Thursday 10/22 Supers

[Winger]

Today, I'm going to try and identify races with the potential for a nice superfecta payoff. I'll make some selections, but the underlying goal is to try and find those nice jackpot superfectas and weed out the chalky ones.

[Winger]

Belmont-7
Ticket Price $45.60
:5: :10: :9: :1:
:5: :10: :9: :1: :6: :7: :8:
:5: :10: :9: :1: :6: :7: :8:
:5: :10: :9: :1: :6: :7: :8: :12: :2: :4:

[Winger]

Keeneland-5
Ticket Price $36
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8:
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8:
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8:
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8: :6: :5: :3:

[Winger]

Keeneland-5
Ticket Price $36
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8:
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8:
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8:
:1: :4: :2: :7: :8: :6: :5: :3:


Winner
:1: :4: :2: :6:
Paid $347.38

[Winger]

Keeneland-6
Ticket Price: $50
:9: :3: :7: :8:
:9: :3: :7: :8: :6: :1:
:9: :3: :7: :8: :6: :1: :2:
:9: :3: :7: :8: :6: :1: :2: :5:

[Winger]

Indiana-5
Ticket Price: $60
:3: :5: :11: :9:
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:3: :5: :11: :9: :10: :4: :2: :6:
:3: :5: :11: :9: :10: :4: :2: :6:

[Winger]

Keeneland-6
Ticket Price: $50
:9: :3: :7: :8:
:9: :3: :7: :8: :6: :1:
:9: :3: :7: :8: :6: :1: :2:
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Winner, but didn't return the bet
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Returned $39.03.

[Rise Over Run]

...but the underlying goal is to try and find those nice jackpot superfectas and weed out the chalky ones.

It's only chalky if you hit the super for only one unit. :lol: :lol:

[Winger]

Indiana-5
Ticket Price: $60
:3: :5: :11: :9:
:3: :5: :11: :9: :4: :2:
:3: :5: :11: :9: :10: :4: :2: :6:
:3: :5: :11: :9: :10: :4: :2: :6:

Loser
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The winner paid $274.64

[Winger]

Belmont-7
Ticket Price $45.60
:5: :10: :9: :1:
:5: :10: :9: :1: :6: :7: :8:
:5: :10: :9: :1: :6: :7: :8:
:5: :10: :9: :1: :6: :7: :8: :12: :2: :4:

Loser
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Winning ticket paid $1514.55

[Winger]

Keeneland-8
Ticket Price: $40
:11: :5: :1: :4:
:11: :5: :1: :4: :8: :2:
:11: :5: :1: :4: :8: :2:
:11: :5: :1: :4: :8: :2: :10: :6:

[Winger]

Keeneland-8
Ticket Price: $40
:11: :5: :1: :4:
:11: :5: :1: :4: :8: :2:
:11: :5: :1: :4: :8: :2:
:11: :5: :1: :4: :8: :2: :10: :6:

Winner
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Paid $99.80

[Winger]

Penn National-2
Ticket Price: $25.60
:4: :5: :7: :1:
:4: :5: :7: :1: :2:
:4: :5: :7: :1: :2: :6:
:4: :5: :7: :1: :2: :6: :3:

[Winger]

Delta-5
Ticket Price: $84
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:5: :4: :2: :3: :10: :8: :7: :6:

[Winger]

Penn National-2
Ticket Price: $25.60
:4: :5: :7: :1:
:4: :5: :7: :1: :2:
:4: :5: :7: :1: :2: :6:
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Loser
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Not a good one with the winning ticket paying $6.84.

[lamboguy]

Delta-5
Ticket Price: $84
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:5: :4: :2: :3: :10: :8: :7: :6:
:5: :4: :2: :3: :10: :8: :7: :6:just wondering how you expect to win betting 840 different combinations to hit 1 ticket. i don't see that many superfecta's pay over $2000 and if you do the government takes out taxes at some point.

[Winger]

just wondering how you expect to win betting 840 different combinations to hit 1 ticket. i don't see that many superfecta's pay over $2000 and if you do the government takes out taxes at some point.

Lambo, I'm trying to identify races that are going to have large superfecta payouts and structure my bets accordingly. In this instance, I believed that I could cover 840 combinations and make a profit if I hit the super. I missed this one, but the winning ticket paid $554.27 on a 10 cent wager. Right now, I'm mainly trying to see if my system for identifying these higher paying races is working. It's easy to develop a system that works when you backtest it, I want to find something that works going forward. Ideally, I'm looking for Superfectas that pay like a tough Pick 4 sequence. I appreciate any feedback.

The payouts on the 7 races I selected so far were as follows:

$347.38
$39.03
$274.64
$1514.55
$99.80
$6.84
$554.27

[Winger]

Delta-8
Ticket Price $18
:4: :1: :8:
:4: :1: :8: :3:
:4: :1: :8: :3: :6: :2:
:4: :1: :8: :3: :6: :2: :9: :7:

[Winger]

Delta-8
Ticket Price $18
:4: :1: :8:
:4: :1: :8: :3:
:4: :1: :8: :3: :6: :2:
:4: :1: :8: :3: :6: :2: :9: :7:

Winner
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Paid $24.93

[NorCalGreg]

"winning ticket paid $554.27 on a 10 cent wager" -- that's how the Govt see's it, Wing-man....which is BS and we all know it. I know you've done your own research on these, and are playing these "on paper". My own research showed full-field Maiden and higher-end Handicap and Stakes Races to yield the biggest super payoffs. Reason being you have horses that are untested against each other, coming from everywhere.
It didn't take long for me to figure out that superfectas....10cent or otherwise, just wasn't my game. Good luck on your quest to profitability.


-NCG