BombsAway Bob
08-25-2015, 04:55 PM
9th @Mountaineer: 6F Clm5000N1Y ~ purse $6,300 ~ 8/25
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3YO+Up, non-winners of a race in 12 months.
(WV-Bred races not considered in eligibility)
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Welcome to 'The Bottom', the lowest time-restricted condition Mountaineer
writes. One drops from N2-12 months,& one cuts back 440Y, No new faces.
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1) Fast Promises (9/2 ML)- Fits condition by 19 days, 9YO big threat
on drop. Race two back could win this. Inside post not good past month.
2) Twinstorm (12/1)- 8YO ran big off 6-month layoff, but regressed
last pair. Pushes pace from inside, but an easy lead doubtful.
3) Johnny Joe (12/1)- Last win for 10YO? Oct.2013. Taken off Lasix
last out & showed much more early zip. Super/Super-Hi-5 likely BCS.
4) Jerry's Fever (6/1)- Another who ran best off layoff, but 7YO failed
to threaten when 2/1 last out vs. #'s 3+8. Loses Whitaker to #7.
5) Backdoor Strike (10/1)- 6YO tries sprint, 7th/9th last two attempts
at one turn. Trainer Going Route-2-Sprint? DRF says 4/7 since 2015,
but Brisnet says only 1/18 since 2012. Who's right? i dunno.
6) Taxicab (10/1)- 11YO pushed pace on rider change last out, &
expect similar tactics/results here. Lone 2014 Win off layoff at this level.
7) Seven Day Fool (4/1)- 6Y0 has been in Tri last four at this level,
but trainer Sipp (who was En Fuego early in meet) is 6/107 last 30 days
& only 1/53 the past 14 days. Figures to get great trip, but 4/1 w/Sipp?
8) Personal Good (30/1)- 10YO is 1/21 locally, his only win @29/1
when KO'ing me from a Juicy Pick-5 win. No Good to Me, Personally.
9) Ellenberger Park (6/1)- 7Y0 ran against inside bias off layoff, gets
rider upgrade.Only three 2014 starts:"Danger,Will Robinson!" if short odds.
10) Kiowa Storm (3/1 ML Fave)- Bad post draw for 6YO's return. Both
starts in 2013 here would crush,but 2014-15 form weaker. Trainer/Jock
having tough year locally after dominating with shippers the past few.
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EARLY LOOK: When handicapping races at 'The Bottom', first
thing i do is eliminate longtime visitors at the level, & "Chuck'Em Out!"
While #'s 4+9 have solid back figs, their common race w/#3 was dull.
I'll toss those three, along with #'s 2-6-8.
That leaves four runners to consider in horizontals.
#7 has been nibbling at this level, but trainer has been "ICE-COLD".
Inside/Outside runners #'s 1+10 are both must-use, but drew poorly.
My #CrazyBomb is #5BackdoorStrike. A Confirmed router, he cuts back
two furlongs, but Dam's offspring are an OK 4/33 in dirt sprints.
I'll go Three Deep in Pick-4/5, #'s 1-5-10.
In Pick-3 & Late DD, i'll single #5.
Good Luck to ALL, & See You at Night School!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3YO+Up, non-winners of a race in 12 months.
(WV-Bred races not considered in eligibility)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Welcome to 'The Bottom', the lowest time-restricted condition Mountaineer
writes. One drops from N2-12 months,& one cuts back 440Y, No new faces.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1) Fast Promises (9/2 ML)- Fits condition by 19 days, 9YO big threat
on drop. Race two back could win this. Inside post not good past month.
2) Twinstorm (12/1)- 8YO ran big off 6-month layoff, but regressed
last pair. Pushes pace from inside, but an easy lead doubtful.
3) Johnny Joe (12/1)- Last win for 10YO? Oct.2013. Taken off Lasix
last out & showed much more early zip. Super/Super-Hi-5 likely BCS.
4) Jerry's Fever (6/1)- Another who ran best off layoff, but 7YO failed
to threaten when 2/1 last out vs. #'s 3+8. Loses Whitaker to #7.
5) Backdoor Strike (10/1)- 6YO tries sprint, 7th/9th last two attempts
at one turn. Trainer Going Route-2-Sprint? DRF says 4/7 since 2015,
but Brisnet says only 1/18 since 2012. Who's right? i dunno.
6) Taxicab (10/1)- 11YO pushed pace on rider change last out, &
expect similar tactics/results here. Lone 2014 Win off layoff at this level.
7) Seven Day Fool (4/1)- 6Y0 has been in Tri last four at this level,
but trainer Sipp (who was En Fuego early in meet) is 6/107 last 30 days
& only 1/53 the past 14 days. Figures to get great trip, but 4/1 w/Sipp?
8) Personal Good (30/1)- 10YO is 1/21 locally, his only win @29/1
when KO'ing me from a Juicy Pick-5 win. No Good to Me, Personally.
9) Ellenberger Park (6/1)- 7Y0 ran against inside bias off layoff, gets
rider upgrade.Only three 2014 starts:"Danger,Will Robinson!" if short odds.
10) Kiowa Storm (3/1 ML Fave)- Bad post draw for 6YO's return. Both
starts in 2013 here would crush,but 2014-15 form weaker. Trainer/Jock
having tough year locally after dominating with shippers the past few.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EARLY LOOK: When handicapping races at 'The Bottom', first
thing i do is eliminate longtime visitors at the level, & "Chuck'Em Out!"
While #'s 4+9 have solid back figs, their common race w/#3 was dull.
I'll toss those three, along with #'s 2-6-8.
That leaves four runners to consider in horizontals.
#7 has been nibbling at this level, but trainer has been "ICE-COLD".
Inside/Outside runners #'s 1+10 are both must-use, but drew poorly.
My #CrazyBomb is #5BackdoorStrike. A Confirmed router, he cuts back
two furlongs, but Dam's offspring are an OK 4/33 in dirt sprints.
I'll go Three Deep in Pick-4/5, #'s 1-5-10.
In Pick-3 & Late DD, i'll single #5.
Good Luck to ALL, & See You at Night School!