MVRC 12-30-15

[rrpic6]

Spot plays for MVRC 12-30-15:

Race 3: #1 Arbiter. He gave Goose No Fruit, one of the areas' best sprinters, all he could handle last race. Now drops to 8K. #4 Ravin About Richie. One of many with early pace. Looks to be rounding into form lately. #6 Duty Calls. ignore this one at your own risk. He's only won 20 of 40 races lifetime.

Race 4: #3 Fire Dance. Back in with conditioned claimers and jock switch to Barrios who is riding well here. She won both her starts at MVR last meet. #1A Galloping Domino. Sullivan has her going in the right direction. Looks to be stronger half of entry.

Race 6: #9 Howling Wolf. A nice group of open 2 year old MSW's. He finished 2nd in both career starts. Blinkers off and a nice work between races. #1 Ready by You. 0 for 9 record for this Kentucky invader, but 3 of those were on either Poly or turf. Has 2nd place finishes at Ellis, Keeneland and Churchill.

Good Luck. Happy New Year to all here. As of yesterday The Postman is hitting at 37% on his top picks at the Fall Meet. Thanks for you support.

RR

[gib]

Thanks Ron and good luck. Here's my "late to the gate" overview.

Ramblings aren't always wagers.
Race 1
#2 RAY'S LEGACY gets first run on today's rail; if it's still live he's gone
-
Race 2
#3 PLEASANT RUN may get the best trip in well matched group
#7 CROWD FAVORITE is a threat to wire (a very rare accomplishment here around two turns) if unchallenged early
-
Race 3
#6 DUTY CALLS may sit the perfect trip
#5 GLICKMAN has toyed with MVR opponents; bumps up today
#1 ARBITOR struggles to sustain his speed; of interest on the suspicious rail
-
Race 4
#1A (PP8) GALLOPING DOMINO has been reborn in the Sullivan barn
#8 DYNAFOX has been running with winners
#3 FIRE DANCE knows how to get over this strip
-
Race 5
#7 PEARL OF WISDOM is a consistent router; Madrigal is picking his spots carefully
#5 THWART slips out of allowance company
#2 SIMPLY SMART is too royally bred to overlook
-
Race 6
#9 HOWLING WOLF takes off the shades after two solid introductions to racing
-
Race 7
#10 (PP11) SHE'S SLAMMED has outside
#7 FLASH A SMILE rolls in 5/7 for 2015 still looking fresh
#9 ROOM FOR APTITUDE could arrive on the scene late if speed fades
-
Race 8
#4 THE FASHION BUG shipper; looks like a trier; Glenroy Browns team has been competitive
-
Cards are recapped at http://shouttheodds.net/

[rrpic6]

Nice article recapping the Fall Meet in the local paper. Typo tho, its Robert Gorham who is the leading Trainer, not the Detective from Law & Order:Criminal Intent.

http://www.vindy.com/news/2015/dec/31/hollywood-gaming-race-course-records-rec/

RR

[rrpic6]

The Vindy did omit the Postman's Fall Meet Stats

Top pick won 36%
Combined 1st and 2nd pick won 51%
Top pick ITM 66%
Exacta Box top 3 picks won 29%
Trifecta Box top 3 picks won 7%

Total Races 325

Avg. Field Size 10

RR

[gib]

The Vindy did omit the Postman's Fall Meet Stats

Top pick won 36%
Combined 1st and 2nd pick won 51%
Top pick ITM 66%
Exacta Box top 3 picks won 29%
Trifecta Box top 3 picks won 7%

Total Races 325

Avg. Field Size 10

RR

Congratulations Ron on your continued success with the HOT SHEET!

In my opinion, if the VINDY or Trib was smart they would cut a deal with Penn National to put you on their payroll also. None of the local sports media seems to have a writer with a clue about horse racing.

I don't tabulate my daily ramblings on the SHOUTTHEODDS blog which I use as base to work off of when I get to the track. However, your review pushed me to inspect my wagers to this point at MVRC this season. Here ya go - less than spectacular, but extremely interesting to me since I don't check daily like real horseplayers are advised to do:

All wagers - 28% -0.07 $1 ROI
Exactas - 27% -0.04 ROI
Doubles - 6% -0.84 $1 ROI
Trifecta - 0% -1.00 $1 ROI
Superfecta - 0% -1.00 $1 ROI
Pick 3 - 17% -0.39 $1 ROI
Pick 4 - 6% -0.62 $1 ROI
Win - 33% +0.07 $1 ROI
Place - 43% +0.27 $1 ROI
Win/Place - 33% +0.63 $1 ROI
Across the board - 33% -0.47 $1 ROI

[gib]

DUH! - meant VINDY or Trib WOULD be smart to sign you up.

I type as poorly as I wager.