Observing Monmouth 5/30

[slihawk]

Trying to get familiar with this track since Im spending some time up there later this year.
Some observations (please tell me if Im mistaken)

1X Geldings looks to be a profitable play here Note #1 in 3rd 10-1 today
for that fact equipment changes are finding board finishers at Big odds ( the #1 in the 2nd today at 18-1 2nd Ferrer to boot)

Tampa jocks Ferrer and Centeno starting out hot..both r good turf riders

Paco and Castellano both deadly on turf

Trainer Cibelli looks loaded

Betting against Pletcher and Brown at your own peril

OK with that said Picks:

3rd R #1 1x Gelding 12-1
5
6
4
4th R 4 Paco on turf 3-1
3 Centeno 4-1
5th R 4 Centeno again with sneaky Trainer Alexander 7/2
1 Ferrer/Ward another Tampa connection..even though I still have some questions on Ward had a ruff Tampa meet which is unusual

[slihawk]

1x Geld not good here Im still going to follow
The winner #4 Bl off Im telling ya I don't know why but they are running with change

[slihawk]

Nice price for Paco on turf....must be played

[slihawk]

Exacta looked good for a while
2 top winners out of 3
Daniel looking good

Lets do another 3 races:

R 6 #1 15-1 Ill take that with Centeno on Turf
#7 9/2 Ferrer/Dini Tampa connections

R7 #3 going long again Bravo/O'Connell 15-1 BLINKERS ON
#9 5/2 deserving fav

R8 #4 note jock change to Paco 15-1
#3 Blinkers on Navarro tuff

[slihawk]

Just seen the 8 Dedicated to Bob in Post Parade WOW

[slihawk]

*&%$# NESS

[slihawk]

I'm amazed the #9 is 11-1

[slihawk]

Ruff stretch run Inquiry?

[slihawk]

Rudy Rudy Rudy

Playing a late P4

3 Pletcher
with
2 Navaro
9 Ness @#$% Ness
with
2 Perkins
with
11 Perkins

Whats that a buck?

[slihawk]

Daniel on turf

[slihawk]

Man Daniel's riding great on turf
#$%@Ness

[slihawk]

Treaded water yesterday I like some bombs today
No equipment changes at all so that angle's out
Saez is heating up
You must follow Brad Thomas if you play Monmouth

Quick picks

R1 6- Ness 7/2 enough said
2- Daniel/Englehart tuff 6-1

R2 7- Saez 7-1
6- Joy Scott sharp Tampa trainer 10-1

R3 3- Cibelli 5-1 I believe she's loaded Jock McCarthy doesn't hurt
6- O'Connell/Ferrer 6-1

Good luck all

[slihawk]

ouch, my fault betting against CC in sprint Turfs

[slihawk]

Seconditis

R4 #3 Navaro 3-1 right now

R5 #8 love this horse 8-1

R6 #5 Serpa/Scott good combo at Tampa 6-1

as you can see Im not a big spread player
Race 5 big race for me

[lamboguy]

the Navarro horses seem to be pretty tired. he works those horses in 46 seconds and the horses can only take so much. i have no idea how you can put your money on him now at the prices he goes off at.

all his horses look like they need time off to me.

[slihawk]

Thanks for the info
There are five trainers (Ness, Navaro,Rudy R, Ziadie and Jacobson.)who I cant figure out by normal handicapping I either pass the race or bet them blindly. Ive got beat too often by them.
In Tampa I always single Ness in P3s and 4s and surround them with longshots and it works for me.
I'll be watching Navarro
Monmouth is becoming Tampa North