View Full Version : Top Horse Analytics: 01/12/2015 Weekly Statistics
Augenj
01-12-2015, 12:07 PM
Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.
THA Active Tracks: AQU, GP, SA, TAM
THA Paused Tracks:
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SAR
Active - currently active tracks
Paused - between meets in a logical year
Inactive - between logical years
* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc.
The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occurred at least 30 times during the previous logical year. These numbers reflect the best conditionals which may or may not have been used during the previous week for betting purposes.
The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.
Augenj
01-12-2015, 12:09 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year: 10/29/2014
Updated Through: 01/11/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 416
Number Of Wins: 158
Win Per Cent: 37.98
Dollars In: 832.00
Dollars Out: 722.40
Profit: -109.60
ROI: 0.8683
M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 97.60
Number Of Races: 406 *
Number Of Wins: 136
Win Per Cent: 33.50
Dollars In: 812.00
Dollars Out: 667.60
Profit: -144.40
ROI: 0.8222
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 416
Number Of Wins: 146
Win Per Cent: 35.10
Dollars In: 832.00
Dollars Out: 845.60
Profit: 13.60
ROI: 1.0163
Top Horse When Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 58.89
Number Of Races: 245
Number Of Wins: 111
Win Per Cent: 45.31
Dollars In: 490.00
Dollars Out: 460.90
Profit: -29.10
ROI: 0.9406
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 70.67
Number Of Races: 294
Number Of Wins: 112
Win Per Cent: 38.10
Dollars In: 588.00
Dollars Out: 508.60
Profit: -79.40
ROI: 0.8650
Conditional Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 43.03
Number Of Races: 179
Number Of Wins: 77
Win Per Cent: 43.02
Dollars In: 358.00
Dollars Out: 516.70
Profit: 158.70
ROI: 1.4433
Augenj
01-12-2015, 12:10 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At GP
Start Of Logical Year: 12/06/2014
Updated Through: 01/11/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 274
Number Of Wins: 92
Win Per Cent: 33.58
Dollars In: 548.00
Dollars Out: 457.60
Profit: -90.40
ROI: 0.8350
M/L Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 99.64
Number Of Races: 273 *
Number Of Wins: 83
Win Per Cent: 30.40
Dollars In: 546.00
Dollars Out: 420.40
Profit: -125.60
ROI: 0.7700
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 274
Number Of Wins: 72
Win Per Cent: 26.28
Dollars In: 548.00
Dollars Out: 472.60
Profit: -75.40
ROI: 0.8624
Top Horse When Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 48.91
Number Of Races: 134
Number Of Wins: 49
Win Per Cent: 36.57
Dollars In: 268.00
Dollars Out: 215.60
Profit: -52.40
ROI: 0.8045
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 44.89
Number Of Races: 123
Number Of Wins: 46
Win Per Cent: 37.40
Dollars In: 246.00
Dollars Out: 209.40
Profit: -36.60
ROI: 0.8512
Conditional Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 20.80
Number Of Races: 57
Number Of Wins: 25
Win Per Cent: 43.86
Dollars In: 114.00
Dollars Out: 182.60
Profit: 68.60
ROI: 1.6018
Augenj
01-12-2015, 12:11 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year: 09/26/2014
Updated Through: 01/11/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 332
Number Of Wins: 115
Win Per Cent: 34.64
Dollars In: 664.00
Dollars Out: 559.80
Profit: -104.20
ROI: 0.8431
M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 98.49
Number Of Races: 327 *
Number Of Wins: 101
Win Per Cent: 30.89
Dollars In: 654.00
Dollars Out: 514.80
Profit: -139.20
ROI: 0.7872
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 332
Number Of Wins: 101
Win Per Cent: 30.42
Dollars In: 664.00
Dollars Out: 524.60
Profit: -139.40
ROI: 0.7901
Top Horse When Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 67.77
Number Of Races: 225
Number Of Wins: 83
Win Per Cent: 36.89
Dollars In: 450.00
Dollars Out: 375.80
Profit: -74.20
ROI: 0.8351
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 84.64
Number Of Races: 281
Number Of Wins: 92
Win Per Cent: 32.74
Dollars In: 562.00
Dollars Out: 447.40
Profit: -114.60
ROI: 0.7961
Conditional Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 22.89
Number Of Races: 76
Number Of Wins: 35
Win Per Cent: 46.05
Dollars In: 152.00
Dollars Out: 176.60
Profit: 24.60
ROI: 1.1618
Augenj
01-12-2015, 12:12 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At TAM
Start Of Logical Year: 11/29/2014
Updated Through: 01/11/2015
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 211
Number Of Wins: 75
Win Per Cent: 35.55
Dollars In: 422.00
Dollars Out: 402.60
Profit: -19.40
ROI: 0.9540
M/L Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 211 *
Number Of Wins: 71
Win Per Cent: 33.65
Dollars In: 422.00
Dollars Out: 439.60
Profit: 17.60
ROI: 1.0417
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 211
Number Of Wins: 56
Win Per Cent: 26.54
Dollars In: 422.00
Dollars Out: 393.40
Profit: -28.60
ROI: 0.9322
Top Horse When Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 44.08
Number Of Races: 93
Number Of Wins: 36
Win Per Cent: 38.71
Dollars In: 186.00
Dollars Out: 169.40
Profit: -16.60
ROI: 0.9108
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 42.65
Number Of Races: 90
Number Of Wins: 30
Win Per Cent: 33.33
Dollars In: 180.00
Dollars Out: 140.40
Profit: -39.60
ROI: 0.7800
Conditional Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 48.34
Number Of Races: 102
Number Of Wins: 33
Win Per Cent: 32.35
Dollars In: 204.00
Dollars Out: 246.20
Profit: 42.20
ROI: 1.2069
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