PDA

View Full Version : GLOBALWINNER'S BACCARAT RESULTS


formula_2002
09-11-2015, 07:17 AM
Baccarat is the game to be played.
Using my betting analysis for 12,000 random number generated resolved plays, a small but positive roi for both mutually exclusive player and banker bets.

Using an online game, I tried out my betting analysis on 4 sets of 100 plays, alternating between both player and banker plays with $100 flat bets.
there are some non playable hands, I use a $1 bet on those just to keep the game going.

$500 starting bankroll returned the following in the 4 sets of 100 plays;
$1841
$2128
$1122
$1055
I used the free play game at

http://casinogames77.com/amaya/baccarat

formula_2002
09-12-2015, 01:38 PM
after 1100 resolved plays

USING BETING ANALYSIS:
490 BANKER BETS, RETURNED A 1.039 ROI AND 53.27% WINNERS
245 PLAYER BETS, RETURNED A 1.02 ROI AND 51.02% WINNERS

WTHOUT USING THE BETTING ANALYSIS:
THE 1100 PLAYS RETURNED 552 BANKER WINS (50.18% WINNERS FOR A .98 ROI)

548 PLAYER WINS (49.82% WINNERS FOR A .996 ROI)

THE EXPECTED BAKER WIN RATE FOR BACCARAT IS 51%
THE EXPECTED PLAYER WIN RATE IS 49%

FOR THE 1100 PLAYS, THE BETTING ANALYSIS FOR BOTH BANKER AND PLAYER WIN RATES OUTPERFORMED ALL OTHERS.

THE ABOVE IS BASED ON A WINNER BANKER $1 BET, RETURNING $ 1.95
AND A PLAYER $1 BET, RETURNING $2

ManU918
09-12-2015, 01:51 PM
I don't understand why you don't go to a casino or use your system on Bovada or a site where you can make money instead of playing for free. If it works then put it to use.

formula_2002
09-12-2015, 08:11 PM
I don't understand why you don't go to a casino or use your system on Bovada or a site where you can make money instead of playing for free. If it works then put it to use.

See the attached chart.
If I can keep the roi line above 1 in the 1200 plays, I'll take the next step.

formula_2002
09-13-2015, 05:07 PM
the attached chart is more interesting.
After ever 100 plays I have reset the roi to 0.
Simply, after 100 plays you walk away from the table and come back another day, or hour.
every dot above the "1" line is a profit, below a loss.
Can you take the pressure of losing? :)

formula_2002
09-17-2015, 04:13 PM
I don't understand why you don't go to a casino or use your system on Bovada or a site where you can make money instead of playing for free. If it works then put it to use.


I just tested my system against Bovada free play.
I made 52 BANKER bets out off 200 hands and won 55.77% of the time
:jump: .
The expected BANKER win % is only 51%.

Without any system play, the BANKER won 55% of the time ;) .

net system advantage =55.77/55 =1.014 :sleeping:

in this sample the roi was 1.08 for the system 1.07 for the non system play

tucker6
09-17-2015, 06:13 PM
I just tested my system against Bovada free play.
I made 52 BANKER bets out off 200 hands and won 55.77% of the time
:jump: .
The expected BANKER win % is only 51%.

Without any system play, the BANKER won 55% of the time ;) .

net system advantage =55.77/55 =1.014 :sleeping:

in this sample the roi was 1.08 for the system 1.07 for the non system play
What he is really saying, and you know full well what he is saying, is that if your system is so good, then stop spending time on the internet trying to sell the concept and go to the casinos and win your millions. Your posts remind me of the guys selling books touting, "how to make a million bucks in 30 days in the stock market". Why would anyone give out such a secret if true? Same with your pitch. If it was so good, you wouldn't be on here selling it for $14.95/month or whatever you are selling this at. You'd be at the casinos trying to get thrown out like Phil Ivey.

formula_2002
09-18-2015, 06:17 AM
if the non system banker wins in the next 4 sets of 100 plays at the 55% rate, I would say the random generator used for the game is faulty.

this would put the results in the small 5 % tail of the normal curve and should not be used testing a betting system.

davew
09-18-2015, 07:35 AM
if the non system banker wins in the next 4 sets of 100 plays at the 55% rate, I would say the random generator used for the game is faulty.

this would put the results in the small 5 % tail of the normal curve and should not be used testing a betting system.

maybe the 'play' game has a a faulty randomizer to convert people to 'real' money and lose their cash ?

formula_2002
09-18-2015, 10:05 AM
here are the results for the next 100 plays.

I made 25 BANKER bets out off 100 hands and won 48% of the time
.
The expected BANKER win % is 51%.

Without any system play, the BANKER won 47% of the time .

net system advantage =48/47 =1.02

in this sample the roi was 0.936 for the system 0.917 for the non system play

thaskalos
09-18-2015, 02:04 PM
maybe the 'play' game has a a faulty randomizer to convert people to 'real' money and lose their cash ?
:ThmbUp:

Very astute.

ReplayRandall
09-18-2015, 02:42 PM
maybe the 'play' game has a a faulty randomizer to convert people to 'real' money and lose their cash ?

You have it right, Dave.

Faulty = Preprogrammed

Inner Dirt
09-18-2015, 03:06 PM
maybe the 'play' game has a a faulty randomizer to convert people to 'real' money and lose their cash ?

I agree also. I used the free play on video poker sites for hours on end for a period of months (I have bad insomnia). Oddly enough I won probably on 75% of my sessions. I remember playing video poker in Laughlin Nevada
(A miniature Las Vegas) usually killing time between races or waiting for them to start. I didn't keep statistics but after probably playing a couple 100,000 hands over 3 decades it was pretty obvious. I was definitely helping to pay
the light bill, and 100 nickels lasted a lot longer than 100 quarters if you played the same way. If you just randomly screwed around throwing in a nickel here and there in various gaming machines you would be entertained
a lot longer than the same number of larger denomination plays.

In games of random chance statistics will always bear out over the long hall. If the house edge is 1.5% enough plays will put you 1.5% in the hole.
Just like playing a coin flip, you might get lucky at the start but eventually
you will only guess correctly 50% of the time.

formula_2002
09-18-2015, 06:54 PM
here are the results for the next 100 plays.

I made 28 BANKER bets out off 100 hands and won 60.70% of the time
.
The expected BANKER win % is 51%.

Without any system play, the BANKER won 53% of the time .

net system advantage =60.70/53 =1.15

in this sample the roi was 1.18 for the system, 1.03 for the all plays

formula_2002
09-19-2015, 12:49 PM
here are the results for the next 100 plays.

I made 24 BANKER bets out off 100 hands and won 50.0% of the time
.
The expected BANKER win % is 51%.

Without any system play, the BANKER won 46% of the time .

net system advantage =50/46 =1.086

in this sample the roi was .975 for the system, 0.897 for the all plays

formula_2002
09-21-2015, 01:33 PM
"If the number of elements in the set is large, about 68% of the elements have a z-score between -1 and 1; about 95% have a z-score between -2 and 2; and about 99% have a z-score between -3 and 3. "

78000 base plays
39774 base wins
9990.00 # sys wins
19474.00 # sys bets
0.5099 std win %
0.5130 sys win %


std dev 69.76
exp wins 9930.24
act wins 9990.00 $6.50 PROFIT
z score 0.86