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View Full Version : Re-envisioning spot plays


Bill Cullen
07-17-2004, 09:55 AM
A good system or spot play isn't about picking winners; its about identifying horses whose money odds are building faster than its winning chances.

Show me a system that both steers people away from a horse and yet identifies a horse with some value relative to the average winning chances expected for that specifc racing scenario.

Ultimately, it's not the impact values that matter, since you can have a positive ROI for a facor with an impact value of less than one.

It's the many mutiple strands of different human psychologies hidden in the collective behavior of the crowd that determines ROI, not impact values.

You need the statistics guys to verify reality for us; to say yea or nay to our dreams and hopes.

But you need poets and storytellers and shamans too, who every once in a while can connect with the collective unconsciousness of the crowd and for a few moments can see a pattern among all those interweaving pathways to the betting windows.



quote:
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Imagination is more important than knowledge
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- Albert Einstein