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View Full Version : Top Horse Analytics: 07/28/2015 DMR,GP,SAR Weekly Statistics


Augenj
07-28-2015, 10:06 AM
Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, and Top Horse for all of the active tracks we analyze.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present.

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Weekly Stats For Current Year At DMR
Start Of Logical Year: 07/16/2015
Updated Through: 07/26/2015
Average Field Size: 8.94
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 82
Number Of Wins: 26
Win Per Cent: 31.71
Dollars In: 164.00
Dollars Out: 157.40
High Payoff: 10.80
Profit: -6.60
ROI: 0.9598

M/L Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 82 *
Number Of Wins: 19
Win Per Cent: 23.17
Dollars In: 164.00
Dollars Out: 110.20
High Payoff: 10.80
Profit: -53.80
ROI: 0.6720
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At DMR
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 82
Number Of Wins: 16
Win Per Cent: 19.51
Dollars In: 164.00
Dollars Out: 107.20
High Payoff: 12.00
Profit: -56.80
ROI: 0.6537

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Weekly Stats For Current Year At GP
Start Of Logical Year: 12/06/2014
Updated Through: 07/26/2015
Average Field Size: 8.92
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 1585
Number Of Wins: 549
Win Per Cent: 34.64
Dollars In: 3170.00
Dollars Out: 2635.50
High Payoff: 10.40
Profit: -534.50
ROI: 0.8314

M/L Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 99.56
Number Of Races: 1578 *
Number Of Wins: 472
Win Per Cent: 29.91
Dollars In: 3156.00
Dollars Out: 2446.30
High Payoff: 23.40
Profit: -709.70
ROI: 0.7751
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 1585
Number Of Wins: 419
Win Per Cent: 26.44
Dollars In: 3170.00
Dollars Out: 2483.50
High Payoff: 57.60
Profit: -686.50
ROI: 0.7834

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Weekly Stats For Current Year At SAR
Start Of Logical Year: 07/24/2015
Updated Through: 07/27/2015
Average Field Size: 9.02
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SAR
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 41
Number Of Wins: 14
Win Per Cent: 34.15
Dollars In: 82.00
Dollars Out: 84.50
High Payoff: 8.20
Profit: 2.50
ROI: 1.0305

M/L Favorites At SAR
Occurs Per Cent: 95.12
Number Of Races: 39 *
Number Of Wins: 10
Win Per Cent: 25.64
Dollars In: 78.00
Dollars Out: 69.30
High Payoff: 14.00
Profit: -8.70
ROI: 0.8885
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SAR
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 41
Number Of Wins: 11
Win Per Cent: 26.83
Dollars In: 82.00
Dollars Out: 71.30
High Payoff: 14.00
Profit: -10.70
ROI: 0.8695

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NorCalGreg
07-28-2015, 05:49 PM
I see you're based in Vegas...obviously you don't play every race you have figures for. Those results for favorites have tantalized many a horseplayer, including myself. If I could just figure out a workable screen, an odds limit, a small tweak here and there. We're almost profitable, already! Many have tried, most have failed. I went through Dr Z's tome, was as much fun as learning a blackjack card counting method.
Anyway, Augenj.....thanks for posting this info---just letting you know someone DOES read this stuff. Good luck sir :)

Augenj
07-28-2015, 10:19 PM
I see you're based in Vegas...obviously you don't play every race you have figures for. Those results for favorites have tantalized many a horseplayer, including myself. If I could just figure out a workable screen, an odds limit, a small tweak here and there. We're almost profitable, already! Many have tried, most have failed. I went through Dr Z's tome, was as much fun as learning a blackjack card counting method.
Anyway, Augenj.....thanks for posting this info---just letting you know someone DOES read this stuff. Good luck sir :)
You're right. I don't bet every race and I'm sure you don't either. Betting on favorites is my Plan C since the odds change so much up to the last minute. This thing is still under development somewhere around just past the end of the beginning. Stay tuned and thanks for reading. I never know other than the view count that anybody is actually looking. ;)