Friday’s Stone cold mortal lock BC Races

[Redboard]

R6: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf
R7: Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile
R8: Juvenile Fillies Turf
R9: Breeders' Cup Distaff

Here are the first three ML favorites of the four BC Fridays races.

One of these horses HAS to win.

If someone held a gun to your head and made you pick one to win, who would it be?

Feel free to explain why.

[lamboguy]

VALID in the mile

[Redboard]

My pick: #7 Wedding Toast in the Distaff

Wedding Toast at 4/1 ML, will probably be half that. Won her last three by daylight. Lost her only start at KEE this year, but got involved in a hot pace at one turn. Has the speed inside her this time and should rate comfortably.

Liam’s Map will probably win this poll but, as I mentioned in another thread, I don’t like speed shortening up. He’s not going to get an easy lead here, like he would have in the Classic. Has speed inside and outside of him so it will set up nicely for one of the closers (Lea, Street Strategy, Tapiture or maybe even War Envoy).

Not that I would leave him off of a P4 ticket.

[Lemon Drop Husker]

:1: Red Vine in the Mile.

I see a wicked pace unfolding and RV saving ground on the rail and then Rosario lets him loose on the deep surface late to pull out a head win.

Looking at a late Friday Pick 4 of 1/ALL/2-9-12-14/14

[depalma113]

Other:

Juvenile Turf

:5: Highland Sky

[depalma113]

My pick: #7 Wedding Toast in the Distaff

Interesting stat per DRF: McLaughlin has not won a stakes race at Keeneland in 5 years.

[Redboard]

Interesting stat per DRF: McLaughlin has not won a stakes race at Keeneland in 5 years.

True, but that was on the flubber. He is 4 for 9 at KEE this year, I believe.

P4
R6: 2,8,12,13,14 / 3 / 1,2,5,7,9,11,12,14 (beat the chalk) / 7

[woodtoo]

Other:

Juvenile Turf

:5: Highland Sky
May include in my longshot exbox : :1: :2: :3: :7:

[NorCalGreg]

6th Juv Turf Mile :10: Conquest Daddyo-- Turn-Time + Late, Current Class, Last Speed all look good if that ML holds up. Haven't seen anyone pick this one on top. Good luck all

[Dan Montilion]

I will once again vow to never get beat up at this "tourist trap" called the BC races... at least until next year. This indeed is a mortal lock.

[Simple Syrup]

R6: #13 Cymric -

Because I'm having a heck of a time trying to cap this race, and this is the contending horse I left out of my R4-R6 pick three.

[Redboard]

So much for how hard it is to hit a BC pick 4. If you took the first three ML favs in every leg, you got 9-1 for your money. Instead of staying up all night, tearing your hair out watching video and pouring over sheet numbers.

Congrats to JBmadera, RedMeansGo, and cribking for selecting Hit It a Bomb or Stopchargingmaria; plus the 24 who picked to LM. :ThmbUp:

Me? I have a hole in my head and my brains spilled out all over the keyboard. :bang:

I’ll have the same thing up later tonight for Saturday’s two pick 4’s.

Thanks for playing.