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View Full Version : Bet the chalk...find value...


sammy the sage
07-04-2015, 11:22 AM
Will do the reverse of the other thread...pick the chalk that I think should win at better than 40%...obviously 3/5 shots are still a loser but 2/1 or 7/2 in a bigger field is a winner...unless of course..you can find or create value

.the Key to betting chalk in my book is to create value by betting w/another horse...that's YOUR job...but I try to get 6/1 at least w/either doubles or exactas or pik3/4's...

guest post 1st!

Originally Posted by lamboguy

Bel 1-4, 8-2

Del 1-4, 5-7

Mth 2-3

Prx 1-2

Wdb 9-2



think I'll start a thread w/that...my pick would be Tonalist today...w/the upcoming weather will be even tougher...

and would also agree w/ Lambo on the 4 horse in the 1st race at Belmont...early speed on most assuredly sealed & fast track till weather hits....

lamboguy
07-04-2015, 05:54 PM
the woodbine horse was scratched, and i went 3 wins and 3 losers for a loss

sammy the sage
07-04-2015, 08:47 PM
well I was 1-1...and in the big stakes...0-1.... :(

sammy the sage
08-08-2015, 10:49 AM
8/8/15

Delmar 3rd...#3...Toews on Ice...ran on the early meet DEAD rail...should smoke this field as Baffert deadly w/these type...

ps...you won't see the 3/1 morning line...probably 4/5....but a useful single in multi-race gimmicks...

lamboguy
08-08-2015, 11:19 AM
8/8/15

Delmar 3rd...#3...Toews on Ice...ran on the early meet DEAD rail...should smoke this field as Baffert deadly w/these type...

ps...you won't see the 3/1 morning line...probably 4/5....but a useful single in multi-race gimmicks...
i like YOUNG BRIAN to that race, been waiting for him

lamboguy
08-08-2015, 06:24 PM
i like YOUNG BRIAN to that race, been waiting for himbeat everything but the tote board in this one. breaks of a hustler i guess


$4.40 for win

sammy the sage
08-09-2015, 05:03 PM
yes...bad call on my part...didn't find out till about 5 min.s before....many WERE WAITING....yes....saw the 1st tote action....and knew I had touted wrong then....alas....no where near to post...and too busy...

good call Lambo...

record for moi 1-2...heck that's just average...ugh...

can pick them to lose...but can't pick 'em to win...a curse...