View Full Version : FORMULAS PLAYS-LIVE
formula_2002
08-25-2016, 11:15 PM
I'll post live
picks are based on what is shown in my web site results file, "ANALYSIS" tab
best producer is the 89 race sample that is almost at the 1% confidence level
odds range >=1 and <2 and factor >=18
flat bet roi = 1.06, factor bet size roi =1.28
and the dream continues
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 11:57 AM
SEE THE ATTACHED CHART WHICH INDICATES THE POSITIVE UPWARD SLOPE OF THE ROI'S BASE ON FACTOR SIZE
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 01:27 PM
:6:
will track wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE 285
"Gulfstream
Race
2
Post
1:23
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,275 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 03:17 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 22
"Fair Grounds
Race
5
Post
3:18
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,330 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 03:34 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 41
"Saratoga
Race
5
Post
3:37
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$201,051 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 04:29 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 30
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
8
Post
4:30
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$19,212 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 05:07 PM
results through 4 races
flat bet $1 returns factor bet $1 returns
track race races w p s factor w p s
gp 2 1 0 0 1.05 285 0 0 299.25
fg 5 1 2.4 1.9 1.2 23 55.2 43.7 27.6
sar 5 1 1.95 1.3 1.1 41 79.95 53.3 45.1
wood 6 1 0 0 1.2 30 0 0 36
4 4.35 3.2 4.55 379 135.15 97 407.95
1.09 0.80 1.14 0.36 0.26 1.08
roi roi roi roi roi roi
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 05:15 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 180
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
2
Post
5:15
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$3,197 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 05:36 PM
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 18
"Louisiana
Race
4
Post
5:37
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,873 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 06:38 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 20
"Saratoga
Race
10
Post
6:41
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$154,119 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 06:59 PM
:1:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE 18
"Del Mar
Race
2
Post
7:00
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$47,742 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 07:10 PM
flat bet $1 returns factor bet $1 returns
track race races w p s factor w p s
gp 2 1 0 0 1.05 285 0 0 299.25
fg 5 1 2.4 1.9 1.2 23 55.2 43.7 27.6
sar 5 1 1.95 1.3 1.1 41 79.95 53.3 45.1
wood 6 1 0 0 1.2 30 0 0 36
gg 2 1 0 1.3 1.05 190 0 247 199.5
lad 4 1 0 0 1.1 18 0 0 19.8
sar 10 1 1.95 1.45 1.15 20 39 29 23
del m 2 1 0 0 1.2 18 0 0 21.6
8 6.3 5.95 9.05 625 174.15 373 671.85
0.79 0.74 1.13 0.28 0.60 1.07
roi roi roi roi roi roi
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 07:30 PM
:7:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 47
"Del Mar
Race
3
Post
7:30
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$55,619 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 07:53 PM
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 68
"Arlington
Race
8
Post
7:53
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$12,112 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 08:31 PM
:8:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 33
"Del Mar
Race
5
Post
8:30
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$104,400 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 08:45 PM
flat bet $1 returns factor bet $1 returns
track race races w p s factor w p s
gp 2 1 0 0 1.05 285 0 0 299.25
fg 5 1 2.4 1.9 1.2 23 55.2 43.7 27.6
sar 5 1 1.95 1.3 1.1 41 79.95 53.3 45.1
wood 6 1 0 0 1.2 30 0 0 36
gg 2 1 0 1.3 1.05 190 0 247 199.5
lad 4 1 0 0 1.1 18 0 0 19.8
sar 10 1 1.95 1.45 1.15 20 39 29 23
del m 2 1 0 0 1.2 18 0 0 21.6
del m 3 1 0 2 1.2 47 0 94 56.4
apx 8 1 1.5 1.1 1.05 68 102 74.8 71.4
del m 5 1 0 1.3 1.1 33 0 42.9 36.3
11 7.8 10.35 12.4 773 276.15 584.7 835.95
0.71 0.94 1.13 0.36 0.76 1.08
roi roi roi roi roi roi
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 11:17 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 32
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
3
Post
11:16
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,539 "
formula_2002
08-26-2016, 11:43 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 35
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
4
Post
11:44
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,042 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 12:14 AM
flat bet $1 returns factor bet $1 returns
track race races w p s factor w p s
lad 4 1 0 0 1.1 18 0 0 19.8
del m 2 1 0 0 1.2 18 0 0 21.6
sar 10 1 1.95 1.45 1.15 20 39 29 23
fg 5 1 2.4 1.9 1.2 23 55.2 43.7 27.6
wood 6 1 0 0 1.2 30 0 0 36
los qh 3 1 0 0 0 32 0 0 0
del m 5 1 0 1.3 1.1 33 0 42.9 36.3
los qh 4 1 0 0 0 35 0 0 0
sar 5 1 1.95 1.3 1.1 41 79.95 53.3 45.1
del m 3 1 0 2 1.2 47 0 94 56.4
del m 7 1 0 0 0 53 0 0 0
del m 8 1 2.1 1.4 1.1 53 111.3 74.2 58.3
apx 8 1 1.5 1.1 1.05 68 102 74.8 71.4
gg 2 1 0 1.3 1.05 190 0 247 199.5
gp 2 1 0 0 1.05 285 0 0 299.25
15 9.9 11.75 13.5 946 387.45 658.9 894.25
0.66 0.78 0.90 0.41 0.70 0.95
roi roi roi roi roi roi
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 02:43 PM
:8:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 21
"Delaware
Race
4
Post
2:44
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,412 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 02:45 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 19
"Ellis
Race
3
Post
2:46
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,540 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 02:53 PM
:8:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 108
"Monmouth
Race
5
Post
2:52
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$15,678 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 03:07 PM
WHAT A FUN GAME
:faint:
track race races w p s factor w p s
8/26/2016 lad 4 1 0 0 1.1 18 0 0 19.8
8/26/2016 del m 2 1 0 0 1.2 18 0 0 21.6
8/26/2016 sar 10 1 1.95 1.45 1.15 20 39 29 23
8/26/2016 fg 5 1 2.4 1.9 1.2 23 55.2 43.7 27.6
8/26/2016 wood 6 1 0 0 1.2 30 0 0 36
8/26/2016 los qh 3 1 0 0 0 32 0 0 0
8/26/2016 del m 5 1 0 1.3 1.1 33 0 42.9 36.3
8/26/2016 los qh 4 1 0 0 0 35 0 0 0
8/26/2016 sar 5 1 1.95 1.3 1.1 41 79.95 53.3 45.1
8/26/2016 del m 3 1 0 2 1.2 47 0 94 56.4
8/26/2016 del m 7 1 0 0 0 53 0 0 0
8/26/2016 del m 8 1 2.1 1.4 1.1 53 111.3 74.2 58.3
8/26/2016 apx 8 1 1.5 1.1 1.05 68 102 74.8 71.4
8/26/2016 gg 2 1 0 1.3 1.05 190 0 247 199.5
8/26/2016 gp 2 1 0 0 1.05 285 0 0 299.25
8/27/2016 delaware 8 1 0 0 1.2 21 0 0 25.2
8/27/2016 elis 3 1 0 0 0 19 0 0 0
8/27/2016 mth 8 1 0 0 0 108 0 0 0
18 9.9 11.75 14.7 1094 387.45 658.9 919.45
0.55 0.65 0.82 0.35 0.60 0.84
roi roi roi roi roi roi
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 03:14 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 20
"Gulfstream
Race
6
Post
3:15
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$16,309 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 03:25 PM
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 21
"Monmouth
Race
6
Post
3:25
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$25,205 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 04:09 PM
:7:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 20
"Arlington
Race
3
Post
4:08
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$15,982 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 04:14 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 41
"Louisiana
Race
1
Post
4:15
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,221 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 04:20 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 70
"Finger Lakes
Race
7
Post
4:20
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$1,777 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 04:44 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 79
"Arlington
Race
4
Post
4:44
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$7,853 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 05:09 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 87
"Louisiana
Race
3
Post
5:08
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,647 "
formula_2002
08-27-2016, 07:25 PM
[CENTER][SIZE=3]THE FUN ABOUNDS. BEST PERFORMER IS THE SHOW BET 0.91 ROI
flat bet $1 returns factor bet $1 returns show wins
track race races w p s factor w p s
8/26/2016 lad 4 1 0 0 1.1 18 0 0 19.8 1
8/26/2016 del m 2 1 0 0 1.2 18 0 0 21.6 1
8/26/2016 sar 10 1 1.95 1.45 1.15 20 39 29 23 1
8/26/2016 fg 5 1 2.4 1.9 1.2 23 55.2 43.7 27.6 1
8/26/2016 wood 6 1 0 0 1.2 30 0 0 36 1
8/26/2016 los qh 3 1 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 0
8/26/2016 del m 5 1 0 1.3 1.1 33 0 42.9 36.3 1
8/26/2016 los qh 4 1 0 0 0 35 0 0 0 0
8/26/2016 sar 5 1 1.95 1.3 1.1 41 79.95 53.3 45.1 1
8/26/2016 del m 3 1 0 2 1.2 47 0 94 56.4 1
8/26/2016 del m 7 1 0 0 0 53 0 0 0 0
8/26/2016 del m 8 1 2.1 1.4 1.1 53 111.3 74.2 58.3 1
8/26/2016 apx 8 1 1.5 1.1 1.05 68 102 74.8 71.4 1
8/26/2016 gg 2 1 0 1.3 1.05 190 0 247 199.5 1
8/26/2016 gp 2 1 0 0 1.05 285 0 0 299.25 1
8/27/2016 DEL X 8 1 0 0 1.2 21 0 0 25.2 1
8/27/2016 elis 3 1 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 0
8/27/2016 mth 8 1 0 0 0 108 0 0 0 0
8/27/2016 gp 6 1 3.4 1.3 1.1 20 68 26 22 1
8/27/2016 mth 6 1 0 1.4 1.2 21 0 29.4 25.2 1
8/27/2016 apx 3 1 0 1.3 1.05 20 0 26 21 1
8/27/2016 lad 1 1 1.8 1.3 1.2 43 77.4 55.9 51.6 1
8/27/2016 flx 7 1 0 0 1.05 70 0 0 73.5 1
8/27/2016 apx 4 1 2.3 1.5 1.05 79 181.7 118.5 82.95 1
8/27/2016 lad 3 1 0 0.2 1.05 87 0 17.4 91.35 1
8/27/2016 apx 8 1 0 1.3 1.1 25 0 32.5 27.5 1
8/27/2016 apx 6 1 0 0 1.2 39 0 0 46.8 1
27 17.4 20.05 24.7 1498 714.55 964.6 1361.35 22
0.64 0.74 0.91 0.48 0.64 0.91 0.81
roi roi roi roi roi roi s win $
WIN PLACE SHOW WIN PLACE SHOW
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 10:13 AM
LETS SEE HOW I CAN SPIN THE SHOW PAYOFF RESULTS.
OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS THERE WERE 28 SELECTIONS
BASED ON THE FINAL ODDS THERE WERE 11 EXPECTED WINNERS
I RETURNED ONLY 9 WINNERS
IN THE LONG TERM I WOULD EXPECT TO MATCH THE EXPECTED NUMBER OF WINNERS
SO
11/9 = 1.22
I SHOULD EXPECTE TO INCREASE MY WINS BY A FACTOER OF 1.22
MY 9 WINNERS RETURNED A ROI OF 0.92
PERHAPS MY SHOW ROI SHOULD INCREASE BY A MINIUM OF 1.22 X 0.92 =
1.124 :)
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 10:54 AM
this is just a test on non USA racing
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 55
"UK Yarmouth
Race
4
Post
10:55
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,350 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 11:04 AM
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 24
"UK Beverley
Race
5
Post
11:05
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,643 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 11:20 AM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 51
"UK Goodwood
Race
5
Post
11:20
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,226 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 12:04 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 49
"UK Yarmouth
Race
6
Post
12:05
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,250 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 01:20 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 93
"Monmouth
Race
2
Post
1:21
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$30,396 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 01:27 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 30
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
2
Post
1:27
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,037 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 01:58 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 20
"Gulfstream
Race
3
Post
1:57
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$25,421 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 02:57 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 18
"Arlington
Race
2
Post
2:56
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$15,420 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 03:12 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 58
"Saratoga
Race
5
Post
3:15
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$140,518 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 03:45 PM
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 28
"Ellis
Race
5
Post
3:43
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,141 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 05:46 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 154
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
3
Post
5:47
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$6,152 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 06:15 PM
:10:
:10:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE 35
"Saratoga
Race
10
Post
6:18
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$162,316 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 07:48 PM
:7:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 28
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
7
Post
7:48
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$17,273 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 08:11 PM
CONTINUING THE SPIN FOR THE SHOW PAYOFF RESULTS.
OVER THE LAST THREE DAYS THERE WERE 38 SELECTIONS
BASED ON THE FINAL ODDS THERE WERE 15 EXPECTED WINNERS
I RETURNED ONLY 11 WINNERS
IN THE LONG TERM I WOULD EXPECT TO MATCH THE EXPECTED NUMBER OF WINNERS
SO
15/11 = 1.36
I SHOULD EXPECT TO INCREASE MY WINS BY A FACTOER OF 1.36
MY 11 WINNERS RETURNED A ROI OF 0.91(FOR FACTOR SIZED BET) THRN,
PERHAPS MY SHOW ROI SHOULD INCREASE BY A MINIUM OF 1.36
FOR AN ADJUSTED ROI OF 0.91 X 1.36 =1.23 :) :)
ALSO EVERY WIN IN THE WIN POOL RETURNED 0.91/11 FOR A SHOW ROI FACTOR OF 0.82, THEN 0.82 X 15 = 1.23 ADJUSTED ROI..CRAZY MATH :) :)
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 08:39 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 88
"Mountaineer
Race
5
Post
8:40
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$2,847 "
formula_2002
08-28-2016, 10:19 PM
HERE IS A REALISTIC APPROACH TO THE FLAT BET SHOW PAYOFF POSSIBILITES
IN THE NOW 39 RACE SAMPLE.
THERE WERE 30 SHOW PAYOFFS RETURNING AN AVERAGE OF $1.11
EXPECTED WINS = 15
ACTUAL WINS = 11
1-(11/15)= 26%
THIS % X THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ACTUAL WINS AND EXPECTED WINS IS TO BE
PROPORTIONALY DIVIDED BETWEEN 39 RACES WHERE THERE WAS NO WIN POOL WINNER (28) AND THOSE WHERE THERE WAS A WIN POOL WINNER(11)
THEREFOR, 28/39 X 4 = 3 WIN POOL WINS ARE APPLIED TO THOSE RACES WHERE THERE IS ALREADY A SHOW PLAY OFF. THEN 1 IS APPLIED TO THOSE RACES WHERE THERE WAS NO WIN POOL WIN OR SHOW POOL WINNERS, RESULTING IN A NET SHOW PAYOFF GAIN OF $1.11
$34 .45 ACTUAL SHOW PAY OFF DOLLAR + $1.11 = AN ADJUSTED SHOW POOL PAYOFF OF $35.56
$35.56/$39.00 = AN ADJUSTED ROI OF 0.91 COMPARED TO 0.88
AN INCREASE OF 103%
APPLYING THE 103% INCREASE TO THE FACTOR BET SIZE ROI OF 0.92, NOW ADJUST TO $95%
OFCOURSE THESE ROI’S WILL INCREASE BY THE COMPARISON OF THE 89 SYSTEM ACTUAL WINNERS RATIO TO EXPECTED WINNERS 71/57 = 1.24
IF ALL IS WELL IN THE WORLD THE ADJUSTED SYSTEM SHOW POOL ROI SHOULD BE ABOUT,
1.24 X 0.91 FLAT BET ROI = 1.12 ROI
AND A FACTOR ROI. 1.24 X 0.95 =1.18
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 04:58 PM
back from the land of the 1.41% take out.
water club at the Borgata....
:)
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 05:04 PM
sar race 8. lay the 3
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 05:07 PM
3 wins
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 05:20 PM
"Indiana Grand
Race
8
Post
5:20
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$3,832 "
lay the 2 correction
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 05:28 PM
2 wins :)
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 05:32 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Del Mar
Race
2
Post
5:33
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$45,292 "
lay 1
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 06:15 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Saratoga
Race
10
Post
6:17
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$177,616 "
lay 1
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 06:33 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 53
"Del Mar
Race
4
Post
6:33
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$68,059 "
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 08:34 PM
del m r8 lay 12
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 08:50 PM
had 7 lay bets
I would had lost $10.95 and win $3.00
You have got to have faith (OR BETTER STATS) :)
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 08:52 PM
SHOWING A 0.95 FOR SHOW BETS USING THE FACTOR BET SIZE AND 0.91 ROI FLAT BETS FOR 43 RACES.
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 09:15 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Mountaineer
Race
7
Post
9:16
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$7,812 "
lay 7
formula_2002
08-31-2016, 09:23 PM
beat the # 7 even money horse at mnr
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 01:22 PM
3 correction win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 22
"Gulfstream
Race
2
Post
1:23
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$12,772 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 02:28 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Gulfstream
Race
4
Post
2:27
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$31,806 "
lay 32
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 02:45 PM
:4: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 60
"Delaware
Race
4
Post
2:44
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,252 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 03:03 PM
:5: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 40
"Gulfstream
Race
5
Post
3:01
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$21,677 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 03:17 PM
:7: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 63
"Delaware
Race
5
Post
3:16
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,638 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 03:26 PM
after 50 races the factor bet size for the show roi =0.95
flat bet 0.91 roi
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 04:43 PM
lay 8
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Gulfstream
Race
8
Post
4:43
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$31,932 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 04:53 PM
I just cannot wait to update my results file will the events of the past several days.
win hoses are losing :faint:
lay horses are winning :faint:
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 04:59 PM
lay 2
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Del Mar
Race
1
Post
5:00
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$33,231 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 06:05 PM
lay 7
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Del Mar
Race
3
Post
6:03
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$60,407 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 06:17 PM
lay 8
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Louisiana
Race
5
Post
6:18
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,490 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 07:34 PM
lay 2
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Charles Town
Race
2
Post
7:34
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,781 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 09:08 PM
lay 4
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Charles Town
Race
5
Post
9:07
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$11,311 "
formula_2002
09-01-2016, 10:29 PM
:8: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 35
"Charles Town
Race
8
Post
10:28
MTP
1
$2 Exacta Pool
$12,847 "
formula_2002
09-02-2016, 11:45 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 86
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
4
Post
11:45
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$8,114 "
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 12:11 AM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 56
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
5
Post
12:12
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,906 "
VigorsTheGrey
09-03-2016, 12:31 AM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 56
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
5
Post
12:12
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,906 "
I'm not sure how you arrive at your selections....do you rely on insider betting patterns like Nitro to see where the money is betting down the exactas...?
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 11:57 AM
I'll post live
picks are based on what is shown in my web site results file, "ANALYSIS" tab
best producer is the 89 race sample that is almost at the 1% confidence level
odds range >=1 and <2 and factor >=18
flat bet roi = 1.06, factor bet size roi =1.28
and the dream continues
wonder of wonders
the next 54 races produced a flat bet roi of 0.59
and a factor bet size roi of 0.61
now if the world is a round as they say
and I can revert to the mean of the 89 race sample. "all aboard" :)
by note:
in this 54 race sample the show bet roi's were 0.93 for the flat bet and 0.96 for the factor bet size
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hszJv-P2yNE
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 12:27 PM
I'm not sure how you arrive at your selections....do you rely on insider betting patterns like Nitro to see where the money is betting down the exactas...?
I look to generate a single number (the factor) that leads to a profit in the wps and or exactor pools
That number is generated by comparing the exacta pool to the win pool for every horse in the race .
That number is worked through a formula that produces the final number, THE FACTOR.
All this is done using live tote board information which is down loaded into my excel work sheets 2 to 3 minutes to post time.
The rest is all about statistical analysis of the results, for which much data is required
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 12:33 PM
wonder of wonders
the next 54 races produced a flat bet roi of 0.59
and a factor bet size roi of 0.61
now if the world is a round as they say
and I can revert to the mean of the 89 race sample. "all aboard" :)
by note:
in this 54 race sample the show bet roi's were 0.93 for the flat bet and 0.96 for the factor bet size
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hszJv-P2yNE
one hope for tis method of play is that in the 54 races sample there should have been 22 winners, but there were only 16.
That monkey with the darts in his hand could have come much closer to winning 22 races.
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 01:06 PM
8 to win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 26
"Saratoga
Race
2
Post
1:09
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$151,556 "
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 01:10 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 25
"Finger Lakes
Race
1
Post
1:10
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$2,510 "
VigorsTheGrey
09-03-2016, 01:17 PM
I look to generate a single number (the factor) that leads to a profit in the wps and or exactor pools
That number is generated by comparing the exacta pool to the win pool for every horse in the race .
That number is worked through a formula that produces the final number, THE FACTOR.
All this is done using live tote board information which is down loaded into my excel work sheets 2 to 3 minutes to post time.
The rest is all about statistical analysis of the results, for which much data is required
Comparing the exacta pool to the win pool for what reason....for evidence of what?
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 01:20 PM
lay the 4
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Monmouth
Race
2
Post
1:21
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$25,083 "
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 01:30 PM
Comparing the exacta pool to the win pool for what reason....for evidence of what?
difference in the win pool probability and the exacta pool probability.
a horse could have a 30 % probability in the win pool and a 34% win probability in the exacta pool.
how important is the magnitude of difference?
if important , which pool should have the greater win probability?
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 01:40 PM
:3: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 42
"Saratoga
Race
3
Post
1:42
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$155,167 "
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 01:55 PM
lay 2
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Gulfstream
Race
5
Post
1:56
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,191 "
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 02:09 PM
:2: the mother of all win bets
WIN POOL BET SIZE 390
"Finger Lakes
Race
3
Post
2:09
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$6,390 "
VigorsTheGrey
09-03-2016, 03:27 PM
difference in the win pool probability and the exacta pool probability.
a horse could have a 30 % probability in the win pool and a 34% win probability in the exacta pool.
how important is the magnitude of difference?
if important , which pool should have the greater win probability?
I don't understand...how does one arrive at 30% win probability versus 34% exacta probability? 30% of win pool bet on this horse? 34% of exacta pool wagered on this box? :confused: :confused:
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 06:17 PM
:6: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 25
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
4
Post
6:18
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$8,482 "
formula_2002
09-03-2016, 08:31 PM
after 25 lay bets, I paid out $7.99 and received $6.89
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 04:44 PM
:4: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 208
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
1
Post
4:45
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,238 "
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 06:15 PM
having kept score on the wps payouts over the last 7 days. the horses with a 200 or greater factor had a 1.02 factor bet size roi in the show position.
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 06:17 PM
lay 7
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Saratoga
Race
11
Post
6:20
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$264,122 "
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 06:32 PM
lay 4
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Del Mar
Race
4
Post
6:33
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$89,757 "
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 07:34 PM
lay 6
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Del Mar
Race
6
Post
7:33
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$202,110 "
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 11:24 PM
lay 8
WIN POOL BET SIZE 0
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
4
Post
11:24
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,039 "
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 11:28 PM
as the gate opened, the 8 became the favorite and ran out :)
formula_2002
09-04-2016, 11:51 PM
:4: win
WIN POOL BET SIZE 199
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
5
Post
11:52
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,074 "
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 12:21 AM
lay 5
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
6
Post
12:20
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,502 "
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 08:52 AM
after 4 days and 31 lay bets
I paid out $7.99
I received $8.77
all lay bets were against the favorite
18 of the 31 lay plays were posted in the "selections forum"
on those plays
I paid out $4.68
I received $4.41
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 09:02 AM
two types of plays will be posted.
In races where the favorite is a LAY horse, I'll also post my win picks.
In races where the favorite is a play, I'll post it to show.
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 12:54 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Gulfstream
Race
1
Post
12:50
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$24,101 "
lay 7 bet 4
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 01:01 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
1
Post
1:00
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,629 "
lay 2 bet 4
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 01:16 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Delaware
Race
1
Post
1:15
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,990 "
lay 4
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 01:23 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Gulfstream
Race
2
Post
1:23
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,487 "
lay 1 bet 3 i'll also lay 2
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 01:34 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Saratoga
Race
3
Post
1:37
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$145,878 "
lay 3
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 03:48 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Delaware
Race
6
Post
3:48
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,177 "
lay 9 bet 2
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 04:01 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Saratoga
Race
7
Post
4:04
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$193,682 "
lay 4
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 04:12 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
7
Post
4:12
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$21,777 "
lay 7 bet 9
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 04:36 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Saratoga
Race
8
Post
4:38
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$261,253 "
lay 11
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 06:44 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Presque Isle
Race
4
Post
6:44
MTP
1
$2 Exacta Pool
$3,388 "
lay 7 bet 3
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 07:47 PM
:7: show
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
7
Post
7:48
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,109 "
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 09:58 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"Mountaineer
Race
9
Post
9:58
MTP
1
$2 Exacta Pool
$12,492 "
lay 4 bet 9
formula_2002
09-05-2016, 10:47 PM
today's recap
lay bets, paid out $4.83, collected $1.95
in those races there were 8 win bets returning $2.40
show bets
flat bets, $4 bet returned $4.25
factor bets $786 bet, $831 returned.
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 10:59 AM
:6: wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE
"UK Leicester
Race
5
Post
11:00
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,539 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 03:28 PM
:6: wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE 8
"Finger Lakes
Race
6
Post
3:28
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,982 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 03:34 PM
:8: wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE 28
"Indiana Grand
Race
4
Post
3:32
MTP
1
$2 Exacta Pool
$7,573 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 03:39 PM
:6: wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE 8
"Finger Lakes
Race
6
Post
3:28
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,982 "
that was suppose to be 8 on the 6 not 6 on the 8 :faint:
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 03:56 PM
:7: wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE 246
"Finger Lakes
Race
7
Post
3:56
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$6,226 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 04:06 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 4
"Parx Racing
Race
8
Post
4:07
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$12,258 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 04:23 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 4
"Finger Lakes
Race
8
Post
4:23
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$5,469 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 04:31 PM
no play in the ind g 6, but I would put $1 play money on the 458 ex box and tri
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 04:35 PM
:6: wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE 4
"Parx Racing
Race
9
Post
4:35
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$13,627 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 04:50 PM
:7:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 57
"Finger Lakes
Race
9
Post
4:49
MTP
1
$2 Exacta Pool
$10,898 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 06:00 PM
I JUST UPDATED MY WEB PAGE
BEST PERFORMANCE WAS 381 RACES, SHOW ROI 0.98 FOR THE FACTOR BET SIZE
COMPARED TO FLAT BET ROI OF 0.81
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 07:21 PM
:1: wpd
WIN POOL BET SIZE 69
"Mountaineer
Race
2
Post
7:22
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,587 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 09:19 PM
no play
fun ex
6/1 $3
6/2 $66
6/3 $7
6/4 $6
6/5 $7
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 10:03 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 13
"Mountaineer
Race
9
Post
10:03
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$7,666 "
formula_2002
09-06-2016, 10:14 PM
todays results 15 races
flat bet roi
w 0.84
p 0.70
s 0.87
factor bet size roi
w 1.01
p 0.96
s 1.10
there were 14 show bets
10 won
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 11:34 AM
:11: wps power number
WIN POOL BET SIZE 51 INFORMED INDEX 0.51
"UK Carlisle
Race
6
Post
11:35
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,317 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 11:55 AM
3 wps
WIN POOL BET SIZE 51 INFORMED INDEX 33.00
"UK Uttoxeter
Race
6
Post
11:55
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$3,772 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 01:10 PM
:5: wps the new power factor
WIN POOL BET SIZE 51 INFORMED INDEX 5.24
"Finger Lakes
Race
1
Post
1:10
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$7,415 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 03:55 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 14 INFORMED INDEX
"Finger Lakes
Race
7
Post
3:54
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$5,919 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 04:25 PM
:1:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE 396
"Finger Lakes
Race
8
Post
4:25
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,818 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 05:10 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE 15
"Thistledown
Race
8
Post
5:10
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,515 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 07:17 PM
TODAY'S RESULTS.
I HAVE INTRODUCED A NEW BET SIZE "FACTOR POWER"
SEE ATTACHED
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 07:36 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 44 POWER BET 2.756195482
"Presque Isle
Race
6
Post
7:36
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$2,166 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 07:45 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 185 POWER BET 19.5252653
"Mountaineer
Race
3
Post
7:45
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$2,051 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 09:58 PM
:1:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29 POWER BET 6.581760522
"Mountaineer
Race
9
Post
9:58
MTP
3
$2 Exacta Pool
$7,090 "
formula_2002
09-07-2016, 10:25 PM
today's finals
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 09:43 AM
last two day results using the power factor
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 10:05 AM
:12:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29 POWER BET 21.35297415
"UK Doncaster
Race
3
Post
10:05
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,064 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 10:14 AM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29 POWER BET 1.075517232
"UK Epsom
Race
3
Post
10:15
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,503 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 12:09 PM
:9:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29
"UK Chepstow
Race
7
Post
12:10
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,134 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 03:01 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 275 POWER BET 89.54014086
"Finger Lakes
Race
5
Post
3:02
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$5,508 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 03:15 PM
:8:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 13 POWER BET 2.293877126
"Delaware
Race
5
Post
3:15
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$17,186 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 03:19 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 33 POWER BET 2.206950303
"Arlington
Race
3
Post
3:19
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,410 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 03:49 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 25
"Arlington
Race
4
Post
3:50
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,075 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 06:27 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 8 POWER BET 0.70671596
"Penn National
Race
2
Post
6:25
MTP
1
$2 Exacta Pool
$5,470 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 07:49 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 29
"Penn National
Race
5
Post
7:49
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$7,796 "
formula_2002
09-08-2016, 09:23 PM
RECAPS
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 10:30 AM
:3:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 4 POWER BET 41.64755461
"UK Sandown
Race
4
Post
10:30
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,762 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 10:40 AM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 4 POWER BET 55.46716587
"UK Doncaster
Race
4
Post
10:40
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,645 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 11:04 AM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 8 POWER BET 62
"UK Sandown
Race
5
Post
11:05
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$3,423 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 11:15 AM
:7:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 5 POWER BET 131
"UK Doncaster
Race
5
Post
11:15
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$6,514 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 11:50 AM
:10:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 17 POWER BET 126
"UK Doncaster
Race
6
Post
11:50
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,527 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 12:11 PM
best performance has been by the factor bet size
win bet $38 bet $44.20 returned
place returned $36.90
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 12:14 PM
10
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 10 POWER BET 73
"UK Sandown
Race
7
Post
12:15
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$3,424 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 12:49 PM
:4:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 4 POWER BET 96
"UK Salisbury
Race
4
Post
12:50
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$3,352 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 01:00 PM
:3:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 21 POWER BET 231
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
1
Post
1:00
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$21,249 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 01:14 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 8 POWER BET 96
"Gulfstream
Race
1
Post
1:15
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$19,330 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 01:30 PM
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 28 POWER BET 165
"Belmont
Race
1
Post
1:30
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$64,573 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 01:45 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 28 POWER BET 176
"Gulfstream
Race
2
Post
1:46
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,739 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 01:59 PM
:8:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 13 POWER BET 151
"Belmont
Race
2
Post
2:01
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$75,562 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 02:21 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 7 POWER BET 86
"UK Salisbury
Race
7
Post
2:20
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$3,522 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 03:00 PM
very good non USA results for the factor and power factor plays in the win a place bets. with the exception of the flat bet which out
performed the power place bet
see attached
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 03:03 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 208 POWER BET 823
"Belmont
Race
4
Post
3:04
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$74,411 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 04:07 PM
:2:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 3 POWER BET 60
"Belmont
Race
6
Post
4:09
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$62,579 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 04:26 PM
:5:
best thing since mother's milk (for show)
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 296 POWER BET 1356
"Gulfstream
Race
7
Post
4:26
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$18,174 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 04:35 PM
:5:
best thing since mother's milk (for show)
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 296 POWER BET 1356
"Gulfstream
Race
7
Post
4:26
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$18,174 "
it won. Dad's beer. place child's play, show mother's milk :)
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 05:12 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 7 POWER BET 46
"Belmont
Race
8
Post
5:13
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$130,164 "
formula_2002
09-09-2016, 06:12 PM
USA results
all positive except for flat win bets
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 12:32 PM
485 RESULTS
BOTH THE FACTOR ANF POWER FACTOR BET SIZES OUTPERFORMED THE FLAT BET SIZES
SEE ATTACED
MY WEB SITE HAS BEEN UPDATED WITH THEDE RESULTS
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 12:44 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 23 POWER BET 109
"Gulfstream
Race
1
Post
12:45
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$27,611 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 02:17 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 23 POWER BET 336
"Gulfstream
Race
4
Post
2:17
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$13,496 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 02:33 PM
:1:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 519 POWER BET 1548
"Belmont
Race
3
Post
2:32
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$57,899 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 02:41 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 4 POWER BET 50
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
4
Post
2:41
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$36,035 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 03:55 PM
:8:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 11 POWER BET 134
"Gulfstream
Race
7
Post
3:54
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$27,488 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 04:10 PM
:7:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 4 POWER BET 73
"Thistledown
Race
6
Post
4:10
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,414 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 05:23 PM
:3:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 3 POWER BET 41
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
9
Post
5:23
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$21,506 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 05:43 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 3 POWER BET 64
"Belmont
Race
9
Post
5:45
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$92,841 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 06:27 PM
AGAIN, IT WILL BE FUN RECAPPING THESE RACES
WON 6 OF 8 RACES.
THIS INCLUDES THE 1ST AT BELMONT WHICH WON WITH A 1548 UINT POWER FACTOR AND A 579 FACTOR PLAY. THE HORSE RETURNED $1.45 FOR A $BET
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 09:58 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 7 POWER BET 154
"Mountaineer
Race
9
Post
9:58
MTP
1
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,168 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 10:41 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 123 POWER BET 482
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
3
Post
10:41
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$6,117 "
formula_2002
09-10-2016, 11:09 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 31 POWER BET 386
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
4
Post
11:09
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,446 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 09:36 AM
recap of "no show betting races"
yesterday had a nice wp return
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 10:16 AM
TOTAL FOR TOP RANK FACTOR SINCE INTRODUCING THE "POWER FACTOR"
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 12:50 PM
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET POWER BET
"Monmouth
Race
1
Post
12:48
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$12,423 "
I'll sit and watch both 5 and 7 are even
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 01:00 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 42 POWER BET 315
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
1
Post
1:00
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$13,459 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 01:21 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 8 POWER BET 94
"Monmouth
Race
2
Post
1:21
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$12,697 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 01:28 PM
:6:
115
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 6 POWER BET 93
"Belmont
Race
1
Post
1:30
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$56,580 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 01:34 PM
:6:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 7 POWER BET 62
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
2
Post
1:34
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$15,253 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 02:13 PM
factor show bet size has returned 3% to day!!!
and 1 1/2% ahead with the power factor
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 04:07 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 1 POWER BET 10
"Belmont
Race
6
Post
4:09
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$83,638 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 04:22 PM
:4:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 11 POWER BET 61
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
7
Post
4:21
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$34,513 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 04:34 PM
:3: show(boat load of money) :)
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 201 POWER BET 1852
"Monmouth
Race
8
Post
4:33
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,470 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 07:00 PM
:5:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 68 POWER BET 214
"Mountaineer
Race
1
Post
7:00
MTP
2
$2 Exacta Pool
$4,114 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 07:07 PM
:10:
WIN POOL BET SIZE FACTOR BET 7 POWER BET 37
"Kentucky
Race
10
Post
7:08
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$61,512 "
formula_2002
09-11-2016, 07:34 PM
another good day
I'm feeling really good when I get a $1 shown bet return of $1.20 :)
these results make the show bets a positive roi in over 100 races.
and I think the win bets are also positive.
I'll update my web site results tomorrow
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