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formula_2002
04-10-2016, 09:11 PM
I'll post live plays based on the downloaded straight and exacta or quinella tote board pools approximately 4 minuets to post time.

there will be several plays per race.
bet size for each play will vary based on the tote board data analysis.
I'll keep and post records indicating the bet size roi and a flat bet roi.

I think I can do better than the previous thread 1.08 roi in 344 races, betting 798 horses :)

formula_2002
04-10-2016, 09:46 PM
"Cal Expo
Race
4

Post
9:45

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,451 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4 7
5 56
6

formula_2002
04-10-2016, 10:01 PM
Lucky start eh!! :cool:

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 10:13 AM
here are the results for yesterday's plays.
I indicate three different roi's

flat bet (for comparison purposes)
My Bet
Alternate roi (along the lines of the 300 plus race study)
the major difference between the 300 plus race study and this, is the application of the bet size figures. Bet size figures are still calculated in the same manner as the 300 plus race study, however they are now applied differently.

I will post the figure used for the My bet roi.

summery of all races

number of bets 20
number of wins 8
number of races 10
win % 80%
my bet roi 1.94
FLAT BET ROI 1.20

ALTERNATE ROI 1.17
alternate bets $21.06
alternate returns $24.57
alternate profit $3.51

Over time,the 80% win % should drift down to between 60 and 68%

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 10:19 AM
"UK Windsor
Race
4

Post
10:20

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,094 "
PGNO bet
1
2 4
3
4
5
6
7 4
8
9
10

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 11:08 AM
"UK Kelso
Race
5

Post
11:10

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,779 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3 6
4
5
6
7
8 3
9

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 11:39 AM
"UK Kelso
Race
6

Post
11:40

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,244 "
PGNO bet
1 3
2
3
4
5
6 4
7

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 11:49 AM
"UK Windsor
Race
7

Post
11:49

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,506 "
PGNO bet
1 3
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10 10
11
12

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 01:10 PM
"Mahoning Valley
Race
2

Post
1:12

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,179 "
PGNO bet
1 13
2
3
4
5 8
6
7
8

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 01:19 PM
"Parx Racing
Race
2

Post
1:21

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,935 "
PGNO bet
1 11
2
3
4 55
5
6
7

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 08:13 PM
"Yonkers
Race
4

Post
8:10

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,124 "
PGNO bet
1
2 12
3
4
5
6 8
7

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 08:48 PM
"Yonkers
Race
6

Post
8:50

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,363 "
PGNO bet
1 8
2
3
4
5 12

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 10:28 PM
"Yonkers
Race
11

Post
10:30

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,699 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3 32
4 6
5
6

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 10:49 PM
"Yonkers
Race
12

Post
10:51

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,716 "
PGNO bet
1 2
2 44
3
4
5
6
7
8

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 10:51 PM
0 "Yonkers
Race
12

Post
10:51

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,716 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 187 72 83 108 36 15 102 602.15
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00

formula_2002
04-11-2016, 11:02 PM
summery of all races

number of bets 56
number of wins 18
number of races 28
win % 64%
my bet roi 1.06
FLAT BET ROI 0.88

ALTERNATE ROI 0.93
alt + my bets $58.54
alternate returns $54.34
alternate profit -$4.20
alt + my bet roi 0.99

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 09:58 AM
"SAF Vaal
Race
6

Post
10:00

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,971 "
PGNO bet
1 8
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 6
13
14
15

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 10:00 AM
0 "SAF Vaal
Race
6

Post
10:00

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,971 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 120 44 131 121 113 32 52 81 108 315 38 1156.12
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 435 189 70 207 191 179 50 83 128 170 59 1761.71
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2917.83

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 10:09 AM
"UK Southwell
Race
3

Post
10:10

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,616 "
PGNO bet
1 11
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12 11
13

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 10:31 AM
"UK Exeter
Race
4

Post
10:34

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,422 "
PGNO bet
1
2 13
3
4
5
6 5
7
8
9

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 10:34 AM
"UK Exeter
Race
4

Post
10:34

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,422 "
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
0.00
123 93 79 59 254 80 117 67 872.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
479 717 362 307 229 311 457 262 3122.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3994.39

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:20 AM
"UK Southwell
Race
5

Post
11:20

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,575 "
PGNO bet
1 20
2
3
4
5 20
6
7

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:21 AM
0 "UK Southwell
Race
5

Post
11:20

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,575 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 39 61 53 98 18 268.39
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 98 39 61 53 18 268.39
6 0.00
7 0.00

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:28 AM
"UK Newmarket
Race
5

Post
11:30

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$7,136 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4 22
5
6
7
8
9
10 5
11
12

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:31 AM
0 "UK Newmarket
Race
5

Post
11:30

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$7,136 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 31 164 32 72 360 94 72 28 37 888.74
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 1949 316 1664 320 726 956 729 287 371 7317.70
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8206.44

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 12:04 PM
this is just how I like the results when the short price of the two picks win.


$1 returns for the following

"alternate bet size" $1.50
"my bet size" $.43
exacta return $2.05
win bet base on exacta bet size column 2.00

4 $1 bets returned $5.98
total $1 return is $1.98

over a long series of plays the combined short price horse and long price horse should win 60% to 65% of the time
min $1 required payout at 60% win rate is $1.66
min $1 required payout at 65% win rate is $1.54

I'll post similar analysis for other winning races.

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 06:56 PM
pax r2 - not posted

this is just how I like the results when the LONG price of the two picks win.


$1 returns for the following

"alternate bet size" $1.50
"my bet size" $.43
exacta return $2.05
win bet base on exacta bet size column 2.00

4 $1 bets returned $7.19
total $1 return is $1.79

over a long series of plays the combined short price horse and long price horse should win 60% to 65% of the time
min $1 required payout at 60% win rate is $1.66
min $1 required payout at 65% win rate is $1.54

I'll post similar analysis for other winning races.

__________________

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 06:58 PM
this is not how I like the results when the short price of the two picks win.


$1 returns for the following

"alternate bet size" $1.50
"my bet size" $.43
exacta return $2.05
win bet base on exacta bet size column 2.00

4 $1 bets returned $5.98
total $1 return is $1.49 correction

over a long series of plays the combined short price horse and long price horse should win 60% to 65% of the time
min $1 required payout at 60% win rate is $1.66
min $1 required payout at 65% win rate is $1.54

I'll post similar analysis for other winning races.

correction as high lighted

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 09:53 PM
"New Zealand Arawa
Race
4

Post
9:55

MTP
4

$1 Quinella Pool
$2,990 "
PGNO bet
1 12
2
3
4
5 20
6
7
8

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 09:55 PM
0 "New Zealand Arawa
Race
4

Post
9:55

MTP
4

$1 Quinella Pool
$2,990 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 960 500 777 1794 1303 279 5612.75
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 1006 441 230 357 598 128 2759.86
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8372.61

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:02 PM
"New Zealand Arawa
Race
6

Post
11:04

MTP
4

$1 Quinella Pool
$2,159 "
PGNO bet
1 7
2
3
4 18
5
6
7

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:04 PM
0 "New Zealand Arawa
Race
6

Post
11:04

MTP
4

$1 Quinella Pool
$2,159 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 706 937 1367 704 467 711 201 5092.21
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 472 166 220 165 110 167 47 1347.63
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6439.85

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:12 PM
summery of all races

number of bets 98
number of wins 24
number of races 49
win % 49%
my bet roi 0.81
FLAT BET ROI 0.67

ALTERNATE ROI 0.73
alt + my bets $103.44
alternate returns $75.11
alternate profit -$28.33
alt + my bet roi 0.77

formula_2002
04-12-2016, 11:34 PM
"New Zealand Arawa
Race
7

Post
11:34

MTP
2

$1 Quinella Pool
$2,270 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 11
9 3
10
11

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 12:02 AM
"New Zealand Arawa
Race
8

Post
12:04

MTP
4

$1 Quinella Pool
$1,834 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4 10
5
6
7
8
9 34
10

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 12:04 AM
0 "New Zealand Arawa
Race
8

Post
12:04

MTP
4

$1 Quinella Pool
$1,834 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 3000 2031 1908 1265 4745 12949.02
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 421 285 1118 268 177 2268.88
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15217.90

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 09:08 AM
"SAF Greyville
Race
5

Post
9:10

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,495 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3 4
4
5
6
7
8
9 13
10
11

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 09:10 AM
0 "SAF Greyville
Race
5

Post
9:10

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,495 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 412 448 180 311 411 353 317 598 3031.28
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 74 81 166 32 56 74 64 57 605.37
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3636.65

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 09:47 AM
"SAF Greyville
Race
6

Post
9:50

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,967 "
PGNO bet
1 5
2
3
4
5
6
7 23
8
9

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 09:49 AM
0 "SAF Greyville
Race
6

Post
9:50

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,967 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 293 955 632 695 646 2381 356 1627 161 336 175 8256.71
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 407 26 84 56 61 57 31 143 14 30 15 924.32
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9181.03

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 09:59 AM
"UK Cheltenham
Race
3

Post
10:00

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,682 "
PGNO bet
1 2
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13 7
14
15

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 10:02 AM
0 "UK Cheltenham
Race
3

Post
10:00

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,682 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 48 66 99 41 134 193 103 81 165 134 50 269 40 40 47 1463.61
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 1 1.12
13 70 4 6 8 3 11 16 9 7 14 11 4 3 3 4 170.64
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1635.37

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 11:13 AM
"UK Cheltenham
Race
5

Post
11:10

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,832 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 6
9 11
10
11

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 11:43 AM
a lock :)

"UK Cheltenham
Race
6

Post
11:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,394 "
PGNO bet
1 57
2 25
3
4
5

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 11:45 AM
0 "UK Cheltenham
Race
6

Post
11:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,394 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 4417 1877 929 7223.44
2 12671 8105 4009 24784.55
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 32007.99

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 12:06 PM
"UK Newmarket
Race
6

Post
12:04

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,807 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9 4
10
11 25
12
13

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 12:09 PM
0 "UK Newmarket
Race
6

Post
12:04

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,807 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 659 1774 699 256 699 1524 219 719 2402 8950.39
10 0.00
11 39 106 42 15 42 91 13 298 43 689.13
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9639.52

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 08:45 PM
"Penn National
Race
7

Post
8:46

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$2,785 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3 39
4
5
6
7 13
8
9

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 08:47 PM
0 "Penn National
Race
7

Post
8:46

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$2,785 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 148 385 632 1664 314 3142.80
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 931 2431 6323 3990 1980 15655.55
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18798.35

formula_2002
04-13-2016, 11:01 PM
summery of today's races

number of bets 40
number of wins 13
number of races 20
win % 65%

FLAT BET ROI 1.15

ALTERNATE ROI 1.02
my bet bets $607.00
my bets return $587.45
my bet profitd -$19.55
my bet roi 0.97

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 08:48 AM
"SAF Vaal
Race
5

Post
8:50

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,410 "
PGNO bet
1 3
2
3
4
5 3

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 09:44 AM
"UK Newmarket
Race
2

Post
9:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,639 "
PGNO bet
1
2 8
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11 13
12
13

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 09:46 AM
0 "UK Newmarket
Race
2

Post
9:45

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,639 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 115 174 567 435 334 345 91 264 882 3206.33
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 56 516 85 278 214 164 169 45 130 1657.33
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4863.66

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 01:27 PM
"Gulfstream
Race
2

Post
1:28

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$17,531 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3 23
4
5
6
7
8 32
9
10

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 01:29 PM
0 "Gulfstream
Race
2

Post
1:28

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$17,531 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 923 2354 408 1626 373 305 5861 11849.95
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 510 1301 3852 226 899 206 169 7162.85
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19012.79

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 04:02 PM
"Aqueduct
Race
6

Post
4:05

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$27,645 "
PGNO bet
1 6
2
3
4
5
6
7 34
8
9
10

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 04:04 PM
0 "Aqueduct
Race
6

Post
4:05

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$27,645 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 10 30 3 11 7 40 32 133.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 5 1 2 0 1 0 2 11.01
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 144.01

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 05:08 PM
"Aqueduct
Race
8

Post
5:11

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$52,197 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 4
9 24
10
11

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 05:10 PM
0 "Aqueduct
Race
8

Post
5:11

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$52,197 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 3 12 8 15 5 10 4 19 76.21
9 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 3 6.79
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 83.01

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 05:48 PM
"Oaklawn
Race
7

Post
5:23

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$36,035 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4
5 6
6
7 38
8
9
10
11
12

formula_2002
04-14-2016, 05:50 PM
0 "Oaklawn
Race
7

Post
5:23

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$36,035 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 8 35 32 6 51 25 156.90
6 0.00
7 0 2 2 6 0 1 11.54
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 168.44
11.54 39.2423794 408.62

formula_2002
04-15-2016, 09:02 PM
"Lone Star
Race
3

Post
9:03

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,921 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3 0
4 77
5
6 23
7
8
9
10
11
12

formula_2002
04-15-2016, 09:04 PM
0 "Lone Star
Race
3

Post
9:03

MTP
4

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,921 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 9 9 15 24 65 18 40 8 17 31 235.16
5 0.00
6 1 1 2 17 4 3 6 1 3 5 43.85
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #REF! #VALUE! 0 0 0 0 279.01

formula_2002
04-15-2016, 09:24 PM
win races bets exacta win my bet alt bet total

1 1 4 1.16 1.23 1.04 0.94 4.37
1 1 4 3.09 2.32 2.11 0.29 7.81
1 1 4 1.32 1.26 1.25 1.11 4.94
1 1 4 0.43 1.06 1.04 0.89 3.42
1 1 4 1.94 1.34 1.46 0.84 5.58


high lighted are the results for the last race
all payoffs are based on a normalized bet ($1)
the exacta returned 1.94 units
the win bet (based on the exacta pool) returned 1.34 units
"my win bet" returned 1.46 units
"alternate bet" returned 0.84 units
total return was 5.58 units.

I'll post the expected probability, once I have reviewer the charts.

the idea of this bet is as follows;

Here are several ways of betting two horses in a race. Regardless which wins, the combined sum of all several bets should outperform a flat bet on each. It also should outperform an odds related bet on each, that is bet size equal (1/odds+1).
There are total of four bets, exacta and three win bets.
These bets should win 60 to 65 percent of the time. So each bet should return a min $1.67 to $1.54 for each $1 bet, just to break even

0o0o0
04-16-2016, 03:42 AM
:ThmbUp:

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 07:34 PM
0 "Los Alamitos T-bred
Race
6

Post
7:29

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$11,514 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 44 176 501 192 125 815 1853.39
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 226 652 2423 2826 848 707 7682.13
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 270.4515706 828.3989396 2924.002905 2826.481888 1039.61968 831.9465081 814.6192342 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9535.52

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 08:00 PM
0 "Los Alamitos T-bred
Race
7

Post
8:00

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$24,699 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 8 3 5 2 13 31.69
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 24 9 31 17 6 87.15
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00
136 31.8633835 0 12.76012582 30.89854391 21.5836876 8.315485877 13.4248846 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 118.85

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 08:02 PM
"Los Alamitos T-bred
Race
7

Post
8:00

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$24,699 "
PGNO bet
1
2
3
4 30.21
5
6
7 69.79
8
9

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 10:16 PM
0 "Charles Town
Race
8

Post
10:15

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,467 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 26 50 24 17 54 26 198.18
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 73 33 101 32 15 32 286.55
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 10:35 PM
0 "Evangeline
Race
9

Post
10:35

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,543 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 4 1 1 1 0 6 1 1 14.42
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 11 2 15 2 3 3 4 4 43.75
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 10:56 PM
0 "Los Alamitos QH
Race
4

Post
10:57

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,739 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 4 25 7 6 5 4 50.20
2 0.00
3 22 3 7 6 4 5 47.07
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 11:22 PM
0 "Los Alamitos QH
Race
5

Post
11:22

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,215 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0.00
5 3 12 5 9 5 16 50.51
6 0.00
7 1 3 1 2 7 1 14.23
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00

formula_2002
04-16-2016, 11:48 PM
0 "Los Alamitos QH
Race
6

Post
11:49

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,211 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 0.00
2 0.00
3 0.00
4 0 1 0 1 2 4.82
5 0.00
6 19 21 21 52 21 132.66
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00
16 0.00

formula_2002
04-17-2016, 12:16 AM
0 "Los Alamitos QH
Race
7

Post
12:16

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,928 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 win bet
1 952 444 278 513 2186.45
2 0.00
3 329 118 80 82 135 744.47
4 0.00
5 0.00
6 0.00
7 0.00
8 0.00
9 0.00
10 0.00
11 0.00
12 0.00
13 0.00
14 0.00
15 0.00