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View Full Version : Late DD @Mountaineer~ 5/26


BombsAway Bob
05-26-2015, 02:27 PM
9th @Mountaineer 5.5F Clm5000N1Y ~ purse $6,300 ~ 5/26
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Welcome to "The Bottom", the lowest time-restricted condition
The Mountain writes. (Note to track: As my @QuickLook shows,
you could & should write condition for NW1-18months & 24months,
help some of these competitor's connections get a paycheck.)
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1) Dubai Glitter (10/1 ML)- 2nd off layoff,last win 6/19/2012
in N4L here,but followed by 23mo. layoff, nada in 2014.
2) Clever Romeo (20/1)- 6YO is N3L eligible, last win 7/24/13,
claimed Nov.'13, shown little since. Super/Super-Hi-5 filler?
3) Artie Ocean (7/2)- N4L eligible, beaten fave two of last
three. Last Win 4/12/13, 6.5F, 3L@TBay. will be Inside speed.
4) Jo Dancer (5/1)- 244-Day layoff, won off similar last year
here, drops from N2-6mo.(lone class dropper) Low % rider named.
5) Liscannor Bay (12/1)- Battled Artie last out, re-unites with
Jose Davilla, taking 1st mount of 2015. Little since Pvt.Purchase.
6) Snuck By (15/1)- 12YO makes 3rd start off 20mo. layoff,
speed+fade last pair. Last Win: 8/9/2009, w/81 Beyer.
7) Sordisa (5/2 ML Fave)- Blew clear lead last out, runnerup
came back to win. Note last 2 wins in Mud, move up off-track.
8) Optionality (12/1)- Another 6YO that's N3L eligible, second
local start for new connection. Last win 4/6/14,$12,500 N2L@GP.
9) Papa Vito (9/2)- 3rd start off layoff/private purchase, twice
beaten chalk, note 7YO's last 3 wins v.state-breds. ML price nice.
10) Texas Holiday (10/1)- Wouldn't bite on 11YO @100/1. Last
win 4/6/2012... 48 Starts Ago. Would be prime for N1-36mo. spot.
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EARLY LOOK: Let's try to narrow down potential winners, since i'm
not sold on any in field. IMO #'s 1-2-6-10 are EZ-Toss in Horizontals.
#'s 3-6-7 look like pace of race, with #1 trying to gun from rail.
#'s 4-5-9 should get garden trips in stalking position,
& if #8 has any horse left in him may also wind up in 2nd flight.
On Off track, i'll use ML Fave #7, but if dry will try & beat him
w/ dropping JoJoDancer & closers PapaVito & Bomb Optionality.
Vertical prices may be nice, key #3-7 in 2nd/3rd & #2-5 4th/5th.
Good Luck to All!

BombsAway Bob
05-26-2015, 04:16 PM
8th @Mountaineer: 1Mile/8F Alw20700N4X ~purse $20,700~ 5/26
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3YO + Up, Non-winners of 4 races Lifetime*
(*Claiming races for $30,000 or Less not estimated in Allowances,
& WV-Bred Races not included in eligibility.)
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1) Qualify (7/2 ML)- 5YO goes Turf-2-dirt 3rd off layoff, beaten by
ML Fave at 1/2 two back. Why private sale by breeder off solid 2014?
2) It's No Wonder (2/1 ML Fave)- 4YO plays #CatchMeIfYouCan.
Was Vet Scratch in $30K 9F Hcp.@CT May 13th. Horse to beat if 100%.
3) Il Mangia Troppo (3/1)- Looked super w/Best last 78 Beyer,
but 5YO was beaten by #'s 2+4 prior pair. Note: 11/12 in Tri locally.
4) Mean Marine (9/2)- Wired on stretch-out @8/5 over #3 last
out,& two solid 4F works @CD since.6YO Key To Pace-against repeat.
5) Takin the Sloroad (6/1)- 5YO rolled from off pace only local
try in N2L Alw. Needs pace help & Dirt Beyer Boost, but price stab.
6) South To The Sea (8/1)- Quick, when was last time combo
of Woodard/Hays/Parker were longest ML shot on board? (i gave up).
Gets off rail,& desperately wants Marine to hound Wonder early,
rather than be the one in chase mode going into 1st turn.
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EARLY LOOK: It's No Wonder he'll be fave come post-time,
but this will be 4YO's fifth start in 10 weeks.
Mean Marine is field's key to providing honest pace pressure,
since Qualify & South To The Sea have tried and failed previously
to go w/It's No Wonder early,& paid the price late.
Takin The Sloroad has yet to crack a 70 Dirt Beyer, but 5YO has
license to move forward if pace battle develops early, & stalkers
try to pounce too soon.
I'll go:
1-2-5-6 in Pick-5; 1-5-6 in Pick-4; 5-6 Pick-3 & Late DD play.
Good Luck To ALL, & see you at #NightSchool!
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BlueChip@DRF
05-26-2015, 04:48 PM
$2 Double: ALL / :4::9:

La billos
05-26-2015, 06:46 PM
The 7 Chalk is scratched in the 9th. What do you think now Bob?

BombsAway Bob
05-26-2015, 08:08 PM
The 7 Chalk is scratched in the 9th. What do you think now Bob?
Makes #3-Artie Ocean more dangerous, & maybe Oliveros tries
to re-find early lick on #9-PapaVito. #'s 1+6 may stick around
as #targetspeed a bit longer if #9 doesn't go early.
#'s 4+8 are still my price plays, but Vito now will likely be 2/1 or 5/2,
& Artie, if live, in same ballpark.

bugboy
05-26-2015, 09:39 PM
gonna try 2-8 late double mnr

bugboy
05-26-2015, 09:40 PM
also 2-4-

bugboy
05-26-2015, 09:52 PM
gotta but the rest of my marbles on the 4 in the 9th.

La billos
05-26-2015, 09:57 PM
Well kicked out of the DD and p5, even though first 3 were dead chalk. I'll just end up betting win on the 5 this race. Liked the way he ran against some of these last race even though the 3 beat him. Should get a nice stalking position and at 15-1 worth a shot

BlueChip@DRF
05-27-2015, 06:21 AM
Considering the results were chalky, the Late Double paid out well.

BombsAway Bob
05-27-2015, 12:18 PM
Considering the results were chalky, the Late Double paid out well.
i was very happy, & folks on twitter let me know they cashed
tickets on the double from my #QuickLook preview.
Not for nothing, but that's THREE Doubles i've given out &
hit the past four weeks on $6/$8 Tickets in May.
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Date-- Track Race Pool / Type/Base-Runners =Debit----Credit
2015-05-26,Mountaineer,R8 Double/$2. 5 + 6 / 4 + 9=$8. +$67.60
2015-05-12,Mountaineer,R8 Double/$2. 1 + 4 + 5 / 7=$6. +$62.80
2015-05-05,Mountaineer,R8 Double/$2. 3 / 2 + 6 + 8=$6. +$81.80