TheOracle
06-26-2016, 01:03 AM
The reason I ask is because I have seen many instances where a Trainer who is doing well in certain situations all of a sudden makes a change and does the opposite of what was successful in the first place and I always wonder as to why they do this.
In a very recent example, D A Cannizzo has been very successful, in terms of return on investment across the board, with Joel Rosario this year at Belmont on the Dirt Surface.
http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/canrocombobel.jpg
However, today both of them hooked up with #4 Verger in the 7th race which was on the Turf. Although #4 Verger was able to finish 3rd Cannizzo has not done well at all in Turf races this year at Belmont.
http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/canallcombotrfbel.jpg
I believe this is where handicapping comes in to play because I don't know why he would switch to Turf when he is having such success on the Dirt surface especially with Rosario.
It makes me wonder if Trainers enter horses in situations that are not favorable in order to throw the betting public off the scent to get a larger payout for their top performers.
I suspect that Trainers are allowed to make wagers and with that being the case it would be in their best interest to get the highest win or across the board prices as possible.
Other sports don't usually do that for example, if a football team is having success running the ball they in most instances continue to run the ball except for the Seattle Seahawks and they paid dearly for their poor decision on the last play of the superbowl in 2015.
If a pitcher is having success getting outs by throwing the fastball he keeps doing it until the other team proves they can hit the pitch. In basketball if a team can't defend the 3 pointer other teams will shoot them until they prove they can defend the 3 pointer.
I guess this is one of the things that makes horseracing different from any other sport.
In a very recent example, D A Cannizzo has been very successful, in terms of return on investment across the board, with Joel Rosario this year at Belmont on the Dirt Surface.
http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/canrocombobel.jpg
However, today both of them hooked up with #4 Verger in the 7th race which was on the Turf. Although #4 Verger was able to finish 3rd Cannizzo has not done well at all in Turf races this year at Belmont.
http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/canallcombotrfbel.jpg
I believe this is where handicapping comes in to play because I don't know why he would switch to Turf when he is having such success on the Dirt surface especially with Rosario.
It makes me wonder if Trainers enter horses in situations that are not favorable in order to throw the betting public off the scent to get a larger payout for their top performers.
I suspect that Trainers are allowed to make wagers and with that being the case it would be in their best interest to get the highest win or across the board prices as possible.
Other sports don't usually do that for example, if a football team is having success running the ball they in most instances continue to run the ball except for the Seattle Seahawks and they paid dearly for their poor decision on the last play of the superbowl in 2015.
If a pitcher is having success getting outs by throwing the fastball he keeps doing it until the other team proves they can hit the pitch. In basketball if a team can't defend the 3 pointer other teams will shoot them until they prove they can defend the 3 pointer.
I guess this is one of the things that makes horseracing different from any other sport.