Top Horse Analytics: 11/09/2015 AQU Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: AQU-O, CD, DMR, GPW
THA Suspended Tracks: SA
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU-I, BEL, GP, KEE, OP, SAR, TAM

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.15.10.31a)

Race Cancellations (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)

Race Results
Full Charts (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
THA Race Results (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

11/09/15, AQU, Race 1, 12.20 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3), Pick 5 Races (1-5) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: .Vancouver [8/5] Franco M / Parisella John TSFL
097.8970 :3: Dickens [3-1] Velasquez C H / Lerman Roy S.
096.8555 :4: Mischievous One [5-1] Rosario J / Cannizzo David A. J
096.7678 :6: Rambam [6-1] Davis D / Dunham Bob G. C
096.3842 8 Chief Assignment [15-1] Davis J A / Friedman Mitchell E. W
095.2177 5 Gate Money [12-1] de Sousa S / Reynolds Patrick L.
094.4410 2 Giulio Cesari [30-1] Worrie A S / Sciacca Gary E
090.5821 1 Harlan's Glory [10-1] Carmouche K / Coffey Marialice

11/09/15, AQU, Race 2, 12.50 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.47.00 CLAIMING. Purse $34,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: .Jadam [3-1] Alvarado J / Schettino Dominick JEL
099.0524 :3: Quarla [5-1] Arroyo A S / Klesaris James FC
098.9639 :6: Arana [2-1] DeCarlo C P / Kimmel John C. W
098.9559 :5: She's Sassy [10-1] Saez G / Parker Kathleen S
098.7222 4 Light Years Away [6-1] Silvera R / Kelly Patrick J.
098.1408 1 Milkyyourway [12-1] Gryder A T / Schettino Dominick
098.0954 8 Justice for Sheena [8-1] de Sousa S / Saville Niall
096.0473 2 Juliets Key [20-1] Carmouche K / Gargan Danny T

11/09/15, AQU, Race 3, 1.20 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 CLAIMING. Purse $27,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Reach for Yield [3-1] Ortiz J L / Jacobson David FE
099.6175 :5: Finn's Quest [6/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JS
097.0177 :4: Hard Fast Cash [20-1] Davis K / Stoklosa Richard L. T
094.8850 :6: Chase Lane [12-1] Rodriguez I O / Toscano. Jr. John T. C
094.5195 3 Special Agent [5/2] Davis J A / Contessa Gary C. L
093.5891 1 Can't Catch Me Now [20-1] Gomez K / Barrera. III Oscar S. W

11/09/15, AQU, Race 4, 1.50 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Miroc [2-1] Arroyo A S / Barbara Robert TSL
099.3662 :3: Elusive Talmo [4-1] Velazquez J R / Schosberg Richard E. F
098.3720 :7: Interior Secretary [3-1] Ortiz J L / Weaver George EW
098.1926 :5: Field Sense [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Barr Donald H. J
096.8262 6 Bustin the Bank [8-1] Franco M / Donk David G. C
096.3347 4 Dream Breaker [10-1] Alvarado J / Woolley Tim
095.9632 1 Baby Snacks [15-1] Saez G / Sciacca Gary

11/09/15, AQU, Race 5, 2.20 ET
1M [Turf] 1.34.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $67,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: .Miss Matzoball [5/2] Castellano J / Lerman Roy S. JSFE
099.2882 :7: Iromea (IRE) [2-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe T
098.0715 :6: Susie's a Cowgirl [5-1] Davis J A / Davis Robbie G.
096.4699 :4: Cap's Vow [5-1] Velazquez J R / Motion H. Graham C
094.7763 1 Indian Starlight [15-1] Alvarado J / Handal Raymond
093.6183 2 Hassah (GB) [10-1] de Sousa S / Rubley Kelly WL
*Scratch* 9 Flick of an Eye [6-1] No Rider Yet / Gargan Danny
*Scratch* 8 Wraith [8-1] No Rider Yet / Friedman Mitchell E.
*Scratch* 5 Lucky Nancy E. [3-1] Carmouche K / Ryerson James T.
*Scratch* 10 J. Quirk [12-1] Castellano. Jr. A / Contessa Gary C.

11/09/15, AQU, Race 6, 2.50 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Glare Ice [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Toscano. Jr. John T. SL
099.6666 :6: Awesome Quick [8-1] Castellano J / Imperio Joseph JF
099.5157 :8: Saluda [4-1] Ortiz J L / Levine Bruce N. EC
099.3290 :5: Star Dynasty [7/2] Carmouche K / Gargan Danny T
098.0898 1 Gabby's Brown [15-1] Saez G / Gullo Gary P.
096.0057 3 More Than Rainbows [10-1] Franco M / Sciacca Gary W
*Scratch* 7 Majestic Jessica [3-1] Saez L / Brown Bruce R.
*Scratch* 4 Jersey Jules [4-1] Rosario J / Adsit Abigail C.

11/09/15, AQU, Race 7, 3.20 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.40.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $57,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: .Jax Heritage [2-1] Castellano J / Hennig Mark A. JFE
099.0301 :3: Chasintheblues [4-1] Velasquez C H / Hills Timothy A. L
098.0992 :6: No Texting [6-1] Ortiz J L / Brown Bruce R.
097.4340 :10: Sonnyandpally [10-1] Arroyo A S / Englehart Chris J. T
097.2520 11 Ode to the Hunt [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Violette. Jr. Richard
097.1403 2 Snake Oil Charlie [30-1] DeCarlo C P / Maroun George C. S
096.9174 4 Hirschbein [5-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe
096.3775 1 Harbor King [20-1] Davis D / Metivier Richard
095.3786 9 Northern Tripp [15-1] Carmouche K / Pompay Teresa M. WC
095.0777 12 Mister Dooley [30-1] Davis J A / Davis Robbie G.
095.0647 8 Kerry Boy [50-1] Davis K / Goodwin Gabriel
094.2570 5 Mangold [30-1] Luzzi M J / Brown Bruce R.
*Scratch* 16 Bellamy Way [3/5] Rosario J / Cannizzo David A.
*Scratch* 15 Trainingforsuccess [30-1] Gomez K / Friedman Mitchell E.
*Scratch* 14 Pretty Nauty [8-1] McCarthy T / Ness Jamie
*Scratch* 13 He Has Charm [20-1] Franco M / Zito Nicholas P.

11/09/15, AQU, Race 8, 3.50 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $40,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: .Attractive Ride [5-1] Rodriguez I O / Chatterpaul Naipaul SF
098.8726 :1: Regulus [2-1] Ortiz J L / Rodriguez Rudy R. C
097.9776 :7: Mack Miller [12-1] Franco M / Englehart Jeremiah C. TW
097.7634 :3: Storm Pursuit [12-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Englehart Chris J. EL
097.2544 2 Ground Control [15-1] Velasquez C H / Quick Patrick J.
097.0907 6 Grandpa Len [8-1] Castellano J / Contessa Gary C. J
*Scratch* 8 Songa [7/2] DeCarlo C P / Jacobson David
*Scratch* 4 Chasing Bubbles [6-1] Carmouche K / Contessa Gary C.

11/09/15, AQU, Race 9, 4.20 ET
1M [Turf] 1.34.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $52,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Cyber Security [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C. TFC
096.7591 :4: Axtell [5-1] Gryder A T / Casse Mark E. S
095.9955 :8: Silent Assassin [8-1] Velazquez J R / Zito Nicholas P.
092.0011 :9: City Gold [6-1] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
091.8166 13 How's Your Sugar [6-1] Saez L / Brown Bruce R.
091.8056 3 Runaway Bull [8-1] Rosario J / Motion H. Graham
091.4581 12 D. S. Boyd [20-1] Rice T B / Rice Adam
091.3646 6 Uncle Gio [20-1] Saez G / Adsit Abigail C.
091.1958 1 It's All Copacetic [20-1] de Sousa S / McPeek Kenneth G.
091.0392 5 Steamboat Bill [4-1] Castellano J / Contessa Gary C. JWL
089.6523 10 Marrakech [30-1] Rodriguez I O / Jolley LeRoy S.
080.3695 7 Ousby [12-1] Alvarado J / Mott William I.
*Scratch* 11 Homespun Hero [12-1] Ortiz J L / Tagg Barclay

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v4.15.10.31a)

Race Results
WPS Takeout at AQU is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

11/09/15, AQU, Race 1, 12:20 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: .Vancouver [8/5 * ] TSFL 1st - 4.00 2.80 2.70
097.8970 :3: Dickens [3-1] 4th
096.8555 :4: Mischievous One [5-1] J stumbled start
096.7678 :6: Rambam [6-1] C
096.3842 8 Chief Assignment [15-1] W 2nd - 17.20 6.90
095.2177 5 Gate Money [12-1] vanned off
094.4410 2 Giulio Cesari [30-1] E
090.5821 1 Harlan's Glory [10-1] 3rd - 5.80

11/09/15, AQU, Race 2, 12:50 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.47.00 CLAIMING. Purse $34,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: .Jadam [3-1] JEL 4th to 6th
099.0524 :3: Quarla [5-1 * ] FC 3rd - 3.10
098.9639 :6: Arana [2-1] W refused
098.9559 :5: She's Sassy [10-1] S *SCR*
098.7222 4 Light Years Away [6-1]
098.1408 1 Milkyyourway [12-1] 4th
098.0954 8 Justice for Sheena [8-1] 2nd - 22.80 7.60
096.0473 2 Juliets Key [20-1] T 1st - 23.60 13.00 5.10

11/09/15, AQU, Race 3, 1:20 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 CLAIMING. Purse $27,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Reach for Yield [3-1] FE 4th
099.6175 :5: Finn's Quest [6/5 * ] JS 1st - 3.10 2.30 2.10
097.0177 :4: Hard Fast Cash [20-1] T
094.8850 :6: Chase Lane [12-1] C 3rd - 4.70
094.5195 3 Special Agent [5/2] L 2nd - 3.30 2.60
093.5891 1 Can't Catch Me Now [20-1] W

11/09/15, AQU, Race 4, 1:50 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Miroc [2-1] TSL 2nd - 4.90 3.00
099.3662 :3: Elusive Talmo [4-1 * ] F 3rd - 2.80
098.3720 :7: Interior Secretary [3-1] EW
098.1926 :5: Field Sense [6-1] J
096.8262 6 Bustin the Bank [8-1] C 4th
096.3347 4 Dream Breaker [10-1]
095.9632 1 Baby Snacks [15-1] 1st - 29.40 11.40 5.40

11/09/15, AQU, Race 5, 2:20 ET
1M [Turf] 1.34.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $67,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: .Miss Matzoball [5/2] JSFE 4th
099.2882 :7: Iromea (IRE) [2-1 * ] T 1st - 4.70 3.20 2.60
098.0715 :6: Susie's a Cowgirl [5-1]
096.4699 :4: Cap's Vow [5-1] C
094.7763 1 Indian Starlight [15-1] 2nd - 6.90 4.50
093.6183 2 Hassah (GB) [10-1] WL 3rd - 4.80
*Scratch* 9 Flick of an Eye [6-1]
*Scratch* 8 Wraith [8-1]
*Scratch* 5 Lucky Nancy E. [3-1]
*Scratch* 10 J. Quirk [12-1]

11/09/15, AQU, Race 6, 2:50 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Glare Ice [8-1] SL 1st to 5th, Irad The Dueler
099.6666 :6: Awesome Quick [8-1] JF 1st - 8.00 4.20 2.50
099.5157 :8: Saluda [4-1 * ] EC 2nd - 3.20 2.20
099.3290 :5: Star Dynasty [7/2] T 3rd - 2.10
098.0898 1 Gabby's Brown [15-1] 4th
096.0057 3 More Than Rainbows [10-1] W
*Scratch* 7 Majestic Jessica [3-1]
*Scratch* 4 Jersey Jules [4-1]

11/09/15, AQU, Race 7, 3:20 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.40.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $57,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: .Jax Heritage [2-1 * ] JFE 3rd - 3.10
099.0301 :3: Chasintheblues [4-1] L
098.0992 :6: No Texting [6-1] 2nd - 9.80 5.60
097.4340 :10: Sonnyandpally [10-1] T
097.2520 11 Ode to the Hunt [8-1]
097.1403 2 Snake Oil Charlie [30-1] S 1st - 24.00 11.80 6.30
096.9174 4 Hirschbein [5-1] 4th
096.3775 1 Harbor King [20-1]
095.3786 9 Northern Tripp [15-1] WC
095.0777 12 Mister Dooley [30-1]
095.0647 8 Kerry Boy [50-1]
094.2570 5 Mangold [30-1]
*Scratch* 16 Bellamy Way [3/5]
*Scratch* 15 Trainingforsuccess [30-1]
*Scratch* 14 Pretty Nauty [8-1]
*Scratch* 13 He Has Charm [20-1]

11/09/15, AQU, Race 8, 3:50 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $40,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: .Attractive Ride [5-1] SF 3rd - 2.40
098.8726 :1: Regulus [2-1 * ] C 1st - 3.00 2.60 2.10
097.9776 :7: Mack Miller [12-1] TW hesitant start
097.7634 :3: Storm Pursuit [12-1] EL 4th
097.2544 2 Ground Control [15-1] 2nd - 9.50 4.20
097.0907 6 Grandpa Len [8-1] J
*Scratch* 8 Songa [7/2]
*Scratch* 4 Chasing Bubbles [6-1]

11/09/15, AQU, Race 9, 4:20 ET
1M [Turf] 1.34.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $52,000.
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: .Cyber Security [7/2 * ] TFC 9th to 12th to 7th, nice job Irad
096.7591 :4: Axtell [5-1] S 3rd - 6.50
095.9955 :8: Silent Assassin [8-1] 1st - 13.60 10.80 7.90 DH
092.0011 :9: City Gold [6-1]
091.8166 13 How's Your Sugar [6-1]
091.8056 3 Runaway Bull [8-1]
091.4581 12 D. S. Boyd [20-1]
091.3646 6 Uncle Gio [20-1]
091.1958 1 It's All Copacetic [20-1]
091.0392 5 Steamboat Bill [4-1] JWL 1st - 5.30 6.10 4.00 DH
089.6523 10 Marrakech [30-1]
080.3695 7 Ousby [12-1] 4th
*Scratch* 11 Homespun Hero [12-1]