View Full Version : FORMULA'S EXACTA PLAYS OUT PERFORMING FAVORITE WIN POOL PLAYS
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 11:50 AM
USING THE FAVORITE ON TOP OF SELECTED EXACTA COMBINATIONS OF VARING BETS SIZE, WILL OUT-PERFORM A FLAT WIN BET ON THE FAVORITE.
THIS WILL NOT HAPPEN IN EVERY SINGLE RACE BUT WILL DEVELOPE OVER A NUMBER OF RACES. (WE HOPE) :)
SO FAR IT'S BEEN QUITE SUCESSFUL.
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 12:22 PM
"Tampa Bay
Race
1
Post
12:22
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$11,743 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.08 1 100 100 EX POOL
0.15 2 92 8 100 TRK $1 RET 0
0.08 3 100 100 MY BET 0.00 0.00
0.09 4 100 100
0.38 5 5 44 4 5 35 7 100 TOTAL RETURN -1.00
0.14 6 7 93 100
0.00 7 0
0.08 8 100 100 win pool
0.00 9 0 TRK $1 RET 0
0.00 10 0 MY BET 0.00 0.00
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0 TOTAL RETURN 0.00
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 5 51 4 5 585 43 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 700
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 12:50 PM
"Tampa Bay
Race
2
Post
12:50
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$13,641 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.08 1 0
0.21 2 43 8 49 100
0.20 3 43 5 52 100
0.04 4 0
0.03 5 0
0.11 6 40 25 35 100
0.22 7 2 46 46 6 100
0.01 8 0
0.02 9 0
0.08 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 2 129 113 0 0 18 137 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 400
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 01:05 PM
"Gulfstream
Race
2
Post
1:05
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$35,557 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.02 1 0
0.09 2 0
0.18 3 18 65 5 12 100
0.01 4 0
0.15 5 34 53 13 100
0.07 6 0
0.23 7 5 50 22 3 5 16 100
0.09 8 0
0.02 9 0
0.14 10 30 20 50 100
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 5 113 0 61 3 169 9 0 41 0 0 0 0 0 0 400
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 01:19 PM
"Tampa Bay
Race
3
Post
1:19
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$14,572 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.04 1 0 EX POOL
0.16 2 86 14 100 TRK $1 RET 0
0.08 3 100 100 MY BET 0.00 0.00
0.04 4 0
0.42 5 0 18 4 1 1 76 100 TOTAL RETURN -1.00
0.05 6 0
0.00 7 0
0.21 8 4 1 95 100 win pool
0.00 9 0 TRK $1 RET 0
0.00 10 0 MY BET 0.00 0.00
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0 TOTAL RETURN 0.00
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 22 5 1 281 1 0 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 400
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 01:34 PM
"Gulfstream
Race
3
Post
1:35
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$31,864 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.39 1 1 47 3 35 14 100
0.04 2 0
0.18 3 87 9 3 100
0.08 4 100 100
0.19 5 84 12 4 100
0.12 6 79 11 11 100
0.00 7 0
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 350 1 70 3 55 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 01:50 PM
"Tampa Bay
Race
4
Post
1:49
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$22,893 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.09 1 100 100
0.34 2 11 1 5 23 2 3 55 100
0.04 3 0
0.07 4 100 100
0.12 5 86 14 100
0.02 6 0
0.06 7 0
0.06 8 0
0.03 9 0
0.16 10 94 6 100
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 11 380 1 5 29 0 2 3 0 68 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 02:25 PM
"Fair Grounds
Race
1
Post
2:25
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$9,883 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.39 1 3 2 23 6 41 24 100
0.07 2 100 100
0.05 3 100 100
0.13 4 100 100
0.09 5 100 100
0.14 6 95 5 100
0.12 7 94 6 100
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 589 3 2 23 6 47 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 700
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 02:38 PM
my data base today, 8 races
3 favorites won
$100 EXACTA BET RETURNED $950
$100 FLAT BET ON FAV RETURNED $630
SYSTEM ADVANTAGE $$320
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 04:39 PM
"Gulfstream
Race
9
Post
4:40
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$45,745 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.12 1 78 22 100
0.08 2 100 100
0.31 3 21 6 59 10 3 2 100
0.04 4 0
0.18 5 9 91 100
0.09 6 100 100
0.02 7 0
0.06 8 0
0.06 9 0
0.02 10 0
0.02 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 30 6 368 0 82 10 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 05:57 PM
"Fair Grounds
Race
8
Post
5:57
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,201 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.23 1 65 27 4 3 100
0.20 2 70 24 3 4 100
0.16 3 55 45 100
0.02 4 0
0.11 5 0
0.01 6 0
0.10 7 0
0.02 8 0
0.07 9 0
0.03 10 0
0.03 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 124 111 51 0 7 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 300
call 1 as the favorite
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 07:10 PM
"Santa Anita
Race
8
Post
7:10
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$58,928 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.03 1 0
0.09 2 100 100
0.21 3 6 10 84 100
0.06 4 0
0.13 5 25 75 100
0.15 6 25 5 70 100
0.28 7 3 61 1 11 22 1 100
0.05 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 3 111 1 22 32 329 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 07:23 PM
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
8
Post
7:23
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$14,807 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.04 1 0
0.13 2 36 30 34 100
0.08 3 0
0.00 4 0
0.18 5 16 22 30 32 100
0.15 6 18 26 35 21 100
0.07 7 0
0.19 8 21 28 21 29 100
0.16 9 12 36 21 30 100
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 67 0 0 127 95 0 129 82 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
call 8 fav
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 07:39 PM
"Santa Anita
Race
9
Post
7:39
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$80,651 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.05 1 0
0.07 2 0
0.06 3 0
0.15 4 41 11 48 100
0.04 5 0
0.03 6 0
0.20 7 21 12 68 100
0.06 8 0
0.14 9 16 38 46 100
0.21 10 22 63 15 100
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 0 0 58 0 0 143 0 38 161 0 0 0 0 0 0 400
call 10 fav
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 07:53 PM
"Golden Gate Fields
Race
9
Post
7:53
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$18,912 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.00 1 0
0.13 2 51 49 100
0.19 3 22 10 10 58 100
0.06 4 0
0.11 5 45 55 100
0.12 6 39 61 100
0.04 7 0
0.07 8 0
0.21 9 17 54 11 17 100
0.06 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 39 189 0 22 27 0 0 224 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
call 9 the fav
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 08:41 PM
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
2
Post
8:41
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,699 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.22 1 2 1 3 94 100
0.14 2 19 7 73 100
0.10 3 100 100
0.17 4 24 8 68 100
0.00 5 0
0.03 6 0
0.34 7 80 10 2 8 100
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 123 20 3 18 0 0 336 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 09:06 PM
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
3
Post
9:06
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,237 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.09 1 70 30 100
0.19 2 2 81 17 100
0.34 3 3 44 50 1 2 100
0.22 4 2 13 84 1 100
0.06 5 0
0.00 6 0
0.09 7 100 100
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 6 57 335 97 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 09:21 PM
"New Zealand Woodville
Race
6
Post
9:21
MTP
2
$1 Quinella Pool
$5,036 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.16 1 45 55 100
0.16 2 42 58 100
0.08 3 0
0.04 4 0
0.08 5 0
0.03 6 0
0.07 7 0
0.02 8 0
0.01 9 0
0.22 10 44 49 7 100
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.04 13 0
0.02 14 0
0.03 15 0
0.00 16 0
0.98 86 94 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 114 0 0 0 0 0 0 300
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 09:55 PM
"New Zealand Woodville
Race
7
Post
9:56
MTP
4
$1 Quinella Pool
$5,052 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.10 1 0
0.05 2 0
0.05 3 0
0.07 4 0
0.12 5 64 36 100
0.00 6 0
0.00 7 0
0.13 8 49 51 100
0.16 9 29 23 48 100
0.00 10 0
0.17 11 18 27 55 100
0.10 12 0
0.05 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 0 0 0 47 0 0 50 168 0 135 0 0 0 0 0 400
call 11 the fav
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 10:02 PM
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
5
Post
10:02
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$4,614 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.21 1 2 2 30 5 61 100
0.11 2 0
0.08 3 0
0.21 4 27 2 2 6 64 100
0.12 5 26 28 46 100
0.27 6 43 2 2 47 6 100
0.00 7 0
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 96 6 6 104 17 171 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 400
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 10:58 PM
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
7
Post
10:58
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$10,355 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.71 1 0 0 0 100 0 100
0.02 2 0
0.03 3 0
0.02 4 0
0.00 5 0
0.18 6 100 100
0.03 7 0
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 100 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 200
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 11:25 PM
"Los Alamitos QH
Race
8
Post
11:26
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$5,813 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.06 1 100 100
0.08 2 100 100
0.07 3 100 100
0.44 4 1 5 3 31 60 100
0.15 5 90 10 100
0.19 6 96 4 100
0.00 7 0
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 1 5 3 486 35 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 600
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 11:34 PM
after 31 races (posted and not posted)
$1 bet returns $27.21
$ 1 flat win bet returns $29.89
formula_2002
01-24-2016, 11:54 PM
"Hawthorne Harness
Race
10
Post
11:54
MTP
3
$1 Exacta Pool
$1,477 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 BET
0.04 1 0
0.13 2 0
0.21 3 11 8 26 26 29 100
0.07 4 100 100
0.01 5 0
0.19 6 65 35 100
0.01 7 0
0.14 8 46 34 20 100
0.14 9 78 22 100
0.06 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 0 11 290 8 0 60 0 82 49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500
formula_2002
01-25-2016, 12:29 PM
USING THE FAVORITE ON TOP OF SELECTED EXACTA COMBINATIONS OF VARING BETS SIZE, WILL OUT-PERFORM A FLAT WIN BET ON THE FAVORITE.
THIS WILL NOT HAPPEN IN EVERY SINGLE RACE BUT WILL DEVELOPE OVER A NUMBER OF RACES. (WE HOPE) :)
SO FAR IT'S BEEN QUITE SUCESSFUL.
I'VE ADDED A NEW BET. FAR RIGHT HAND COLUMN IS THE WIN BET SIZE ON ALL HORESE.
formula_2002
01-25-2016, 12:34 PM
"Hialeah
Race
1
Post
12:35
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,542 "
PGNO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 w bet
0.17 1 22 12 46 20 34
0.11 2 47 36 17 6
0.13 3 100 2
0.06 4 0
0.06 5 0
0.19 6 31 10 7 51 32
0.27 7 30 6 6 57 35
0.00 8 0
0.00 9 0
0.00 10 0
0.00 11 0
0.00 12 0
0.00 13 0
0.00 14 0
0.00 15 0
0.00 16 0
1.00 108 39 24 0 0 240 89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 108.96
formula_2002
01-25-2016, 01:22 PM
"Hialeah
Race
1
Post
12:35
MTP
4
$1 Exacta Pool
$2,542 "
my exacta bet on the favorite
7 went off as my favorite (.27 in right hand column).
bet size on the 7-6 winning exacta combination was $57.
sum off all bets in the row is $100. (row bets always total $100).
the cost of all row exacta plays is always $100
the return on the 7-6 combination is $16.30 x 57 = $936
or as I have report in the previous notes;
$1 bet returns $9.36
my structured win bet
now my winning bet on the 7 was $32 (right hand column)
for accounting purposes, the bet size is normalized by dividing it by the sum of the column bets.
bet size is then 32/108.96 = .32
the cost of the win bet is then $1.00
the $1 win payout was $5.00
the $1 return on the bet is .32x$5=$1.60
now there is winning flat bet
$1 bet on the winner returned $5.
this is the return that my exacta play is intended to beat
formula_2002
01-25-2016, 07:55 PM
after 31 races (posted and not posted)
$1 bet returns $27.21
$ 1 flat win bet returns $29.89
corrected to
$1 bet returns $3252
the exacta pool win bet again out-performs a flat win bet on the favorite and returned a $152 profit
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