Top Horse Analytics: 08/08/2016 SAR Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: DMR, GP, SAR
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, BEL, CD, GPW, KEE, OP, SA, TAM

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.07.08a)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/08/16, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3), Pick 5 Races (1-5) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Aripeka [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Jacobson David JSELC
098.3126 :3: Best Play [5/2] Franco M / Brown Bruce R. F
096.0218 :1: Marriage Fever [3-1] Rosario J / Levine Bruce N.
093.9301 :5: Castaway [4-1] Ortiz J L / Nevin Michelle T
088.0614 2 Sea Preacher [12-1] Lezcano J / Avila A. C. W
*Scratch* 4 Whateveryouwant [9/2] Bridgmohan S / Brown Bruce R.
*Scratch* 1a Son of a General [3-1] Luzzi M J / Levine Bruce N.

08/08/16, SAR, Race 2, 1.33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Minsky Moment [5/2] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
099.6986 :3: Haul Anchor [8/5] Alvarado J / McLaughlin Kiaran P. SWL
099.4400 :4: Gold for the King [8-1] Ortiz J L / Baker Charlton T
098.7557 :7: Bartleby [8-1] Velazquez J R / Hennig Mark A. J
098.3160 1 Caledonian [10-1] Santana. Jr. R / Terranova. II John P.
096.8851 2 Count On America [12-1] Carmouche K / Demasi Kathleen A.
096.4398 8 Follow the Signs [10-1] Saez L / Schettino Dominick C
095.5089 6 Pat On the Back [12-1] Davis D / McPeek Kenneth G.
094.9877 9 Party Paradise [20-1] Davis J A / Antonucci Jena M.

08/08/16, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Cloud Control [8/5] Arroyo A S / Kimmel John C. SFEC
093.1821 :6: Go Go Lucky [9/2] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J. TW
091.9833 :4: Uno Emayo [9/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. J
089.8439 :1: Rooftop View [6-1] Saez L / Lauer Michael E.
087.9703 7 Cuckoo's Saloon [20-1] Franco M / Quartarolo Anthony T. L
*Scratch* 8 Sudden Surprise(b+) [2-1] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A.
*Scratch* 5 Free N Clear [7/2] Alvarado J / Quick Patrick J.
*Scratch* 3 Dearie [15-1] Velazquez J R / O'Brien Leo

08/08/16, SAR, Race 4, 2.40 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Mighty Moses [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JT
099.4443 :1: Trade Zone [2-1] Rosario J / McLaughlin Kiaran P.
099.2224 :6: Mo Bourbon [6-1] Castellano J / Kenneally Eddie
099.1742 :2: General Downs [6-1] Ortiz J L / Stewart Dallas
098.6137 8 Basic Hero [10-1] Saez L / Lynch Brian A. W
097.8197 7 Art Boss [8-1] Franco M / Cannizzo David A. SEL
094.3537 5 Nick Can Fix(b-) [12-1] Cancel E / Weaver George FC
093.4450 1a Enroute [2-1] Davis D / Albertrani Thomas
*Scratch* 4 Super Numerator [6-1] Santana. Jr. R / Moquett Ron

08/08/16, SAR, Race 5, 3.14 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Kundray [3-1] Velazquez J R / Matz Michael R.
099.5836 :11: Table for Six [4-1] Castellano J / Nicks Ralph E. E
098.1447 :9: Flattermefabulous [5-1] Ortiz J L / Tagg Barclay
096.4934 :8: Cotton Candy Cutie [8-1] Saez L / Brown Bruce R. FC
096.0779 6 Queen of Castle [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Stoklosa Richard L. J
094.3351 3 Forever for Always [8-1] Alvarado J / Antonucci Jena M. S
093.7609 4 Baronet [15-1] Carmouche K / Sciacca Gary W
093.4882 7 Woodford Tea [20-1] Geroux F / Maker Michael J.
093.4286 12 Adirondack Luck [15-1] Franco M / Toner James J.
093.3136 1 Saratoga Smoke [15-1] Cancel E / Bond H. James L
092.5144 10 Abbie's Butterfly(b-) [30-1] Santana. Jr. R / Conway. Jr. Daniel H. T
091.4848 5 Light Reign [30-1] Bridgmohan S / Kelly Patrick J.
*Scratch* 14 Young Anna Lee [5/2] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
*Scratch* 13 Lovely Lanie [20-1] Arroyo A S / Englehart Chris J.

08/08/16, SAR, Race 6, 3.48 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Syndergaard [2-1] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A.
099.6639 :4: Mission Command [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JC
099.4026 :5: New York's Finest [6-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda T
098.6884 :6: Italian Syndicate [12-1] Castellano J / Maker Michael J.
097.8822 8 Expediter [15-1] Rosario J / Ferraro M. Anthony W
097.2240 7 Tellmeafookystory [9/2] Saez L / Schettino Dominick L
097.0448 1a Heavy Meddle [8-1] Alvarado J / Mott William I.
096.6790 3 D'yer Mak'er [10-1] Franco M / Zito Nicholas P.
095.5734 1 Mr. Buff [8-1] Arroyo A S / Kimmel John C.

08/08/16, SAR, Race 7, 4.24 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $78,000.
Exacta, Trifecta .(50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: Uncle Sigh [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Mott William I. JS
098.4850 :5: Cloontia [3-1] Alvarado J / Jerkens James A. FL
098.2014 :1: Forever in Love [6-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda TEW
096.1474 :7: Tiz a Chance [8-1] Franco M / Motion H. Graham C
095.0086 6 The Crocheron Kid [6-1] Velazquez J R / Donk David G.
094.8967 9 Memories of Peter(b+) [10-1] Lezcano J / Ryerson James T.
093.9663 3 Iced Over [15-1] Saez L / Lauer Michael E.
093.7953 2 Hirschbein [15-1] Castellano J / Esler Nicholas
093.7181 8 Harbor King [12-1] Geroux F / Metivier Richard
092.2889 4 Hidden Vow [20-1] Santana. Jr. R / Serpe Philip M.
*Scratch* 16 One Sided [3-1] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A.
*Scratch* 15 Becker's Galaxy [7/2] Ortiz J L / Amoss Thomas M.
*Scratch* 14 Gridley Here [4-1] Rosario J / McPeek Kenneth G.
*Scratch* 13 Lyrical Miracle [12-1] Arroyo A S / Donk David G.
*Scratch* 12 Dream Doctor [10-1] Arroyo A S / Woolley Tim
*Scratch* 11 Elroi [10-1] Geroux F / Pugh Peter D.

08/08/16, SAR, Race 8, 5.02 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $93,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Ocean Knight [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / McLaughlin Kiaran P. JEC
095.6315 :8: Toledo Eddie [3-1] Ortiz J L / Jacobson David
091.7934 :2: Juba [6-1] Velazquez J R / Jerkens James A. L
091.5283 :3: Schivarelli [4-1] Castellano J / Kenneally Eddie S
090.7255 4 Western Reserve [8-1] Lezcano J / Mott William I. F
090.3255 5 Cousin Stephen [10-1] Santana. Jr. R / Amoss Thomas M. TW
086.3361 1 Atlantic's Smile [30-1] Torres J / Stifano Raymond E.
*Scratch* 7 Royal Squeeze [12-1] Franco M / Cannizzo David A.

08/08/16, SAR, Race 9, 5.40 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Street Fightin Man [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Esler Nicholas
099.7899 :5: Southern Union [9/2] Saez L / Brown Bruce R. F
099.1794 :7: Brooklyn Speights [7/2] Geroux F / Ward Wesley A. JTE
097.8658 :12: Feets of Strength(b-) [8-1] Luzzi M J / Morley Thomas L
097.4459 8 Celtic Scout [10-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Chris J. WC
096.1063 9 Bapu [12-1] Davis D / Lawrence. II James L.
095.7256 4 Ezra [5-1] Cancel E / Zito Nicholas P.
093.6075 10 Potentially [8-1] Carmouche K / Antonucci Jena M.
092.1113 6 Disco Joey [20-1] Rosario J / Brown Bruce R.
089.1804 1 Abie [20-1] Gryder A T / Lerman Roy S.
088.7646 2 Paddy's Crown(b+) [12-1] Franco M / Zito Nicholas P. S
*Scratch* 16 Bulls Head Road [20-1] Saez L / Levine Bruce N.
*Scratch* 15 Jack Rocks(b+) [15-1] Cancel E / Nevin Michelle
*Scratch* 14 Mr. Sam [6-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe
*Scratch* 13 Space Ranger [20-1] Carmouche K / Reynolds Patrick L.
*Scratch* 11 Dan the Man [20-1] Castellano J / Conway. Jr. Daniel H.

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

RESULTS FOLLOW

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.07.08a)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at SAR is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/08/16, SAR, Race 1, 1:00 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :6: Aripeka [7/2 * ] JSELC last, 4 wide both turns (in a 5 horse field, Irad?)
098.3126 :3: Best Play [5/2] F 3rd - 2.50
096.0218 :1: Marriage Fever [3-1] 1st - 12.00 5.90 2.60
093.9301 :5: Castaway [4-1] T 2nd - 4.70 2.70
088.0614 2 Sea Preacher [12-1] W 4th
*Scratch* 4 Whateveryouwant [9/2]
*Scratch* 1a Son of a General [3-1]

08/08/16, SAR, Race 2, 1:33 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :5: Minsky Moment [5/2] 2nd - 2.20 2.50 DH
099.6986 :3: Haul Anchor [8/5 * ] SWL 2nd - 2.10 2.20 DH
099.4400 :4: Gold for the King [8-1] T 1st - 10.40 3.30 3.20
098.7557 :7: Bartleby [8-1] J
098.3160 1 Caledonian [10-1]
096.8851 2 Count On America [12-1]
096.4398 8 Follow the Signs [10-1] C
095.5089 6 Pat On the Back [12-1] 4th
094.9877 9 Party Paradise [20-1]

08/08/16, SAR, Race 3, 2:06 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :2: Cloud Control [8/5 * ] SFEC 3rd - 2.10
093.1821 :6: Go Go Lucky [9/2] TW 4th
091.9833 :4: Uno Emayo [9/2] J 1st - 14.80 6.30 2.90
089.8439 :1: Rooftop View [6-1] 2nd - 5.10 2.60
087.9703 7 Cuckoo's Saloon [20-1] L
*Scratch* 8 Sudden Surprise(b+) [2-1]
*Scratch* 5 Free N Clear [7/2]
*Scratch* 3 Dearie [15-1]

08/08/16, SAR, Race 4, 2:40 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $83,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :3: Mighty Moses [7/2] JT 4th checked late
099.4443 :1: Trade Zone [2-1] 1st - 9.80 5.60 3.40
099.2224 :6: Mo Bourbon [6-1 * ]
099.1742 :2: General Downs [6-1]
098.6137 8 Basic Hero [10-1] W DQ'd from 2nd to 5th
097.8197 7 Art Boss [8-1] SEL 3rd - 4.70
094.3537 5 Nick Can Fix(b-) [12-1] FC 2nd - 13.20 5.50
093.4450 1a Enroute [2-1]
*Scratch* 4 Super Numerator [6-1]

08/08/16, SAR, Race 5, 3:14 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :2: Kundray [3-1 * ] 1st - 7.50 3.60 2.90
099.5836 :11: Table for Six [4-1] E 2nd - 4.30 3.10 $2 Ex 29.60
098.1447 :9: Flattermefabulous [5-1]
096.4934 :8: Cotton Candy Cutie [8-1] FC
096.0779 6 Queen of Castle [6-1] J 3rd - 4.70
094.3351 3 Forever for Always [8-1] S 4th
093.7609 4 Baronet [15-1] W
093.4882 7 Woodford Tea [20-1]
093.4286 12 Adirondack Luck [15-1]
093.3136 1 Saratoga Smoke [15-1] L
092.5144 10 Abbie's Butterfly(b-) [30-1] T
091.4848 5 Light Reign [30-1]
*Scratch* 14 Young Anna Lee [5/2]
*Scratch* 13 Lovely Lanie [20-1]

08/08/16, SAR, Race 6, 3:48 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :2: Syndergaard [2-1 * ] 1st - 3.90 2.70 2.40
099.6639 :4: Mission Command [3-1] JC 2nd - 2.70 2.40 $2 Ex 8.50
099.4026 :5: New York's Finest [6-1] T
098.6884 :6: Italian Syndicate [12-1]
097.8822 8 Expediter [15-1] W
097.2240 7 Tellmeafookystory [9/2] L 4th
097.0448 1a Heavy Meddle [8-1] 3rd - 5.20
096.6790 3 D'yer Mak'er [10-1]
095.5734 1 Mr. Buff [8-1]
$2 DD 15.20

08/08/16, SAR, Race 7, 4:24 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.00 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $78,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :10: Uncle Sigh [5/2] JS 2nd - 3.90 3.00
098.4850 :5: Cloontia [3-1 * ] FL
098.2014 :1: Forever in Love [6-1] TEW 1st - 10.80 4.80 3.30
096.1474 :7: Tiz a Chance [8-1] C
095.0086 6 The Crocheron Kid [6-1]
094.8967 9 Memories of Peter(b+) [10-1]
093.9663 3 Iced Over [15-1] 3rd - 10.00
093.7953 2 Hirschbein [15-1]
093.7181 8 Harbor King [12-1]
092.2889 4 Hidden Vow [20-1] 4th
*Scratch* 16 One Sided [3-1]
*Scratch* 15 Becker's Galaxy [7/2]
*Scratch* 14 Gridley Here [4-1]
*Scratch* 13 Lyrical Miracle [12-1]
*Scratch* 12 Dream Doctor [10-1]
*Scratch* 11 Elroi [10-1]

08/08/16, SAR, Race 8, 5:02 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $93,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :6: Ocean Knight [2-1] JEC 2nd - 4.30 3.30
095.6315 :8: Toledo Eddie [3-1 * ]
091.7934 :2: Juba [6-1] L 4th
091.5283 :3: Schivarelli [4-1] S 1st - 8.70 4.00 2.90
090.7255 4 Western Reserve [8-1] F 3rd - 5.00 lost whip early
090.3255 5 Cousin Stephen [10-1] TW
086.3361 1 Atlantic's Smile [30-1]
*Scratch* 7 Royal Squeeze [12-1]

08/08/16, SAR, Race 9, 5:40 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :3: Street Fightin Man [8-1] 4th to 5th
099.7899 :5: Southern Union [9/2 * ] F 3rd - 3.50
099.1794 :7: Brooklyn Speights [7/2] JTE 4th
097.8658 :12: Feets of Strength(b-) [8-1] L 1st - 15.20 7.00 4.50
097.4459 8 Celtic Scout [10-1] WC
096.1063 9 Bapu [12-1]
095.7256 4 Ezra [5-1]
093.6075 10 Potentially [8-1]
092.1113 6 Disco Joey [20-1]
089.1804 1 Abie [20-1]
088.7646 2 Paddy's Crown(b+) [12-1] S 2nd - 12.60 9.40
*Scratch* 16 Bulls Head Road [20-1]
*Scratch* 15 Jack Rocks(b+) [15-1]
*Scratch* 14 Mr. Sam [6-1]
*Scratch* 13 Space Ranger [20-1]
*Scratch* 11 Dan the Man [20-1]

[Augenj]

END OF RESULTS