HONG KONG - ShaTin - Mon 3/28 Live

[Nitro]

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with 9 Turf & 2 AWT races and nice size fields in each one.

I won’t be able to do the entire card this morning. I’m taking the family Upstate NY tomorrow to visit relatives for the next couple of weeks. Unfortunately my wife insists that I leave the laptop at home which means that I won’t be posting for a while. I could use some time off anyway.

Post Time Race #1 – 12:30 AM MON. EST

GL if you’re playing & feel free to join in !

In case anyone is wondering how to structure a Quinella bet with 2 Key entries and 4 others (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ) do the following:
K1/K2, K1/A, K1/B, K1/C, K1/D & K2/A, K2/B, K2/C, K2/D =
(9) total Bets ($2 denominations or higher)

This same structure can be used with the Quinella/Place bet which means if either Key finishes 1st , 2nd , or 3rd and any of others finish in-the-money (1st, 2nd or 3rd) with them you can potentially hit on (3) Q/P bets. They generally don't pay as much unless a big LS shows up in the money.

Structuring a Triple is a bit more expensive, but if the value is there then try the following with (K1-K2 W/ A-B-C-D ):
K1 / K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Winner
K2-A-B-C-D / K1 / K2-A-B-C-D = 20 Bets w/K1 as the Placer
K2-A-B-C-D / K2-A-B-C-D / K1 = 20 Bets w/K1 in for Show (use only if value is there)
If you repeat this same structure with K2 for Win & Place with the others it’ll be 80 total Bets, but there’s potential to hit the Triple 2X if both K's are in the money.

Good Luck!

[rexjred]

man you need to sneak that laptop up there

[Nitro]

man you need to sneak that laptop up there
I’ve already given that some thought, but to be honest I’d rather take a sabbatical from the game then have a battle. You may know how women can be at times, and besides my wife is already pretty tolerant when it comes to my attachment to the game. ;)

[trifecta]

I’ve already given that some thought, but to be honest I’d rather take a sabbatical from the game then have a battle. You may know how women can be at times, and besides my wife is already pretty tolerant when it comes to my attachment to the game. ;)

Hi Nitro. You made the right call. :ThmbUp:

I'll play one race tonight. In the 1st, I like the 3, Mighty Gains.

Good luck to you and have a good sabbatical. :)

[woodbinepmi]

Evening Nitro, everybody needs a break every once in a while anyway. That's a good thing about Hong Kong is it only race twice a week and burnout doesn't happen as often as four to five day raceweeks. Back on the days when a lot of tracks ran Wed. thru Sun. I don't know how we did it? We really appreciated Tuesdays when the track itself was closed for training.

[Nitro]

If you can't view the races try the HK Jockey Club radio (Click on English)
http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

R#1 –5-3 W/ 7-6-1-2

[woodbinepmi]

Taking a shot in the first with #2 HIGHLAND DRAGON at 14-1, not too keen on the barrier and that he doesn't like to switch to his proper lead in the stretch but can't refuse the price.

[duncan04]

:9: Oriental Fantasia

[duncan04]

:9: Oriental Fantasia

Ran second at 9/2

[Nitro]

Nice call there Duncan! A Quinella wheel would have been a nice bet! :ThmbUp:



R#1 –5-3 W/ 7-6-1-2

Results

R# 1 = 8-9-1-12 - Nothing in that one - No clues on that LS Winner & Placer :confused:

Those AWT races can be tough at times.

[duncan04]

Thanks Nitro. Thought I had it but the 8 came flying. Never would of guessed that horse would of ever won.

[Nitro]

R# 2 - 8-4 W/ 2-10-11-5

[betovernetcapper]

race 2

$1 tri part whl :2: :2: with :8: with :1: :5: :9: :7:

$2 Q PW :2: with :1: :5: :8: :9: :7:

$10-x-x :8:
$5-x-x :1:
$4-x-x :5:
$2-x-x :7:

[woodbinepmi]

Have a couple in the 2nd that are my watch list the :4: and the :8: playing them with the :5: :2: :7: :1: in the Q's.

[duncan04]

:9: GERONIMO MEADOW. W/S

[kevb]

Race 2, it's Joe for me :8:. Joe Moreira, had trouble last race, on pace in a projected slow pace pace race, and 7/2 odds.

[kevb]

Good watch list Wood.

[duncan04]

Race 2, it's Joe for me :8:. Joe Moreira, had trouble last race, on pace in a projected slow pace pace race, and 7/2 odds.

Nice call!!

[woodbinepmi]

Good watch list Wood.
Thank you sir, think we all did well there.

[duncan04]

:9: GERONIMO MEADOW. W/S

Ran third. Pd $5.50

[Nitro]

R# 2 - 8-4 W/ 2-10-11-5
Hey Woody nice call! We didn’t have to go much further then those!
Results

R# 2 = 8-4-9-11 - WIN – QUIN :ThmbUp:

$2.00 WIN – 8 - $8.80
$2.00 QUINELLA – 4-8- $42.90

[duncan04]

R3- :1: Right Call.

[woodbinepmi]

Agree with you here Duncan, :1: looks real good in this field playing with the :5: :4: :6: :2: and the :13: (looks in the paddock alone)

[Nitro]

R# 3 - 6-1 W/ 2-4-5-11

[kevb]

R3. Yes, :1: is the one to beat. No price though. I'm taking a chance with :6: and :12:-- quinella with :1: :4: :5: :6: :9: :11: :12:.

[betovernetcapper]

race 3

$1 tri :1: :4: with :1: :4: with :2: :3: :6: :8: :11:

Qs
:1: with :2: :3: :6: :8: :11:

token bets on :2: :3: :6: :8:

[betovernetcapper]

missed the :9:

[duncan04]

R3- :1: Right Call.

Winner paid $6.10. 2-1 was a gift

[Nitro]

R# 3 - 6-1 W/ 2-4-5-11
Results

R# 3 = 1-9-6-4 - WIN – No clues on that LS Placer

$2.00 WIN – 1 - $6.10

[kevb]

Oops.

[Nitro]

R# 4 - 6-1 W/ 8-2-3-10

[woodbinepmi]

Was hoping to get a price on the :6: in here off his last race, but not getting with it at 2-1 at the moment. Afraid of the :8: (unknown) and the :1:

[kevb]

Race 4. Quinella :6: :10: / :1: :2: :3: :5: :6: :10:

[woodbinepmi]

Dragon Master winner of the last is real nice runner, should be able to handle Class 3 next time out.

[Nitro]

R# 4 - 6-1 W/ 8-2-3-10
Results

R# 4 = 1-11-2-8 - WIN – No clues on that BIG LS Placer :eek:

$2.00 WIN – 1 - $8.50

[woodbinepmi]

Can't bet the :1: to win at 9-5, having to find a little value elsewhere, using the :4: , :9: (coming out of a key race), :5: :12: and :8: in the Q's.

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 5-1 W/ 4-12-8-14

[betovernetcapper]

race 5

$! tri :1: w :4: w :3: :6: :7: :8: :12: :14: :9:

$4Q :1: :8:

$8Q :1: :12:
$2Q :1: :9:
$10 :4:
$7 :8:
$5 :12:
$3 :9:

[Nitro]

R# 5 - 5-1 W/ 4-12-8-14
Hey Woody nice Quinella call!
Results

R# 5 = 5-9-8-1 - WIN – Lots of late action on the Placer (26/1 to 16/1 !) which I fortunately saw in time! But too late to post a change here. A nice Quinella too. :ThmbUp:

$2.00 WIN – 5 - $14.10

[woodbinepmi]

Not a big fan of the two turn races on the lawn here unless they are upper class races. Taking a pass here.

[Nitro]

R# 6 - 6-5 W/ 12-2-3-10

[Nitro]

R# 6 - 6-5 W/ 12-2-3-10
Results

R# 6 = 2-4-12-9 - Nothing in that one - No clues on that LS Placer

Well that’s it for me. Good luck the rest of the way!

These are my early picks for Races 7 thru 11. They’re not in any particular order only because I use the tote analysis to make the final determination for the Key entries, etc.

R# 7 - 2-3-4-5-11-12

R# 8 - 1-2-4-6-7-9

R# 9 - 1-2-6-7-8-11

R# 10 - 2-3-6-8-9-11

R# 11 - 1-2-4-6-10-11
.
.

[woodbinepmi]

Good night Nitro, and have a nice holiday.

[betovernetcapper]

RACE 7

$4Q :2: :4:
$3Q :2: WITH :5: :11:

$7 :4: :11:
$6 :5:

$2TRI :11: :12: :5:

#2 TRI :2: WITH :4: :5: :11: WITH :4: :5: :11:

[woodbinepmi]

Taking the :11: and the :2: with the :8: :5: :3: in the Q's in the seventh

[woodbinepmi]

Dutched the :1: and the :2: in the 8th

[woodbinepmi]

Taking 7-2 on the :8: Diego Kosta on the win and keying him with the :6: :1: :3: :9: and the :11: , in the Q's and trifectas.