Top Horse Analytics: 06/17/2015 BEL Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: BEL, CD, GP, SA
THA Suspended Tracks: KEE, TAM
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU-I, AQU-O, DMR, GPW, OP, SAR

[Augenj]

Race Cancellations (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Race Scratches And Changes (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)

Race Results
Equibase Charts (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
THA Results (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

06/17/15, BEL, Race 1, 1.20 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Harpoon [9/5] Saez L / Pletcher Todd A.
099.3104 :3: Financial Mogul [5/2] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
096.7246 :2: Mizner Park [5-1] Ortiz J L / Contessa Gary C.
095.5682 :6: Fit to Keep [6-1] Franco M / Sciacca Gary
095.4338 1 B. B.'s Remington [10-1] Cancel E / Contessa Gary C.
094.7034 5 Francis Freud [15-1] Silvera R / Metivier Richard
094.5073 4 Byron's Pop [8-1] Cruz A / Jacobson David

06/17/15, BEL, Race 2, 1.51 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $29,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Dia de Encanta [2-1] Saez L / Pletcher Todd A.
097.6722 :5: Kisses for Romeo [5-1] Franco M / Schettino Dominick
097.4680 :1: Di Lissa [4-1] Velasquez C H / Nevin Michelle
097.1086 :7: Tia Lana [8-1] Ortiz J L / Barbara Robert
097.0237 8 Gregg's Beauty [12-1] Cruz A / Sciacca Gary
096.5410 2 Stormy Sky [6-1] Cancel E / Weaver George
096.0262 4 Untrue [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / DiPrima Gregory
*Scratch* 3 Mama's Red Hat [20-1] Jara A / Quiles John N.

06/17/15, BEL, Race 3, 2.22 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $85,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Hellenistic [8/5] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
099.0911 :8: Dido [2-1] Maragh R / Motion H. Graham
096.8440 :4: Jane Peterson [6-1] Lezcano J / Motion H. Graham
095.7577 :7: Water Hole (IRE) [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C.
094.0788 1a (F)Ticking Katie (IRE) [8-1] Saez L / Lynch Brian A.
*Scratch* 6 La Madrina [6/5] No Rider Yet / McGaughey III Claude R
*Scratch* 5 Holiday's Jewel [8-1] No Rider Yet / Friedman Mitchell E.
*Scratch* 2 Sky Girl [6-1] No Rider Yet / Mott William I.
*Scratch* 1 Lunar Surge [8-1] Ortiz J L / Weaver George

06/17/15, BEL, Race 4, 2.53 ET
7F [Turf] 1.19.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000.
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Hundred Year Storm [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C.
099.7880 :10: Greywalls [8-1] Cancel E / Terranova. II John P.
099.3837 :8: Scamper [10-1] Maragh R / Adsit Abigail C.
099.3804 :12: Kinsley [5-1] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A.
099.1806 4 Coming Attraction [4-1] Velazquez J R / McGaughey III Claude R
097.7071 2 Mighty Katherine [20-1] Rice T B / Wilkes Ian R.
097.5934 7 Bibby [8-1] Franco M / Clement Christophe
096.9195 1a Sudestada [6-1] Saez L / Albertrani Thomas
096.7545 9 Hashtag Bonnie [20-1] Ortiz J L / Gyarmati Leah
096.7073 11 Where's Poppa [20-1] Cruz A / Contessa Gary C.
096.6572 5 Kitai [30-1] Jara F / Mazza Joseph W.
095.8218 6 Wonder Brew [12-1] Lezcano J / Hennig Mark A.
*Scratch* 13 I'll Take Charge [5/2] Lezcano J / Mott William I.
*Scratch* 1 Early Snow [6-1] Saez L / Albertrani Thomas

06/17/15, BEL, Race 5, 3.24 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $77,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Mrs. Hudson [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / McLaughlin Kiaran P.
096.2630 :5: So You Say [9/5] Ortiz J L / Nevin Michelle
094.7947 :3: Jubilant Vision [6-1] Velasquez C H / Jacobson David
093.5665 :1: Chickaletta [15-1] Saez L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
093.2643 4 You Lie [5-1] Lezcano J / Albertrani Thomas
093.0335 6 Eta Carinae [8-1] Cancel E / Domino Carl J.

06/17/15, BEL, Race 6, 3.55 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $42,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Ground Control [5/2] Cancel E / Dutrow Anthony W.
098.9695 :7: Escapist [6-1] Cruz A / Jacobson David
098.8595 :5: Best Man [2-1] Castellano J / Rodriguez Rudy R.
097.1349 :2: Gentrify [4-1] Jara F / Lewis Lisa L.
095.1645 6 Mach Seven [15-1] Silvera R / Parker Joseph G.
*Scratch* 4 Watergate [20-1] Franco M / Schosberg Richard E.
*Scratch* 1 Mischieviously [5-1] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda

06/17/15, BEL, Race 7, 4.26 ET
6F [Turf] 1.06.04 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :11: Chelsea Road [3-1] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
098.7648 :5: Ave's Halo [4-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Asmussen Steven M.
098.6471 :2: First Whippoorwill [4-1] Carmouche K / Sharp Joe
098.3917 :3: Starship Pleasant [8-1] Ortiz J L / Servis Jason
098.1513 6 Sun and Moon [10-1] Cruz A / Martin Carlos F.
097.2292 4 Desert Bliss [7/2] Castellano J / Matties Gregg M.
095.7149 8 Pura Vida Zen [12-1] Franco M / Klesaris Steve
091.5271 9 Simple as That [20-1] Jara F / Gentner Dorothy
*Scratch* 7 Coast of Sangria [6-1] No Rider Yet / Schosberg Richard E.
*Scratch* 10 Your Move [8-1] Velasquez C H / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 1 Darling Bridezilla [7/2] Franco M / Falcone. Jr. Robert N.

06/17/15, BEL, Race 8, 4.57 ET
6F [Inner Turf] 1.06.04 CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Ziptronic [3-1] Castellano J / Levine Bruce N.
095.8842 :5: Mish Mosh [4-1] Cancel E / Nevin Michelle
093.3099 :6: Mr Rosenthal [5-1] Lezcano J / DiPrima Gregory
091.0890 :3: Political Farce [15-1] Saez L / Contessa Gary C.
090.8610 1 Special Selection [8-1] Franco M / Brown Bruce R.
089.4229 4 Luigi P [20-1] Cruz A / Bizelia Anthony J.
086.8009 7 In the Beat [30-1] Silvera R / DeMola Joseph
*Scratch* 9 Draxhall Woods [6/5] Carmouche K / Pino Michael V.
*Scratch* 8 Storm Pursuit [10-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 10 Great Attack [7/2] Velasquez C H / Jacobson David

06/17/15, BEL, Race 9, 5.28 ET
7F [Turf] 1.19.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Winter Wish [3-1] Velazquez J R / Weaver George
099.9683 :2: My Kinda Gal [6-1] Cancel E / Pletcher Todd A.
099.5036 :4: Shotgun Love [5-1] Franco M / Schettino Dominick
098.9548 :9: Born to Be Mild [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R.
098.6707 12 Animal Appeal [10-1] Maragh R / Englehart Jeremiah C.
098.6028 8 Moondance Joy [4-1] Saez L / Albertrani Thomas
097.5216 6 Paradise Peak [10-1] Ortiz J L / Kenneally Eddie
097.3013 10 Irish Actor [12-1] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
096.1279 3 Paw Annie [30-1] Unknown Rider / Rojas Osvaldo
095.0196 5 Truly Unruly [30-1] Alvarado J / Antonucci Jena M.
094.3955 11 Offlee Good [30-1] Silvera R / Fisher Linda
092.2804 7 Barrel of Dreams [15-1] Jara F / Hertler John O.
*Scratch* 16 Bye Sheila [8-1] Cancel E / Terranova. II John P.
*Scratch* 15 Music Kitty [50-1] Jara A / DeMola Joseph
*Scratch* 14 Mary's in Utopia [6-1] Alvarado J / Prine David
*Scratch* 13 Kitty Kat [6-1] Lezcano J / Kimmel John C.

[Augenj]

WPS Takeout at BEL is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

06/17/15, BEL, Race 1, 1:20 ET
100.0000 :7: Harpoon [9/5 * ] 1st - 3.00 2.30 2.10
099.3104 :3: Financial Mogul [5/2] 2nd - 4.00 3.00 $2 Ex 7.70
096.7246 :2: Mizner Park [5-1] bumped break
095.5682 :6: Fit to Keep [6-1] 4th
095.4338 1 B. B.'s Remington [10-1]
094.7034 5 Francis Freud [15-1] 3rd - 4.30
094.5073 4 Byron's Pop [8-1]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 2, 1:51 ET
100.0000 :6: Dia de Encanta [2-1 * ] 3rd - 2.30
097.6722 :5: Kisses for Romeo [5-1] 2nd - 6.50 3.20
097.4680 :1: Di Lissa [4-1] 4th
097.1086 :7: Tia Lana [8-1]
097.0237 8 Gregg's Beauty [12-1]
096.5410 2 Stormy Sky [6-1] 1st - 6.80 4.10 2.70
096.0262 4 Untrue [6-1]
*Scratch* 3 Mama's Red Hat [20-1]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 3, 2:22 ET
100.0000 :3: Hellenistic [8/5 * ] 3rd - 2.10
099.0911 :8: Dido [2-1] 2nd - 4.40 2.40
096.8440 :4: Jane Peterson [6-1]
095.7577 :7: Water Hole (IRE) [7/2] 4th
094.0788 1a (F)Ticking Katie (IRE) [8-1] 1st - 13.60 5.40 3.10
*Scratch* 6 La Madrina [6/5]
*Scratch* 5 Holiday's Jewel [8-1]
*Scratch* 2 Sky Girl [6-1]
*Scratch* 1 Lunar Surge [8-1]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 4, 2:53 ET
100.0000 :3: Hundred Year Storm [7/2 * ] bumped start, checked 3/16
099.7880 :10: Greywalls [8-1] 1st - 8.10 4.70 3.30
099.3837 :8: Scamper [10-1]
099.3804 :12: Kinsley [5-1]
099.1806 4 Coming Attraction [4-1] *B* 3rd - 4.10
097.7071 2 Mighty Katherine [20-1]
097.5934 7 Bibby [8-1] 4th
096.9195 1a Sudestada [6-1]
096.7545 9 Hashtag Bonnie [20-1]
096.7073 11 Where's Poppa [20-1]
096.6572 5 Kitai [30-1]
095.8218 6 Wonder Brew [12-1] 2nd - 11.20 7.30
*Scratch* 13 I'll Take Charge [5/2]
*Scratch* 1 Early Snow [6-1]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 5, 3:24 ET
100.0000 :2: Mrs. Hudson [2-1] 3rd - 2.20
096.2630 :5: So You Say [9/5 * ] 1st - 4.00 2.80 2.10
094.7947 :3: Jubilant Vision [6-1] 2nd - 5.30 2.70
093.5665 :1: Chickaletta [15-1] 4th
093.2643 4 You Lie [5-1]
093.0335 6 Eta Carinae [8-1]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 6, 3:55 ET
100.0000 :3: Ground Control [5/2]
098.9695 :7: Escapist [6-1] 2nd - 4.20 3.80
098.8595 :5: Best Man [2-1 * ] 4th
097.1349 :2: Gentrify [4-1] 1st - 11.80 5.50 3.70
095.1645 6 Mach Seven [15-1] 3rd - 3.30
*Scratch* 4 Watergate [20-1]
*Scratch* 1 Mischieviously [5-1]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 7, 4:26 ET
100.0000 :11: Chelsea Road [3-1 * ] 3 wide turn, between late, brushed
098.7648 :5: Ave's Halo [4-1]
098.6471 :2: First Whippoorwill [4-1] 3rd - 2.80 DH
098.3917 :3: Starship Pleasant [8-1]
098.1513 6 Sun and Moon [10-1] 1st - 7.90 4.30 2.80
097.2292 4 Desert Bliss [7/2] 2nd - 7.00 3.90
095.7149 8 Pura Vida Zen [12-1] 3rd - 3.30 DH
091.5271 9 Simple as That [20-1]
*Scratch* 7 Coast of Sangria [6-1]
*Scratch* 10 Your Move [8-1]
*Scratch* 1 Darling Bridezilla [7/2]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 8, 4:57 ET
100.0000 :2: Ziptronic [3-1 * ] 2nd - 4.00 3.00
095.8842 :5: Mish Mosh [4-1]
093.3099 :6: Mr Rosenthal [5-1] 4th
091.0890 :3: Political Farce [15-1] 3rd - 4.40
090.8610 1 Special Selection [8-1] 1st - 19.60 6.70 4.50
089.4229 4 Luigi P [20-1]
086.8009 7 In the Beat [30-1]
*Scratch* 9 Draxhall Woods [6/5]
*Scratch* 8 Storm Pursuit [10-1]
*Scratch* 10 Great Attack [7/2]

06/17/15, BEL, Race 9, 5:28 ET
100.0000 :1: Winter Wish [3-1 * ] *B* lunged, checked start
099.9683 :2: My Kinda Gal [6-1] 4th
099.5036 :4: Shotgun Love [5-1] *B*
098.9548 :9: Born to Be Mild [6-1]
098.6707 12 Animal Appeal [10-1] 2nd - 6.70 5.70
098.6028 8 Moondance Joy [4-1] 1st - 11.80 5.70 3.70
097.5216 6 Paradise Peak [10-1] *B*
097.3013 10 Irish Actor [12-1] 3rd - 14.60
096.1279 3 Paw Annie [30-1] *B*
095.0196 5 Truly Unruly [30-1] *B*
094.3955 11 Offlee Good [30-1] *B*
092.2804 7 Barrel of Dreams [15-1]
*Scratch* 16 Bye Sheila [8-1]
*Scratch* 15 Music Kitty [50-1]
*Scratch* 14 Mary's in Utopia [6-1]
*Scratch* 13 Kitty Kat [6-1]

[Augenj]

Dirt "good" and turf "yielding". Always a bad day to do picks with THA.