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View Full Version : Late DD @Mountaineer~ 8/25


BombsAway Bob
08-25-2015, 04:55 PM
9th @Mountaineer: 6F Clm5000N1Y ~ purse $6,300 ~ 8/25
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3YO+Up, non-winners of a race in 12 months.
(WV-Bred races not considered in eligibility)
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Welcome to 'The Bottom', the lowest time-restricted condition Mountaineer
writes. One drops from N2-12 months,& one cuts back 440Y, No new faces.
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1) Fast Promises (9/2 ML)- Fits condition by 19 days, 9YO big threat
on drop. Race two back could win this. Inside post not good past month.
2) Twinstorm (12/1)- 8YO ran big off 6-month layoff, but regressed
last pair. Pushes pace from inside, but an easy lead doubtful.
3) Johnny Joe (12/1)- Last win for 10YO? Oct.2013. Taken off Lasix
last out & showed much more early zip. Super/Super-Hi-5 likely BCS.
4) Jerry's Fever (6/1)- Another who ran best off layoff, but 7YO failed
to threaten when 2/1 last out vs. #'s 3+8. Loses Whitaker to #7.
5) Backdoor Strike (10/1)- 6YO tries sprint, 7th/9th last two attempts
at one turn. Trainer Going Route-2-Sprint? DRF says 4/7 since 2015,
but Brisnet says only 1/18 since 2012. Who's right? i dunno.
6) Taxicab (10/1)- 11YO pushed pace on rider change last out, &
expect similar tactics/results here. Lone 2014 Win off layoff at this level.
7) Seven Day Fool (4/1)- 6Y0 has been in Tri last four at this level,
but trainer Sipp (who was En Fuego early in meet) is 6/107 last 30 days
& only 1/53 the past 14 days. Figures to get great trip, but 4/1 w/Sipp?
8) Personal Good (30/1)- 10YO is 1/21 locally, his only win @29/1
when KO'ing me from a Juicy Pick-5 win. No Good to Me, Personally.
9) Ellenberger Park (6/1)- 7Y0 ran against inside bias off layoff, gets
rider upgrade.Only three 2014 starts:"Danger,Will Robinson!" if short odds.
10) Kiowa Storm (3/1 ML Fave)- Bad post draw for 6YO's return. Both
starts in 2013 here would crush,but 2014-15 form weaker. Trainer/Jock
having tough year locally after dominating with shippers the past few.
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EARLY LOOK: When handicapping races at 'The Bottom', first
thing i do is eliminate longtime visitors at the level, & "Chuck'Em Out!"
While #'s 4+9 have solid back figs, their common race w/#3 was dull.
I'll toss those three, along with #'s 2-6-8.
That leaves four runners to consider in horizontals.
#7 has been nibbling at this level, but trainer has been "ICE-COLD".
Inside/Outside runners #'s 1+10 are both must-use, but drew poorly.
My #CrazyBomb is #5BackdoorStrike. A Confirmed router, he cuts back
two furlongs, but Dam's offspring are an OK 4/33 in dirt sprints.
I'll go Three Deep in Pick-4/5, #'s 1-5-10.
In Pick-3 & Late DD, i'll single #5.
Good Luck to ALL, & See You at Night School!

BombsAway Bob
08-25-2015, 05:55 PM
8th @Mountaineer: Alw20700N4X ~ purse $20,700 ~ 8/25
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3Y0+Up, Non-winners of four races lifetime.
(WV-Bred races not considered in eligibility)
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ML fave tries to carry brilliant speed 6F vs. 3YO going T-2-D & R-2-S.
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1) Saint Arbor (8/1 ML)- Strong connections get TD Houghton to fill-in
for The Q-Man, who rides ML Fave. 5YO goes 4th off 21-month layoff.
2) Duff (8/5)- HomerSimpson Fave,3YO is Turf-2-dirt,route-2-sprint
looking to recapture 2014 form. Class of field needs help up front early.
3) Hotpepper Please (8/1)- 5YO strong second in local debut while
riding track bias. Needs a Beyer Boost to threaten for win- Under Key?
4) Sin City Weekend (6/1)- Lone runner on PPs to keep Abbaa honest
early, but doesn't figure to class up with these come crunch time. Shhhh.
5) Abbaa (6/5 ML Fave)- Stretches out 330Yards, crushed here while
going up class ladder, could be on lonely lead... Only ?? Six furlongs.
6) A Moment In Time (20/1)- A Great 1940's Movie program,where
film-makers would visit town for a week, record everyday life, & make
a 60-90 minute feature,shown in that town's theatres. As 8YO horse,
too slow to threaten, 0/8 on fast dirt tracks. Tri/Super suck-up BCS.
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EARLY LOOK:
ML Faves hold the Aces, can't see scenario where one of the two
fail to win. Current track bias plays against Abbaa, lean to Duff
if you dare single. Good Luck to ALL, & see you at Night School!