Top Horse Analytics: 05/03/2016 CD Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: BEL, CD, GP, TAM
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SA, SAR

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.05.01a)

Race Cancellations (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)

Race Results
Full Charts (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
THA Race Results (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

05/03/16, CD, Race 1, 12.45 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $54,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (1-2-3) - Pick 4 (1-2-3-4)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Saritta [5-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Calhoun W. Bret FEC
099.0811 :2: Diva Express [2-1] Leparoux J R / Casse Mark E. SWL
097.0770 :6: Pattitude [6-1] Geroux F / Foley Gregory D. J
096.4863 :5: I'm a Looker [7/2] Albarado R / Dupuy Patrick J.
096.4415 3 Doggerwinii [6-1] Torres F C / Brueggemann Roger A. T
094.8078 4 Zeven(b+) [3-1] Lanerie C J / Sharp Joe

05/03/16, CD, Race 2, 1.15 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (2-3-4)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: B B Sea [4-1] Lanerie C J / Dickey Charles L. FE
099.8624 :6: Sashenka [3-1] Landeros C / Wilkes Ian R.
095.9095 :8: Fashion News [5-1] Torres F C / DiVito James P. W
095.5498 :1: C J's Fire [6-1] Doyle S / Gorder Kellyn SL
094.6055 2 Big Island Blonde [8-1] Hill C / Holthus Paul E. JC
092.6560 4 Pour Girl [10-1] Gilligan J / Logsdon Sam Q.
091.5893 5 Admiral Grace [5-1] Leparoux J R / McPeek Kenneth G.
087.3779 3 Periscope [6-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Drury. Jr. Thomas T

05/03/16, CD, Race 3, 1.45 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.04 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (3-4-5) - Pick 4 (Races 3-4-5-6)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Let Us Be Glad [2-1] Lanerie C J / Amoss Thomas M. TE
096.6526 :2: Trend [3-1] Geroux F / Stidham Michael J
092.5016 :7: Mutin (FR) [5/2] Rocco. Jr. J / Peitz Daniel C. W
090.1187 :3: Big Blue Spirit (GB) [4-1] Gilligan J / Miller Darrin SFL
090.0705 6 Mr. Chow(b-) [8-1] Torres F C / Humphries Thomas
086.3848 4 Dnieper [20-1] Hernandez C J / Cervantes Sergio C
085.6340 5 Saturday Launch [15-1] Graham J / Frederick Edward Harri
*Scratch* 9 One King's Man [3-1] Saez L / Sharp Joe
*Scratch* 8 Freestyler [2-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Sharp Joe
*Scratch* 1a Fire Mission [2-1] Lanerie C J / Richard Chris

05/03/16, CD, Race 4, 2.15 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.41.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $16,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (4-5-6) / Pick 6 (4-9)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Fu Manchu [5/2] Geroux F / Maker Michael J. JTFL
095.0615 :9: Bellamy's Verdict [4-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Sharp Joe E
090.9685 :5: Keightley [7/2] Leparoux J R / Maker Michael J.
089.5219 :8: Shotenough to Pop [5-1] Hernandez C J / Gorder Kellyn C
088.8324 7 Paddyryan [6-1] Graham J / Walsh Brendan P. W
088.2323 3 Chief Blanco [8-1] Lanerie C J / Foley Vickie L. S
087.5241 4 Devilish Dude [12-1] Court J K / Whiting Lynn S.
083.4612 2 Drunkonmocha [20-1] Orm C / Bentley Donnie
082.6096 6 Prince of Spades [20-1] Prentice Jr. E E / Royal Madelyn

05/03/16, CD, Race 5, 2.45 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (5-6-7) / Pick 5 (5-9)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Classy Corinthian [5/2] Albarado R / Dupuy Patrick J. SWL
099.3824 :7: Papa's Forest [3-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Sharp Joe
098.6822 :8: Redlace and Pearls [4-1] Graham J / Mason Ingrid F
098.6595 :5: Holly's Image [12-1] Gilligan J / Ewing Michael Ann TE
097.9218 6 Little Norwegian [4-1] Lanerie C J / Foley Gregory D. C
097.0163 1 Jury Wise [6-1] Torres F C / Hellman Leroy J
096.7368 4 Crack Your Whip [15-1] Hernandez C J / Godsey Claudie Marshal
*Scratch* 2 Rhodium [12-1] Bridgmohan S / Manley Steve

05/03/16, CD, Race 6, 3.16 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $21,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (6-7-8) - Pick 4 (6-7-8-9)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Salsa's Return [7/2] Bridgmohan S / Amoss Thomas M. JTSFC
099.0476 :7: Paden [4-1] Hill C / Williams Harold G. EW
097.5485 :8: Keepinyourchinup [8-1] Court J K / Miller Jerome F.
097.4037 :10: Blue Grass Road [5-1] Lanerie C J / Montano. Sr. Angel O.
097.1427 1 Fleet Gold Digger [6-1] Albarado R / Bourgeois Keith G.
096.6488 3 Cap Trick [9/2] Landeros C / McPeek Kenneth G. L
094.1350 6 A Bit Quick [30-1] Orm C / Cook David K.
094.1077 4 Sounds Divine [20-1] Hernandez C J / Guerrero Sal
*Scratch* 9 Bel Air Bullet [12-1] Graham J / Crowder Mike
*Scratch* 2 Ore Pass [8-1] Johnson J M / Holthus Paul E.

05/03/16, CD, Race 7, 3.47 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $54,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (7-8-9)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Ray'swarrior [3-1] Landeros C / Hobby Steve FEL
099.3796 :4: Deep Sea [5/2] Leparoux J R / Casse Mark E.
098.0450 :3: Risetotheoccasion [8-1] Albarado R / Gorder Kellyn
097.5341 :8: Helooksthepart [7/2] Bravo J / DiVito James P. SC
097.4381 7 Golden Moon [15-1] Geroux F / Kordenbrock Matt JT
097.2828 2 Great Stuff [8-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Montano. Sr. Angel O.
096.6444 1 Distant Kingdom [12-1] Graham J / Hawley Wesley E.
095.3448 9 Good Lord [6-1] Lanerie C J / Kaelin Forrest W
094.7233 5 Mr. Freud [30-1] Cox A / Rice Wayne W.

05/03/16, CD, Race 8, 4.18 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $52,000.
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Runner Runner (IRE) [4-1] Geroux F / Cox Brad H. J
095.4225 :2: Jellicle Ball (IRE) [5/2] Lanerie C J / Motion H. Graham S
094.6513 :5: Bootsy's Girl [20-1] Hill C / Gorder Kellyn FC
093.1827 :4: Bai Bai Baby [12-1] Bravo J / Servis John C. T
092.4415 1 Lough Ness [15-1] Castanon J L / Baker James E. EL
092.0360 7 Dynazar [6-1] Leparoux J R / Stewart Dallas
092.0251 8 Coup de Main [6-1] Landeros C / Wilkes Ian R.
092.0128 9 Goodyearforroses (IRE) [6-1] Lopez P / Attfield Roger L. W
091.6776 6 Kiteta [10-1] Hernandez. Jr. B J / Arnold. II George R.
091.1502 10 B Rockett [8-1] Albarado R / Oliver Victoria H.
*Scratch* 11 See the Bird [30-1] Sullivan C / Skinner Gary

05/03/16, CD, Race 9, 4.48 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $21,000.
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Super Hi-5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: Frensham [12-1] Torres F C / Ashcraft David TS
099.0565 :7: Golden Frontier [5-1] Johnson J M / Dodgen James A. FEC
098.5953 :3: Limonte [5-1] Rocco. Jr. J / Richard Chris
098.1198 :6: Bold Ice [15-1] Geroux F / Sanner Daniel E. JL
098.0774 9 Bad Student [3-1] Leparoux J R / Vance David R.
097.8239 5 Dynabeaver [7/2] Hill C / Lukas D. Wayne
097.3217 1 Ft Davis [20-1] Dominguez J / Hawley Wesley E.
096.1523 2 Plug Catcher [12-1] Castanon J L / Habeeb Donald J. W
095.9003 8 Arctic Slope [20-1] Gilligan J / Mulvey Emma
*Scratch* 4 Reigning Catfish [7/2] Albarado R / Smith. Jr. Jere R.

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

RESULTS FOLLOW

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.16.05.01a)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at CD is 17.5%, Breakage is $0.20

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

05/03/16, CD, Race 1, 12:45 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $54,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :1: Saritta [5-1] FEC unhurried, last to last
099.0811 :2: Diva Express [2-1 * ] SWL 1st - 4.00 2.60 2.10
097.0770 :6: Pattitude [6-1] J 3rd - 3.80
096.4863 :5: I'm a Looker [7/2] 2nd - 3.20 2.60
096.4415 3 Doggerwinii [6-1] T 4th
094.8078 4 Zeven(b+) [3-1]

05/03/16, CD, Race 2, 1:15 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :7: B B Sea [4-1] FE 2nd to 1st to 5th
099.8624 :6: Sashenka [3-1]
095.9095 :8: Fashion News [5-1 * ] W 1st - 6.20 3.60 3.00
095.5498 :1: C J's Fire [6-1] SL 3rd - 5.20
094.6055 2 Big Island Blonde [8-1] JC 2nd - 9.20 5.20
092.6560 4 Pour Girl [10-1]
091.5893 5 Admiral Grace [5-1] 4th
087.3779 3 Periscope [6-1] T

05/03/16, CD, Race 3, 1:45 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.04 CLAIMING. Purse $39,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :1: Let Us Be Glad [2-1 * ] TE 3rd - 2.20
096.6526 :2: Trend [3-1] J 2nd - 3.80 2.60
092.5016 :7: Mutin (FR) [5/2] W 4th
090.1187 :3: Big Blue Spirit (GB) [4-1] SFL 1st - 8.60 4.40 2.60
090.0705 6 Mr. Chow(b-) [8-1]
086.3848 4 Dnieper [20-1] C
085.6340 5 Saturday Launch [15-1]
*Scratch* 9 One King's Man [3-1]
*Scratch* 8 Freestyler [2-1]
*Scratch* 1a Fire Mission [2-1]

05/03/16, CD, Race 4, 2:15 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.41.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $16,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :1: Fu Manchu [5/2 * ] JTFL 1st - 3.80 2.40 2.20
095.0615 :9: Bellamy's Verdict [4-1] E 2nd - 3.40 3.00 $2 Ex 12.80
090.9685 :5: Keightley [7/2]
089.5219 :8: Shotenough to Pop [5-1] C
088.8324 7 Paddyryan [6-1] W
088.2323 3 Chief Blanco [8-1] S 4th
087.5241 4 Devilish Dude [12-1]
083.4612 2 Drunkonmocha [20-1] 3rd - 7.60
082.6096 6 Prince of Spades [20-1]

05/03/16, CD, Race 5, 2:45 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :3: Classy Corinthian [5/2 * ] SWL 3rd - 2.40
099.3824 :7: Papa's Forest [3-1] 1st - 11.20 5.20 2.80
098.6822 :8: Redlace and Pearls [4-1] F
098.6595 :5: Holly's Image [12-1] TE
097.9218 6 Little Norwegian [4-1] C
097.0163 1 Jury Wise [6-1] J 2nd - 5.60 2.80
096.7368 4 Crack Your Whip [15-1] 4th
*Scratch* 2 Rhodium [12-1]

05/03/16, CD, Race 6, 3:16 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $21,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :5: Salsa's Return [7/2 * ] JTSFC 2nd - 3.20 2.80
099.0476 :7: Paden [4-1] EW 1st - 8.60 4.60 3.20
097.5485 :8: Keepinyourchinup [8-1]
097.4037 :10: Blue Grass Road [5-1]
097.1427 1 Fleet Gold Digger [6-1] 4th
096.6488 3 Cap Trick [9/2] L 3rd - 4.60
094.1350 6 A Bit Quick [30-1]
094.1077 4 Sounds Divine [20-1]
*Scratch* 9 Bel Air Bullet [12-1]
*Scratch* 2 Ore Pass [8-1]

05/03/16, CD, Race 7, 3:47 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $54,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :6: Ray'swarrior [3-1] FEL 1st - 8.00 4.80 3.20
099.3796 :4: Deep Sea [5/2 * ] 4th
098.0450 :3: Risetotheoccasion [8-1]
097.5341 :8: Helooksthepart [7/2] SC 3rd - 3.20
097.4381 7 Golden Moon [15-1] JT
097.2828 2 Great Stuff [8-1] 2nd - 5.20 3.20
096.6444 1 Distant Kingdom [12-1]
095.3448 9 Good Lord [6-1] W
094.7233 5 Mr. Freud [30-1]

05/03/16, CD, Race 8, 4:18 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $52,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Firm
100.0000 :3: Runner Runner (IRE) [4-1] J 5th to 6th
095.4225 :2: Jellicle Ball (IRE) [5/2 * ] S 4th
094.6513 :5: Bootsy's Girl [20-1] FC
093.1827 :4: Bai Bai Baby [12-1] T
092.4415 1 Lough Ness [15-1] EL
092.0360 7 Dynazar [6-1] 1st - 35.00 16.00 9.40
092.0251 8 Coup de Main [6-1]
092.0128 9 Goodyearforroses (IRE) [6-1] W 3rd - 4.00
091.6776 6 Kiteta [10-1]
091.1502 10 B Rockett [8-1] 2nd - 14.20 5.80
*Scratch* 11 See the Bird [30-1]

05/03/16, CD, Race 9, 4:48 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $21,000.
-------------------------------------------------------- Fast
100.0000 :10: Frensham [12-1] TS 2nd - 7.60 5.80
099.0565 :7: Golden Frontier [5-1] FEC 1st - 7.60 5.80
098.5953 :3: Limonte [5-1]
098.1198 :6: Bold Ice [15-1] JL
098.0774 9 Bad Student [3-1 * ]
097.8239 5 Dynabeaver [7/2]
097.3217 1 Ft Davis [20-1] 4th
096.1523 2 Plug Catcher [12-1] W
095.9003 8 Arctic Slope [20-1] 3rd - 11.40
*Scratch* 4 Reigning Catfish [7/2]

[Augenj]

END OF RESULTS