Top Horse Analytics: 06/15/2016 BEL Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: BEL, CD, GP, SA
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SAR, TAM

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.06.10a)

Race Cancellations (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)

Race Results
Full Charts (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
THA Race Results (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

06/15/16, BEL, Race 1, 1.30 ET
6F [Turf] 1.06.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Gee Pea Ess [6/5] Ortiz J L / Nevin Michelle JTSFL
099.2255 :6: Ackerman Road(b-) [6-1] Carmouche K / Levine Bruce N. W
095.6085 :2: Axtell [5/2] Lezcano J / Casse Mark E. E
095.6021 :7: Without Fear [30-1] Brown D / Grant Gaston C
095.5980 1a Azarel [12-1] Alvarado J / Cannizzo David A.
095.0759 3 Kettles On [5-1] Franco M / Morley Thomas
094.7575 4 Dr. Edgar [20-1] Gryder A T / Domino Carl J.
092.6993 1 Czarmo [12-1] Davis J A / Contessa Gary C.

06/15/16, BEL, Race 2, 2.01 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.01 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Warriors Diva [2-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda JTF
095.0018 :7: Majesticconfection [7/2] Davis J A / Adsit Abigail C. EC
093.6345 :5: Oaks (BRZ) [4-1] Torres J / Brown Bruce R. S
093.4961 :4: Megan's Muse [5-1] Arroyo A S / Terranova. II John P. L
093.4875 1 Your Turn [8-1] Alvarado J / O'Brien Leo W
092.2471 8 Native Crossing [15-1] Cancel E / Esler Nicholas
090.0642 3 Youreadaisyifyado [15-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Metivier Richard
*Scratch* 2 Regifting [30-1] Davis J A / Fisher Linda

06/15/16, BEL, Race 3, 2.32 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.38.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Squeeze Thetrigger [15-1] Arroyo A S / Jerkens James A. W
099.4466 :12: Casigordo [10-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Falcone. Jr. Robert N.
099.1724 :9: Slapstick [8-1] Rosario J / Morley Thomas E
099.1134 :1: Pinnacle Mountain [4-1] Castellano J / Bush Thomas M.
098.9556 5 Gucci Factor [6-1] Ortiz J L / Clement Christophe J
098.4794 3 Cloontia [9/5] Alvarado J / Jerkens James A. SL
096.9810 8 Rapt(b+) [20-1] Cancel E / Ribaudo Robert
096.8140 6 Dot Matrix [6-1] Saez L / Adsit Abigail C. F
096.3037 2 Bushmill Giant [30-1] Lezcano J / Bush Thomas M. C
094.8244 11 Uncle Chester [12-1] Franco M / Gyarmati Leah
*Scratch* 4 Fa Niente [5-1] Alvarado J / Schosberg Richard E.
*Scratch* 10 Ro Bear(b+) [6-1] No Rider Yet / Schettino Dominick

06/15/16, BEL, Race 4, 3.04 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: No Tanx Blue Chip [7/2] Carmouche K / Levine Bruce N. E
099.7965 :12: Peculiar Sensation [3-1] Franco M / Esler Nicholas FL
099.7427 :8: Buckwellspent [4-1] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J. JTC
097.4909 :11: We Did(b-) [15-1] Torres J / Ronen Assaf
096.4457 5 Bold Illusion [12-1] Davis J A / Metivier Richard SW
095.1317 7 One Nice Pal(b+) [10-1] Saez L / Englehart Chris J.
094.5691 6 Sky Chaparral [20-1] Ayala A J / Mazza Joseph W.
093.5347 1 B Q Express [30-1] Ulloa E / Grant Gaston
092.7302 2 Wizard of Id [20-1] Arroyo A S / Levine Bruce N.
091.9443 3 Decompression(b+) [30-1] Cancel E / Terranova. II John P.
091.5260 10 Mr Curiosity [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Gustavo
*Scratch* 9 El Genio [12-1] Davis J A / Iselin James H.

06/15/16, BEL, Race 5, 3.36 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $53,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Narvaez [7/2] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda JTC
098.6264 :8: Mean Season [5/2] Franco M / Mott William I. WL
098.5587 :3: Galardonado [4-1] Castellano J / Englehart Chris J.
098.5092 :5: Draxhall Woods [6-1] Rosario J / Pino Michael V.
098.0456 1 El Botas [5-1] Carmouche K / Sharp Joe S
097.0357 7 Saltine Warrior [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Klesaris Steve F
096.7282 4 Pablo Del Monte [15-1] Esquivel E / Jacobson David E
*Scratch* 2 Dean Verdile [15-1] Alvarado J / Friedman Mitchell E.

06/15/16, BEL, Race 6, 4.09 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $65,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - $250K Guaranteed Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :11: Capriana [5/2] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A. SFC
099.6080 :2: Fourstar Crook [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C. TE
096.3588 :3: Conquest Superstep [5-1] Rosario J / Casse Mark E. L
095.2974 :9: Swear by It [7/2] Franco M / Esler Nicholas
093.1027 4 Loon River [10-1] Ortiz J L / Morley Thomas JW
092.4154 6 Singsong [12-1] DeCarlo C P / Kimmel John C.
089.2576 7 Lady Bling [12-1] Lezcano J / Donk David G.
087.0223 8 Langfirst [20-1] Davis J A / Contessa Gary C.
086.7413 1 Life's a Stage [50-1] Cancel E / Lostritto Joseph A.
084.6576 10 Graceful Gal [30-1] Camacho. Jr. S / O'Brien Leo
*Scratch* 5 Prairie Stone [5/2] Ortiz J L / Klesaris Steve
*Scratch* 12 Tahoe Tigress [5-1] No Rider Yet / Englehart Jeremiah C.

06/15/16, BEL, Race 7, 4.41 ET
6F [Inner Turf] 1.06.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $62,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Somerset Sandy [6-1] Saez L / Weaver George FE
099.3878 :11: Lady Lucky [12-1] Rosario J / Cannizzo David A. C
099.1595 :10: Animal Appeal [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Englehart Jeremiah C. SL
098.2596 :12: C d'Cat [4-1] Carmouche K / Sharp Joe
096.4873 13 Weather Girl [6-1] Castellano J / Asmussen Steven M. T
093.4653 1 Bubbe Zena [20-1] Franco M / Donk David G.
092.5619 8 Louisville First [20-1] Alvarado J / Weaver George
091.7244 3 Esther the Queen [4-1] Davis D / Esler Nicholas
090.2519 5 Bold Print [10-1] Ortiz J L / Morley Thomas JW
087.1393 4 Laura's Patriot [30-1] Cancel E / Toscano. Jr. John T.
085.2365 2 Arietta [20-1] Gryder A T / Bond H. James
083.3578 9 Lakeview Lady(b-) [30-1] Torres J / Hertler John O.
*Scratch* 7 Congarette [] S /
*Scratch* 16 Love You Babe [5-1] Torres J / Ibrahim Emron
*Scratch* 15 Moondance Joy [2-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 14 Roman Reign [8-1] No Rider Yet / Pugh Peter D.

06/15/16, BEL, Race 8, 5.13 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $85,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Juba [5/2] Castellano J / Jerkens James A. L
099.7429 :4: All Star Red [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Gustavo
098.9923 :10: Captain Serious [8-1] Ortiz J L / Hushion Michael E. J
098.7975 :1: Chief Lion [7/2] Esquivel E / Jacobson David S
098.1433 8 Loki's Vengeance [10-1] Lezcano J / Hushion Michael E. E
097.3346 9 Drama King [12-1] Alvarado J / Rodriguez Gustavo F
096.6942 3 Nubin Ridge [12-1] Franco M / Englehart Chris J. C
096.6117 6 John's Island [20-1] Arroyo A S / Jerkens James A.
096.1084 5 Noble Cornerstone [20-1] Saez L / Morley Thomas W
095.5047 2 Sam Sparkle [15-1] Rosario J / Cannizzo David A.
*Scratch* 1a Fabulous Kid [7/2] DeCarlo C P / Jacobson David

06/15/16, BEL, Race 9, 5.45 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Dean's Ticket(b+) [15-1] Rosario J / Contessa Gary C. SW
099.3175 :1: Antebellum [10-1] Saez L / McLaughlin Kiaran P. L
098.9215 :5: She's So Fine [12-1] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J. J
098.0912 :12: Madame Barbarian [4-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Asmussen Steven M.
097.6820 8 Fazzle Dazzle(b-) [30-1] DeCarlo C P / Imperio Joseph T
095.4913 10 Ellenvelyn (GB) [4-1] Castellano J / Bush Thomas M.
095.3657 4 Ellie Girl [8-1] Lezcano J / Servis Jason
095.1129 2 Rain in Spain [6-1] Alvarado J / Kimmel John C.
094.9582 9 City Section [20-1] Gryder A T / Bush Thomas M.
094.3424 6 Glosky [50-1] Arroyo A S / Barbara Robert
093.4716 3 Hudson River Gal [3-1] Davis D / Hushion Michael E. FEC
093.1783 11 Runaway Scarlett [15-1] Franco M / Zito Nicholas P.
*Scratch* 15 Galroyale [15-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Klesaris Steve
*Scratch* 14 Quanique [30-1] Davis D / Ribaudo Robert
*Scratch* 13 Charlotte's Hope [30-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Brown Bruce R.

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

RESULTS FOLLOW

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.06.10a)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at BEL is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

06/15/16, BEL, Race 1, 1:30 ET
6F [Turf] 1.06.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :5: Gee Pea Ess [6/5 * ] JTSFL 2nd - 2.60 2.10
099.2255 :6: Ackerman Road(b-) [6-1] W
095.6085 :2: Axtell [5/2] E
095.6021 :7: Without Fear [30-1] C
095.5980 1a Azarel [12-1] 3rd - 3.90
095.0759 3 Kettles On [5-1]
094.7575 4 Dr. Edgar [20-1] 1st - 84.50 17.20 8.70
092.6993 1 Czarmo [12-1] 5th - 3.90

06/15/16, BEL, Race 2, 2:01 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.01 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :6: Warriors Diva [2-1 * ] JTF 1st - 3.80 2.60 2.10
095.0018 :7: Majesticconfection [7/2] EC 4th
093.6345 :5: Oaks (BRZ) [4-1] S
093.4961 :4: Megan's Muse [5-1] L 2nd - 4.30 3.20
093.4875 1 Your Turn [8-1] W
092.2471 8 Native Crossing [15-1]
090.0642 3 Youreadaisyifyado [15-1] 3rd - 6.90
*Scratch* 2 Regifting [30-1]

06/15/16, BEL, Race 3, 2:32 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.38.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :7: Squeeze Thetrigger [15-1] W 9th to 9th
099.4466 :12: Casigordo [10-1]
099.1724 :9: Slapstick [8-1] E
099.1134 :1: Pinnacle Mountain [4-1] 4th
098.9556 5 Gucci Factor [6-1] J
098.4794 3 Cloontia [9/5 * ] SL 1st - 4.30 2.90 2.50
096.9810 8 Rapt(b+) [20-1]
096.8140 6 Dot Matrix [6-1] F 2nd - 5.10 3.60
096.3037 2 Bushmill Giant [30-1] C
094.8244 11 Uncle Chester [12-1] 3rd - 8.30
*Scratch* 4 Fa Niente [5-1]
*Scratch* 10 Ro Bear(b+) [6-1]

06/15/16, BEL, Race 4, 3:04 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :4: No Tanx Blue Chip [7/2] E 4th
099.7965 :12: Peculiar Sensation [3-1] FL 3rd - 4.50
099.7427 :8: Buckwellspent [4-1] JTC
097.4909 :11: We Did(b-) [15-1] 1st - 26.40 12.80 7.10
096.4457 5 Bold Illusion [12-1] SW
095.1317 7 One Nice Pal(b+) [10-1 * ]
094.5691 6 Sky Chaparral [20-1]
093.5347 1 B Q Express [30-1]
092.7302 2 Wizard of Id [20-1]
091.9443 3 Decompression(b+) [30-1]
091.5260 10 Mr Curiosity [6-1] 2nd - 10.80 7.80
*Scratch* 9 El Genio [12-1]

06/15/16, BEL, Race 5, 3:36 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $53,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :6: Narvaez [7/2 * ] JTC 1st - 6.50 3.40 2.30
098.6264 :8: Mean Season [5/2] WL 3rd - 3.40
098.5587 :3: Galardonado [4-1] 2nd - 4.60 2.90
098.5092 :5: Draxhall Woods [6-1] 4th
098.0456 1 El Botas [5-1] S
097.0357 7 Saltine Warrior [8-1] F
096.7282 4 Pablo Del Monte [15-1] E
*Scratch* 2 Dean Verdile [15-1]

06/15/16, BEL, Race 6, 4:09 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $65,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :11: Capriana [5/2 * ] SFC 2nd - 3.10 2.50
099.6080 :2: Fourstar Crook [3-1] TE 1st - 6.00 3.10 2.40
096.3588 :3: Conquest Superstep [5-1] L 4th
095.2974 :9: Swear by It [7/2] 3rd - 3.10
093.1027 4 Loon River [10-1] JW
092.4154 6 Singsong [12-1]
089.2576 7 Lady Bling [12-1]
087.0223 8 Langfirst [20-1]
086.7413 1 Life's a Stage [50-1]
084.6576 10 Graceful Gal [30-1]
*Scratch* 5 Prairie Stone [5/2]
*Scratch* 12 Tahoe Tigress [5-1]

06/15/16, BEL, Race 7, 4:41 ET
6F [Inner Turf] 1.06.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $62,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :6: Somerset Sandy [6-1] FE 9th to 6th
099.3878 :11: Lady Lucky [12-1] C
099.1595 :10: Animal Appeal [3-1 * ] SL 1st - 4.00 2.80 2.40
098.2596 :12: C d'Cat [4-1] 2nd - 6.50 4.50
096.4873 13 Weather Girl [6-1] T
093.4653 1 Bubbe Zena [20-1]
092.5619 8 Louisville First [20-1] 3rd - 7.60
091.7244 3 Esther the Queen [4-1] 4th
090.2519 5 Bold Print [10-1] JW
087.1393 4 Laura's Patriot [30-1]
085.2365 2 Arietta [20-1]
083.3578 9 Lakeview Lady(b-) [30-1]
*Scratch* 7 Congarette []
*Scratch* 16 Love You Babe [5-1]
*Scratch* 15 Moondance Joy [2-1]
*Scratch* 14 Roman Reign [8-1]

06/15/16, BEL, Race 8, 5:13 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $85,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :7: Juba [5/2 * ] L 7th to 8th
099.7429 :4: All Star Red [3-1] 2nd - 6.20 4.50
098.9923 :10: Captain Serious [8-1] J bad steps, vanned off
098.7975 :1: Chief Lion [7/2] S 1st - 16.00 8.50 5.10 gate to wire
098.1433 8 Loki's Vengeance [10-1] E
097.3346 9 Drama King [12-1] F 3rd - 10.40
096.6942 3 Nubin Ridge [12-1] C 4th
096.6117 6 John's Island [20-1]
096.1084 5 Noble Cornerstone [20-1] W
095.5047 2 Sam Sparkle [15-1]
*Scratch* 1a Fabulous Kid [7/2]

06/15/16, BEL, Race 9, 5:45 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :7: Dean's Ticket(b+) [15-1] SW 4th to 2nd to 10th
099.3175 :1: Antebellum [10-1] L 4th
098.9215 :5: She's So Fine [12-1] J
098.0912 :12: Madame Barbarian [4-1] 1st - 18.40 7.40 5.00
097.6820 8 Fazzle Dazzle(b-) [30-1] T
095.4913 10 Ellenvelyn (GB) [4-1]
095.3657 4 Ellie Girl [8-1]
095.1129 2 Rain in Spain [6-1]
094.9582 9 City Section [20-1] 3rd - 15.80
094.3424 6 Glosky [50-1]
093.4716 3 Hudson River Gal [3-1 * ] FEC 2nd - 5.10 3.40
093.1783 11 Runaway Scarlett [15-1]
*Scratch* 15 Galroyale [15-1]
*Scratch* 14 Quanique [30-1]
*Scratch* 13 Charlotte's Hope [30-1]

[Augenj]

END OF RESULTS