Saturday picks and comments

[Robert Fischer]

what the title said

[Robert Fischer]

Bel r1
:3: is cold on the board. without a big opinion i want no part.

:2: is cheap but getting bet
:5: is interesting. owned and trained by 'Team D', they passed up a good off-turf to run in this turf race. They REALLY want this one on the turf now.

:10: is a pro, but he looks like a type to round-out an ex or tri


25/2510

[Robert Fischer]

^2 come around really closed into a slow pace , cheap race or not. he looks solid

[Robert Fischer]

only did a 25 box and then a 5/2,10 key exactas

[Robert Fischer]

so i spent $4 and got back $31.50 or whatever (depending on how slow the tote feed is)

[Robert Fischer]

$31.40

nice overlay for the 5 winning with slugs like the 10 taking more cash

[Robert Fischer]

belmont r2

:9:I don't like the favorite profiteer at all. he steadied but he saved a ton of horse. That's it?? why am i supposed to love this horse?(other than being a tall pretty son of a gun) :confused:

:2:california swing is a (comparitive)monster(to this field)- position and rating comfortably is the only question.

:4: data room is a bit dangerous if the 2 wastes energy. He was green 1st out. Today he'll be focused and have no wasted energy in his closing momentum.

:5: is a hell of a price. This field is tough but he can contend.

:6::8: are ok to add on larger tickets

[rsetup]

Bel 2

Really like 6, panama papers.

Win and exotics with 9,2,4

Saver exotics 2,4,9

[Robert Fischer]

I think the 2 will be 5/2 or a touch higher

I have to throw $2 to win on :2:. That's a little bit better than fair value here.

w2 =2
24/245689=10 ex
24bx=2ex

[Robert Fischer]

GL setup :ThmbUp:

[Robert Fischer]

panama did all the (dirty)work
strong pick


i lost half my winnings back on that race
couldn't have been more wrong

w16
r31.40

[rsetup]

Stronger jock keeps him straightin the stretch and he wins. A skunking when I should've scored huge

[Robert Fischer]

threw $2 win on 1 and 7 over at parx

getting the 'dud' horses out of my system


w20
r31.40

[rsetup]

Bel r 3

7, Dupree - against the grain last out

2, South Sea - needs to run from off the pace

4, Son of a Saint - Pletcher firster

Exotics

[Robert Fischer]

Belmont r3


Jerkens has this prospect :6:. He's got 1/4"bends , but he's only in here for a training race, and could be a late running factor if the race falls apart.

Race revolves around Pletcher. :4: is his first call here. However, that does not dismiss the :3: from the same barn. Winstar didn't get a piece for their health. Pletcher often doesn't care if both his horses run 1-2.


$1DD 3,4 / 3,4= 4
$1DD 4/ 3,4 =2
$5win 4=5

w31
r31.40

[Robert Fischer]

belmont race 4

kind of tough at first glance

:3: stylist most likely winner, also an underlay

[rsetup]

BEL R 4

:4:, Yellow Agate -- Huge run in race that held together till very late 1st out

:3:, Nonna Mela -- wiped them out in the Adirondack

[Robert Fischer]

I'm gonna play 'wiseguy' for an action bet Bel r3

:2:Libby - i like that she took money in the stakes last out vs today's fav(3). I'll give her an excuse race there.


i'll use the 3 as well to increase the hit percentage (i wasn't crazy about the 4agate last time tbh)

23/1234 ex =$6

go 2!

w37
r31.4

[rsetup]

Very poor ride by Franco. And this is before I've seen the replay. Did too much work on a horse that was much the best.

[Robert Fischer]

yellow agate tons the best. 2Almost lucked-out with the sloppy stretch footwork.

[Robert Fischer]

Manny will be lucky to keep that mount

(i was busy watching Johnny V and telling him to 'close the door' on the 3)

[Robert Fischer]

:7: tommy macho very hot in doubles

[rsetup]

Yeah. That was a poor ride. Never let her relax and asked her too soon, before entering, which screwed up her footwork, and took her a while to change leads.

And, of course, you have the PUNK, Irad, with his constant herding in the lane. Sooner or later he'll have a serious spill.

[rsetup]

BEL 5-6-7

doubles and pick 3

r5 : :1:, :7:
r6: :5: -- premature move got her beat last out.
r7: :5: -- huge run in June against the flow
:3: -- best of the closers -- wins with a clear trip last out

[Robert Fischer]

:5: tamarkuz looks best
:7: took a ton of doubles money

$20 win on 5 and 7

w77
r31.4

[Robert Fischer]

Tough to beat a stakes horse who gets trip like that.

[rsetup]

WO R4

:8: / :1:, :2:, :5:

also :4: / :8: box

:4: / :8: / :1:,:2:,:5: tri and super

[rsetup]

Husbands really needs to hang it up. Getting run down by MORON, on the wrong lead, is about as bad as it gets. Retire

[rsetup]

BEL R6

:5:, Lady Eli -- one to beat
:6:, Sea Calisi -- will be tough

BEL R7

:5:, Pure Sensation -- can't get over how good his race was 6/11

:3:, Long on Value -- absolutely love this one --

[Robert Fischer]

pk3 1, 5 / 3, 5, 10 / 3, 6 $12.00

w89
r31.4

[rsetup]

Wo R5

:3:, :5:, :1:

[rsetup]

Nice exacta,considering. Contreras is NEVER getting by Da Silva in the lane.

[rsetup]

WO R6

Interesting race with a chance to make some money. Key players, by post position:

:1:, Forest Lass: brutal, brutal trip by Contreras last out; and she goes an extra 1/8th today. But she just might get stuck inside and force Mr Premature to shoot it late.

:3:, Lisa's Escarpment: inside, some trouble, and gapped early 1st time out. Took her a while to change leads but she ran well late in race that came apart. Extra 1/8th will help but maybe she breaks well and actually has to run early.

:4:, Dilly, Dally, Darby: two nice efforts going 6F. The other Gonzalez in the race.

:10:, Silver Ring: out of same race as the 3 but did a ton more running early (wide) and held well.

[rsetup]

:3: won it
:4:, third by neck
:10:, pulled up early
:1:, nada

[Robert Fischer]

bel r8

alive for $1 to 3 or 6 for the pk3

obviously prefer 6

looking ahead to the JCGC , assuming I get a few bucks back from this race

[rsetup]

Save with the :1:, Fischer

BEL r8-9

R 8

:1:, :3:, :6:

R 9

A BROWNfest

:1:, Camelot Kitten: love this one

:6:

:10:

[Robert Fischer]

good call

[rsetup]

Hope you saved, Bro. This was a CRUSH for me. Bad start and all.

I couldn't understand why this horse wasn't getting bet. But it got crushed late.

[Robert Fischer]

Both ran really big.

I want to say the 1 Practical Joke is much more attractive going forward, but you can't necessarily rule out a horse like the 3 from the juvenile

I thought 3 ran his heart out, but he also had a positional advantage over the baffert rival


ps of course i saved:
dime 1, 5 / 3, 6 / 1, 3, 5, 6 / 1, 3, 5, 6 $0.80 $5.10 :blush:

[rsetup]

A little herding by Johnny V, too. Oh my

[Robert Fischer]

What do you think about the JCGC?


Only opinion i really have is that Mubtahiij sucks.


I have to re-watch Effinex in youtube hd and see if I feel he's reliable.

Hoppertunity is interesting on paper - he's faced comparative monsters, and those paces were kind of slow, but even with the drop in class, - we kinda know who Hopp is at this point. If everyone else is hanging in the stretch maybe he trips up late, but I'm not crazy about the idea.

Protonico draws the rail and has a puncher's chance to inherit a stubborn slowish pace on that 1 1/4 gate placing...


any opinions JCGC??

[Robert Fischer]

hill chadbrown prince stakes r9

:6: serling loves 6 as a ROI pick type

[rsetup]

I have the :6: in my exotics. He ran very well last out.

It's interesting that Serling thought the :1: got a perfect trip last time out. I thought the winner of that race got about as perfect a trip as you'd want and the :1: stood out as a bet back. We'll see

[rsetup]

I like Effinex in the GCGC

[Robert Fischer]

$10 dd 1/1 (protonico)

[Robert Fischer]

all right now i don't have to worry about protonico stealing the jcgc


you were right= i watched the Camelot Kitten race and she was much the best last time with a premature move (and only premature because the winner got a video game dream trip)

[rsetup]

CRUSHaroo :lol:

Comprehensively.

Seriously, I need to check the headon. It appears the 6 got blocked late. Wouldn't have mattered for me, however

Edit: 6 got shut off a bit very, very late but couldn't run with the 1 and go through the hole when it counted

[Robert Fischer]

I agree with Effinex (although I'm now obviously praying for Protonico)


few scenarios

1. - protonico wires and i collect 475 after an awful day of capping :D

2. - protonico leads and we see a reenactment of the 2016 Suburban with Protonico playing the part of SamRat and Effinex starring as himself. (:6::1: $ex)
2a. we see a reenactment as above, but instead of mubtaahij lugging badly while flattening up the hole inside, we see Hoppertunity winning inside late with that same Moses trip. (:3::6::1: $tri)


or
3. Effinex trounces this outclassed field @ 6/5 , and nothing else really interesting or fun happens


3 is most likely.

I throw a few $ on each scenario

[EMD4ME]

I have the :6: in my exotics. He ran very well last out.

It's interesting that Serling thought the :1: got a perfect trip last time out. I thought the winner of that race got about as perfect a trip as you'd want and the :1: stood out as a bet back. We'll see

4 Eyes, 2 different views..... love this game


Sharp post

[rsetup]

BEL R11

:4:, Chang's Secret: cutting back after chasing. Try to get him home at a price.

the logical ones

:6:
:9:

[Robert Fischer]

That was workmanlike after seeing some of these other stakes today...


Hop wins on the class drop.

Could quibble about Smith playing it to safe and trying to tackle the 1 a bit early, but he did the right thing.

[rsetup]

WO r 9

:10:,:9:,:2:

[Robert Fischer]

wish I had thrown a few confident (repeat-bet) bucks on my scenario plays rather than playing so safe

lost $3.40 on the day

w214.30
r210.90


was fun, nice capping

[EMD4ME]

I agree with Effinex (although I'm now obviously praying for Protonico)


few scenarios

1. - protonico wires and i collect 475 after an awful day of capping :D

2. - protonico leads and we see a reenactment of the 2016 Suburban with Protonico playing the part of SamRat and Effinex starring as himself. (:6::1: $ex)
2a. we see a reenactment as above, but instead of mubtaahij lugging badly while flattening up the hole inside, we see Hoppertunity winning inside late with that same Moses trip. (:3::6::1: $tri)


or
3. Effinex trounces this outclassed field @ 6/5 , and nothing else really interesting or fun happens


3 is most likely.

I throw a few $ on each scenario

I like your thinking sir! :ThmbUp: