Super Bowl props

[Valuist]

I have done well over the years betting the wide receiver props. Once you get a feel for the matchups, its not hard to draw solid conclusions

D. Thomas Under 67 1/2- He's had the drops recently, and his production has slipped, especially in final half of the season. Norman figures to be on him, and thats not good for Thomas. The only thing the general public knows about Thomas is that he was able to get under Beckham's skin.

Sanders Over 67 1/2- Courtland Finnegan is not a good matchup for Carolina here. Manning knows this and look for him to target Sanders

Ginn Under 42 1/2 yards- I think there's a great chance he goes under, but if he does go over, it likely will be on a big play. But I think Denver isn't gonna let him burn their D.

Olsen Over 69 1/2 yards- One weakness of the Denver defense is covering tight ends. And with the strong Bronco pass rush, Cam doesn't figure to have 6 seconds looking for Ginn on bombs. So look for Olsen to get a number of targets.

[Grits]

I'm surprised you've not considered a prop wager on "Stew", Valuist. Panthers, Jonathan Stewart. Or, is there not such available behind Olsen and Ginn? (Of course, I don't know about wagering NFL.) He missed, I believe, three games, but he came back well. He hustles.

[Rookies]

Well Grits, here's a sample. Some may interest you!

Generally with these, I'm never looking at chalk. A little value is always a good thing!

I'm whittling down to 5 of these, some of which are correlated!

1) FIRST SCORING PLAY OF SUPER BOWL 50
PANTHERS PLAY BRONCOS
5/1 TOUCHDOWN RUN

2) PLAYER TO SCORE FIRST TOUCHDOWN OF SUPER BOWL 50
JONATHAN STEWART-car 8/1

3) PLAYER TO SCORE FIRST BRONCOS TOUCHDOWN OF SUPER BOWL 50
DEMARYIUS THOMAS-den 9/2

4) WILL KURT COLEMAN (CAR) INTERCEPT A PASS?
YES +240

5) WILL THE PANTHERS CONVERT A 4TH DOWN ATTEMPT?
**(4th Down Conversion by Penalty does not count)
YES +165

6) WILL GREG OLSEN (CAR) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES +350

7) WILL JONATHAN STEWART (CAR) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN IN THE FIRST HALF?
YES +330

8) TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: CAM NEWTON (CAR)
OVER 2.5 +240

9) FIRST TOUCHDOWN OF THE GAME WILL BE:
ANY OTHER TD +145

[Stillriledup]

I have done well over the years betting the wide receiver props. Once you get a feel for the matchups, its not hard to draw solid conclusions

D. Thomas Under 67 1/2- He's had the drops recently, and his production has slipped, especially in final half of the season. Norman figures to be on him, and thats not good for Thomas. The only thing the general public knows about Thomas is that he was able to get under Beckham's skin.

Sanders Over 67 1/2- Courtland Finnegan is not a good matchup for Carolina here. Manning knows this and look for him to target Sanders

Ginn Under 42 1/2 yards- I think there's a great chance he goes under, but if he does go over, it likely will be on a big play. But I think Denver isn't gonna let him burn their D.

Olsen Over 69 1/2 yards- One weakness of the Denver defense is covering tight ends. And with the strong Bronco pass rush, Cam doesn't figure to have 6 seconds looking for Ginn on bombs. So look for Olsen to get a number of targets.

Vegas is still paying me from 'Terrell Owens over' props the year he played with the broken leg (or arm?) numbers were low but I was betting he would be ready to roll.

And he was.

And they're still paying me ;-)

[Stillriledup]

Are there any punt return props or kickoff return props w Ted Ginn?

Bet over, he's going to break one.

You're welcome.

[Rookies]

Are there any punt return props or kickoff return props w Ted Ginn?

Bet over, he's going to break one.

You're welcome.

Quickly scanned 500. None like that.

[Grits]

Rookies, look at that! Stew's all over the page. He should be, still, I thought, "what am I missing"? SRU, if there's a prop on TD and that arm surgery he's going to be playing through? You may wanna consider.

[zico20]

Just keep betting on the NFC to win the coin toss. They have won 19 of the past 22, including in that run 14 in a row. Why wait for the game to begin when you can be way ahead before the kick off. ;)

[Stillriledup]

Rookies, look at that! Stew's all over the page. He should be, still, I thought, "what am I missing"? SRU, if there's a prop on TD and that arm surgery he's going to be playing through? You may wanna consider.

I've never seen a prob on how many minutes a guy might play, there probably will be a prob on Davises amount of tackles, maybe a prop on over/under of sacks., so that's how you have to bet. Also, I believe the prop gives you your money back if he doesn't actually play.

I would bet ON Thomas Davis if he was an offense player, I wouldn't put anything past that guy.

[Rookies]

Rookies, look at that! Stew's all over the page. He should be, still, I thought, "what am I missing"? SRU, if there's a prop on TD and that arm surgery he's going to be playing through? You may wanna consider.

Just remember, though. These are MINE (because I believe Carolina will win) of 500, that are available! Check the Westgate Casino site for many of them.

[Grits]

I've never seen a prob on how many minutes a guy might play, there probably will be a prob on Davises amount of tackles, maybe a prop on over/under of sacks., so that's how you have to bet.

Just remember, though. These are MINE (because I believe Carolina will win) of 500, that are available! Check the Westgate Casino site for many of them.

Been watching stats all season and post season.

...don't bet football. Only horses. But I hope you guys make a boatload of cash.

http://www.panthers.com/team/statistics.html

[Valuist]

I'm surprised you've not considered a prop wager on "Stew", Valuist. Panthers, Jonathan Stewart. Or, is there not such available behind Olsen and Ginn? (Of course, I don't know about wagering NFL.) He missed, I believe, three games, but he came back well. He hustles.

I still have 6 days, and Stewart could get a few screens. The total for his receptions is 1 1/2, and his rush yard total is 67 1/2. I am strongly considering a play on Cotchery, who's a good 3rd down specialist. His yardage number is 21 1/2, so two catches should be able to go over.

If Denver does end up winning, and if Peyton has a pulse, they will give him the MVP.

[Grits]

I still have 6 days, and Stewart could get a few screens. The total for his receptions is 1 1/2, and his rush yard total is 67 1/2. I am strongly considering a play on Cotchery, who's a good 3rd down specialist. His yardage number is 21 1/2, so two catches should be able to go over.

If Denver does end up winning, and if Peyton has a pulse, they will give him the MVP.

All of this is an education in and of itself, as I don't know betting on football. The obvious note on Peyton, I got that one but beyond that I'm doubtful when even asking a question. So, keeping writing, along with others until game time Sunday night. I'm gonna keep reading. ;)

[Rookies]

All of this is an education in and of itself, as I don't know betting on football. The obvious note on Peyton, I got that one but beyond that I'm doubtful when even asking a question. So, keeping writing, along with others until game time Sunday night. I'm gonna keep reading. ;)

In SB props, you look for value, based on your expectation of how a team will perform and what it's game plan will be. In this one, stuff relating to Cam is clearly live, but never a Prop on Cam -50 to do something. Try and find a positive one.

E.g. SB 49. I took Brady > 2.5 TD Passes, since I figured NE would be firing it up early and often. Ca$hed.

If you think Cam will torch the Broncos, then the same bet is a good one!
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: CAM NEWTON (CAR)
OVER 2.5 +240

[davew]

Just keep betting on the NFC to win the coin toss. They have won 19 of the past 22, including in that run 14 in a row. Why wait for the game to begin when you can be way ahead before the kick off. ;)

I saw that for +101 either team


a local appliance store is having a promotion/sale
- buy appliance in next couple days

if opening kick-off is returned for touchdown, get your appliance for free


what are the odds of that? 500/1 ?

[zico20]

Just keep betting on the NFC to win the coin toss. They have won 19 of the past 22, including in that run 14 in a row. Why wait for the game to begin when you can be way ahead before the kick off. ;)

I hope everyone took my advice. The easy money was there to be had before the game ever started. It is nice to know before the kickoff that you can't lose money on the night. :cool:

Remember this post next year!!