HONG KONG / ShaTin..Sat 5/14 Live

[Nitro]

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with BIG fields in ALL 10 races (2 All Weather Dirt & 8 Turf)

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SAT. EST

**BTW for those of you who have TVG you’ll be able to bet on HK there again, and I assume also watch the live racing this morning! If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

GL if you’re playing & feel free to join in !
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1) In case anyone is wondering how to structure a Quinella bet with 2 Key entries and 4 others (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ) do the following:
K1/K2, K1/A, K1/B, K1/C, K1/D & K2/A, K2/B, K2/C, K2/D =
(9) Bets ($2 denominations or higher).

2) Because many of the Quinellas offer really good value it’s sometime even worthwhile (when the overall odds of the selected entries are reasonably high) to simply play all of the Quinella combinations for all 6 picks: A-B-C-D-E-F
A w/B-C-D-E-F…. B w/C-D-E-F….C w/D-E-F….D w/E-F…..E w/F =
(15) Bets ($2 denominations or higher).

Either of these same structures above can be used with the Quinella/Place bet which means:
1a) If either Key finishes 1st , 2nd , or 3rd and any of others finish in-the-money with them you can potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets or,
2a) If any of the (15) Quinellas chosen are used in the Quinella/Place bet you can also potentially win 1 or all 3 Q/P bets.


3) Structuring a Triple is a bit more expensive, but if the value is there then try the following with (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ):
K1 / K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Winner
K2-A-B-C-D / K1 / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Placer
K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D / K1 = 20 Bets w/K1 in for Show (use only if value is there)
If you repeat this structure with K2 for Win & Place with the others it’ll be 80 Bets, but there’s potential to hit the Triple 2X if both are in the money.
.
.

[rexjred]

no lone star?

[Nitro]

no lone star?
No not tonight. Getting ready for a big morning @ Sha Tin! ;)

[Lemon Drop Husker]

No not tonight. Getting ready for a big morning @ Sha Tin! ;)

I think I'm ready Nitro.

What tools do I need?

[Lemon Drop Husker]

R1
:1::5:

Easy pass

[Nitro]

I think I'm ready Nitro.

What tools do I need?

The ONLY tool I use is the tote board analysis, and when it comes to the HK betting pools everything is set on maximum turbo boost! :jump:
At 40 mins to post for race1 there's already nearly 1.5 Million HK dollars in the W/P pools! :eek:
There are some wide open events this morning so watch the late money in those. I'll try to point them out as we go along.

Good luck this morning! :ThmbUp:

[Lemon Drop Husker]

The ONLY tool I use is the tote board analysis, and when it comes to the HK betting pools everything is set on maximum turbo boost! :jump:
At 40 mins to post for race1 there's already nearly 1.5 Million HK dollars in the W/P pools! :eek:
There are some wide open events this morning so watch the late money in those. I'll try to point them out as we go along.

Good luck this morning! :ThmbUp:

Love it.

All I can do is 'cap.

[Lemon Drop Husker]

I like the :1::5::11:

[woodbinepmi]

Evening everyone, hopefully we have a better night than how I'm feeling. Haven't had a chance to really get into tonight. Most bets will be small, trying to get out of this cold spell I am in.

[Lemon Drop Husker]

:5::9::11:

[woodbinepmi]

Race 1 1400 Class 5

I don't trust class 5 runners, going to try and beat the favourite :2: Freiends Forever, my trip notes for his last was: Perfect trip, helped by weight allowance, beat a bad field and improved with the soft going. Too many positives for me to key at that price.
Using the :6: Safari Magic in the Q's (he hates to win but loves to run in the money), with :2: :5: :14: :9:

[Nitro]

Evening everyone, hopefully we have a better night than how I'm feeling. Haven't had a chance to really get into tonight. Most bets will be small, trying to get out of this cold spell I am in.
Okay Woody glad you could join us. Hang in there!
GL!

[Nitro]

R#1 – 2-4 W/ 11-5-13-10

[kevb]

Race 1:
WP :6: . In a projected fast pace race, he should be closing from mid pack. Last race got a good speed figure.

Money for the :4:

[Nitro]

Race 1:
WP :6: . In a projected fast pace race, he should be closing from mid pack. Last race got a good speed figure.

Money for the :4:
Okay KevB. GL this morning!

[Nitro]

R#1 – 2-4 W/ 11-5-13-10 Results

R# 1 = 7-10-13-1 - Nothing in that one – some minor activity on the LS Winner

Only 4.5 Million HK dollars in the W/P pools in the opener!

[Lemon Drop Husker]

:8::11::14:

[woodbinepmi]

Results

R# 1 = 7-10-13-1 - Nothing in that one – some minor activity on the LS Winner

Only 4.5 Million HK dollars in the W/P pools in the opener!

$13,000,000 US total wagered in the first race. That's as much as Churchill handled for the Kentucky Derby last week.

[Lemon Drop Husker]

:5: :9:

:8: any others?

[Lemon Drop Husker]

$13,000,000 US total wagered in the first race. That's as much as Churchill handled for the Kentucky Derby last week.

Money is decent.

You have to win. Winning it all that matters.

[woodbinepmi]

Race 2 Class 4 1650 Metres

Have a couple on my watch list in here: :5: Happy Moments trouble and blocked while racing on the bias rail (don't think he's fast enough though) and :9: Diamond Friends Raced very wide against the strong rail bias, moving to the rail today.
:9: Over :2: :7: :5: :10:

[woodbinepmi]

Money is decent.

You have to win. Winning it all that matters.
The pools sizes don't really effect us, we aren't allowed to bet into the large multiples. Just pointing out how much they bet there.

[Nitro]

R# 2 - 2-9 W/ 1-7-11-13

[Lemon Drop Husker]

:5:

[Nitro]

R# 2 - 2-9 W/ 1-7-11-13
Results

R# 2 = 9-4-3-2 - WIN – Some early action clues on that BIG LS Placer
Winner got hit hard late

$2.00 WIN – 9 - $4.30

[Lemon Drop Husker]

:5::7::14:

[woodbinepmi]

Race 3 Class 4 1400 Metres

Don't have much in this one, Going to make a small entertainment win/place bet on the :2: Clever Spirit (12-1) last 2 races are fast enough on figures and ran 3rd, while the 2nd, 5th and 7th place finishers have come back and won. Hate the rider and post but will gamble with the odds being offered.

[Nitro]

R# 3 - 11-8 W/ 3-1-2-5

[Lemon Drop Husker]

Race 3 Class 4 1400 Metres

Don't have much in this one, Going to make a small entertainment win/place bet on the :2: Clever Spirit (12-1) last 2 races are fast enough on figures and ran 3rd, while the 2nd, 5th and 7th place finishers have come back and won. Hate the rider and post but will gamble with the odds being offered.

Small play on the :5:

[kevb]

In a race described as lacking established leaders, I like K Chiong to take charge of the race on the lead.

WP :1:

I'm a sucker for a horse at 60:1 who will be 1st or 2nd aas the turn for home.

So also some WP :6:

[Nitro]

R# 3 - 11-8 W/ 3-1-2-5
Results

R# 3 = 1-9-11-5 - Nothing in that one - No clues on that BIG LS Placer

Late money had no effect on the #7 & #12

[kevb]

First and last. :1: and :6: .
Race track commentator John (Blance?) puts the :13: Spicy Double on his horse to watch list. Went off at 99:1

[woodbinepmi]

In a race described as lacking established leaders, I like K Chiong to take charge of the race on the lead.

WP :1:

I'm a sucker for a horse at 60:1 who will be 1st or 2nd aas the turn for home.

So also some WP :6:
if she gets at least a half length lead on the turn and she is on anything that can run, you aren't getting by her.

[Nitro]

First and last. :1: and :6: .
Race track commentator John (Blance?) puts the :13: Spicy Double on his horse to watch list. Went off at 99:1
Nice call on the #1. Was definitely getting some solid play.

[kevb]

Yep.

[woodbinepmi]

Race 4 Class 4 1000 Metres

Got no clue. The :10: Wild Five was on my watch list off his last 2 races but being on the Vet's list supersedes that. Passing

[Nitro]

Like this one!

R# 4 - 1-11 W/ 6-10-2-8

[kevb]

Race 4

WP :3: - first time blinkers

[kevb]

I may have to pass race 5. Anything but the :10: :12: seem to have a chance.

[Nitro]

Like this one!

R# 4 - 1-11 W/ 6-10-2-8
Results – Got ALL of that one!

R# 4 = 1-6-8-2 - WIN – QUIN – TRI

$2.00 WIN – 1 - $6.80
$2.00 QUINELLA – 1-6 - $15.80
$2.00 TRIFECTA – 1-6-8 – $158.20
($2.00 QUARTET - 1-6-8-2 - $803.60 - Just Wishful thinking)

[kevb]

OK. A small WP :3: at 99:1. His race 4 back was good enough. Bad feet, but going from all weather to maybe the kinder turf surface.

[woodbinepmi]

Race 5 Class 3 1200 Metres

Another race I have no feelings on. Put a few dollars on the :8: Aerospeed (23-1) off the rest alone.

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 7-2 W/ 4-8-9-6

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 7-2 W/ 4-8-9-6
Results –

R# 5 = 5-4-1-9 - Nothing in that one both Keys failed - No clues on that LS Winner

[kevb]

:3: gave me a thrill for a while.

[kevb]

Hate the gate, love the price: WP :11: .
Won in Australia. Good trial in HK.

Q :4: :7: / :4: :7: :10: :11:

[Nitro]

Top 2 look tough & getting hit
R# 6 - 7-4 W/ 10-3-6-1

[Nitro]

Top 2 look tough & getting hit
R# 6 - 7-4 W/ 10-3-6-1
Results –

R# 6 = 3-7-8-13 - QUIN

$2.00 QUINELLA – 3-7 - $39.20

[Nitro]

Results –

R# 7 = 4-7-5-10 - A nice Win & Quin– Winner got hit hard late 8.5/1 to 4.8/1

That’s it for me.
This site is notorious for having glitches and I can’t be bothered with this nonsense. :ThmbDown:

The last few races are always the best on the card.
Have a good day!