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View Full Version : Late DD @Mountaineer~ 7/7


BombsAway Bob
07-07-2015, 01:37 PM
9th @Mountaineer: 1Mile Md5000 ~ purse $6,100 ~ 7/7
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Maidens, 3YO+Up
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Four runners stretchout,including the lone new face, a WV-Bred trying
open company maidens. Lone class dropper part of ML-favored entry.
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1) Henry Hudson (8/5 ML Fave, POE)- Kills price on the half of the
entry that may be able to run a little. Next...
2) Undaunted Courage (9/2)- Just missed two back, and may be
controlling speed unless drop perks up #1A. Nice post & ML price.
3) Mr.Reattatude (8/1)- Locally white-hot trainer brings WV-Bred
from CharlesTown & barn jock to try 8F & open foes. Normally,
this would be EZ-toss, but connections make 4YO a must use.
4) Mabee a Dream (15/1)- 5YO useful Super/Super-Hi-5 Key. Next...
1A) Include Vision (8/5 ML Fave, POE)- 3YO takes TheNesteaPlunge
from MSW to the bottom. Bracho sticks w/#2,Lagunes just as good.
The Horse To Beat, but perhaps not to fear.
5) Frosty Autumn (7/2)- Beaten Fave tries two turns 1st time, has
been on good race/bad race pattern. This would be time for good, but 4YO
likely will be 5/2 off odds as 'the alternative' to #1A. Your call.
6) Holiday Bound (6/1)- Tri filler in 3-of-4 locally, rider upgrade
IMO. Looks like solid 'under' key, hard to envision win.
7) Monochromatic (15/1)- TwoSprints-2-route for owner/breeder
that hasn't fired locally in 2015. Lateral rider switch IMO.
8) Arrhythmia (10/1)- 5YO stretches back out after sprinting for the
past year. 32-race maiden 0/10 going two turns. Private Purchase.
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EARLY LOOK: #1A is a must use in horizontal bets if he runs, but will
likely be unattractive off win odds, compounded by his no-shot entrymate.
#2 has had many chances, but may be controlling speed, & Bracho
knows the ML Fave well, having ridden him in last pair.
#'s 3-5-7-8 all try stretching out, but none has breeding that makes you
think they will make a big move forward doing so.
Of the quartet,#'s 3-5 my tepid picks to enjoy it the most.
#6 gets positive rider switch, but keying 3rd in Tri looks like best use.
In Pick-4/5, I'll go #1A-2-3, in Late DD, 2-3.
GOOD LUCK to ALL, & See You at Night School!

BombsAway Bob
07-07-2015, 03:45 PM
8th @Mountaineer 5.5F Alw25100NC ~ purse $25,100 ~ 7/7
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Wide Open No Condition Allowance, All are welcome.
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On Paper, Woodard/Hays entry looks ultra-tough, but IMO
there are two runners with a "Puncher's Chance" of an upset.
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2) Jasizzle (5/2 ML)- Tough post for 6YO that cruised here opening
night on a Big Pro-Speed Bias vs. a NC-Allowance field that was softer.
May wind up overbet late,as folks likely pick him as alternative to Entry.
3) Help a Brother (6/1)- Fast WV-Bred Vet Scratch here June 8th.
Should wind up in stalking position early on 330-Yard cutback.
4) Spirit of Freedom (30/1)- N3L Allowance eligible, overmatched.
5) First Frost (15/1)- Deshawn curiously winds up here rather than
on a half of the favored entry. Steps Up, yet to Beyer 80, in tough here.
6) Ninety Grand (50/1)- Did connections mis-read race condition?
Can't envision horse making the starting gate, much less win this.
1) Charismatic Pulpit (4/5 ML Fave,POE)- Stalking half of entry.
1A) Star Harbour (4/5 ML Fave,POE)- Speed half of entry returns
off 50-day break & one $F work. As they say, "Know Early!"
7) Misslewhileuwork (20/1)- EARLY SCRATCH, CT shipper.
8) Night Maneuver (6/1)- Hot item at the claim box by many Top
outfits. 6YO has solid Beyers, great post, & can sit just off early pace.
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EARLY LOOK:
I'm guessing +50% of Pick-5 tickets will single the Entry.
Either half can win, but value will NOT be part of package.
I'll go 3 Deep, including #2 & #8 in Pick-4/5 with the entry.
i May single #8 in Late DD if 9/2 or higher at post time.
GOOD LUCK to ALL, & See You at Night School!

BlueChip@DRF
07-07-2015, 04:21 PM
$10 DD: :5: with :3::5: