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Some_One
07-20-2015, 06:14 PM
The experiment continues..first time playing a race with such lower speed figures and questionable horses, but let's see how it plays out.

So the table of Prg#/Avg L2 Act/Avg L2 Expected
:1: 57 60
:2: 48 51
:3: 24 58
:4: 54 60
:5: 47 42
:6: 45 47
:7: 39 54
:8: 42 51
:9: 62 56
:10: 52 75

So I've seen someone on here take the :9: for this race, and it's not a surprise, he has good figs and the 5-1 is a bit of a pipe dream. Based on the figs, he should actually be 4-5 (however based on his expected ratings, I have him at 40-1, a clear play against). The :10: is intersting, has raced against better while supported in the market, but did nothing, now has a break and negative change of trainer. It's close between the :1: and :4: for the other spot in the top of my plays but the :4: does offer both a little more hidden value and actual value IMO.
:4: :10: / :1: :4: :8: :10:

Some_One
07-20-2015, 08:03 PM
Looks like :9: is a late scratch, shame as I thought he would take a good amount of money, still some money to be had playing against the :1: I think. Looking now at :4: :10: / :2: :4: :8: :10:

appistappis
07-20-2015, 09:23 PM
track is not kind to speed tonight, I'd rethink your 4

Unicorn
07-20-2015, 09:38 PM
Race 8 # :4: AJ's Fortune. Parker should get the double.

Unicorn
07-20-2015, 09:43 PM
Race 8 # :4: AJ's Fortune. Parker should get the double.

I dont get why a horse drops that far back and tries to make a comeback at the end of the race.

appistappis
07-20-2015, 09:49 PM
boxing the :1: and :3:

Unicorn
07-20-2015, 09:57 PM
boxing the :1: and :3:

Is that for the 9th?

Unicorn
07-20-2015, 10:01 PM
TD in the 9th # :4:

appistappis
07-20-2015, 10:14 PM
it was, lol....the 3 hopped