Willphorse Blowout July 16th

[willphorse]

Lets try this again after Day 1 was a success. Will again attempt to show a flat bet profit using this approach. Lose some battles, but always better to win the war!


BUFFALO

Race 1- 2 Lemon Drop Kid
Race 2- 1 Ali De Vie
Race 3- 4 Harlot's Dream
Race 4- 4 The Bronx Bumper
Race 5- 1 East Meadow
Race 6- 7 Noble Legend
Race 7- 6 Maple Leaf Matt
Race 8- 3 S J Moore
Race 9- 2 Armbro Casino
Race 10- 2 Fast Fool
Race 11- 3 Chelseas Chance




HARRAHS PHILADELPHIA

Race 1- 7 Gaelic Thunder
Race 2- 6 Lark Seelster
Race 3- 2 Moon Rocket
Race 4- 6 Goin Again
Race 5- 1 Stanhope
Race 6- 8 Jaclyn Hanover
Race 7- 5 Cantotis
Race 8- 7 Beyonces Rockin
Race 9- 5 Tyson
Race 10- 5 Ginger Tree Alexis
Race 11- 8 Dr Cal
Race 12- 4 Blush Hanover
Race 13- 3 Toms Treasure
Race 14- 3 Cover Up Hall




MEADOWLANDS

Race 1- 3 Brandos Muscle Man
Race 2- 6 Every Way Out
Race 3- 9 International Moni
Race 4- 8 Fly On
Race 5- 7 Clementine Dream
Race 6- 6 Checkmate Time
Race 7- 9 Gweneeee J
Race 8- 6 Winning Double
Race 9- 3 Ourea Nourrir
Race 10- 1 King Of Magic
Race 11- 1 Livinginthedream
Race 12- 7 Dabunka
Race 13- 2 Moonlight Ransom
Race 14- 7 Janie Bay




MOHAWK

Race 1- 7 Darktwistedfantasy
Race 2- 2 Bet On Brett
Race 3- 1 Deweykeepumnwhy
Race 4- 9 Bernadette
Race 5- 5 Southwind Geisha
Race 6- 3 Catch The Dream
Race 7- 4 Aston Hill Dave
Race 8- 3 Shark Control
Race 9- 4 Never Been Told
Race 10- 6 Sandbetweenurtoes
Race 11-2 Barockey




SARATOGA

Race 1- 1 Duck Duck Dragon
Race 2- 7 Grand Vision
Race 3- 1 Gators Ben Winning
Race 4- 2 Peachy
Race 5- 3 Carrickmannon N
Race 6- 1 Hot Patootie
Race 7- 4 Bye Bye Michelle
Race 8- 6 Mademoiselle Paris
Race 9- 2 Hathaway Anne
Race 10- 4 Cowgirl Chic
Race 11- 2 Cam Funny



TIOGA

Race 1- 6 Pastor Dudley
Race 2- 2 Conman's Dream
Race 3- 5 R Marie Hanover
Race 4- 7 My Hope
Race 5- 2 Davita
Race 6- 3 K J's Caroline
Race 7- 5 Cherry Bliss
Race 8- 2 Hold On Tightly
Race 9- 8 Majestic Won




VERNON


Race 1- 7 Try This
Race 2- 3 Mystical Dew
Race 3- 2 Arch Enemy
Race 4- 3 Casmir Operaqueen
Race 5- 2 Gimme The Cash
Race 6- 3 On The Tab
Race 7- 4 Tundra
Race 8- 4 Stage Presence
Race 9- 4 The African
Race 10- 7 Three Handbags
Race 11- 2 Blended Whiskey
Race 12- 4 Painite




YONKERS

Race 1- 4 Annuity
Race 2- 2 Azorean Art
Race 3- 3 Sage N
Race 4- 3 Cinamony
Race 5- 1 Bettor N Better
Race 6- 1 ENTRY
Race 7- 7 Rampage Jackson
Race 8- 8 Medusa
Race 9- 1 Pasultimatedelight N
Race 10- 4 Tober
Race 11- 4 Time On My Hands
Race 12- 3 Grounded

[willphorse]

$20.80 Winner, Race 3 at Philly. Good way to start the day.

[willphorse]

First track is in the books


HARRAHS PHILADELPHIA

Race 1- 7 Gaelic Thunder
Race 2- 6 Lark Seelster Showed
Race 3- 2 Moon Rocket Winner $20.80
Race 4- 6 Goin Again
Race 5- 1 Stanhope Winner $3.80
Race 6- 8 Jaclyn Hanover Placed
Race 7- 5 Cantotis Winner $4.80
Race 8- 7 Beyonces Rockin Showed
Race 9- 5 Tyson Winner $4.40
Race 10- 5 Ginger Tree Alexis Winner $2.40
Race 11- 8 Dr Cal Placed
Race 12- 4 Blush Hanover Winner $3.20
Race 13- 3 Toms Treasure
Race 14- 3 Cover Up Hall Winner $16.40



14 Races...6 Winners (43%), 2 Placed, 2 Showed (71% ITM)
$28 In, $55.80 Returned.... FLAT BET PROFIT $27.80

[willphorse]

Some more updates

BUFFALO

Race 1- 2 Lemon Drop Kid Winner $3.30
Race 2- 1 Ali De Vie Showed
Race 3- 4 Harlot's Dream Placed
Race 4- 4 The Bronx Bumper Placed
Race 5- 1 East Meadow Winner $3.00
Race 6- 7 Noble Legend
Race 7- 6 Maple Leaf Matt Placed
Race 8- 3 S J Moore Placed
Race 9- 2 Armbro Casino Winner $6.10
Race 10- 2 Fast Fool Showed
Race 11- 3 Chelseas Chance Placed


11 Races...3 Winners...5 Placed...2 Showed
$22 In...$12.40 Returned.... LOSS OF $9.60




TIOGA

Race 1- 6 Pastor Dudley
Race 2- 2 Conman's Dream
Race 3- 5 R Marie Hanover
Race 4- 7 My Hope Winner $3.80
Race 5- 2 Davita SCRATCHED
Race 6- 3 K J's Caroline Placed
Race 7- 5 Cherry Bliss Showed
Race 8- 2 Hold On Tightly
Race 9- 8 Majestic Won Winner $24.60


8 Races (1 Scratched)...2 Winners...1 Placed...1 Show
$16 In, $28.40 Returned..... PROFIT OF $12.40





SARATOGA

Race 1- 1 Duck Duck Dragon
Race 2- 7 Grand Vision Winner $3.10
Race 3- 1 Gators Ben Winning
Race 4- 2 Peachy Winner $4.10
Race 5- 3 Carrickmannon N
Race 6- 1 Hot Patootie Placed
Race 7- 4 Bye Bye Michelle Placed
Race 8- 6 Mademoiselle Paris Winner $7.70
Race 9- 2 Hathaway Anne Placed
Race 10- 4 Cowgirl Chic Placed
Race 11- 2 Cam Funny Showed


11 Races....3 Winners....4 Placed....1 Showed
$22 In....$14.90 Returned.... LOSS OF $7.10




VERNON


Race 1- 7 Try This Showed
Race 2- 3 Mystical Dew
Race 3- 2 Arch Enemy Placed
Race 4- 3 Casmir Operaqueen Winner $6.30
Race 5- 2 Gimme The Cash Placed
Race 6- 3 On The Tab Showed
Race 7- 4 Tundra
Race 8- 4 Stage Presence
Race 9- 4 The African Placed
Race 10- 7 Three Handbags Placed
Race 11- 2 Blended Whiskey Showed
Race 12- 4 Painite Winner $4.10


12 Races...2 Winner...4 Placed...3 Showed
$24 In, $10.40 Returned.... LOSS OF $13.60

[Fox]

How'd you finish? Was looking like a flat bet profit again.

[willphorse]

MEADOWLANDS

Race 1- 3 Brandos Muscle Man
Race 2- 6 Every Way Out Winner $2.10
Race 3- 9 International Moni
Race 4- 8 Fly On Showed
Race 5- 7 Clementine Dream Placed
Race 6- 6 Checkmate Time
Race 7- 9 Gweneeee J
Race 8- 6 Winning Double Winner $6.80
Race 9- 3 Ourea Nourrir Winner $13.60
Race 10- 1 King Of Magic
Race 11- 1 Livinginthedream Placed
Race 12- 7 Dabunka Winner $6.40
Race 13- 2 Moonlight Ransom
Race 14- 7 Janie Bay

14 Races....4 Winners....2 Placed....1 Showed
$28 In, $28.90 Out..... PROFIT $0.90



MOHAWK

Race 1- 7 Darktwistedfantasy
Race 2- 2 Bet On Brett
Race 3- 1 Deweykeepumnwhy
Race 4- 9 Bernadette Winner $11.10
Race 5- 5 Southwind Geisha
Race 6- 3 Catch The Dream Placed
Race 7- 4 Aston Hill Dave Placed
Race 8- 3 Shark Control
Race 9- 4 Never Been Told Showed
Race 10- 6 Sandbetweenurtoes Showed
Race 11-2 Barockey Showed

11 Races....1 Winner....2 Placed....3 Showed
$22 In, $11.10 Returned.... LOSS OF $8.90





YONKERS

Race 1- 4 Annuity Placed
Race 2- 2 Azorean Art Showed
Race 3- 3 Sage N
Race 4- 3 Cinamony Showed
Race 5- 1 Bettor N Better Winner $4.40
Race 6- 1 ENTRY Showed
Race 7- 7 Rampage Jackson
Race 8- 8 Medusa Placed
Race 9- 1 Pasultimatedelight N
Race 10- 4 Tober Placed
Race 11- 4 Time On My Hands Winner $3.50
Race 12- 3 Grounded Placed

12 Races....2 Winners...4 Placed....3 Showed
$24 In, $7.90 Returned... LOSS OF $16.10




ALL SAID AND DONE.... LOSS $14 ON THE DAY

[Fox]

ALL SAID AND DONE.... LOSS $14 ON THE DAY

Not bad though. Returned more than 90%. Did you happen to calculate win, place and show roi's?

[willphorse]

I will have that info for you this evening. Might be something to think about. There have been some 15 and 20-1's that have placed or showed. Although, Very interested in place ROI. Also, this approach offers the ability to see clearly whether there is an overlay or not. Some races it selects a 1-2 favorite where it is equal or close to a 8-1, and the 8-1 beats the favorite.

I will also post tomorrow's selections, but will explain the races a bit further.

[willphorse]

The best part Fox, I literally spend 20-30 seconds per race using this approach. Betting, I def handicap the races further than just this, but it is interesting that these standards alone offer even the newest handicapper a chance to make some money. Absolutely more to come!

[willphorse]

Not bad though. Returned more than 90%. Did you happen to calculate win, place and show roi's?


These are what I came up with.... after the first 2 days (Place and show could be double checked, but they should be close)


Win... +$25.70
Place... -$1.20
Show... +$32.80