formula's pimlico exacta matrix

[formula_2002]

will post live, about 3 minuets to post. I'll be looking to post a bet on about 50% of the exacta pool. whatever 50 % offers the most plays

[formula_2002]

"Pimlico
Race
12

Post
5:38

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$657,924 " bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1
2 309
3
4 594 429
5
6
7 386 703 258 859
8
9 297 483 859
10
11
12

14
15
16

[formula_2002]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZIVphczMbY


"Pimlico
Race
12

Post
5:38

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$657,924 " bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1
2
3
4 594
5
6
7 703 859
8
9 483 859
10
11
12

[formula_2002]

pgno "Pimlico
Race
12

Post
5:38

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$657,924 "
1
2 % of exacta pool wagered 51.77
3 a 1.50 0.55
4 exacta BET 5177 b 3.50 0.23
5 c 1.22
6 WIN PGNO 4 $1 min ret 3.54
7 PLACE PGNO 9 a/e 5.93
8 D FACTOR o
9 exacta $1 PAYOUT 21.00
10
11 EX BET ON WINNER 429.33
12
expected ex return 0 $1 expected ret 1.93
14 exacta RETURN 9016 $ 1actual ret 1.74
15 net return 3838.93

[formula_2002]

"Pimlico
Race
13

Post
6:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,086,463 " bet 2229.79
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
2
3 257 339 497
4
5 202 324
6
7
8
9
10
11 324 287
12

14
15
16

[formula_2002]

"Pimlico
Race
13

Post
6:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,086,463 " bet 3604.75
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 141 118
2
3 257 141 138 339 110 497
4
5 169 202 324
6
7 186 155 105
8
9
10
11 324 287 111
12

14
15
16

[formula_2002]

pgno "Pimlico
Race
13

Post
6:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,086,463 "
1
2 % of exacta pool wagered 36.05
3 a 3.60 0.23
4 exacta BET 3605 b 18.00 0.05
5 c 1.22
6 WIN PGNO 5 $1 min ret 74.49
7 PLACE PGNO 1 a/e 0.59
8 D FACTOR o
9 exacta $1 PAYOUT 44.20
10
11 EX BET ON WINNER 169.46
12
expected ex return 0 $1 expected ret 2.77
14 exacta RETURN 7490 $ 1 actual ret 2.08
15 net return 3885.40
16


the $1 fair value for the 5-1 exacta was $74.49
it paid $44.20

the 2nd matrix for the 13th race covered 36% of the pool
the $1 expected return would be $2.77
it returned $2.08
it those % are reliable, you could get a better return playing craps :)

[formula_2002]

pgno "Pimlico
Race
13

Post
6:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,086,463 "
1
2 % of exacta pool wagered 36.05
3 a 3.60 0.23
4 exacta BET 3605 b 18.00 0.05
5 c 1.22
6 WIN PGNO 5 $1 min ret 74.49
7 PLACE PGNO 1 a/e 0.59
8 D FACTOR o
9 exacta $1 PAYOUT 44.20
10
11 EX BET ON WINNER 169.46
12
expected ex return 0 $1 expected ret 2.77
14 exacta RETURN 7490 $ 1 actual ret 2.08
15 net return 3885.40
16


the $1 fair value for the 5-1 exacta was $74.49
it paid $44.20

the 2nd matrix for the 13th race covered 36% of the pool
the $1 expected return would be $2.77
it returned $2.08
if those % are reliable, you could get a better return playing craps :)

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
5

Post
8:06

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,983 " bet 1407.60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 193 113
2 182 102
3
4 133
5 176
6 107 105 182 117
7

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
5

Post
8:06

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,983 " bet 3690.14
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 250 205 363
2 232 202 275
3 307 266 232
4 246 205
5 390 296
6 222
7
8
9

[formula_2002]

pgno "Penn National
Race
5

Post
8:06

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,983 "
1
2 % of exacta pool wagered 36.90
3 a 3.20 0.26
4 exacta BET 3690 b 6.00 0.14
5 c 1.22
6 WIN PGNO 3 $1 min ret 21.26
7 PLACE PGNO 1 a/e 0.88
8 D FACTOR o
9 exacta $1 PAYOUT 18.80
10
11 EX BET ON WINNER 307.26
12
expected ex return 0 $1 expected ret 2.71
14 exacta RETURN 5776 $ 1actual ret 1.57
15 net return 2086.35
16

[formula_2002]

"Pimlico
Race
16

Post
8:22

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,455 " bet 2335.06
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
2
3 279 223 325
4 244
5 325
6
7 223 244
8
9
10
11
12 229 244

14
15
16

[formula_2002]

"Pimlico
Race
16

Post
8:22

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,455 " bet 1519.43
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1
2
3 459 325
4
5 325
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 411

14
15
16

[formula_2002]

"Mountaineer
Race
5

Post
8:45

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,505 " bet 2889.11
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 262
2
3 325 369 377 205
4 353
5
6
7
8 208 216 235 338
9
10
11
12

14
15
16

[formula_2002]

"Mountaineer
Race
5

Post
8:45

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,505 " bet 1346.78
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 492
2
3
4 416
5
6 439
7
8
9
10
11
12

14
15

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
4

Post
8:53

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,529 " factors 0.01 0.02 bet 1277.83
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
2
3
4 132 153 108
5 149
6
7 105
8 145 167 167 153
9
10
11
12

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
4

Post
8:53

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,529 " factors 0.03 0.06 bet 2765.04
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1
2 345
3
4 395 523
5 438 506
6
7
8 559
9

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
5

Post
2:49

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,888 " factors 0 0.01 bet 1394.08
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 54 52 88 47 69 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 62 0 44 52 46 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 52 44 0 51 58 38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 60 59 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 56 50 60 72 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 99 75 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
5

Post
2:49

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,888 " factors 0.05 9.00 bet 2913.89
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 639
2
3
4
5
6 998 639 639
7
8
9
10

[formula_2002]

"Finger Lakes
Race
5

Post
3:00

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,198 " factors 0 0.01 bet 2309.21
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1 0 20 73 32 36 18 27 34 0 0 0 0
2 0 88 0 0 0 0
3 21 59 0 15 28 20 31 11 17 7 0 0 0 0
4 88 25 0 44 44 0 0 0 0
5 36 94 29 41 0 35 50 19 22 15 0 0 0 0
6 46 26 48 0 93 31 0 0 0 0
7 62 0 97 0 0 0 0
8 23 8 85 18 85 0 77 16 0 0 0 0
9 35 18 26 82 0 47 0 0 0 0
10 28 88 10 33 16 27 46 18 45 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"Finger Lakes
Race
5

Post
3:00

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,198 " factors 0.05 8.00 bet 1430.33
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1
2 763
3
4
5
6
7 667
8

[formula_2002]

"Finger Lakes
Race
6

Post
3:29

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,291 " factors 0 0.01 bet 2366.92
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
1 0 10 19 34 8 12 9 6 14 15 0 0 0 0 0
2 22 0 70 83 35 13 30 15 41 30 0 0 0 0 0
3 41 99 0 34 78 0 0 0 0 0
4 92 0 89 0 0 0 0 0
5 8 35 0 16 39 23 64 28 0 0 0 0 0
6 14 8 17 34 16 0 7 8 18 8 0 0 0 0 0
7 9 16 51 39 12 0 24 59 40 0 0 0 0 0
8 8 15 26 43 24 8 23 0 15 18 0 0 0 0 0
9 26 48 93 27 85 30 0 81 0 0 0 0 0
10 18 27 83 45 11 43 18 60 0 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
7

Post
3:44

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,366 " factors 0 0.01 bet 320.29
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
78 0 80 0 81 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"Finger Lakes
Race
7

Post
3:59

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,948 " factors 0 0.01 bet 1491.07
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 0 72 69 43 83 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 72 0 92 95 95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 64 85 0 68 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 41 92 71 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 87 88 96 84 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
8

Post
4:11

MTP
3

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,528 " factors 0 0.01 bet 1286.54
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0 47 0 0 0 0
2 0 60 0 0 0 0
3 43 51 0 18 60 27 38 20 24 0 0 0 0
4 80 18 0 81 67 61 0 0 0 0
5 61 0 0 0 0 0
6 40 0 0 0 0 0
7 42 0 0 0 0 0
8 30 74 0 88 0 0 0 0
9 92 27 58 78 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"Presque Isle
Race
3

Post
6:16

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,144 " factors 0 0.01 bet 753.05
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0 63 48 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 74 95 0 81 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 55 97 74 77 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"SunRay
Race
5

Post
6:35

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$830 " factors 0.09 9.00 bet 939.31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 939

[formula_2002]

"SunRay
Race
5

Post
6:35

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$830 " factors 0 0.01 bet 739.47
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 82 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 56 79 56 0 76 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 82 94 70 0 58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 87 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0