Lemon Drop Husker
03-18-2016, 10:50 PM
11 horses, with only 8 betting interests.
I'd usually pass, but this race is exciting to me, with price horses abound.
1 and 1/16th miles for 4YO and upward:
:1: Incremental: Part of a Triple entry. Will be beat handily.
:1a: La Machina: Can come late, just too late, and not good enough.
:1a:X Looks To Spare: Anybody expect him to run his best off a career best effort with a long layoff?
:2: Smack Smack: He is at home and very dangerous. Others close the deal much much better.
:3: Carve: After a 4th here last year, he has followed it up with a flurry of solid, yet non-winning efforts. I see an overbet here. Exotics at best for me.
:4: Shotgun Kowboy: Still only 4YO. Rolls in off a bullet work. BWC and Jareth are solid connections. Would not surprise me in the least.
:5: Idolo Porteno: I'll forever pass on Argentina shippers. Especially in Graded Stakes races.
:6: Far Right: A number of people looked for this one to win the KD last year. He should get solid backing from the locals. Reality is, he ain't good enough.
:7: Upstart: A year ago, he would be a 2/5 favorite in this race. Now? 5/2 ML is almost a joke. Hasn't raced since September, gets landed in here, and hasn't beat a solid field in his entire career.
:8: Domian's Rap: He has won 4 straight. This 8 year old is a money maker, looking for a bit more than usual.
W: :4:
EX: :4::7: Box
I'd usually pass, but this race is exciting to me, with price horses abound.
1 and 1/16th miles for 4YO and upward:
:1: Incremental: Part of a Triple entry. Will be beat handily.
:1a: La Machina: Can come late, just too late, and not good enough.
:1a:X Looks To Spare: Anybody expect him to run his best off a career best effort with a long layoff?
:2: Smack Smack: He is at home and very dangerous. Others close the deal much much better.
:3: Carve: After a 4th here last year, he has followed it up with a flurry of solid, yet non-winning efforts. I see an overbet here. Exotics at best for me.
:4: Shotgun Kowboy: Still only 4YO. Rolls in off a bullet work. BWC and Jareth are solid connections. Would not surprise me in the least.
:5: Idolo Porteno: I'll forever pass on Argentina shippers. Especially in Graded Stakes races.
:6: Far Right: A number of people looked for this one to win the KD last year. He should get solid backing from the locals. Reality is, he ain't good enough.
:7: Upstart: A year ago, he would be a 2/5 favorite in this race. Now? 5/2 ML is almost a joke. Hasn't raced since September, gets landed in here, and hasn't beat a solid field in his entire career.
:8: Domian's Rap: He has won 4 straight. This 8 year old is a money maker, looking for a bit more than usual.
W: :4:
EX: :4::7: Box