Top Horse Analytics: 01/20/2015 Weekly Statistics

[Augenj]

Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.

THA Active Tracks: AQU-I, GP, OP, SA, TAM
THA Paused Tracks: AQU-O
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, SAR

Active - currently active tracks
Paused - between meets in a logical year
Inactive - between logical years

* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc.

The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occurred at least 30 times during the previous logical year. These conditionals will be used in the coming week to select races for the Conditional Top Horse.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year: 12/03/2014
Updated Through: 01/19/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 226
Number Of Wins: 98
Win Per Cent: 43.36
Dollars In: 452.00
Dollars Out: 453.90
Profit: 1.90
ROI: 1.0042

M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 96.46
Number Of Races: 218 *
Number Of Wins: 78
Win Per Cent: 35.78
Dollars In: 436.00
Dollars Out: 378.70
Profit: -57.30
ROI: 0.8686
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 226
Number Of Wins: 82
Win Per Cent: 36.28
Dollars In: 452.00
Dollars Out: 406.80
Profit: -45.20
ROI: 0.9000

Top Horse When Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 64.16
Number Of Races: 145
Number Of Wins: 71
Win Per Cent: 48.97
Dollars In: 290.00
Dollars Out: 306.10
Profit: 16.10
ROI: 1.0555

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 72.12
Number Of Races: 163
Number Of Wins: 65
Win Per Cent: 39.88
Dollars In: 326.00
Dollars Out: 296.10
Profit: -29.90
ROI: 0.9083

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Best Conditional Factors At AQU
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 27.88
Number Of Races: 63
Number Of Wins: 36
Win Per Cent: 57.14
Dollars In: 126.00
Dollars Out: 168.10
Profit: 42.10
ROI: 1.3341

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At GP
Start Of Logical Year: 12/06/2014
Updated Through: 01/19/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 337
Number Of Wins: 111
Win Per Cent: 32.94
Dollars In: 674.00
Dollars Out: 555.00
Profit: -119.00
ROI: 0.8234

M/L Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 99.70
Number Of Races: 336 *
Number Of Wins: 94
Win Per Cent: 27.98
Dollars In: 672.00
Dollars Out: 484.60
Profit: -187.40
ROI: 0.7211
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 337
Number Of Wins: 81
Win Per Cent: 24.04
Dollars In: 674.00
Dollars Out: 531.60
Profit: -142.40
ROI: 0.7887

Top Horse When Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 47.77
Number Of Races: 161
Number Of Wins: 54
Win Per Cent: 33.54
Dollars In: 322.00
Dollars Out: 240.60
Profit: -81.40
ROI: 0.7472

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 47.18
Number Of Races: 159
Number Of Wins: 51
Win Per Cent: 32.08
Dollars In: 318.00
Dollars Out: 237.60
Profit: -80.40
ROI: 0.7472

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Best Conditional Factors At GP
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 28.19
Number Of Races: 95
Number Of Wins: 43
Win Per Cent: 45.26
Dollars In: 190.00
Dollars Out: 284.20
Profit: 94.20
ROI: 1.4958

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At OP
Start Of Logical Year: 01/15/2015
Updated Through: 01/19/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 45
Number Of Wins: 13
Win Per Cent: 28.89
Dollars In: 90.00
Dollars Out: 69.80
Profit: -20.20
ROI: 0.7756

M/L Favorites At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 45 *
Number Of Wins: 11
Win Per Cent: 24.44
Dollars In: 90.00
Dollars Out: 56.40
Profit: -33.60
ROI: 0.6267
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 45
Number Of Wins: 11
Win Per Cent: 24.44
Dollars In: 90.00
Dollars Out: 59.80
Profit: -30.20
ROI: 0.6644

Top Horse When Favorite At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 46.67
Number Of Races: 21
Number Of Wins: 9
Win Per Cent: 42.86
Dollars In: 42.00
Dollars Out: 42.80
Profit: 0.80
ROI: 1.0190

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At OP
Occurs Per Cent: 71.11
Number Of Races: 32
Number Of Wins: 9
Win Per Cent: 28.13
Dollars In: 64.00
Dollars Out: 42.80
Profit: -21.20
ROI: 0.6688

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Best Conditional Factors At OP
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 28.89
Number Of Races: 13
Number Of Wins: 5
Win Per Cent: 38.46
Dollars In: 26.00
Dollars Out: 26.20
Profit: 0.20
ROI: 1.0077

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year: 09/26/2014
Updated Through: 01/19/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 375
Number Of Wins: 131
Win Per Cent: 34.93
Dollars In: 750.00
Dollars Out: 637.80
Profit: -112.20
ROI: 0.8504

M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 98.67
Number Of Races: 370 *
Number Of Wins: 117
Win Per Cent: 31.62
Dollars In: 740.00
Dollars Out: 603.40
Profit: -136.60
ROI: 0.8154
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 375
Number Of Wins: 115
Win Per Cent: 30.67
Dollars In: 750.00
Dollars Out: 602.60
Profit: -147.40
ROI: 0.8035

Top Horse When Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 66.13
Number Of Races: 248
Number Of Wins: 93
Win Per Cent: 37.50
Dollars In: 496.00
Dollars Out: 421.60
Profit: -74.40
ROI: 0.8500

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 84.27
Number Of Races: 316
Number Of Wins: 105
Win Per Cent: 33.23
Dollars In: 632.00
Dollars Out: 518.80
Profit: -113.20
ROI: 0.8209

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Best Conditional Factors At SA
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 31.73
Number Of Races: 119
Number Of Wins: 54
Win Per Cent: 45.38
Dollars In: 238.00
Dollars Out: 294.00
Profit: 56.00
ROI: 1.2353

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At TAM
Start Of Logical Year: 11/29/2014
Updated Through: 01/18/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 250
Number Of Wins: 92
Win Per Cent: 36.80
Dollars In: 500.00
Dollars Out: 494.80
Profit: -5.20
ROI: 0.9896

M/L Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 250 *
Number Of Wins: 84
Win Per Cent: 33.60
Dollars In: 500.00
Dollars Out: 511.00
Profit: 11.00
ROI: 1.0220
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 250
Number Of Wins: 66
Win Per Cent: 26.40
Dollars In: 500.00
Dollars Out: 447.40
Profit: -52.60
ROI: 0.8948

Top Horse When Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 44.80
Number Of Races: 112
Number Of Wins: 45
Win Per Cent: 40.18
Dollars In: 224.00
Dollars Out: 215.60
Profit: -8.40
ROI: 0.9625

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 44.00
Number Of Races: 110
Number Of Wins: 38
Win Per Cent: 34.55
Dollars In: 220.00
Dollars Out: 181.60
Profit: -38.40
ROI: 0.8255

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Best Conditional Factors At TAM
Used with the Conditional Top Horse in the coming week
Occurs Per Cent: 48.40
Number Of Races: 121
Number Of Wins: 43
Win Per Cent: 35.54
Dollars In: 242.00
Dollars Out: 306.40
Profit: 64.40
ROI: 1.2661