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Track Phantom
08-24-2016, 06:06 PM
I took a stab at creating the morning line for a couple of the Saratoga races on Saturday. I know how difficult this task is and just wanted to see for myself.

Here are what I would make the morning line in the following races.

KINGS BISHOP
1 Economic Model (10-1)
2 Fish Trappe Road (6-1)
3 Summer Revolution (9-2)
4 Tale of S'avall (30-1)
5 Bird Song (50-1)
6 Mohaymen (8-1)
7 Star Hill (12-1)
8 Mind Your Biscuits (15-1)
9 Jazzy Times (8-1)
10 Rated R Superstar (15-1)
11 Noholdingback Bear (20-1)
12 Tom's Ready (6-1)
13 Drefong (5-1)

SWORD DANCER
1 Grand Tito (8-1)
2 Money Multiplier (3-1)
3 Roman Approval (12-1)
4 Twilight Eclipse (15-1)
5 Inordinate (20-1)
6 Flintshire (1-2)
7 Applicator (30-1)

TRAVERS
1 Arrogate (8-1)
2 American Freedom (6-1)
3 My Man Sam (20-1)
4 Governor Malibu (12-1)
5 Forever d'Oro (30-1)
6 Anaximandros (50-1)
7 Exaggerator (7-2)
8 Destin (6-1)
9 Gift Box (15-1)
10 Connect (8-1)
11 Majesto (50-1)
12 Creator (10-1)
13 Laoban (20-1)
14 Gun Runner (8-1)

Track Phantom
08-27-2016, 03:39 PM
KINGS BISHOP
My odds line vs actual off-odds. Looks like I missed on Mohaymen and Star Hill. I was swayed by my bias against Mohaymen and for Star Hill.
1 Economic Model (10-1, 7-1)
2 Fish Trappe Road (6-1, 6-1)
3 Summer Revolution (9-2, 4-1)
4 Tale of S'avall (30-1, 33-1)
5 Bird Song (50-1, 35-1)
6 Mohaymen (8-1, 7-2)
7 Star Hill (12-1, 33-1)
8 Mind Your Biscuits (15-1, 15-1)
9 Jazzy Times (8-1, SCRATCH)
10 Rated R Superstar (15-1, 37-1)
11 Noholdingback Bear (20-1, 25-1)
12 Tom's Ready (6-1, 8-1)
13 Drefong (5-1, 3-1)