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Nitro
09-02-2016, 11:07 PM
Opening day @ Sha Tin for the fall meet!

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with BIG fields in ALL of the 10 Turf races

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM AM EST

TVG seems to be back in the game and offering live video.

If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

Just so that there’s misunderstanding, I post my best selections for each race.
I’m not posting bets!
My top 2 selections are my Keys. They can be played individually or Dutched if the value is there. I will also use them as Keys in Quinellas, and Triples. Keying entries in exotics means that they have to at least be in the money with the other picks. I may not even be playing a race if it offers no value.
I know it might be difficult for some to understand, but the winning results I post are the potential returns for those types of bets had they been made. I don’t make every bet and I certainly don’t play every race. I will try to indicate which race(s) look really appetizing.

Good luck if you’re playing & feel free to join in !

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1) In case anyone is wondering how to structure a Quinella bet with 2 Key entries and 4 others (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ) do the following:
K1/K2, K1/A, K1/B, K1/C, K1/D & K2/A, K2/B, K2/C, K2/D =
(9) Bets ($2 denominations or higher).

2) Because many of the Quinellas offer really good value it’s sometime even worthwhile (when the overall odds of the selected entries are reasonably high) to simply play all of the Quinella combinations for all 6 picks: A-B-C-D-E-F
A w/B-C-D-E-F…. B w/C-D-E-F….C w/D-E-F….D w/E-F…..E w/F =
(15) Bets ($2 denominations or higher).

Either of these same structures above can be used with the Quinella/Place bet which means:
1a) If either Key finishes 1st , 2nd , or 3rd and any of others finish in-the-money with them you can potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets or,
2a) If any of the (15) Quinellas chosen are used in the Quinella/Place bet you can also potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets.


3) Structuring a Triple is a bit more expensive, but if the value is there then try the following with (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ):
K1 / K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Winner
K2-A-B-C-D / K1 / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Placer
K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D / K1 = 20 Bets w/K1 in for Show (use only if value is there)
If you repeat this structure with K2 for Win & Place with the others it’ll be 80 Bets, but there’s potential to hit the Triple 2X if both are in the money.

kevb
09-03-2016, 12:32 AM
Hello Nitro. I'm looking forward to another HK season. Good fortune to you.

Nitro
09-03-2016, 12:45 AM
Hello Nitro. I'm looking forward to another HK season. Good fortune to you.
Hi there Kev! I'm also looking forward to a fun and profitable meet.

Also looking forward to our whole crew joining in. I always enjoy seeing everyone's picks especially to see if I missed something.

Races 4, 8, and 10 on paper look wide open. Hopefully the tote will narrow them down. They also offer good value.

GL this morning!

Nitro
09-03-2016, 12:57 AM
R#1 – 2-10 W/ 5-4-6-3

Nitro
09-03-2016, 01:11 AM
R#1 – 2-10 W/ 5-4-6-3
Results

R# 1 = 10-2-14-13 - WIN & QUIN

$2.00 WIN – 10 - $18.90
$2.00 QUINELLA – 2-10 - $16.10

Parkview_Pirate
09-03-2016, 01:18 AM
Evening gents. Looks like we have "dual" audio again on the video feeds from Twinspires and TVG.

Here's the link to the audio if you want to hear the commentary and calls, one language at a time.

http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

Nitro
09-03-2016, 01:27 AM
Hi there Parkview! GL this morning!

R# 2 - 1-5 W/ 10-2-6-7

kevb
09-03-2016, 01:31 AM
R2

WP :2:

Nitro
09-03-2016, 01:47 AM
Hi there Parkview! GL this morning!

R# 2 - 1-5 W/ 10-2-6-7
Here we go again with the PA site maintenance interrupting everything! Hopefully its over and done!

Results

R# 2 = 3-1-14-5 - Nothing in that one - No clues on that BIG LS

Nitro
09-03-2016, 01:56 AM
R# 3 - 5-2 W/ 3-6-1-7

kevb
09-03-2016, 01:56 AM
R2.

There was a trainer change on the LS winner :3:. It might be worth keeping an eye on trainer YS Tsui.

kevb
09-03-2016, 02:00 AM
R3

QBx :6::7::8:

Nitro
09-03-2016, 02:00 AM
R2.

There was a trainer change on the LS winner :3:. It might be worth keeping an eye on trainer YS Tsui.
Thanks Kev. If it would have just taken a little bit more on the tote, I would have used it. It was my 7th choice. A quinella wheel with my top choice was probably the way it should have been played.

Nitro
09-03-2016, 02:10 AM
R# 3 - 5-2 W/ 3-6-1-7
Nice call on the Winner Kev! I had it on the radar, but the price bothered me. Of course the Moreira factor is always something to consider.

Results

R# 3 = 6-11-5-8 - Nothing in that one - No clues on that LS Placer

kevb
09-03-2016, 02:27 AM
R4

:4: figures and is trained by YS Tsui. I'm giving him a try

WP :4:

Nitro
09-03-2016, 02:31 AM
R# 4 - 10-1 W/ 6-4-9-2

Nitro
09-03-2016, 02:44 AM
R# 4 - 10-1 W/ 6-4-9-2
Results

R# 4 = 1-11-14-12 - WIN – had plenty of clues on the Placer (my 7th choice took some late action 8.5/1 to 6.7/1)

$2.00 WIN – 1 - $10.00

kevb
09-03-2016, 03:01 AM
R5

I'm looking for a closer here.

Q :4::12: / :3::4::9::12::13:

Nitro
09-03-2016, 03:02 AM
This race is shaping up pretty good.

R# 5 - 2-4 W/ 1-8-11-7

Nitro
09-03-2016, 03:15 AM
This race is shaping up pretty good.

R# 5 - 2-4 W/ 1-8-11-7
Results

R# 5 = 1-9-4-11 - Nothing in that one – Late action on LS Placer – 15/1 to 11/1
Some bad racing luck - The top choice #2 went down while trying to make a big move. May have clipped heels. The jockey seems to be alright.

Nitro
09-03-2016, 03:34 AM
R# 6 - 4-9 W/ 12-14-3-7

Nitro
09-03-2016, 03:41 AM
R# 6 - 4-9 W/ 12-14-3-7
Its been rough going so far.

Results

R# 6 = 3-1-5-7 - Nothing in that one – both Keys never in contention

Nitro
09-03-2016, 04:02 AM
This is another one that's looking pretty good.

R# 7 - 7-5 W/ 10-3-12-13

Nitro
09-03-2016, 04:18 AM
This is another one that's looking pretty good.

R# 7 - 7-5 W/ 10-3-12-13
Results - "Pretty Good" - Indeed!

R# 7 = 5-13-3-14 - WIN – QUIN – TRI BX :ThmbUp:

$2.00 WIN – 5 - $10.00
$2.00 QUINELLA – 5-13 - $83.60
$2.00 TRIFECTA – 5-13-3 – $1,107.80

TucsonGreyhound
09-03-2016, 04:22 AM
Anyone know of a link for a live stream for Sha Tin so I can join in on the degeneracy?
Much appreciated!

Nitro
09-03-2016, 04:27 AM
Anyone know of a link for a live stream for Sha Tin so I can join in on the degeneracy?
Much appreciated!
This might help.

http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url=/racing/pages/odds_wp.aspx?lang=ch&langRedirect=true

Nitro
09-03-2016, 04:33 AM
Keys look strong.

R# 8 - 8-4 W/ 3-7-12-10-9

Nitro
09-03-2016, 04:44 AM
Keys look strong.

R# 8 - 8-4 W/ 3-7-12-10-9
Results

R# 8 = 14-3-8-4 - Nothing in that one - not much action on the LS Winner

Nitro
09-03-2016, 05:07 AM
Looks decent especially if a bottom pick gets in there.

R# 9 - 7-8 W/ 4-6-10-9

lamboguy
09-03-2016, 05:12 AM
it seems that the video from Xpressbet, Twinspires and TVG are all done after the 7th race and the only north american site you can bet on is Twinspires with no rebate!

Nitro
09-03-2016, 05:24 AM
Looks decent especially if a bottom pick gets in there.

R# 9 - 7-8 W/ 4-6-10-9
Results – All there!

R# 9 = 8-7-6-11 - WIN – QUIN – TRI

$2.00 WIN – 8 - $7.10
$2.00 QUINELLA – 7-8 - $24.00
$2.00 TRIFECTA – 7-8-6 – $142.60

kevb
09-03-2016, 05:39 AM
R10

WP:10:

Nitro
09-03-2016, 05:41 AM
Top 2 look strong - those underneath are anyone's guess.

R# 10 - 2-6 W/ 14-7-3-4-12

Nitro
09-03-2016, 06:01 AM
Top 2 look strong - those underneath are anyone's guess.

R# 10 - 2-6 W/ 14-7-3-4-12
Results – All there!

R# 10 = 12-6-14-1 - QUIN & TRI BX :ThmbUp:
Winner saw lots of big action late - 31/1 to 16/1 :eek:

$2.00 QUINELLA – 6-12 - $94.20
$2.00 TRIFECTA – 6-12-14 – $1,280.40

The early races were a struggle, but it was all down hill from there!

Have a great weekend!