Public Handicapper odds

[Valuist]

Probably a more accurate assessment than what the final odds will be, since these are much more hard core players than the once a year types who will be betting on Saturday:

Master David 14-1
Purge 8-1
Caiman 54-1
Birdstone 14-1
Rock Hard Ten 6-1
Royal Assault 20-1
Tap Dancer 67-1
Eddington 8-1
Smarty Jones 3-5

[chickenhead]

I would seriously consider playing Smarty at 3-5. I don't think I'll get the chance.

[Valuist]

It will never happen. But that's probably what he should be.

Here's some of the other PH odds:

Just A Game:
Frankel entry 1-1 Riskaverse 3-1 Dedication 6-1

Riva Ridge:
Pletcher entry 6-5 Fire Slam 7-2 Teton Forest 5-1 Saratoga County 6-1

Manhattan:
Stroll 2-1 Kicken Kris 4-1 Millennium Dragon 7-1 Mr. Obrien 7-1 Epicenter 8-1

[cj]

The $2 e-bay ticket sellers will make the odds on Smarty 1-5, maybe even lower. Just my opinion...

[Valuist]

I agree. But that will not be an "efficient market", IMO. Its not completely beyond the realm of possibility that Purge has improved since he took on SJ at OP. SJ deserves to be a heavy favorite, 3-5 maybe even 1-2 but any lower and other horses become value.

[sq764]

I bet you Smarty ends up 1/5 or 1/9

[Steve 'StatMan']

A friend of mine got the best deal. One of his friends who knew he was into racing, said to him after the Preakness "I'll bet you $20 that Smarty Jones doesn't win the Triple Crown!" So he took him up on it. Techincally that's a $20 bet at even money!