Let's Handicap 01/31/15 Sam Houston Park Race 9

[whodoyoulike]

Never played Houston. Who do you like?

Saturday 01/31/15 - Race 9 (nine entries)

STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Turf. Purse $50,000. Tomball S.. FOR FILLIES AND MARES, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. ACCREDITED TEXAS BREDS. By free subscription. $500 due At Time of Entry. $1,500 Supplemental nominations may be made At Time of Entry and shall include all fees. The $50,000 Guaranteed to be divided; $30,000 to the winner, $10,000 to second, $5,500 to third, $3,000 to fourth and $1,500 to fifth. Weight: 123 lbs. Non-winners of a Sweepstakes at a mile or over since October 1, 2014 allowed 3 lbs. Two races at a mile or over since December 1, 2014 allowed 5 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and Starter races not considered in estimating allowances.) Starters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing. This race will be limited to Ten (10) starters (unless the position of the turf rail allows for additional horses) with preference to horses with the highest career earnings at time of entry. Trophy to the winning owner. (09:46 PM) (9)


http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=HOU&race=9&param1=711&param2=2449&param3=1305720

Use the Poll to indicate who you think will WIN and post how you would bet the race or anything else you find interesting.

Note: the list is in PP order not post position order.

[jk3521]

I Am Jane Dough. Deshawn might make the difference.

[arw629]

Expect Royalty is razor sharp winning 4 in a row and sports a six for twelve lifetime mark....This one seems the likeliest winner

[Robert Fischer]

:2:- Vilao - I'll take a shot here with Vilao as my value key. I thought she had a little bit of a tough trip last time and considering his finish, and could be the overlay.

2/159/15689
159/2/15689
159/15689/2

use:

:5:- I Am Jane Dough - *Buzzer Off* today. Still should be a top contender here. A little bit worried that Chapa had her near the pace early last time(change in style). How do we treat the buzzer situation when handicapping here?

:9:-Expect Royalty - Top horse on paper.

:1: - Favorite last time, could benefit if some things go differently.

underneath: :6: :8:


D-I-Y ratings sheet

http://img2.uploadhouse.com/fileuploads/20593/20593402-holder-6cbcb851acb8e00dd20ad82795b98c57.jpg (http://www.uploadhouse.com/viewfile.php?id=20593402&showlnk=0)

[biggestal99]

:6: wampus kitty--won the 2014edition of this race at 10-1, low pct connections makethe price better, nice prep for this last out, will be flying late to grab the money

Allan

[biggestal99]

Any chappa off should be viewed suspisiously

Allan

[DRIVEWAY]

This is a very well match field. Contenders 1,2,5,6,8,9 can all get the job done.

:8: is the fresh horse
:9: is the horse to beat

Bet the :8: to win and the :9: - :8: exacta as a saver.

[bello]

This may be the most contentious race if the season. I am going to go long here

#7 Girl Wando....Cabrera has been improving everything. Wnado was checked sharply around the far rurn in the San Jacinto and lost all chance....shhhh no mention of that in the racing form
#5 I am jane Dough....but was she battery aided in last. My guess Zappa had a battery in all of those stakes races. But DeShawn batteryless is better that a Zapped up Chappa
#6 Wampums Kitty...wide close into slow pace
#9 Expect Royalty....I love horses who love to win but what kind of trip does she get here?

[098poi]

$2 Ex

:2:, :5:, :9:

with

:2:, :5:, :8:, :9: = $18

[whodoyoulike]

I like :1: molly's honour (8-1) to win and hoping for at least (3-1) odds.

She's actually behind :8: smiles golden song (8-1), :9: expect royalty (3-1) and wampas kitty (5-1) in my ratings but, I like the way she runs. Most of these competed in the 1/16/15 race 9 @ Houston but, it was a very slow pace (half in 51.21) and (final in 105.83) for 8.5f on the turf.

I think the race will be run in 104 +/-.

[salty]

i'm going the :6: here after tightening up the screws in the last from a year off. The price should be great

:9: could easily win again against this bunch again but maybe the outside post is going to put her uncomfortable early.

[cutchemist42]

Watching the odds here on the :5: :6: :8: and :9: . Will post again when post time comes up.

Lots of good horses with different reasons for backing here. Looks better than the chalkfests Hou had last Sat.

[cutchemist42]

Yeah not taking the :9: at the price I see it being settled on, going with the :5: . FWIW, the :6: was the other horse I considered before putting the bet in.

[whodoyoulike]

I Am Jane Dough. Deshawn might make the difference.

That wasn't nice what Deshawn did to me.

[Robert Fischer]

pretty good race

[whodoyoulike]

from the charts:

I AM JANE DOUGH was unhurried early then rallied on the far turn, swung out to be five wide in upper stretch then closed fast on the outside and was up in the final strides. MOLLY'S HONOUR set the early pace, drew off heading into the far turn while inside a long drive, dug in gamely but could not last in the final seventy yards. WAMPAS KITTY was unhurried early then rallied on the far turn while three wide, was in a strong drive but hung in late stretch. EXPECT ROYALTY stalked the early pace then rallied three wide on the far turn, was in a long drive but tired in late stretch.


http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/instant.cgi?date=2015-01-31&track=HOU&country=USA&race=9&type=inc&print=on

Time was: 104.67

No scratches

1 of 9 voters selected the winner.