HONG KONG/ShaTin -Fri 7/1 Live

[Nitro]

Only 2 weekends left @ Sha Tin for the meet! They'll re-open in early September.

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with BIG fields in ALL of the 11 races (3 AWT & 8 Turf)

Post Time Race #1 – 12:30 AM FRI EST

TVG seems to be back in the game and offering live video.

If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

GL if you’re playing & feel free to join in !
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1) In case anyone is wondering how to structure a Quinella bet with 2 Key entries and 4 others (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ) do the following:
K1/K2, K1/A, K1/B, K1/C, K1/D & K2/A, K2/B, K2/C, K2/D =
(9) Bets ($2 denominations or higher).

2) Because many of the Quinellas offer really good value it’s sometime even worthwhile (when the overall odds of the selected entries are reasonably high) to simply play all of the Quinella combinations for all 6 picks: A-B-C-D-E-F
A w/B-C-D-E-F…. B w/C-D-E-F….C w/D-E-F….D w/E-F…..E w/F =
(15) Bets ($2 denominations or higher).

Either of these same structures above can be used with the Quinella/Place bet which means:
1a) If either Key finishes 1st , 2nd , or 3rd and any of others finish in-the-money with them you can potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets or,
2a) If any of the (15) Quinellas chosen are used in the Quinella/Place bet you can also potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets.


3) Structuring a Triple is a bit more expensive, but if the value is there then try the following with (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ):
K1 / K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Winner
K2-A-B-C-D / K1 / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Placer
K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D / K1 = 20 Bets w/K1 in for Show (use only if value is there)
If you repeat this structure with K2 for Win & Place with the others it’ll be 80 Bets, but there’s potential to hit the Triple 2X if both are in the money.
.

[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong for July 1st at Sha Tin.
Weather report: 90 degrees partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain wind: S 15mph.
Post time: 12.30am ET 9.30pm PT Rail: “A + 3” Course, track listed: Good AWT: Good

Links to past performances:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20160701_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html


Vulnerable favourites:
Race 4 :2: Good Method (5-2) Still trying to find a win after 20 races.


Races with runners coming out of key races (multiple winners that have come back out of those races and won at or higher class than today's).

Race 9 :3: Startling Power (8-1) and :8: Deja vu (6-1) Both coming out of race 692 where the 3rd and 4th place runners came back and won next out.


Horses off my watch list:

Race 1 :2: Look Eras (18-1) Slowly away, raced in the middle of the track, 2 lengths or so back without cover, finished off evenly.

Race 9 :1: Borntoachieve (8-1) Rolled forward and raced 3 wide without cover outside the lead, kept pushing and ran on nicely for 2nd.

Race 10 :13: Sure Peace (7-2) Had feet in air at start and slow into stride, shifted across behind runners, last on settling. Began forward mover 600m, circling field 4-wide to be 4th into straight. Boxed on gamely.

Race 11 :8: Noble De Boy (20-1) Fractious in gate, lifted front feet as gates opened, losing ground. Tagged on to main field 1100m, taken to centre track on straightening and ran on fairly.

Race 11 :11: Lucky Guy (20-1) Jumped OK, not pushed, setting towards rear in one-off position, Severely hampered and taken very wide around home turn, dropping to last. Never a factor after that.


Longshots:

Race 3 :4: Tango Fire (11-1)
Race 4 :12: Enjoy the Game (33-1)
Race 6 :4: Joy Luck Win (12-1)
Race 7 :3: Ambitious Champion (10-1)
Race 9 :5: Elite Spirit (13-1)
Race 10 :2: Ultimate Glory (9-1)

[kevb]

Hi Woodbine. Thanks for sharing your Key race and HTW. Happy hunting.

[Nitro]

Good morning fellas!

Thanks once again for your input Woody! BTW we missed you Sunday morning.
It turned out to be quite card! Lets hope we have more of the same today.

Good Luck guys! :ThmbUp:

[woodbinepmi]

Went to the races at Evangeline and got some food poisoning up in the clubhouse. Made my bets and went straight to bed. Awful
Hopefully you guys did well.

[woodbinepmi]

Is anybody else having picture trouble? Watching on Twin Spires and the picture is really bad.

Race 1 Class Griffin 1200 (6 furlongs)

:2: Look Eras (16-1) Broke sideways then the horse next to him came over into his path, rushed up to the front afterward when room, flattened out around 100 metre mark. Has beaten the favourite in here already, love the price.

:2: Over :7: :1: :3: :11: Over :14: :12:

[Nitro]

Went to the races at Evangeline and got some food poisoning up in the clubhouse. Made my bets and went straight to bed. Awful
Hopefully you guys did well.
Food/stomach issues like that can really get to you. A 24 hour stomach virus is bad enough, but food poisoning is terrible.
Glad to hear you're feeling better and back in action.

[Nitro]

Is anybody else having picture trouble? Watching on Twin Spires and the picture is really bad.

Xpressbet video seems to be alright, but I'm watching TVG on a huge flat screen.

[woodbinepmi]

thank you sir

[Nitro]

Okay guys time to make some money!

This one looks wide open.

R#1 – 3-11 W/ 1-7-14-6

[Parkview_Pirate]

Evening Gents. Reunification good for an extra day of holiday racing. Sweet.

Race 1: like the :6: with :2: :3: :11:

Twinspires having video issues - lots of pixelization. Watching on TVG instead.

[woodbinepmi]

Good one Parkview with the longshot, from what I did see that horse came flying. Called Twinspires about the picture, but of course there is nobody there.

[Parkview_Pirate]

Good one Parkview with the longshot, from what I did see that horse came flying. Called Twinspires about the picture, but of course there is nobody there.

Thanks. Nice to start off the evening with a 15-1 shot, who looked hopelessly lost at the start. Missed the gimmicks and only had win money on him. My neighbors know I reeled in a longshot..... :D

[Nitro]

Okay guys time to make some money!

This one looks wide open.

R#1 – 3-11 W/ 1-7-14-6
Hi there Parkview! Nice call on the LS Winner!

Results: All of that one!

R# 1 = 6-7-1-3 - Full QUIN BX gets it done! :ThmbUp:

$2.00 QUINELLA – 6-7 - $136.60

[woodbinepmi]

Race 2 Class 4 1000 Metres

:1: Wild Boy (4-1) Was slow 4 lengths out of the gate in his last so you can throw that race totally out. Drop in class and getting the 7 pounds weight advantage with the bug girl. Have to beat the first time starter for Size.
Total chaos race.

[Nitro]

Top 3 getting solid action. The 1st timer #4 is getting some play too, but post may be an issue without any experience.

R# 2 - 1-10 W/ 3-7-14-13

[kevb]

Race 2:

Class drop, weight claim, on or near the lead in a 1000m, KK pilotiong, 3-1.

It doesn't take much to make me happy.

WP:1:

[Parkview_Pirate]

Race 2: Pretty much agree, Nitro. :4: looks great on the track, but the outside post makes it tough. Can't see how the :1: doesn't be part of it, but I'll key the higher priced :7: .

:7: with :1: :3: :4: :13:

[Nitro]

Top 3 getting solid action. The 1st timer #4 is getting some play too, but post may be an issue without any experience.

R# 2 - 1-10 W/ 3-7-14-13

Results: All of that one!

R# 2 = 14-10-7-3 - QUIN – Q/P (All) & TRI BX :ThmbUp:

$2.00 WIN – 5 - $3.70
$2.00 QUINELLA – 10-14 - $74.80
$2.00 TRIFECTA – 14-10-7 – $1,690.60

[Nitro]

Going deeper here only because #2 is getting some surprising action. It just went from 30/1 to 23/1. If you like #8 or #11 they're also getting some play, but can't play them all. It's wide open!

R# 3 - 7-12 W/ 9-4-5-3-2

[Parkview_Pirate]

Race 3: Like the Magic Man's horse to be part of this one.

:9: with :2: :3: :6:

[kevb]

Race 3::

For acid indigestion, take a Je/KK Q box and call me in the morning

Q :9: :12: / :6: :8::9::10::12:

[Nitro]

Going deeper here only because #2 is getting some surprising action. It just went from 30/1 to 23/1. If you like #8 or #11 they're also getting some play, but can't play them all. It's wide open!

R# 3 - 7-12 W/ 9-4-5-3-2
Results: All there, but both Keys gave it up! :ThmbDown:

R# 3 = 4-9-5-7 - Nothing in that one – but once again great value!

[Nitro]

Top 3 getting the best action.

R# 4 - 1-2 W/ 9-7-8-6

[kevb]

Race 4:
Angle play. The :10: popped and stopped last race at 1650 on AWT. Horses that show unexpected/first time early speed frequently run an improved race next out. At 30-1, I'll take a shot.

WP:10:

[Parkview_Pirate]

Race 4: :4: with :2: :8: :9:

[woodbinepmi]

Race 4:
Angle play. The :10: popped and stopped last race at 1650 on AWT. Horses that show unexpected/first time early speed frequently run an improved race next out. At 30-1, I'll take a shot.

WP:10:
that will pay the cable bill, good for you. "Don't spend it all in one place".

[ctownraces@bp]

Race 4:
Angle play. The :10: popped and stopped last race at 1650 on AWT. Horses that show unexpected/first time early speed frequently run an improved race next out. At 30-1, I'll take a shot.

WP:10:


Very nice

[Nitro]

Very nice call there Kev! :ThmbUp:
A quinella wheel would have been nice too!
Results:

R# 4 = 10-4-2-1 - Nothing in that one – No clues on that BIG LS Winner

[kevb]

:). Nothing cures losing like winning. Much better now.

[Parkview_Pirate]

Race 4:
Angle play. The :10: popped and stopped last race at 1650 on AWT. Horses that show unexpected/first time early speed frequently run an improved race next out. At 30-1, I'll take a shot.

WP:10:

Nice pick, though running down my 4 dog was tough to see. Once again missed the gimmicks, but at least this time I had some place dough on my pick.

[Nitro]

:). Nothing cures losing like winning. Much better now.
Absolutely! And there's nothing like sharing that success with others!

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 12-7 W/ 13-9-5-2

[Parkview_Pirate]

Race 5: Each way on the :9: , saver Q/QP with the :7:

[kevb]

Race 5:

:7: looks tough, but I'll try the :14:. Closed like a freight train 2 back.

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 12-7 W/ 13-9-5-2
Nice call on the #9 Parkview! Another Quinella wheel did the trick.
Results:

R# 5 = 10-9-5-11 - Nothing in that one – No clues on that LS Winner

[Parkview_Pirate]

Argh. Second again, three races in a row, beaten by another LS who did look good (nicely dappled) on the track. Should be playing that place parlay...... :(

[kevb]

Race 6:

Torn between :5: and :7:. Maybe too much early pace for :7:.

WP:5:. Course and distance specialist.

[Nitro]

Top 3 getting good action. The only one that bothers me is #9.

R# 6 - 4-5 W/ 12-7-1-11

[Parkview_Pirate]

Race 6: :9: each way, saver QP with the :1:

[kevb]

The video is very bad for me now. Anyone else?

[Nitro]

Top 3 getting good action. The only one that bothers me is #9.

R# 6 - 4-5 W/ 12-7-1-11

Results:

R# 6 = 1-10-5-7 - Q/P only – Winner got lots of late action.

[kevb]

Race 7:

Q Box :2::4::11::12::13:

KK owes me money:

WP :12:

[Nitro]

Going a bit deeper here. #9 just went from 26/1 to 14/1 and gets good post and #6 is getting surprising action.

R# 7 - 2-4 W/ 5-8-3-6-9

[Parkview_Pirate]

Race 7: :8: each way, QPs :8: with :7: :12:

Video has been smooth on TVG all night. Still looks wacky on Twinspires. I thought they (ADWs) all went through Roberts Comm, but maybe not for Sha Tin.

[kevb]

Race 8:

KK owes me money.


WP :2:

[Nitro]

Going a bit deeper here. #9 just went from 26/1 to 14/1 and gets good post and #6 is getting surprising action.

R# 7 - 2-4 W/ 5-8-3-6-9
Results:

R# 7 = 4-7-9-6 - WIN & Q/P

$2.00 WIN – 4 - $10.60


Okay guys it’s been fun! But I also have some early plans for tomorrow.
GL the rest of the way! :ThmbUp:

These are my picks for remaining races based on the early action.

R# 8 - 4-1 W/ 3-6-5-9

R# 9 - 8-7 W/ 1-3-10-11

R# 10 - 7-13 W/ 12-8-2-3

R# 11 - 14-7 W/ 4-1-5-10
.
.

[Parkview_Pirate]

Last race for me too. Just tired.

Race 8: Medium wager each way on the :9: