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formula_2002
09-12-2016, 10:23 AM
I HAVE HAD 100 SHOW BETS RETURNING A POSITIVE ROI.
THE BEST WAY I KNOW OF BREAKING THAT STREAK IS TO START A NEW THREAD HERE ON PA :)
I PRODUCE THREE BET SIZES, EACH OUTPRODUCING THE FLAT BET, WHILE PRODUCING A PROFIT.
THE "FACTOR BET SIZE", THE "POWER FACTOR BET SIZE" AND, INTRODUCING "EXTRA POWER BET SIZE".

IF I AM SUCCESSFUL IN THE NEXT 100 RACES I WILL START TO BET THEM :faint:
LET THE SHOW BEGIN!!

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 11:07 AM
not sure how this will work with non USA races.
uk races payoff to two place slots. that makes for a playable race.

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 11:14 AM
:13:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 7 POWER BET 31 EXTRA POWER BET 77
"UK Kempton
Race
5

Post
11:15

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,086 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 12:54 PM
:1:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 22 POWER BET 142 EXTRA POWER BET 112
"Parx Racing
Race
1

Post
12:55

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$12,110 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 01:38 PM
:6:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 33 POWER BET 274 EXTRA POWER BET 117
"Finger Lakes
Race
2

Post
1:38

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,165 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 01:54 PM
:1:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 6 POWER BET 39 EXTRA POWER BET 30
"Parx Racing
Race
3

Post
1:54

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,922 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 01:58 PM
how about that 1 was a non-favorite winner

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 02:19 PM
:4:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 77 POWER BET 296 EXTRA POWER BET 1182
"Parx Racing
Race
4

Post
2:20

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,788 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 04:58 PM
:4:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 56 POWER BET 307 EXTRA POWER BET 380
"Finger Lakes
Race
9

Post
4:57

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,226 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 06:17 PM
:3:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29 POWER BET 171 EXTRA POWER BET 172
"Presque Isle
Race
3

Post
6:17

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,582 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 06:45 PM
here is how we stand as of now
USA
9 play, 7 show payoffs

flat bet roi = 0.91
factor roi = 0.87
power factor =0.76
extra power factor =0.99

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 06:59 PM
:8:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 28 POWER BET 152 EXTRA POWER BET 193
"Mountaineer
Race
1

Post
6:59

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,812 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 07:11 PM
:1:

lets see what that new extra power rating can dp


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 195 POWER BET 649 EXTRA POWER BET 4567
"Presque Isle
Race
5

Post
7:10

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,986 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 07:22 PM
1 wins
putting the flat bet show roi at 0.84 and the NEW EXTRA POWER FACTOR ROI AT 1.00

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 08:07 PM
:1:

the results for these USA no show pools go into a separate results data base


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 195 POWER BET 1154 EXTRA POWER BET 1149
"Mountaineer
Race
4

Post
8:06

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$2,858 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 08:29 PM
:7:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 8 POWER BET 66 EXTRA POWER BET 29
"Mountaineer
Race
5

Post
8:29

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,059 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 08:36 PM
that lost puts the flat bet show roi at 0.79 and the NEW EXTRA POWER FACTOR AT 0.999

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 08:51 PM
:3:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 9 POWER BET 104 EXTRA POWER BET 22
"Mountaineer
Race
6

Post
8:51

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,067 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 09:13 PM
:5:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 32 POWER BET 201 EXTRA POWER BET 170
"Mountaineer
Race
7

Post
9:13

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,613 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 09:36 PM
:2:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 5 POWER BET 31 EXTRA POWER BET 27
"Mountaineer
Race
8

Post
9:37

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,699 "

formula_2002
09-12-2016, 09:47 PM
todays final

flat bet show roi -0.78
EXTRA POWER FACTOR ROI =0.9999

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 10:10 AM
forever analyzing and updating my results file I find the following play most interesting.
when the extra power factor bet size>=100, bet wps
if <100 lay wps


here is how I will do this.
I'll post my lay pick in my thread in the selections forum.
If I win the lay, I receive fair win odds %
if I lose I give 1-fair odds%. all calculated to a 16% track take out

__________________

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 10:15 AM
forever analyzing and updating my results file I find the following play most interesting.
when the extra power factor bet size>=100, bet wps
if <100 lay wps


here is how I will do this.
I'll post my lay pick in my thread in the selections forum.
If I win the lay, I receive fair win odds %
if I lose I give 1-fair odds%. all calculated to a 16% track take out

picks are posted in the selections forum

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 12:54 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 51 POWER BET 313 EXTRA POWER BET 282
"Parx Racing
Race
1

Post
12:54

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,021 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 01:10 PM
:3:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 106 POWER BET 1106 EXTRA POWER BET 290
"Finger Lakes
Race
1

Post
1:10

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,161 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 01:23 PM
lay the 6


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET

"Parx Racing
Race
2

Post
1:22

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$13,696 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 01:28 PM
6 wins.. what a game! what a player :faint:

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 01:36 PM
:4:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 161 POWER BET 1136 EXTRA POWER BET 713
"Finger Lakes
Race
2

Post
1:37

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,151 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 01:52 PM
:6:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 74 POWER BET 440 EXTRA POWER BET 433
"Parx Racing
Race
3

Post
1:52

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,957 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 02:03 PM
lay 6



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 7
"Finger Lakes
Race
3

Post
2:04

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,411 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 02:26 PM
after 6 races the >100 extra power factor show roi=1.06 while the flate bet roi =0.71

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 02:36 PM
:2:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 96 POWER BET 430 EXTRA POWER BET 1003
"Finger Lakes
Race
4

Post
2:32

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,065 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 02:47 PM
:3:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 31 POWER BET 269 EXTRA POWER BET 104
"Parx Racing
Race
5

Post
2:48

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,216 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 05:20 PM
lay 8


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 5
"Indiana Grand
Race
8

Post
5:21

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,900 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 05:24 PM
lay 6


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 12
"Presque Isle
Race
1

Post
5:24

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$3,796 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 06:20 PM
these favorites cannot help themselves from paying off for show.
excluding the lay plays the fav returned a flat bet show roi of 1.07, same a s the extra power factor.

including the lay bets as bets the flat bet roi was 1.03 vs 1.07 for the extra power factor

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 06:42 PM
:1:

WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 48 POWER BET 354 EXTRA POWER BET 199
"Presque Isle
Race
4

Post
6:43

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,280 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 08:31 PM
lay 7


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 3
"Mountaineer
Race
5

Post
8:30

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,696 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 08:52 PM
:1:

no show betting races go into a separate data base





WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 275 POWER BET 1031 EXTRA POWER BET 4520
"Mountaineer
Race
6

Post
8:52

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,293 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 09:56 PM
:5:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 57 POWER BET 288 EXTRA POWER BET 454
"Mountaineer
Race
9

Post
9:57

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,087 "

formula_2002
09-13-2016, 10:28 PM
regarding the show bets:
after 21 races,
my largest bet of the day took a bad step and was vanned off.
hope all is well

that left me with a staggering 0.428 extra power factor show roi
the power factor roi was 1.00 and the flat bet show roi was 1.02


the lay plays returned wps flat bet roi's of 065., 058, 0.98.

I was looking for the show rois to be close to about 0.50
that obviously did not happened

I'll post the lay bet results shortly.

formula_2002
09-14-2016, 12:27 PM
I figured out a way to calculate the place and show probabilities (win of course is simple enough) for the winning pick regardless who comes in 2nd or 3rd. The payout will be dependent on who comes in 2nd or 3rd but the probabilities do not. (peer review welcomed :) )
I have it set up in excel, but I don't want the add effort required to implement it at this time, so I'll just lay the win bets

formula_2002
09-14-2016, 03:52 PM
:6:
the super mother load :)






WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 1359 POWER BET 5515 EXTRA POWER BET 18069
"Finger Lakes
Race
7

Post
3:52

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$2,942 "

formula_2002
09-14-2016, 07:22 PM
:1:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29 POWER BET 163 EXTRA POWER BET 189
"Mountaineer
Race
2

Post
7:22

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,773 "

formula_2002
09-14-2016, 08:58 PM
:4:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29 POWER BET 131 EXTRA POWER BET 297
"Mountaineer
Race
6

Post
8:58

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,491 " 38

formula_2002
09-15-2016, 12:30 PM
I NOW HAVE 181 FACTOR SIZED SHOW BETS RETURNING A 0.99 ROI
IT SEEMS THE BEST PERFORMING BET SIZE IS THE OLD RELIABLE "FACTOR"
IT RETURNES A 0.99 ROI COMPARED TO A FLAT BET ROI OF 0.92, A 108% INCREASE



I ALSO HAVE 566 FACTOR SIZED WIN BETS RETURNING A 0.96 ROI COMPARED TO A FLAT BET ROI OF 0.82, A 117% INCREASE

formula_2002
09-15-2016, 01:10 PM
:6:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 216 POWER BET 1100 EXTRA POWER BET 1698
"Finger Lakes
Race
1

Post
1:10

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,376 " 38

formula_2002
09-15-2016, 01:40 PM
:4:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 70 POWER BET 516 EXTRA POWER BET 291
"Finger Lakes
Race
2

Post
1:40

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,631 " 38

formula_2002
09-15-2016, 04:39 PM
:4:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 16 POWER BET 116 EXTRA POWER BET 68
"Belmont
Race
7

Post
4:41

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$67,399 " 38

formula_2002
09-15-2016, 04:54 PM
that last race at Belmont, a $1 show bet returned $1.20 :jump: :jump:

formula_2002
09-16-2016, 11:37 AM
IT MAY BE THAT THE MOST PROFITABLE WPS PLAYS OCCURR WHEN THE FACTOR IS <=11 AND THE BET SIZE IS =1/FACTOR

IN ONE DATA BASE OF 191 PLAYS, THAT OCURRS 48 TIMES
WIN %=33%
PLACE %= 59%
SHOW % = 71%

THE SUM OF EACH OF THE WPS PLAYS HOVER AROUND THE 1.00 ROI

formula_2002
09-16-2016, 11:50 AM
:7:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 3 POWER BET 31 EXTRA POWER BET 8
"UK Ayr
Race
7

Post
11:50

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,329 " 38

formula_2002
09-16-2016, 12:09 PM
:7:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 3 POWER BET 31 EXTRA POWER BET 8
"UK Ayr
Race
7

Post
11:50

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,329 " 38


nice start, 7 wins!!

formula_2002
09-16-2016, 05:00 PM
:5:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 4 POWER BET 38 EXTRA POWER BET 12
"Gulfstream
Race
8

Post
4:58

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$16,661 " 38

formula_2002
09-16-2016, 07:06 PM
:5:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 4 POWER BET 38 EXTRA POWER BET 12
"Gulfstream
Race
8

Post
4:58

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$16,661 " 38

ANOTHER WINNER.. AT A PRICE

formula_2002
09-16-2016, 07:15 PM
:8:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 5 POWER BET 36 EXTRA POWER BET 22
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
6

Post
7:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,753 " 38

formula_2002
09-17-2016, 04:21 PM
IT MAY BE THAT THE MOST PROFITABLE WPS PLAYS OCCURR WHEN THE FACTOR IS <=11 AND THE BET SIZE IS =1/FACTOR


yesterday's 3 plays produced
2.66 win roi
2.08 place roi
0.66 show roi (no show betting in one race)

today's play is as follows;
bet the factor size wps when the e probability is <=.15

formula_2002
09-17-2016, 07:21 PM
:6:




115 INFORMED INDEX 0.1980
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 36 POWER BET 182 EXTRA POWER BET 288
"Penn National
Race
4

Post
7:20

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,619 " 38

formula_2002
09-17-2016, 08:25 PM
:7:



115 INFORMED INDEX 0.1450
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 17 POWER BET 117 EXTRA POWER BET 78
"Indiana Grand
Race
6

Post
8:25

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$1,942 " 38

formula_2002
09-17-2016, 08:41 PM
:8:



115 INFORMED INDEX 0.1957
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 21 POWER BET 107 EXTRA POWER BET 164
"Charles Town
Race
8

Post
8:39

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,227 " 38

formula_2002
09-18-2016, 12:39 PM
571 races flat bet win roi = 0.84
factor bet size win roi =0.96

here is a new sweet spot in the data

106 races where the factor>=100
flat bet roi =0.95
factor bet roi =1.02

I would like to see the roi's evenly distributed over segmented groups of factor size, or a slight increase in roi's as the factor size increases.

formula_2002
09-18-2016, 04:50 PM
mth r9 the # 2, 1/5 is coming up as a pass play :faint:

formula_2002
09-18-2016, 10:14 PM
the 1/5 #1 is another pass. a lay bet ?:faint:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
2

Post
10:14

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,259 "

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 12:39 PM
A PLETHORA OF BET SIZES!
FACTOR SIZE BET
INFORMED INDEX SIZE BET
SPECIAL SIZE BET
NOW ALL WE NEED ARE WINNERS

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 12:56 PM
:6:


INFORMED INDEX 0.1104
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 10 POWER BET EXTRA POWER BET special bet size 0.19
"Parx Racing
Race
1
INFORMED INDEX 0.1104
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 10 POWER BET EXTRA POWER BET special bet size 0.19
"Parx Racing
Race
1

Post
12:55

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,399 " 38

Post
12:55

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,399 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 01:12 PM
:1:


INFORMED INDEX 0.2262 0.283286119
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 400 POWER BET EXTRA POWER BET special bet size 0.19
"Finger Lakes
Race
1

Post
1:10

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,932 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 03:39 PM
INFORMED INDEX 0.1105 0.283286119
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET POWER BET EXTRA POWER BET special bet size 0.61
"Parx Racing
Race
7

Post
3:39

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$13,740 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 04:08 PM
FACTOR 1 BET 400 BET $580 RET 1.45 ROI
INDEX 4 BETS 0.615 BET 0.55 RETURNED =0.89 ROI
SPECIAL 4 BETS 1.42 BET $1.50 RETURNED= 1.05 ROI
4 FLAT BETS RETURNED $3.45 = 0.86 ROI

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 04:50 PM
:4:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.119 SPECIAL BET 0.09
"Finger Lakes
Race
9

Post
4:50

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,295 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 05:00 PM
:6:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.186 SPECIAL BET 0.16
"Indiana Grand
Race
7

Post
5:00

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,819 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 05:42 PM
FACTOR 1 BET 400 BET $580 RET 1.45 ROI
6 INDEX BETS RETURNED =1.18 ROI
6 SPECIAL BETS RETURNED= 1.16 ROI
6 FLAT BETS RETURNED 1.19 ROI

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 07:23 PM
mnrr r2 lay the 2/5 5

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 07:33 PM
5 ran 3rd

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 07:36 PM
FACTOR 1 BET 400 BET $580 RET 1.45 ROI
11 INDEX BETS RETURNED =1.08 ROI
11 SPECIAL BETS RETURNED= 1.14 ROI
11 FLAT BETS RETURNED 1.20 RO

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 07:55 PM
after 599 races, a win flat bet returned a 0.85 roi
a factor bet size returned a 0.96 roi

however

in 534 races
when the factor bet size is >0 and <200
a win flat bet returned a 0.82 roi
a factor bet size returned a 0..78 roi
and however again

in the other 65 races
when the factor bet size is >=200
a win flat bet returned a 1.11 roi
a factor bet size returned a 1.12 roi
there are positive roi's in the 200 to 299 factor range
300 to 399 range
and the capped 400 factors

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 08:16 PM
:4:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.109 SPECIAL BET 0.55
"Mountaineer
Race
4

Post
8:15

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,399 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 08:35 PM
:4:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.095 SPECIAL BET 0.37
"Mountaineer
Race
5

Post
8:36

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,120 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 08:59 PM
:5:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.204 SPECIAL BET 0.29
"Mountaineer
Race
6

Post
8:59

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,029 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 09:22 PM
:1:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.089 SPECIAL BET 0.24
"Mountaineer
Race
7

Post
9:22

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,140 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 09:44 PM
:6:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.138 SPECIAL BET 0.16
"Mountaineer
Race
8

Post
9:44

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,477 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 10:06 PM
:8:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.142 SPECIAL BET 0.10
"Mountaineer
Race
9

Post
10:07

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,882 " 38

formula_2002
09-20-2016, 10:16 PM
results
all bet sizes came back with a positive roi for win and show.
best performers
factor win bet roi 1.45
special show roi 1.21

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 01:45 PM
:5:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.189 SPECIAL BET 0.31
"Delaware
Race
2

Post
1:45

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$18,570 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 02:14 PM
:1:






WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.205 SPECIAL BET 0.15
"Delaware
Race
3

Post
2:14

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$8,848 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 02:15 PM
24 show payoffs in a row

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 04:52 PM
:4:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.067 SPECIAL BET 0.30
"Delaware
Race
8

Post
4:49

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$11,010 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 06:41 PM
:5:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.083 SPECIAL BET 0.22
"Presque Isle
Race
4

Post
6:40

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$3,827 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 07:33 PM
:5:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.162 SPECIAL BET 0.26
"Presque Isle
Race
6

Post
7:32

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,549 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 07:45 PM
:7:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.105 SPECIAL BET 0.26
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
3

Post
7:45

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$13,832 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 08:02 PM
:3:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.113 SPECIAL BET 0.28
"Charles Town
Race
3

Post
8:03

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$3,190 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 08:47 PM
:1:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.038 SPECIAL BET 0.27
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
5

Post
8:47

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$20,731 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 09:17 PM
:8:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.172 SPECIAL BET 0.82
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
6

Post
9:17

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$16,110 " 38

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 09:22 PM
8 wins
it was the largest "special bet size" since tracking them :)

formula_2002
09-21-2016, 09:33 PM
after 16 races

win flat bet 1.07 roi
show flat bet 1.01 roi

factor win bet 0.97 roi
factor show bet 1.01 roi

index bet 1.14 roi
index show bet 1.02 roi
special win bet 1.18 roi
special show bet 1.06 roi

total data base now has 614 races.

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 01:02 PM
:3:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 202 INDEX BET 0.154 SPECIAL BET 0.19
"Finger Lakes
Race
2

Post
1:02

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,656 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
3 25 13 ….. ….. 80 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 01:10 PM
THAT IS A VERY BIG "SYSTEM" WIN
FIRST, IT PICK THE NON FAVORITE WINNER
SECOND, THE FACTOR BET SIZE WAS OVER THE MAGICAL 200.
AND FINALLY IT PICKED THE 3/5 EXACTA, RETURNING $6.10 FOR A $1


IF I WERE AT THE CRAPS TABLE I WOULD BET UNTILL I LOST THE NEXT BET, THEN I WOULD TAKE A WALK.

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 01:16 PM
:7:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 0 INDEX BET 0.106 SPECIAL BET 0.27
"Gulfstream
Race
1

Post
1:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$15,649 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
7 ….. ….. ….. 35 64 38 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 137

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 01:47 PM
:2:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 0 INDEX BET 0.146 SPECIAL BET 0.27
"Gulfstream
Race
2

Post
1:46

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$12,846 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
2 60 ….. 22 86 56 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 224

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 03:17 PM
:3:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 0 INDEX BET 0.143 SPECIAL BET 0.35
"Finger Lakes
Race
7

Post
3:17

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$1,806 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
3 ….. ….. ….. 83 20 45 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 149

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 03:22 PM
:1:




WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 400 corect 1 INDEX BET 0.306 SPECIAL BET 0.16
"Gulfstream
Race
5

Post
3:21

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$8,868 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 ….. ….. 93 36 ….. 36 ….. 83 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..
2 100 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 03:55 PM
:8:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET
INDEX BET 0.104 SPECIAL BET 0.25
"Gulfstream
Race
6

Post
3:54

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$11,272 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
8 ….. ….. ….. ….. 12 30 47 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 89

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 04:08 PM
:3:



WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.108 SPECIAL BET 0.46
"Belmont
Race
6

Post
4:09

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$67,258 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
3 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 12 ….. ….. ….. 10 28 17 ….. ….. ….. ….. 68

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 06:27 PM
:5:


WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET INDEX BET 0.188 SPECIAL BET 0.28
"Penn National
Race
2

Post
6:26

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,601 " 38
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
5 51 ….. 30 42 ….. 27 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 150

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 06:39 PM
another nice exacta returning $6.93 on the dollaw

5 exacta wins in 13 races

1.81 roi,,,

formula_2002
09-23-2016, 09:09 PM
todays results

flat bet win 0.89
flate bet show 0.80

factor win 1.60
factor show 1.00

index win 1.14
index show 0.86

special win 0.69
special show 0.85

exacta win 1.81

works out to a total roi of 1.07