [5-1] FC
097.5836 3 Thunder Wit [15-1]
096.6855 6 Secondhand Justice [15-1]
096.6269 1 She's a Corker [20-1]
094.0876 4 Starship Aquarius [20-1]
*Scratch* 9 Lu Sea [5-1]

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.09.22c)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at GPW is 17%, Breakage is $0.20

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

10/12/16, GPW, Race 1, 1:15 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :5: Katira [8-1] T 4th to 6th
099.6483 :7: Yankee Perfection [8-1]
099.4176 :6: Chania [6-1] JC 3rd - 3.40
099.3001 :2: Lago Lindo [5-1 * ] SEL
098.6829 1 Lost Innocence [6-1] 1st - 9.60 6.20 4.00
096.0925 8 Sweet Abdication [9/2] F 4th
095.6571 3 Colorincolonel [15-1] W
095.1259 9 Vasilika [12-1] 2nd - 17.00 8.60
*Scratch* 4 Little Heart [4-1]
*Scratch* 10 Flying Girl [15-1]

10/12/16, GPW, Race 2, 1:46 ET
1M 70Y [Dirt] 1.41.04 CLAIMING. Purse $13,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :3: Papa Pig [9/5 * ] SFC 1st - 3.60 2.40 2.10
098.3379 :5: Madroos [4-1] 3rd - 2.80
097.2369 :6: Giannino [9/2] W
097.0534 :1: Jugueton [6-1] L 4th
096.2136 4 Osorno [8-1] E
095.3823 7 Slicka [5-1] T
095.3235 2 Hatattack [12-1] J 2nd - 6.20 3.60

10/12/16, GPW, Race 3, 2:17 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.00 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :5: Caribean Beat(b-) [5-1] SE 3rd - 4.20
098.2706 :2: Aly Cruise [7/2] 2nd - 6.80 3.80
098.0983 :3: Cowboy's Princess [9/2] T
097.7538 :9: Rara [4-1] FC
095.8577 6 Vera's Finally [6-1] J 4th
095.6617 1 Crystal's Cantata [10-1 * ] L 1st - 7.20 3.80 3.00
090.6915 4 Sensationalsatrday [15-1] W
090.3252 7 Imperial Cut [20-1]
*Scratch* 8 Virgen Morena [6-1]

10/12/16, GPW, Race 4, 2:49 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.09.00 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :3: Scandalskeepcoming [6-1] JTS 3rd - 3.00
099.5189 :6: My Wish List [7/2] EL 2nd - 4.00 2.80
099.1674 :2: Liberty Road [4-1 * ] 4th
097.7831 :1: Evelyn's Dream [9/2]
097.6091 4 Luz Mimi [8-1] FWC 1st - 16.80 7.00 3.60
*Scratch* 5 First Distinction [9/5]

10/12/16, GPW, Race 5, 3:21 ET
7 1/2F [Turf] 1.26.03 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :1: Mr. Online [7/2 * ] SE 4th
098.3786 :6: Quiet Force [4-1] J 1st - 6.40 3.80 2.60
097.9407 :7: Day of Fury [6-1] L
096.2428 :2: Blue Harbor [5-1] F 2nd - 8.20 5.20
095.5558 8 Little Baltar [9/2] W 3rd - 4.00
094.3993 4 Rizwan [8-1]
093.8429 5 Diaz (IRE) [8-1]
090.3566 3 Donation [20-1] C
088.7431 9 Bingo Bango Bongo [15-1] lost rider at start
*Scratch* 10 Tenango [2-1]

10/12/16, GPW, Race 6, 3:54 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.09.00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $35,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :1: Mr. Baker [3-1 * ] SELC 1st - 4.40 2.80 2.20
099.3080 :6: J S Bach [7/2] J 3rd - 2.20
098.4129 :5: Springmeier [9/2] T 2nd - 4.20 2.40
098.1312 :7: More Applause [10-1] F
097.7233 8 Singanothersong [12-1] W 4th
*Scratch* 9 Grand Bili [5-1]
*Scratch* 4 Fearless Dragon [20-1]
*Scratch* 3 Wildcat Wish [6-1]
*Scratch* 2 Tiger Blood [12-1]

10/12/16, GPW, Race 7, 4:26 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.00 CLAIMING. Purse $14,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :10: Silver Lucky Q [7/2 * ] SFL dueled, 2nd to 8th
097.4387 :2: Valoordo [4-1] 1st - 6.60 4.60 3.40
097.3412 :9: Hadron [9/2] C
096.0776 :12: Soul Man [8-1] E 3rd - 7.60
094.4565 3 Run Saichi [8-1]
092.8032 11 Equilibrium [10-1] J
092.2647 6 Blame It On Tekela [12-1] T
091.9987 4 Starship Rocky [10-1]
089.5675 8 Burning Wild [20-1] W 2nd - 25.60 12.40
089.2360 7 Battlefront(b-) [15-1] 4th
088.2421 5 Royal Rogue [20-1]
086.1274 1 Dramatist [30-1]
*Scratch* 13 Gran Tepuy [20-1]

10/12/16, GPW, Race 8, 4:58 ET
5F [Turf] 00.54.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $14,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :8: Princess Dom [5/2 * ] EL 1st - 3.60 2.60 2.10
099.8715 :7: Hot Anastasia [8-1] J
099.4707 :4: Table of Elements(b+) [4-1]
098.8184 :9: Mykindacat [7/2] TSFW 2nd - 3.40 2.60
097.6552 12 Ima Tornado [8-1] 3rd - 3.20
095.6338 10 Mymartina [15-1] 4th
091.1695 3 Tropical Rhythm [30-1]
091.1670 6 Toro Femme [15-1]
091.1244 2 True Temptation [30-1]
089.4496 5 Anothermouthtofeed [15-1] C
089.0977 1 Jill's Catch [30-1]
088.9014 11 Carribean Heat [20-1]
*Scratch* 14 Shesahellcat [30-1]
*Scratch* 13 Blackmail [30-1]

[Augenj]

END OF RESULTS

[Rise Over Run]

Nice call and an example of a good handicapper beating the computer. :ThmbUp:
Sometimes we're right, sometimes we're wrong. Glad I was right this time. 9/5 was a little shorter than I thought, but it beats ripping up tickets.

I know she had an absolutely perfect trip today, but I think La Coronel is a nice horse with a really good turf kick. Will be interesting to see what she does at the BC in 3.5 weeks.