Top Horse Analytics: 08/15/2016 SAR Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: DMR, GP, SAR
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, BEL, CD, GPW, KEE, OP, SA, TAM

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.08.15a)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/15/16, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3), Pick 5 Races (1-5) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :9: Decent [2-1] Castellano J / Kenneally Eddie TSF
096.4310 :8: End Play [5/2] Saez L / Bush Thomas M. WL
096.0578 :7: Ross J Dawg [4-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Klesaris Steve J
094.8886 :6: The Great Whiteway [12-1] Ortiz J L / Chatterpaul Naipaul EC
094.8729 4 Gentrify [5-1] Rosario J / Handal Raymond
093.0579 1 Our Independence [10-1] Luzzi M J / Lewis Lisa L.
091.7819 2 Two Times Book [12-1] Franco M / Toscano. Jr. John T.
*Scratch* 5 Money Changer [9/5] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A.
*Scratch* 3 Pawleys Express [5-1] Franco M / Nicks Ralph E.

08/15/16, SAR, Race 2, 1.33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Boomerang Toy [2-1] Franco M / Baker Charlton TSF
095.1117 :5: Eye Love Michael [6-1] Carmouche K / Levine Bruce N. EC
094.7907 :2: Devilish Grin [4-1] Ortiz J L / Gullo Gary P.
094.1262 :6: Roman Revival [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Toscano. Jr. John T. JL
089.5868 1 Kiner's Korner [15-1] Saez L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
089.3071 4 Elusive Talmo [10-1] Geroux F / Schosberg Richard E. W
088.4340 3 Thnxtomyuncle [12-1] Torres J / Sciacca Gary
*Scratch* 7 Text Me [15-1] Cancel E / Falcone. Jr. Robert N.

08/15/16, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Paz the Bourbon [6/5] Rosario J / Hennig Mark A. SFC
098.0869 :6: Stonecoldfox [4-1] Castellano J / Rice Linda T
097.5070 :7: Christening(b+) [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Contessa Gary C. J
097.3148 :4: Seattle Ice Queen [5-1] Ortiz J L / Levine Bruce N. W
096.1127 3 Rare Rose [6-1] Franco M / Englehart Jeremiah C.
093.9504 2 Ribbonite [5-1] Davis D / Davis Robbie G. EL
093.3016 1 Heavenly Strut [20-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Hertler John O.

08/15/16, SAR, Race 4, 2.40 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Richie's Rich [9/5] Ortiz J L / Nevin Michelle TEC
093.5770 :5: Chasing Bubbles [5-1] Santana. Jr. R / Contessa Gary C. F
092.9058 :3: Blame Jim [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Jacobson David JL
090.6675 :4: Street Spice [9/2] Geroux F / Nafzger Carl A. SW
089.2911 6 Jeter [12-1] Franco M / Barker Edward R.
088.3505 2 Attractive Ride [12-1] Gryder A T / Terracciano Neal
*Scratch* 8 Seve(b-) [20-1] Torres J / Contessa Gary C.
*Scratch* 1 Dean Verdile [12-1] Davis D / Friedman Mitchell E.

08/15/16, SAR, Race 5, 3.14 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Angelo's Ashes [3-1] Rosario J / Ward Wesley A. SFEWL
097.0945 :2: Beat the Benchmark [7/2] Ortiz J L / Brown Chad C. T
095.2780 :5: Proud Reunion [9/2] Lezcano J / Proctor Thomas F.
094.9699 :4: Love and Lemons [6-1] Saez L / Wismer Troy S.
094.9585 7 Enticing Evening [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Contessa Gary C.
094.3995 10 Yorkiepoo Princess [12-1] Torres J / Barker Edward R.
094.3526 9 Fly Swift [4-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Clement Christophe JC
093.8418 8 Daddyisdooley [12-1] Arroyo A S / Bush Thomas M.
*Scratch* 6 Legallini [4-1] Rider TBA / Sharp Joe
*Scratch* 1 Dio Perdona [6-1] Rider TBA / Reynolds Patrick L.

08/15/16, SAR, Race 6, 3.48 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Hurry Up Alan [2-1] Lopez P / Fisher Carol JFW
099.6558 :7: Mobridge [5/2] Alvarado J / Mott William I. EC
096.3087 :8: All Over Me [5-1] Carmouche K / Morley Thomas TS
095.3663 :3: Hidden Vow [7/2] Santana. Jr. R / Serpe Philip M.
091.8992 4 Blue Pigeon [12-1] Lebron V / Parker Joseph G.
091.5740 5 Lyrical Miracle [15-1] Arroyo A S / Donk David G. L
090.9922 2 Status of Forces [20-1] Cancel E / Torelli Stacy
*Scratch* 9 He Has Charm [20-1] Torres J / Zito Nicholas P.
*Scratch* 1 Onecats Chance [3-1] Rider TBA / Englehart Chris J.

08/15/16, SAR, Race 7, 4.24 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
Exacta, Trifecta .(50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Royal Asset [9/5] Rosario J / Ward Wesley A. W
098.9217 :2: Portando [5/2] Saez L / Asmussen Steven M. SFL
095.1861 :1: Pirellone [8-1] Velazquez J R / Nicks Ralph E. EC
093.1679 :6: Harlan Punch [6-1] Santana. Jr. R / Amoss Thomas M. T
093.1091 3 Loose On the Town [10-1] Ortiz J L / Lynch Brian A.
092.4891 4 Delta Outlaw [5-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Weaver George J
092.0448 5 Wave Warrior [15-1] Franco M / Zito Nicholas P.

08/15/16, SAR, Race 8, 5.02 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Flipcup [3-1] Velazquez J R / Mott William I. FE
096.8685 :9: Literata [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JSC
096.4869 :10: Jules N Rome [5-1] Castellano J / Rodriguez Rudy R. L
094.7831 :5: Daisy Cutter [6-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda TW
093.9416 8 Jc's Shooting Star [6-1] Franco M / Donk David G.
092.5491 7 Perfect Freud [20-1] Carmouche K / Sciacca Gary
091.8336 4 Bella Joy [8-1] Rosario J / Nicks Ralph E.
091.6326 6 Isabelle [12-1] Alvarado J / Mott William I.
089.0218 3 Carameaway [20-1] Fragoso P / Friedman Mitchell E.
089.0159 2 Legally Bay [30-1] Unknown Rider / Coffey Marialice

08/15/16, SAR, Race 9, 5.40 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.45.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :12: Ditch Em [5-1] Franco M / Weaver George F
099.9559 :2: Time Squared [9/5] Ortiz J L / Brown Bruce R. JEC
098.4089 :7: Jennifer's Legacy(b+) [7/2] Alvarado J / Ryerson James T. WL
093.1459 :1: Anatevka [12-1] Rosario J / Dilger Michael
092.8224 6 O K by Me [20-1] Davis D / Brown Bruce R. S
092.2040 8 Itsthemoney [20-1] Carmouche K / Antonucci Jena M.
091.6540 4 Brass Cat [10-1] Arroyo A S / Jerkens James A. T
091.3435 10 Little Mary Ellen [20-1] Lezcano J / Grusmark Karl M.
091.2953 11 Tattletale Grey [10-1] Torres J / Hertler John O.
088.9146 5 Sneaky Fudge Face [10-1] Luzzi M J / Kelly Patrick J.
*Scratch* 9 Three Eighty Eight [4-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
*Scratch* 3 Zeppole(b-) [12-1] Rider TBA / Bond H. James

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

RESULTS FOLLOW

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.08.15a)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at SAR is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/15/16, SAR, Race 1, 1:00 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $55,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Good
100.0000 :9: Decent [2-1 * ] TSF 2nd - 3.10 2.20
096.4310 :8: End Play [5/2] WL 1st - 11.00 4.40 2.40
096.0578 :7: Ross J Dawg [4-1] J 3rd - 2.20
094.8886 :6: The Great Whiteway [12-1] EC 4th
094.8729 4 Gentrify [5-1]
093.0579 1 Our Independence [10-1]
091.7819 2 Two Times Book [12-1]
*Scratch* 5 Money Changer [9/5]
*Scratch* 3 Pawleys Express [5-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 2, 1:33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :8: Boomerang Toy [2-1 * ] TSF 1st - 3.90 2.50 2.10
095.1117 :5: Eye Love Michael [6-1] EC 4th
094.7907 :2: Devilish Grin [4-1]
094.1262 :6: Roman Revival [7/2] JL 2nd - 3.40 2.90
089.5868 1 Kiner's Korner [15-1] 3rd - 4.90
089.3071 4 Elusive Talmo [10-1] W
088.4340 3 Thnxtomyuncle [12-1]
*Scratch* 7 Text Me [15-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 3, 2:06 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :5: Paz the Bourbon [6/5] SFC 2nd - 3.30 2.30
098.0869 :6: Stonecoldfox [4-1 * ] T 3rd - 2.40
097.5070 :7: Christening(b+) [8-1] J 1st - 20.40 7.60 3.80
097.3148 :4: Seattle Ice Queen [5-1] W
096.1127 3 Rare Rose [6-1]
093.9504 2 Ribbonite [5-1] EL 4th
093.3016 1 Heavenly Strut [20-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 4, 2:40 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :7: Richie's Rich [9/5 * ] TEC 1st - 4.70 3.00 2.20
093.5770 :5: Chasing Bubbles [5-1] F
092.9058 :3: Blame Jim [3-1] JL 3rd - 2.50
090.6675 :4: Street Spice [9/2] SW 2nd - 3.40 2.50
089.2911 6 Jeter [12-1]
088.3505 2 Attractive Ride [12-1] 4th
*Scratch* 8 Seve(b-) [20-1]
*Scratch* 1 Dean Verdile [12-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 5, 3:14 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Good
100.0000 :3: Angelo's Ashes [3-1] SFEWL led, 6th
097.0945 :2: Beat the Benchmark [7/2] T 1st - 10.00 5.60 3.80
095.2780 :5: Proud Reunion [9/2]
094.9699 :4: Love and Lemons [6-1] 2nd - 6.40 3.80
094.9585 7 Enticing Evening [8-1]
094.3995 10 Yorkiepoo Princess [12-1] 4th
094.3526 9 Fly Swift [4-1 * ] JC 3rd - 3.00
093.8418 8 Daddyisdooley [12-1]
*Scratch* 6 Legallini [4-1]
*Scratch* 1 Dio Perdona [6-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 6, 3:48 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Good
100.0000 :6: Hurry Up Alan [2-1] JFW 1st - 7.40 3.60 2.40
099.6558 :7: Mobridge [5/2 * ] EC 3rd - 2.20
096.3087 :8: All Over Me [5-1] TS 4th
095.3663 :3: Hidden Vow [7/2] 2nd - 3.70 2.50
091.8992 4 Blue Pigeon [12-1]
091.5740 5 Lyrical Miracle [15-1] L
090.9922 2 Status of Forces [20-1]
*Scratch* 9 He Has Charm [20-1]
*Scratch* 1 Onecats Chance [3-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 7, 4:24 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :7: Royal Asset [9/5 * ] W dueled, 1st to last
098.9217 :2: Portando [5/2] SFL
095.1861 :1: Pirellone [8-1] EC 4th
093.1679 :6: Harlan Punch [6-1] T 2nd - 6.50 4.50
093.1091 3 Loose On the Town [10-1] 1st - 8.10 5.20 4.10
092.4891 4 Delta Outlaw [5-1] J 3rd - 4.40
092.0448 5 Wave Warrior [15-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 8, 5:02 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :1: Flipcup [3-1 * ] FE 4th 5th to 4th
096.8685 :9: Literata [7/2] JSC
096.4869 :10: Jules N Rome [5-1] L 1st - 8.70 6.10 4.70
094.7831 :5: Daisy Cutter [6-1] TW
093.9416 8 Jc's Shooting Star [6-1] 3rd - 5.00
092.5491 7 Perfect Freud [20-1]
091.8336 4 Bella Joy [8-1]
091.6326 6 Isabelle [12-1] 2nd - 12.80 9.70
089.0218 3 Carameaway [20-1]
089.0159 2 Legally Bay [30-1]

08/15/16, SAR, Race 9, 5:40 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.45.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Good
100.0000 :12: Ditch Em [5-1] F 4th to 8th
099.9559 :2: Time Squared [9/5 * ] JEC 1st - 6.00 3.40 2.80
098.4089 :7: Jennifer's Legacy(b+) [7/2] WL 2nd - 4.40 3.50
093.1459 :1: Anatevka [12-1]
092.8224 6 O K by Me [20-1] S
092.2040 8 Itsthemoney [20-1]
091.6540 4 Brass Cat [10-1] T 4th
091.3435 10 Little Mary Ellen [20-1] 3rd - 5.60
091.2953 11 Tattletale Grey [10-1]
088.9146 5 Sneaky Fudge Face [10-1]
*Scratch* 9 Three Eighty Eight [4-1]
*Scratch* 3 Zeppole(b-) [12-1]

[Augenj]

END OF RESULTS