Top Horse Analytics: 07/08/2015 BEL Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: BEL, GP
THA Suspended Tracks: CD, KEE
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU-I, AQU-O, DMR, GPW, OP, SA, SAR, TAM

[Augenj]

Race Cancellations (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Race Scratches And Changes (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)

Race Results
Equibase Charts (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
THA Results (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

07/08/15, BEL, Race 1, 1.20 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Nine Bears [3-1] Franco M / Asmussen Steven M.
098.8483 :6: Louie's Luck [12-1] Arroyo A S / Englehart Chris J.
098.0615 :7: Tharyic [7/2] Maragh R / Hennig Mark A.
096.9136 :3: Touch of Paradise [4-1] Cancel E / Albertrani Thomas
096.3098 4 Cats Landing [5-1] Cruz A / Sciacca Gary
096.2303 2 West Sedona [8-1] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
092.4213 1 Fortunate Sky [6-1] Jara F / Ortiz Paulino O.

07/08/15, BEL, Race 2, 1.51 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $26,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Underhill Drive [2-1] Carmouche K / Levine Bruce N.
098.8623 :2: Gethot Stayhot [4-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Toscano. Jr. John T.
098.8416 :5: Iknewuweretrouble [5/2] Arroyo A S / Nevin Michelle
098.2677 :4: D' Kennesaw Cat [6-1] Cancel E / Servis Jason
096.9497 6 Unrepented [5-1] Rosario J / DiPrima Gregory
095.6917 3 Kiss Cat [12-1] Ortiz J L / Ferraro James W.

07/08/15, BEL, Race 3, 2.22 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $85,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Ironicus [2/5] Castellano J / McGaughey III Claude R
085.0132 :8: McIlroy [5-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R.
083.9832 :1a: Tetradrachm [6-1] Velasquez C H / Jacobson David
083.1965 :4: Our Emerald Forest (IRE) [20-1] Wolfsont A / Day James M.
083.1292 5 North Star Boy (IRE) [12-1] Cruz A / Saville Niall
082.6210 6 Abtaal [15-1] Saez L / McLaughlin Kiaran P.
*Scratch* 7 Lucky Lotto [5/2] Cancel E / Barker Edward R.
*Scratch* 3 Integrity [9/5] No Rider Yet / Rodriguez Rudy R.
*Scratch* 1 Big Looie [6-1] No Rider Yet / Jacobson David

07/08/15, BEL, Race 4, 2.53 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Energetico [8/5] Velasquez C H / Rodriguez Rudy R.
099.9123 :4: One More Night [2-1] Carmouche K / Asmussen Steven M.
096.8436 :2: Real Estate Rich [6-1] Castellano J / Contessa Gary C.
096.2450 :5: Nubin Ridge [12-1] Cruz A / Ortiz Paulino O.
095.5531 1 Frazil [5-1] Arroyo A S / Klesaris Steve
*Scratch* 3 McKenzies Way [10-1] Jara F / Stoklosa Richard L.

07/08/15, BEL, Race 5, 3.24 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.02 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :11: Sinatra [5/2] Velazquez J R / Mott William I.
097.2572 :3: Sultry Cat [4-1] Rosario J / McPeek Kenneth G.
096.2887 :7: Here's Johnny [6-1] Velasquez C H / Jacobson David
096.1378 :1: Dreams Cut Short [3-1] Leparoux J R / Asmussen Steven M.
094.1106 5 Rico Suave [6-1] Ortiz J L / Farro Patricia
092.2538 6 He Has Charm [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Zito Nicholas P.
091.3621 8 Best Play [15-1] Jara F / Miranda Luis A.
090.7467 2 Rope a Dope [20-1] Cancel E / Persaud Randi
*Scratch* 9 Royal Posse [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R.
*Scratch* 4 Moe Man [4-1] No Rider Yet / Contessa Gary C.
*Scratch* 12 Dendrite [30-1] Arroyo A S / Martin Carlos F.
*Scratch* 10 Private Tale [5/2] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J.

07/08/15, BEL, Race 6, 3.55 ET
7F [Turf] 1.19.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Lady Daphne [5-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
099.9548 :6: Kacy Lauren [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C.
099.8438 :4: Psychiatry [7/2] Lezcano J / Bush Thomas M.
099.4863 :11: Animal Appeal [12-1] Saez L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
098.8077 12 Irish Actor [12-1] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
098.0490 10 Bella Joy [6-1] Alvarado J / Wiggins Lon
097.3182 2 Sauvignon [8-1] Rosario J / Morley Thomas
096.6724 8 Irish Laughter [30-1] Ortiz J L / Gyarmati Leah
096.0249 9 Hottie Potati [20-1] Maragh R / Esler Nicholas
095.6897 5 Americasprincess [30-1] Silvera R / Feron Kathleen M.
094.2185 7 Weather Girl [15-1] Franco M / Asmussen Steven M.
093.5845 1 Cosmic Tale [10-1] Arroyo A S / Baker Charlton
*Scratch* 15 Paw Annie [20-1] No Rider Yet / Rojas Osvaldo
*Scratch* 14 Quibbler [15-1] Ortiz J L / Ribaudo Robert
*Scratch* 13 Aussie Prayer [15-1] Velazquez J R / Donk David G.

07/08/15, BEL, Race 7, 4.26 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.39.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Abdaar [3-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
098.1935 :3: Securitiz [6-1] Lezcano J / Jerkens James A.
098.1253 :7: River Date [12-1] Carmouche K / Cannizzo David A.
097.9509 :9: Indian Trail [7/2] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A.
097.6511 2 Ice Cutter [4-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe
096.6435 8 Cozmic One [4-1] Maragh R / Shirreffs John A.
096.3058 1 To Dare [10-1] Franco M / Morley Thomas
095.7625 6 Chase the Love [30-1] Rodriguez I O / DeMola Joseph
092.6730 4 Lieutenant Dale [20-1] Ortiz J L / Zito Nicholas P.

07/08/15, BEL, Race 8, 4.57 ET
7F [Turf] 1.19.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $77,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :14: Fortuitous Path [8/5] Alvarado J / Rodriguez Rudy R.
097.5668 :4: Designed for War [4-1] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A.
095.2294 :5: Sleeping Giant [8-1] Alvarado J / Asmussen Steven M.
094.9279 :13: Collin's Smile [2-1] Castellano J / Brown Bruce R.
093.5623 12 Lone Trader [6-1] Ortiz J L / Hushion Michael E.
093.2037 8 Baldonnel [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C.
091.8118 3 Sunrise Sunset [12-1] Bravo J / Weaver George
091.7561 10 Chunnel [8-1] Velazquez J R / Mazza Joseph W.
091.4351 1 Speeding Comet [10-1] Saez L / Toscano. Jr. John T.
091.3981 9 Whoopie Pie [10-1] Franco M / Sharp Joe
090.3493 11 Run for Logistics [10-1] Jara F / O'Brien Leo
090.1123 2 White Bay [20-1] Cancel E / McGaughey III Claude R
089.0554 6 Natural Order [15-1] Rosario J / Lerman Roy S.
088.9428 7 Enjoy the Show [20-1] Maragh R / Toner James J.

07/08/15, BEL, Race 9, 5.28 ET
6F [Inner Turf] 1.06.04 CLAIMING. Purse $40,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Julie D [3-1] Velasquez C H / Jacobson David
099.1424 :8: Awesome Quick [5-1] Castellano J / Saville Niall
098.6160 :1: Privately Speaking [7/2] Velazquez J R / Rice Linda
098.3671 :11: Dot Product [5-1] Maragh R / Englehart Jeremiah C.
097.7935 9 Rachel's Temper [5-1] Rosario J / Cannizzo David A.
097.2833 7 Cryptic Comet [12-1] Cancel E / Terranova. II John P.
095.8458 3 Eta Carinae [6-1] Lezcano J / Domino Carl J.
094.6291 10 Nejma [15-1] Ortiz J L / Adsit Abigail C.
092.9621 6 Rose Quartz [20-1] Saez L / Orseno Joseph F.
091.2509 5 Miss Loretta Lynn [12-1] Arroyo A S / Klesaris Steve
091.1721 4 Quit Smokin [20-1] Rice T B / Hertler John O.

[Augenj]

WPS Takeout at BEL is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

07/08/15, BEL, Race 1, 1:20 ET
100.0000 :5: Nine Bears [3-1]
098.8483 :6: Louie's Luck [12-1] 2nd - 17.40 9.00
098.0615 :7: Tharyic [7/2]
096.9136 :3: Touch of Paradise [4-1 * ] 4th
096.3098 4 Cats Landing [5-1] 3rd - 4.60
096.2303 2 West Sedona [8-1] 1st - 9.30 5.20 3.50
092.4213 1 Fortunate Sky [6-1]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 2, 1:51 ET
100.0000 :1: Underhill Drive [2-1] 2nd - 3.20 2.50
098.8623 :2: Gethot Stayhot [4-1] 3rd - 3.20
098.8416 :5: Iknewuweretrouble [5/2]
098.2677 :4: D' Kennesaw Cat [6-1] 4th
096.9497 6 Unrepented [5-1 * ] 1st - 5.80 2.90 2.50
095.6917 3 Kiss Cat [12-1]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 3, 2:22 ET
100.0000 :2: Ironicus [2/5 * ] 1st - 2.90 2.10 2.10
085.0132 :8: McIlroy [5-1]
083.9832 :1a: Tetradrachm [6-1] 2nd - 4.50 4.80
083.1965 :4: Our Emerald Forest (IRE) [20-1] 3rd - 6.20
083.1292 5 North Star Boy (IRE) [12-1]
082.6210 6 Abtaal [15-1] 4th
*Scratch* 7 Lucky Lotto [5/2]
*Scratch* 3 Integrity [9/5]
*Scratch* 1 Big Looie [6-1]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 4, 2:53 ET
100.0000 :6: Energetico [8/5]
099.9123 :4: One More Night [2-1 * ] 4th
096.8436 :2: Real Estate Rich [6-1] 3rd - 3.70
096.2450 :5: Nubin Ridge [12-1] 2nd - 7.30 3.60
095.5531 1 Frazil [5-1] 1st - 11.80 4.90 3.70
*Scratch* 3 McKenzies Way [10-1]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 5, 3:24 ET
100.0000 :11: Sinatra [5/2 * ] 1st - 6.30 4.30 2.90
097.2572 :3: Sultry Cat [4-1] last, never urged
096.2887 :7: Here's Johnny [6-1]
096.1378 :1: Dreams Cut Short [3-1] 3rd - 3.10
094.1106 5 Rico Suave [6-1] 2nd - 7.10 4.20
092.2538 6 He Has Charm [8-1] 4th
091.3621 8 Best Play [15-1]
090.7467 2 Rope a Dope [20-1]
*Scratch* 9 Royal Posse [2-1]
*Scratch* 4 Moe Man [4-1]
*Scratch* 12 Dendrite [30-1]
*Scratch* 10 Private Tale [5/2]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 6, 3:55 ET
100.0000 :3: Lady Daphne [5-1]
099.9548 :6: Kacy Lauren [3-1]
099.8438 :4: Psychiatry [7/2 * ] 1st - 6.20 4.20 2.90
099.4863 :11: Animal Appeal [12-1] 3rd - 4.80
098.8077 12 Irish Actor [12-1]
098.0490 10 Bella Joy [6-1] 4th
097.3182 2 Sauvignon [8-1] 2nd - 10.40 6.60
096.6724 8 Irish Laughter [30-1]
096.0249 9 Hottie Potati [20-1]
095.6897 5 Americasprincess [30-1]
094.2185 7 Weather Girl [15-1]
093.5845 1 Cosmic Tale [10-1]
*Scratch* 15 Paw Annie [20-1]
*Scratch* 14 Quibbler [15-1]
*Scratch* 13 Aussie Prayer [15-1]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 7, 4:26 ET
100.0000 :5: Abdaar [3-1] dueled, eased
098.1935 :3: Securitiz [6-1] 3rd - 5.10
098.1253 :7: River Date [12-1]
097.9509 :9: Indian Trail [7/2 * ] 2nd - 4.10 2.80
097.6511 2 Ice Cutter [4-1] 1st - 12.00 5.60 3.50
096.6435 8 Cozmic One [4-1]
096.3058 1 To Dare [10-1]
095.7625 6 Chase the Love [30-1] 4th
092.6730 4 Lieutenant Dale [20-1]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 8, 4:57 ET
100.0000 :14: Fortuitous Path [8/5] *SCR*
097.5668 :4: Designed for War [4-1 * ] 4th
095.2294 :5: Sleeping Giant [8-1] 1st - 35.00 10.60 6.70
094.9279 :13: Collin's Smile [2-1] *SCR*
093.5623 12 Lone Trader [6-1]
093.2037 8 Baldonnel [7/2]
091.8118 3 Sunrise Sunset [12-1]
091.7561 10 Chunnel [8-1]
091.4351 1 Speeding Comet [10-1] 3rd - 5.50
091.3981 9 Whoopie Pie [10-1]
090.3493 11 Run for Logistics [10-1] 2nd - 5.00 4.30
090.1123 2 White Bay [20-1]
089.0554 6 Natural Order [15-1]
088.9428 7 Enjoy the Show [20-1]

07/08/15, BEL, Race 9, 5:28 ET
100.0000 :2: Julie D [3-1] *B* 4th
099.1424 :8: Awesome Quick [5-1] *B* 2nd - 5.60 3.70
098.6160 :1: Privately Speaking [7/2] *B* 1st - 11.20 6.00 3.80
098.3671 :11: Dot Product [5-1 * ] *B* 3rd - 3.10
097.7935 9 Rachel's Temper [5-1] *B* *SCR*
097.2833 7 Cryptic Comet [12-1] *B*
095.8458 3 Eta Carinae [6-1] *B*
094.6291 10 Nejma [15-1] *B*
092.9621 6 Rose Quartz [20-1] *B*
091.2509 5 Miss Loretta Lynn [12-1] *B*
091.1721 4 Quit Smokin [20-1] *B*