formula's win bet size assistant 03-10-2016

[formula_2002]

I'll offer a bet size that will beat the track takeout
It goes like this, if you like the horse for which a bet size is listed. that bet size, in the long run, size will outperform a flat bet.
This a work still in progress

in the below example. the bet on the 2 horse is 23 units, 52 units on the 4 etc.

All calculations are based on tote board action approximately 4 MTP



Code:
"Gulfstream
Race
1

Post
12:35

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$39,325 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 0 23 0 52 0 15 0 33 0 0

[formula_2002]

"Santa Anita
Race
4

Post
5:37

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$48,796 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 2 2 0 0 0 16 2 0 277 18 7 0 0 0 0 0 324

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
2

Post
7:08

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,580 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 8 0 46 79 5 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 140

[formula_2002]

"Santa Anita
Race
8

Post
7:41

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$46,682 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 0 4 0 0 1 19 6 43 10 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 95


win bet on 2 and 5 at size listed

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
4

Post
8:04

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,231 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 23 74 10 1 2 110 7 16 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 270


win bets 81 on 4 49 on 5

[formula_2002]

"Woodbine Harness
Race
3

Post
8:10

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,695 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 31 48 1 7 2 6 30 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 149


win bets 87 on 3 51 on 5

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
4

Post
8:04

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,231 "


$130 win bet returned $210

[formula_2002]

"Woodbine Harness
Race
3

Post
8:10

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,695 "


$138 win bet returned $128

[formula_2002]

last 5 posted races outperformed flat bet by 7%

[formula_2002]

"SAF Fairview
Race
2

Post
6:15

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,894 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 2 3 22 1 13 11 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

[formula_2002]

"SAF Fairview
Race
8

Post
9:50

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,469 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 170 3 10 24 37 13 82 0 37 0 7 17 39 10 82 0 529

[formula_2002]

those last two races raised the "bet size" advantage over a flat from 7% to 25% :)

[formula_2002]

those last two races raised the "bet size" advantage over a flat from 7% to 25% :)

aqu race 2, off in 13 minuets looks like the kind of race where the money bet size assistant will increase the advantage.
Will post appox 2 to 3 min to post time

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
2

Post
1:50

MTP
4

$1 Exacta Pool
$32,201 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 6 63 46 3 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 126

[bgbootha]

Is there a thread with more info on this, I am intrigued to say the least

[formula_2002]

8 race, 22% advantage over flat bet

races $1 bet return
return size
1 3.5 2 7
1 2.6 1 2.60
1 2.5 2 5.00
1 1.1 1 1.1
1 2.5 1 2.5
1 4.4 2 8.8
1 5.3 7 37.1
1 5 2 10
8 26.9 18 74.1
3.36 4.12
1.22

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
4

Post
2:05

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$35,868 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 3 149 8 30 3 1 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 204

[formula_2002]

"Laurel
Race
3

Post
2:14

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$11,120 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 9 15 56 3 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 93

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
3

Post
2:20

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$47,075 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 24 3 13 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47

[formula_2002]

"Laurel
Race
4

Post
2:44

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$8,507 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 0 5 3 1 2 6 91 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 108

[formula_2002]

races $1 bet return
return size
1 3.5 2 7
1 2.6 1 2.60
1 2.5 2 5.00
1 1.1 1 1.1
1 2.5 1 2.5
1 4.4 2 8.8
1 5.3 7 37.1
1 5 2 10
1 7 2 14
1 3.00 3.00 9.00
1 4.80 4.00 19.20
1 52.3 91 4759.3
12.00 94.00 118.00 4875.60
7.83 41.32
5.27


that last race at lrl skewed the results to 500% better than a flat bet. :)

[formula_2002]

136 75 17 59 91 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 243
"Gulfstream
Race
8

Post
4:06

MTP
3

$1 Exacta Pool
$21,908 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 1 6 2 1 101 283 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 394


i'll use this race for a complete odds analysis once the charts have been posted

[formula_2002]

Is there a thread with more info on this, I am intrigued to say the least


once the chart has ben posted,I'll use the 8th at gulfstream to give a complete analysis

[formula_2002]

Is there a thread with more info on this, I am intrigued to say the least

I reviewed the GP 8 race charts.
I don't think this make any sense. Probably just lucky
I made sum adjustments. If they work I think it will make sense.

I'm going to start a new thread

Thanks for your interest