NorCalGreg
03-06-2016, 10:30 AM
---Gonna try something here...these are software selections--but they actually win. How much and how often--I don't know. I'm positive they win AT LEAST as often as Favorites (say 33% or 1/3rd)---but the mutuals are higher.
There are 30 picks here--so if they win like favorites--as I believe they do---we should win around 10 races. Just a guess--I'm gonna say the avg mutual for winning post-time favorites, would be around $4.80
So 10 wins @ avg $4.80--should return us $48.00, on the 30 wagers @ $2.00 per.
So roughly, betting favorites only--you would lose appx .20 cents on every dollar bet...or a $-1.60 ROI.
I think these 30 picks can do better. I didn't include ML odds--more fun to find out later--because these ARE NOT NECESSARILY ALL LOW ODDS SELECTIONS.
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---So here they are--we'll see if they perform better than post-time favorites. I wouldn't honestly be a little surprised if they showed a profit. Remember, they have to return more than $60.00
AQUEDUCT-- R1-5 DUCASAS/ R2-1 VOIDED CONTRACT/R6-2 JAI ALAI/R7-4 IMASLOWPOKERODRIGUEZ
FGS --R1-6 GARRISON COMMANDER/R-4 2 MALACHITE/R-8 9 SAMANTHA'S PRIZE
GGF --R1 4 APERFECTDAYTOFLY/R-6 4 TRIBAL DUDE/R-7 4 IMPERIAL BADGER/ R-9 6 PRINCE CHARMANT
GPX --R-5 3 CLEAR STATUS/ R-6 4 BODACIOUS BABE
OP-- R-1 3 RULES OF WAR/ R-4 10 LAWYER DAGGETT/R-8 5 BOOTSY'S GIRL
PARX--R-2 2 CHANGE OF SEASONS/ R-3 3 THEN AND NOW/ R-7 1 DRUMROLL/ R-8 1 CASH IS PRIME
SA--R-1 5 JUST ONE MORE THING/ R-6 7 OPPORTUNISTIC
SUN-- R-8 8 STORM DUST
TAMPA-- R-1 3 MOUNT MERU/ R-7 4 TORAZO/ R-10 10 HOON
TPX-- R-6 FANCY HAT
TUP-- R-3 3 MASTERFUL STRIDE/R-4 7 SORULLO/ R-8 5 G T EL GATO
have a good day
🎲NCG
There are 30 picks here--so if they win like favorites--as I believe they do---we should win around 10 races. Just a guess--I'm gonna say the avg mutual for winning post-time favorites, would be around $4.80
So 10 wins @ avg $4.80--should return us $48.00, on the 30 wagers @ $2.00 per.
So roughly, betting favorites only--you would lose appx .20 cents on every dollar bet...or a $-1.60 ROI.
I think these 30 picks can do better. I didn't include ML odds--more fun to find out later--because these ARE NOT NECESSARILY ALL LOW ODDS SELECTIONS.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---So here they are--we'll see if they perform better than post-time favorites. I wouldn't honestly be a little surprised if they showed a profit. Remember, they have to return more than $60.00
AQUEDUCT-- R1-5 DUCASAS/ R2-1 VOIDED CONTRACT/R6-2 JAI ALAI/R7-4 IMASLOWPOKERODRIGUEZ
FGS --R1-6 GARRISON COMMANDER/R-4 2 MALACHITE/R-8 9 SAMANTHA'S PRIZE
GGF --R1 4 APERFECTDAYTOFLY/R-6 4 TRIBAL DUDE/R-7 4 IMPERIAL BADGER/ R-9 6 PRINCE CHARMANT
GPX --R-5 3 CLEAR STATUS/ R-6 4 BODACIOUS BABE
OP-- R-1 3 RULES OF WAR/ R-4 10 LAWYER DAGGETT/R-8 5 BOOTSY'S GIRL
PARX--R-2 2 CHANGE OF SEASONS/ R-3 3 THEN AND NOW/ R-7 1 DRUMROLL/ R-8 1 CASH IS PRIME
SA--R-1 5 JUST ONE MORE THING/ R-6 7 OPPORTUNISTIC
SUN-- R-8 8 STORM DUST
TAMPA-- R-1 3 MOUNT MERU/ R-7 4 TORAZO/ R-10 10 HOON
TPX-- R-6 FANCY HAT
TUP-- R-3 3 MASTERFUL STRIDE/R-4 7 SORULLO/ R-8 5 G T EL GATO
have a good day
🎲NCG