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Some_One
07-22-2015, 08:07 PM
So I posted for the hdc forum about the strange early money the :4: has taken, as his win pool % is totally out of whack with the place and show %.

Nevertheless we'll keep going on our little experiment as if the :11: will end us as post time fav.

Prg#/Act L2 Avg/Exp L2 Avg
:1: 114 119
:2: 113 119
:3: 106 106
:4: 114 118
:5: 106 107
:6: 120 120
:8: 114 117
:9: 102 111
:10: 116 118
:11: 124 121
:3: is a Euro so I can't do an expected calculation for now I set the rule where Act=Exp

So now you can see my shock in the :4: being fav, yes he has some good hidden value, but according to the TF numbers, the :11: should be about 3/2 and might be overbet here. I'm going to stick to my process and ignore whatever things are actually happening in the pools and say that :2: :4: represent best hidden value.
:2: :4: / :2: :4: :6: :8:

Lemon Drop Husker
07-22-2015, 08:36 PM
Getting on the :3: in Race 8 at Del Mar to hit the board with :2::8::11: in some fashion and the :7: on the bottom ends.

:3::7: bomber Exacta