HONG KONG - ShaTin - Sun 4/24 Live

[Nitro]

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with 10 big Turf races and nice size fields in every one.

Post Time Race #1 – 1:00 AM SUN. EST

If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) :ThmbUp:
http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

GL if you’re playing & feel free to join in !

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In case anyone is wondering how to structure a Quinella bet with 2 Key entries and 4 others (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ) do the following:
K1/K2, K1/A, K1/B, K1/C, K1/D & K2/A, K2/B, K2/C, K2/D =
(9) total Bets ($2 denominations or higher)

This same structure can be used with the Quinella/Place bet which means if either Key finishes 1st , 2nd , or 3rd and any of others finish in-the-money (1st, 2nd or 3rd) with them you can potentially hit on (3) Q/P bets. They generally don't pay as much unless a big LS shows up in the money.

Structuring a Triple is a bit more expensive, but if the value is there then try the following with (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ):
K1 / K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Winner
K2-A-B-C-D / K1 / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Placer
K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D / K1 = 20 Bets w/K1 in for Show (use only if value is there)
If you repeat this same structure with K2 for Win & Place with the others it’ll be 80 total Bets, but there’s potential to hit the Triple 2X if both K's are in the money.

Good Luck!

[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong for April 23rd at Sha Tin.
Weather report: 77 degrees Thunderstorms 100% wind: ssw 7mph.
Post time: 12am ET 9am PT Rail: A Course, track listed: Good
Feature: Race 8 QEII $ 2.55 million US (9th rated Graded I race in the world)
Total purses: $ 4,015,233 US

Links to past performances:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20160424_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/speedguide/1.html

Vulnerable favourites:
Race 1 :1: Amazing Always (3-1) Trained by 3% winner and adding 29 lbs. since last race.
Race 3 :4: Regency Darling (7-2) Breaking from barrier 13 going 1200 metres.

Horses coming out of key races (multiple winners that have come back out of those races and won at or higher class than today's class).
Race 2 :11: Real Supreme (12-1) The winner, 3rd and 10th place runners have come back and won.
Race 3 :1: Circuit King (9-2) The 3rd and 5th place runners.
Race 6 Both :9: Electronic Phoenix (11-1) and :14: Good For You (14-1) exit race 493, the same race Real Supreme in race 2 ran in.

If the rains continue and the track is downgraded to yielding, horses that have proven to run well on a yielding or soft track:
Race 2 :3: Graceful Kingdom (31-1) and :11: Real Supreme (12-1)
Race 8 :4: Design On Rome (4-1), :10: Werther (5-1) and :11: Horse Of Fortune (30-1)
Race 10 :5: Berlini (12-1) and :6: Goodheart Success (54-1)

Horses off my watch list:
Race 2 :5: Penny Lane (7-1) In the early and middle stages failed to muster speed despite being aggressively ridden and consequently travelled back in the field. Near the 200M was taken out and clipped heels
Race 3 :5: Richcity Fortune (7-1) Pushed to occupy the box seat, harmed by the slightly fast tempo, blocked early straight, found the line only fairly when clear 200M. (he’s not a fan of a yielding track)
Race 7 :3: People’s Knight (5-2) Pushed forward early to be well place behind the early leader, on the rail. Restrained off heels at 800m, and was checked off heels at the top of the straight. Never clear at any stage on the run home and never tested.
Race 7 :11: Super Fluke (12-1) Eased forward early to sit midfield, 1 off the fence. Awkwardly placed on heels at 800m, and slightly steadied. Had clear running in the straight, and went to the line strongly, but unable to close in on the winner.
Race 9 :8: Beauty Prince (7-1) Rolled forward from an outside draw to lead on settling. Harassed by another around turn, kicked ahead on straightening, run down close to line.

Longshots for the day:
Race 1 :6: Medic Swordsman (14-1)
Race 4 :1: Fantastic Feeling (18-1)
Race 6 :6: Energetic Class (24-1)
Race 7 :11: Super Fluke (12-1)
Race 9 :3: Solar Hei Hei (19-1)
Race 10 :4: Dynamism (28-1)

My Key Plays:
Race 2 :5: Penny Lane (7-1)
Race 6 :2: Team Sweet (4-1)
Race 9 :1: General Patch (7-1)

[Nitro]

Another very nice write up Woody! You've certainly done your homework.

I'll be keeping an eye out on your comments as the morning progresses.

Now its time to make some money. :ThmbUp:

Good Luck!

[woodbinepmi]

Good Luck to you sir. Tough card, have always found big days like today a little harder than normal. Should be fun though.

[woodbinepmi]

Race 1 Going to try and beat the favourite in here, Class 5 race. :1: Amazing Always has a horrible trainer, every card has a couple runners that are short to medium prices and they very seldom get their pictures taken.

Going to play a longshot, :6: Medic Swordsman (14-1) just missed last out while encountering a slight trouble early on, then blocked in the stretch and beaten by a rival who had a much easier trip and a serious weight allowance.
:6: with :1: :7: over :2: :4: :5: :9: :13: for third

[Nitro]

R#1 – 4-1 W/ 7-5-2-3

[woodbinepmi]

That wasn't very good for me, have learned not to play too much on Class 5 runners. They bet 14.5 million US dollars in the first race!

[Nitro]

R#1 – 4-1 W/ 7-5-2-3

You’re right Woody those Class 5 races are always wide open events.
Results

R# 1 = 1-3-14-12 - WIN – QUIN – Placer was pounded late from 26/1 to 8.6/1
I caught that just in time for a change.

$2.00 WIN – 1 - $6.80
$2.00 QUINELLA – 1-3 - $53.40

[woodbinepmi]

Race 2 One of my key plays is running here, :5: Penny Lane (7-1) encountered a lot of trouble in the stretch, now gets the 10lb. weight allowance. Playing quite a few horses with him.

:5: over :10: was rank and still only lost by a short head, :3: Blocked and wrapped up on afterward, :11: coming out of race with 3 winners, :9: Moreira and Size on the rail over :6: :8: :13: for third.

:5: / :10: :3: :11: :9: / :6: :8: :13:

[Nitro]

R# 2 - 8-9 W/ 13-10-11-5

[woodbinepmi]

:5: Penny Lane didn't run a step, the bug girl was coaxing him out of the gate she gave him a couple whacks he just went backwards. That's disappointing.

[Nitro]

:5: Penny Lane didn't run a step, the bug girl was coaxing him out of the gate she gave him a couple whacks he just went backwards. That's disappointing.
I noticed the betting wasn't to keen on it either during the entire betting cycle!

[Nitro]

R# 2 - 8-9 W/ 13-10-11-5

Results

R# 2 = 8-4-11-13 - WIN – The Big LS Placer went steadily down from 48/1 to 38/1

$2.00 WIN – 8 - $17.00

[woodbinepmi]

I noticed the betting wasn't to keen on it either during the entire betting cycle!
Something must have been wrong with him.

On to the 3rd.
Taking the :5: Richcity Fortune was a beaten favourite in last while being blocked and catching a yielding track, very concerned that Moreira gets off.
:5: over :6: :4: over :13: :1: :2:

[Nitro]

R# 3 - 4-13 W/ 2-1-6-10

[Nitro]

R# 3 - 4-13 W/ 2-1-6-10

Results

R# 3 = 2-1-6-14 - Had the top 3, but No return without those Keys

[woodbinepmi]

This hasn't started for good for me so far, all I am doing it donating US dollars to the punters of The People's Republic of China.

[woodbinepmi]

Race 4
:1: Fantastic Feeling (18-1) Trained by the 3% trainer who already has a win today, this can't be good for me. Only playing the Q's, don't trust him to win.

:1: with :4: :7: :11: :14: :3:

Watched the replay of the filly :5: winning effort 2 back, not all that impressed

[Nitro]

R# 4 - 14-4 W/ 7-5-13-11

[Winger]

Never played Sha Tin, but I'll take a stab at one.

Quinella

:1: , :7: , :11: / :1: , :7: , :11: , :4: , :14:

[Nitro]

R# 4 - 14-4 W/ 7-5-13-11

Results: The betting was so nutty in that one that I just boxed all 6 in the Quinella (15 bets) and got lucky! #2 went from 84/1 to 27/1

R# 4 = 13-5-2-7 - QUIN BX ALL

$2.00 QUINELLA – 5-13 - $232.30

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 2-3 W/ 6-5-4

[woodbinepmi]

Chalk :2: looks too tough in here, maybe the change from 132 to 124 on the :3: might help, but don't want anything to do with those prices.
Watching

[woodbinepmi]

Track has been downgraded to Good to Yielding

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 2-3 W/ 6-5-4


Results: Both Keys failed - a now yielding surface may have caused it

R# 5 = 6-9-3-8 - Nothing in that one - No clues on that LS Placer

[Nitro]

Track has been downgraded to Good to Yielding

This will probably have a big impact on the remaining races too. I'll be treading lightly.

[woodbinepmi]

Race 6 1600 Metres
Going with the :2: Team Sweet (4-1) was on my watch list in his last just missed on a yielding track, willing to come back again with him in this weak for a Class 4 race.
Just betting to win and some small Q's :2: with :4: :6: :14:

[Nitro]

R# 6 - 4-8 W/ 7-14-2-6

[woodbinepmi]

Race 493 3 winners and 3 horses today that have run in the money at 11-1, 89-1 and 8-1. That's a key race!

[Nitro]

R# 6 - 4-8 W/ 7-14-2-6

Results: Again both Keys failed - early speed completely collapsed

R# 6 = 6-9-5-8 -Nothing in that one -No clues on that LS Placer

[woodbinepmi]

Race 7 1400 Metres Class 3
Have 2 on my watch list in here, the :3: People's Knight (5-2) Trouble and blocked as the betting favourite and :11: Super Fluke (12-1) Trouble and beaten by a better trip.
:3: :11: with :8: :6: :1:

[Nitro]

R# 7 - 5-3 W/ 8-6-7-14 QUIN BX ALL

[Nitro]

R# 7 - 5-3 W/ 8-6-7-14 QUIN BX ALL

Results: QUIN BX was a little better than a brake-even affair

R# 7 = 8-3-5-11 - QUIN – TRI

$2.00 WIN – 8 - $17.00
$2.00 QUINELLA – 3-5 - $31.40
$2.00 TRIFECTA – 8-3-5 – $156.20

[woodbinepmi]

Race 8 2000 metres GI

Have no idea here, too many ship in's, everybody is high on the Japanese horses. Going to watch and pull for the American bred :8: Helene Super Star..
USA, USA, USA

[Nitro]

R# 8 - 3-4 W/ 2-7-12-11

[woodbinepmi]

WOW, WOW, WOW! Man that was impressive!

[Nitro]

R# 8 - 3-4 W/ 2-7-12-11

Results:

R# 8 = 10-5-1-3 - - Nothing in that one - but what a finish!

[woodbinepmi]

Watching the head-on replay he pulled right up to the Japanese favourite gave him a little bump to let him know he was there. Looked him in the eye and the Japanese horse said, 'That's it for me, I don't want any part of you".

[woodbinepmi]

Race 9 1600 metres Call 3
My last chance with my key horses for the day. :1: General Of Patch (9-2) just won pretty impressively breaking from the 14 barrier now has to carry 6 more pounds but gets a better draw, so it's a wash there. Keeps up Ryan Moore for the race.

:1: with :3: Blocked and a lot of back class :8: Watch horse over :4: :12: :6: :10: for third

[Nitro]

R# 9 - 12-6 W/ 1-8-5-3

[Nitro]

R# 9 - 12-6 W/ 1-8-5-3

Results: All of that one!

R# 9 = 3-6-8-12 - - QUIN – TRI :ThmbUp:

$2.00 QUINELLA – 3-6 - $36.60
$2.00 TRIFECTA – 3-6-8 – $732.40
($2.00 SUPER/QUARTET – 3-6-8-12 - $3,118.00)

[rexjred]

where can you bet super /quartet?

[woodbinepmi]

Race 10 1600 metres Class 2

Dutching the :2: Consort (3-1) and :4: Dynamism (42-1), could make a case for too many other runners, too costly. Boxing the :2: :4: :1: :5:
in the Q's

[Nitro]

R# 10 - 2-3 W/ 5-1-14-9

[Nitro]

where can you bet super /quartet?

Only in Hong Kong unfortunately! :bang:

[woodbinepmi]

Results for Hong Kong for April 23rd at Sha Tin.
Weather report: 77 degrees Thunderstorms 100% wind: ssw 7mph.
Post time: 12am ET 9am PT Rail: A Course, track listed: Good
Feature: Race 8 QEII $ 2.55 million US (9th rated Graded I race in the world)
Total purses: $ 4,015,233 US

Links to past performances:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/conte...starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/speedguide/1.html

Vulnerable favourites:
Race 1 :1: Amazing Always (3-1) Trained by 3% winner and adding 29 lbs. since last race. (Won at 2-1)
Race 3 :4: Regency Darling (7-2) Breaking from barrier 13 going 1200 metres.
(Out of the money at 9-5)

Horses coming out of key races (multiple winners that have come back out of those races and won at or higher class than today's class).
Race 2 :11: Real Supreme (12-1) The winner, 3rd and 10th place runners have come back and won. (3rd at 11-1)
Race 3 :1: Circuit King (9-2) The 3rd and 5th place runners. (2nd at 5-2)
Race 6 Both :9: Electronic Phoenix (11-1) (2nd at 8-1) and :14: Good For You (14-1) (out of the money at 14-1) exit race 493, the same race Real Supreme in race 2 ran in.

If the rains continue and the track is downgraded to yielding, horses that have proven to run well on a yielding or soft track:
Race 2 :3: Graceful Kingdom (31-1) and :11: Real Supreme (12-1) (Track listed as good for race)
Race 8 :4: Design On Rome (4-1) (out of the money at 6-1), :10: Werther (5-1) (Won at 9-2) and :11: Horse Of Fortune (30-1) (out of the money at 16-1)
Race 10 :5: Berlini (12-1) (Won at 8-1) and :6: Goodheart Success (54-1) (out the money at 81-1)

Horses off my watch list:
Race 2 :5: Penny Lane (7-1) In the early and middle stages failed to muster speed despite being aggressively ridden and consequently travelled back in the field. Near the 200M was taken out and clipped heels (Out the money at 6-1)
Race 3 :5: Richcity Fortune (7-1) Pushed to occupy the box seat, harmed by the slightly fast tempo, blocked early straight, found the line only fairly when clear 200M. (he’s not a fan of a yielding track) (Out the money at 8-1)
Race 7 :3: People’s Knight (5-2) Pushed forward early to be well place behind the early leader, on the rail. Restrained off heels at 800m, and was checked off heels at the top of the straight. Never clear at any stage on the run home and never tested. (2nd at 3-1)
Race 7 :11: Super Fluke (12-1) Eased forward early to sit midfield, 1 off the fence. Awkwardly placed on heels at 800m, and slightly steadied. Had clear running in the straight, and went to the line strongly, but unable to close in on the winner. (4th at 8-1)
Race 9 :8: Beauty Prince (7-1) Rolled forward from an outside draw to lead on settling. Harassed by another around turn, kicked ahead on straightening, run down close to line. (3rd at 9-2)

Longshots for the day:
Race 1 :6: Medic Swordsman (14-1) OTM @ 12-1
Race 4 :1: Fantastic Feeling (18-1) OTM @ 15-1
Race 6 :6: Energetic Class (24-1) Won @ 15-1
Race 7 :11: Super Fluke (12-1) 4th @ 8-1
Race 9 :3: Solar Hei Hei (19-1) Won @ 13-1
Race 10 :4: Dynamism (28-1) OTM @ 48-1

My Key Plays:
Race 2 :5: Penny Lane (7-1) OTM @ 6-1
Race 6 :2: Team Sweet (4-1) OTM @ 7-2
Race 9 :1: General Patch (7-1) OTM @ 7-2

[woodbinepmi]

Good night guys or good morning. Enjoyed it.

[Nitro]

R# 10 - 2-3 W/ 5-1-14-9

Results:

R# 10 = 5-3-7-9 - - QUIN :ThmbUp:

$2.00 QUINELLA – 5-3 - $73.00

In spite of the rainy weather and track condition, it turned out to be a decent day at the HK races.

Have a good day!