Ded live 12/22

[deelo]

Pretty new and lurk more than I post but I have the day off so why not live post Delta. Feel free to join in what you agree with and what you don't.

R1

Throwing out the favorite :6: to look for some value. His impressive trainer stats don't truly apply to this situation if you dig deeper.

like the value on :5: , well bet debut, lost rider and didn't get to run, comes back to try again with better odds

:7: an easier pace than last couple could help him last

:8: wild card for me, scared of him but can't find a reason to take him

:3: looks to improve, like the big odds

:9: switch to Broussard is always good, but not sure there will be enough pace here to allow him a late rush to finish close.

$1 exb 5,7,3
$.10 superb 5,7,3,9

[deelo]

Pretty new and lurk more than I post but I have the day off so why not live post Delta. Feel free to join in what you agree with and what you don't.

R1

Throwing out the favorite :6: to look for some value. His impressive trainer stats don't truly apply to this situation if you dig deeper.

like the value on :5: , well bet debut, lost rider and didn't get to run, comes back to try again with better odds

:7: an easier pace than last couple could help him last

:8: wild card for me, scared of him but can't find a reason to take him

:3: looks to improve, like the big odds

:9: switch to Broussard is always good, but not sure there will be enough pace here to allow him a late rush to finish close.

$1 exb 5,7,3
$.10 superb 5,7,3,9

welp, the favorite prevails, no fun

:6: :9: :7:

[deelo]

R2

Broberg/McMahon with their ungodly percentages with the :2: ugh

Only hope here is someone duels him enough for the :1: or :7: to sustain, and even then not much value. probly won't play this one.

[deelo]

Broberg nails his favorite :2: in the 2nd.

R3

Looks like another shot for a favorite to go W2W with the :3:

:9: could be a decent FTS with a little value. Sire's foals debut at 20% or so at Delta so he's got some pedigree to like this soft track.

:10: should have some late rally with everyone else tiring out chasing the :3:

$1 trib :3: :9: :10:
will likely throw $5 WP on :9: as long as he stays at 10/1 or better

[deelo]

Broberg nails his favorite :2: in the 2nd.

R3

Looks like another shot for a favorite to go W2W with the :3:

:9: could be a decent FTS with a little value. Sire's foals debut at 20% or so at Delta so he's got some pedigree to like this soft track.

:10: should have some late rally with everyone else tiring out chasing the :3:

$1 trib :3: :9: :10:
will likely throw $5 WP on :9: as long as he stays at 10/1 or better

:10: :3: completes the 2nd worst exacta you could bet but no :9: in sight

[deelo]

R4

Looking for a little value here by throwing out the :10: currently at 8/5. He's a hard early runner but it's all on hard dirt and delta is not that.

$1 trib :2: :8: solid early runners with the :9: chasing em

$1exb 2,8,9 for good measure

$2 dbl 2,8,9 w 2,6

R5

$2 exb 2,6

lot of scratches here and these ponies will need to show up in a weird group.
consider WP if there's good odds on either.

[deelo]

R4

Looking for a little value here by throwing out the :10: currently at 8/5. He's a hard early runner but it's all on hard dirt and delta is not that.

$1 trib :2: :8: solid early runners with the :9: chasing em

$1exb 2,8,9 for good measure

$2 dbl 2,8,9 w 2,6

R5

$2 exb 2,6

lot of scratches here and these ponies will need to show up in a weird group.
consider WP if there's good odds on either.

R4, well we were correct in tossing the :10: but I overlooked the :5: which hurts cuz I had some positive notes and he single-handedly ruins the ex/tri

:8: :5: :2: :9:

[deelo]

R5
:3: :2: :8:

yikes, another odd-son favorite easiest of winners. not shaping up to be a very good card today unless you're taking chalk, frustrating.

[deelo]

R6

Fading the favorite :1: but not leaving out the favorite :2:

$2exb :2: :4:
$2dbl :2: :4: w :2: :7:

[deelo]

R6

Fading the favorite :1: but not leaving out the favorite :2:

$2exb :2: :4:
$2dbl :2: :4: w :2: :7:

:7: :4: :2:

another near miss as the 4 at 13/1 couldn't hang on but i'll just keep on keepin on...

[deelo]

R7

$3 exb :2: :7:

[deelo]

Taking a quick stab at the r7 P4

2,7 w 1,4,7 w 5,6,8,9 w 3,7 = $24

[deelo]

R8

$1 trib :1: :4: :7:
WP on 1 if odds are decent

$1 P3 1,4,7 w 8,9 w 3,7 = $12

R9

.10 superb 5,6,8,9
$2 exb :8: :9:

R10

$2 exb :3: :7:

[deelo]

well shoot, only ticket I cashed was R9 ex for a whopping $14.40

Such a chalk dominated card today, couldn't get any value to hit anywhere.

Lots more choices tomorrow tho so I'm ready for a comeback :ThmbUp:

[NorCalGreg]

welcome, deelo. I like your signature--very true :ThmbUp: