View Full Version : FORMULA'S WIN BETS OUT PERFORMS THE PUBLIC
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 10:07 AM
OUTPERFORMING THE PUBLIC WIN POOL BETTING BY USING LIVE TOTE BOARD ANALYSIS
RESULTS FROM TWO PREVIOUS THREADS
COMPOSITE RESULTS
STRUCTURAL BET RETURN ON $1, 1.00
FLAT BET RETURN ON $1, 0.78
NUMBER OF RACES, 55
NUMBER OF WINS, 19
WIN %, 35%
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.18
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 10:15 AM
"UK Carlisle
Race
1
Post
10:15
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,901 "
bet size 604
RETURN ON $1 #DIV/0!
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 #DIV/0!
NUMBER OF RACES 0
NUMBER OF WINS 0
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET #DIV/0!
:4:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 11:24 AM
"UK Carlisle
Race
3
Post
11:20
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,837 "
bet size 15565
RETURN ON $1 #DIV/0!
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 #DIV/0!
NUMBER OF RACES 0
NUMBER OF WINS 0
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET #DIV/0! :2: :2:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 11:39 AM
"UK Ffos Las
Race
4
Post
11:40
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,720 "
bet size 1249
RETURN ON $1 0.00
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.00
NUMBER OF RACES 3
NUMBER OF WINS 0
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET #DIV/0!
:1:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 11:54 AM
"UK Carlisle
Race
4
Post
11:55
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$3,213 "
bet size 690
RETURN ON $1 0.00
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.00
NUMBER OF RACES 4
NUMBER OF WINS 0
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET #DIV/0!
:3: :3:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 01:05 PM
"Gulfstream
Race
2
Post
1:05
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$45,361 "
bet size 993
RETURN ON $1 0.23
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.59
NUMBER OF RACES 7
NUMBER OF WINS 1
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.39
:2:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 01:19 PM
"Aqueduct
Race
1
Post
1:20
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$35,628 "
bet size 1875
RETURN ON $1 0.23
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.59
NUMBER OF RACES 7
NUMBER OF WINS 1
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.39
:1:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 01:37 PM
"Gulfstream
Race
3
Post
1:35
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$47,618 "
bet size 2179
RETURN ON $1 0.37
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.80
NUMBER OF RACES 9
NUMBER OF WINS 3
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.46
:3:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 01:55 PM
"Tampa Bay
Race
4
Post
1:55
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,972 "
bet size 1172
RETURN ON $1 0.50
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.92
NUMBER OF RACES 10
NUMBER OF WINS 4
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.54
:2:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 02:06 PM
"Gulfstream
Race
4
Post
2:05
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$37,579 "
bet size 8952
RETURN ON $1 0.50
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.92
NUMBER OF RACES 10
NUMBER OF WINS 4
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.54
:2:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 02:57 PM
"Tampa Bay
Race
6
Post
2:56
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$16,468 "
bet size 1758
RETURN ON $1 0.84
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.93
NUMBER OF RACES 13
NUMBER OF WINS 6
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.90
:1:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 03:22 PM
"Aqueduct
Race
5
Post
3:23
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$61,004 "
bet size 1798
RETURN ON $1 0.90
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 1.04
NUMBER OF RACES 14
NUMBER OF WINS 7
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.86
:5:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 03:59 PM
"Santa Anita
Race
2
Post
4:00
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$29,838 "
bet size 1127
RETURN ON $1 0.87
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.97
NUMBER OF RACES 15
NUMBER OF WINS 7
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.89
:10:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 04:38 PM
results for this thread
RETURN ON $1 0.91
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.89
NUMBER OF RACES 18
NUMBER OF WINS 8
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.02
ALERT, ALERT
THERE IS AN IMPROVEMENT TO THE STRUCTURAL BET $1 RETURN
WHEN THE BET SIZED IS USED AS THE EXPONENT OF e (2.718268237).
FOR THIS THREAD, IT WOULD RAISE THE $1 RETURN FROM .91 TO .98 :) :)
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 05:05 PM
"Oaklawn
Race
6
Post
5:03
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$27,657 "
bet size 6935
RETURN ON $1 0.91
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.89
NUMBER OF RACES 18
NUMBER OF WINS 8
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.02
RETURN ON $1 FOR
EXP(BET SIZE) 0.98
:4:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 05:20 PM
"Aqueduct
Race
9
Post
5:20
MTP
1
$1 Exacta Pool
$59,758 "
bet size 612
RETURN ON $1 1.01
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.95
NUMBER OF RACES 19
NUMBER OF WINS 9
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.07
RETURN ON $1 FOR
EXP(BET SIZE) 1.02
:2:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 06:25 PM
"Oaklawn
Race
9
Post
6:26
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$34,464 "
bet size 861
RETURN ON $1 1.03
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 1.04
NUMBER OF RACES 20
NUMBER OF WINS 10
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 0.99
RETURN ON $1 FOR
EXP(BET SIZE) 1.10
:8:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 07:47 PM
"Santa Anita
Race
9
Post
7:46
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$130,732 "
bet size 318
RETURN ON $1 1.01
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.99
NUMBER OF RACES 21
NUMBER OF WINS 10
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.03
RETURN ON $1 FOR
EXP(BET SIZE) 1.05
:4:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 08:08 PM
"Turf Paradise
Race
8
Post
8:08
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,221 "
bet size 1550
RETURN ON $1 1.01
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.99
NUMBER OF RACES 21
NUMBER OF WINS 10
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.03
RETURN ON $1 FOR
EXP(BET SIZE) 1.05
:5:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 08:58 PM
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
2
Post
8:58
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$7,950 "
bet size 2445
RETURN ON $1 1.04
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.97
NUMBER OF RACES 24
NUMBER OF WINS 11
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.08
RETURN ON $1 FOR
EXP(BET SIZE) 1.03
:7:
formula_2002
03-20-2016, 09:27 PM
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
3
Post
9:27
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$7,836 "
bet size 2016
RETURN ON $1 1.01
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.93
NUMBER OF RACES 25
NUMBER OF WINS 11
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.09
RETURN ON $1 FOR
EXP(BET SIZE) $1 return 0.99
:4:
formula_2002
03-21-2016, 12:45 AM
I'll close this thread, once again beating the public's $1 return, $0.86 to $0.77
a 1.11-1 advantage
bet size 1015
RETURN ON $1 0.86
FLAT BET 1.00
RETURN ON $1 0.77
NUMBER OF RACES 30
NUMBER OF WINS 11
ADVANTAGE OVER FLAT BET 1.11
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