Need Info: 6 horse fields Favorites winning Percentages at major tracks

[BeatTheChalk]

I did not break it down to Types of Races. Just " did the fave win ? It seems
that lately at the Majors - the Faves were are losing a ton of races. Anyinfo
appreciated.

[BlueChip@DRF]

I would like to know if going against the bridgejumpers ($5 Show on everyone else) is profitable in situations like this.

[BeatTheChalk]

Mentime I will just start surfing -and asking.... :bang: :mad: :D

[MONEY]

Here's an old thread.
It's not track specific, but it may help.

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=117861

[SandyW]

After running my data on over 50,000 six horse fields I get 36% winners with a ROI of .83.

[Ocala Mike]

Data on over 50,000 races is laudable. My estimate by "Kentucky Windage" was 35%, so I feel pretty good about my approximation.

[Magister Ludi]

In general, the shorter the field, the higher the percentage of winning favorites and the higher the ROI of favorites. Conversely, the longer the field, the lower the percentage of winning favorites and the lower the ROI of favorites.

[DeltaLover]

I did not break it down to Types of Races. Just " did the fave win ? It seems
that lately at the Majors - the Faves were are losing a ton of races. Anyinfo
appreciated.

Based on my db the stats for the favorite in 6 horse fields in NYRA, SouthCal, KEE and GP for the last few years:

WINNERS: 576
LOSERS: 837
---------------------
TOTAL: 1,413

Win% = 40%

Payoff Sum = 2,423
ROI = 0.85

Exactly as it has to be :)

For ALL OTHER TRACKS

WINNERS: 1,587
LOSERS: 2,217
-----------------------
TOTAL: 3,804

Win% = 41%

Payoff Sum = 6,598
ROI = 0.86

Same @#$%^

[traynor]

Based on my db the stats for the favorite in 6 horse fields in NYRA, SouthCal, KEE and GP for the last few years:

WINNERS: 576
LOSERS: 837
---------------------
TOTAL: 1,413

Win% = 40%

Payoff Sum = 2,423
ROI = 0.85

Exactly as it has to be :)

For ALL OTHER TRACKS

WINNERS: 1,587
LOSERS: 2,217
-----------------------
TOTAL: 3,804

Win% = 41%

Payoff Sum = 6,598
ROI = 0.86

Same @#$%^

You might find it useful to compare races in which the second favorite was within some specific ratio of odds to the favorite (or not). In essence, the values discovered for "strong favorites" may be quite different from the values discovered for "so-so" favorites, and both may differ from the category of "all favorites."

[Inner Dirt]

I bet most of that data comes from Golden Gate Fields I think they have more six horse fields than all the other tracks combined.